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Washington Commanders

NFC East

Team

Off EXP

-29.99

#26

Def EXP

-148.31

#31

Net EXP

-178.30

Record

4-13

Pythag 4.3 (-0.3)

Power Rating

97.0

#26

SRS

−10.86

#32

SoS Rank

#12

pts: +0.3 (#17)

#12

Pts / Game

19.4

Home 16.0 · Road 22.3

#25

Net Pts / G

−11.1

#32

Pts Allowed / G

30.5

Home 34.0 · Road 27.3

#32

Yds / Play

5.00

#25

Yds/Play Allowed

5.90

#31

3rd Down %

35.6%

#25

3rd Down % Allowed

41.6%

#28

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	329	370.06	-41.06	#25
Total Yards	5317	5,636.94	-319.94	#24
Yds / Play	5	5.25	-0.25	#25
1st Downs	321	327.44	-6.44	#21
Turnovers	32	22.94	+9.06	#29
Fumbles Lost	11	9.50	+1.50	#20
EXP Pts	-29.99	27.68	-57.67	#26

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	518	370.06	+147.94	#32
Total Yards	6612	5,636.94	+975.06	#32
Yds / Play	5.90	5.24	+0.66	#31
1st Downs	364	327.44	+36.56	#29
Turnovers	18	22.94	-4.94	#26
Fumbles Lost	10	9.50	+0.50	#16
EXP Pts	-148.31	-27.68	-120.63	#31

Scoring Composition

Where Washington Commanders's points come from. Total = 329 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	636	572.34	+63.66	#1
Pass Cmp	407	369	+38	#8
Cmp %	64	64.46	-0.46	#20
Pass Yds	3725	3,721.72	+3.28	#18
Yds / Att	5.90	6.52	-0.62	#27
Yds / Cmp	9.20	10.08	-0.88	#27
Adj Y/A	5.10	6.29	-1.19	#28
Adj NY/A	4.70	5.84	-1.14	#28
Pass TD	24	23.56	+0.44	#19
TD %	3.80	4.12	-0.32	#20
Pass Int	21	13.44	+7.56	#30
Int %	3.30	2.35	+0.95	#30
Sack %	9.30	7.17	+2.13	#28
Pass Rating	78.60	86.88	-8.28	#26
EXP Pts Pass	-26.38	41.96	-68.34	#26

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	598	572.34	+25.66	#10
Pass Cmp	396	369	+27	#26
Cmp %	66.20	64.44	+1.76	#23
Pass Yds	4457	3,721.72	+735.28	#32
Yds / Att	7.70	7.03	+0.67	#28
Yds / Cmp	11.70	10.89	+0.81	#28
Adj Y/A	8.40	6.79	+1.61	#32
Adj NY/A	7.70	5.82	+1.88	#32
Pass TD	39	23.56	+15.44	#32
TD %	6.50	4.12	+2.38	#32
Pass Int	8	13.44	-5.44	#30
Int %	1.30	2.35	-1.05	#31
Sack %	6.10	7.14	-1.04	#27
Pass Rating	105.70	88.94	+16.76	#32
EXP Pts Pass	-152.14	-41.96	-110.18	#32

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for WAS 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

79.0%

#29 of 32

PAT%

91.0%

#28 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#20 of 32

Return Yards

879

#6 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

61 yd

FG %

79.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	2	0	100.0%
30-39	7	0	100.0%
40-49	7	2	77.8%
50-59	2	2	50.0%
60+	1	0	100.0%

Made FG distances

20–292327(2)

30–3930303233363737(7)

40–4942434447474949(7)

50–595151(2)

60+61(1)

Missed FG distances

40–494649(2)

50–595359(2)

Blocked FG distances

20–2927(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

91.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

278

Punt avg

7.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

601

Kickoff avg

25.0

Total return yds

879

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3361

Gross avg

44.8

Net yards

3034

Net avg

39.4

Long

66 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

40.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

2.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

271

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for WAS 2023.

#25 of 32

#14 of 32

#8 of 32

#26 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for WAS 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-87.5

#26 of 32

Rush EPA

-8.6

#9 of 32

Recv EPA

+24.8

#27 of 32

CPOE

+0.27

#18 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for WAS 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,767

#11 of 32

Pass YAC

2,092

#7 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,767

#11 of 32

Recv YAC

2,092

#7 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for WAS 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#7 of 32

Penalty Yds

701

#7 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#9 of 32

Yds / Game

41.2

#7 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Pass Yds	3472	3725	253
Pass Yds	3472	3725	253
Penalties Yds	805	701	-104

5-Year Trajectory

WAS Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L vs DAL · 10–38

WAS failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for WAS 2023.

