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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

7.68

#19

Def EXP

-91.09

#26

Net EXP

-83.41

Record

8-9

Pythag 7.0 (+1.0)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

−3.26

#24

SoS Rank

#20

pts: +0.0 (#19)

#20

Pts / Game

21.0

Home 22.4 · Road 19.4

#19

Net Pts / G

−3.3

#25

Pts Allowed / G

24.3

Home 19.6 · Road 29.6

#27

Yds / Play

5.00

#23

Yds/Play Allowed

5.80

#30

3rd Down %

36.8%

#21

3rd Down % Allowed

33.2%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	357	370.06	-13.06	#19
Total Yards	5072	5,636.94	-564.94	#26
Yds / Play	5	5.25	-0.25	#23
1st Downs	301	327.44	-26.44	#24
Turnovers	22	22.94	-0.94	#18
Fumbles Lost	13	9.50	+3.50	#28
EXP Pts	7.68	27.68	-20.00	#19

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	413	370.06	+42.94	#27
Total Yards	6303	5,636.94	+666.06	#29
Yds / Play	5.80	5.24	+0.56	#30
1st Downs	349	327.44	+21.56	#26
Turnovers	26	22.94	+3.06	#14
Fumbles Lost	15	9.50	+5.50	#1
EXP Pts	-91.09	-27.68	-63.41	#26

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 357 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	513	572.34	-59.34	#28
Pass Cmp	337	369	-32	#26
Cmp %	65.70	64.46	+1.24	#12
Pass Yds	3262	3,721.72	-459.72	#24
Yds / Att	6.40	6.52	-0.12	#18
Yds / Cmp	9.70	10.08	-0.38	#22
Adj Y/A	6.70	6.29	+0.41	#11
Adj NY/A	6	5.84	+0.16	#14
Pass TD	28	23.56	+4.44	#8
TD %	5.50	4.12	+1.38	#4
Pass Int	9	13.44	-4.44	#5
Int %	1.80	2.35	-0.55	#10
Sack %	9.20	7.17	+2.03	#27
Pass Rating	94.20	86.88	+7.32	#7
EXP Pts Pass	19.36	41.96	-22.60	#21

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	572	572.34	-0.34	#16
Pass Cmp	382	369	+13	#21
Cmp %	66.80	64.44	+2.36	#27
Pass Yds	3972	3,721.72	+250.28	#22
Yds / Att	7.50	7.03	+0.47	#26
Yds / Cmp	11.30	10.89	+0.41	#25
Adj Y/A	7.70	6.79	+0.91	#29
Adj NY/A	6.60	5.82	+0.78	#29
Pass TD	29	23.56	+5.44	#28
TD %	5.10	4.12	+0.98	#29
Pass Int	11	13.44	-2.44	#20
Int %	1.90	2.35	-0.45	#20
Sack %	6.80	7.14	-0.34	#20
Pass Rating	98	88.94	+9.06	#30
EXP Pts Pass	-85.10	-41.96	-43.14	#26

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

88.0%

#13 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#21 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#8 of 32

Return Yards

724

#16 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

52 yd

FG %

88.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	12	0	100.0%
40-49	4	1	80.0%
50-59	3	2	60.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292022232323232425282829(11)

30–39313131313232323434353637(12)

40–4940404349(4)

50–59515252(3)

Missed FG distances

40–4948(1)

50–595557(2)

Blocked FG distances

30–3938(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3936(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

326

Punt avg

16.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

398

Kickoff avg

24.9

Total return yds

724

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3659

Gross avg

46.3

Net yards

3276

Net avg

41.5

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

34.2%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.6%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

195

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2023.

QB Hits

100

#16 of 32

Pass Def.

#30 of 32

TFL

#28 of 32

Forced Fum.

#2 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-10.1

#20 of 32

Rush EPA

-34.8

#19 of 32

Recv EPA

+90.1

#18 of 32

CPOE

+3.74

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,754

#32 of 32

Pass YAC

2,069