Cmp %

64.0%

#20

Pass Yds/G

219.1

#18

Pass Rating

78.6

#26

Pass TD

#19

Pass Int

#30

Sack Rate

9.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. WAS has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	4-13	6-10-1	37.5%	10-7	58.8%	-11.1	-7.0	8	+9.5
Home	8	1-7	0-7-1	0.0%	5-3	62.5%	-18.0	-14.6	4	+0.0
Away	9	3-6	6-3	66.7%	5-4	55.6%	-5.0	-0.2	8	+9.5
As favorite	4	1-3	0-4	—	2-2	—	-8.8	-14.6	4	-3.0
As underdog	13	3-10	6-6-1	50.0%	8-5	61.5%	-11.8	-4.6	8	+9.5
Division games	6	0-6	1-4-1	20.0%	5-1	83.3%	-15.3	-10.0	—	+6.5
Non-division	11	4-7	5-6	45.5%	5-6	45.5%	-8.8	-5.3	8	+9.5
Pick-em (≤3)	4	2-2	3-1	—	1-3	—	+0.5	+1.5	8	+9.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-20.0	-26.0	—	-26.0
Large favorite (7+)	2	1-1	0-2	—	1-1	—	-4.0	-11.2	4	-3.0
Small underdog (3-7)	4	1-3	2-2	—	2-2	—	-10.8	-5.2	2	+6.0
Large underdog (7+)	6	0-6	1-4-1	20.0%	5-1	83.3%	-20.0	-9.2	—	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	2	0-2	1-0-1	2-0	-5.0	+3.2
NYG	New York Giants	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-9.5	-14.8
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-31.5	-18.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+4.0	-3.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+2.0	+6.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-34.0	-28.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-20.0	-26.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+9.5
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+5.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+3.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-30.0	-21.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-1.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-2.0	+1.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-17.0	-3.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Oct	5	1-4	2-2-1	3-2	50%
Nov	4	1-3	2-2	3-1	50%
Dec	4	0-4	1-3	2-2	25%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Sun	15	4-11	6-8-1	8-7	43%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	4-4-1	4-5	50%
Second half (W10+)	8	0-8	2-6	6-2	25%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	8	0-8	1-6-1	6-2	14%
Turf	7	2-5	4-3	3-4	57%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	0-6	1-4-1	5-1	20%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-4	2-4	33%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	7	0-7	2-5	5-2	29%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	1-3	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Indoor	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	6	0-6	2-3-1	5-1	40%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Indoor	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	8
ATS	L	2
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	8
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%
After a loss	12	2-10	4-7-1	8-4	36%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	9	2-7	3-6	5-4	33%
vs winning opp.	8	1-7	3-4-1	6-2	43%
vs losing opp.	7	2-5	3-4	4-3	43%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	3-11	5-8-1	9-5	38%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	1-7	0-7-1	5-3	0%
Domestic road	9	3-6	6-3	5-4	67%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	1-7	0-7-1	5-3	0%
Short (<500)	4	1-3	3-1	2-2	75%
Medium (500-1500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Long (1500+)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	2-9	5-5-1	7-4	50%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 2-2-15 G

NovATS 2-24 G

DecATS 1-34 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-22 G

SunATS 6-8-115 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-4-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-68 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-6-18 G

TurfATS 4-37 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 1-4-16 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-8-114 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-12 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 0-7-18 G

Domestic roadATS 6-39 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 0-7-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 3-14 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-12 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-13 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-22 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-5-111 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-55 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-11 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-1-15 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-36 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.7 ptsBias -7.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)	12-5	0.446 #30	29.9	18.5	181.25	32.08
New York Giants (NYG)	6-11	0.512 #14	15.6	23.9	-130.06	-37.29
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)	11-6	0.481 #23	25.5	25.2	109.97	-106.97
Washington Commanders (WAS)	4-13	0.512 #12	19.4	30.5	-29.99	-148.31

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Washington Commanders ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yards after contact per carry (2nd of 32), defensive avg wr separation allowed (5th of 32), and offensive avg yards after catch (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per pass play allowed (32nd of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (31st of 32).

Rivalries

Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders have met 16 times in the regular season. Philadelphia Eagles leads the series 11 to 5. The most lopsided meeting was a 24-point win for Philadelphia Eagles in 2018.


Drives	197	188.09	+8.91	#6
Plays / Drive	5.50	5.90	-0.40	#30
Yds / Drive	26.90	30.04	-3.14	#25
Points / Drive	1.68	1.89	-0.21	#24
Score %	29.40	35.66	-6.26	#28
Turnover %	15.20	11.54	+3.66	#29


Rush Att	359	456.44	-97.44	#32
Rush Yds	1592	1,915.22	-323.22	#27
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.18	+0.23	#7
Rush TD	14	14.69	-0.69	#17
EXP Pts Rush	6.89	-5.27	+12.16	#11


3rd Down Att	216	224.81	-8.81	#27
3rd Down Made	77	87.13	-10.13	#27
4th Down Att	29	24.97	+4.03	#11
4th Down Made	16	12.88	+3.13	#9
Red Zone Att	49	52.94	-3.94	#22
Red Zone Scores	31	29.09	+1.91	#13


Drives	188	188.09	-0.09	#20
Plays / Drive	6.10	5.90	+0.20	#24
Yds / Drive	35	30.03	+4.98	#32
Points / Drive	2.53	1.88	+0.65	#32
Score %	46.80	35.59	+11.21	#32
Turnover %	9	11.57	-2.57	#26


Rush Att	480	456.44	+23.56	#23
Rush Yds	2155	1,915.22	+239.78	#27
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.20	+0.30	#24
Rush TD	15	14.69	+0.31	#17
EXP Pts Rush	-4.12	5.27	-9.39	#19


2019	-88.3	-132.8	-221.1
2020	-15.6	47.0	+31.4
2021	15.8	-125.4	-109.6
2022	-24.3	7.3	-17.0
2023	-30.0	-148.3	-178.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC East

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC East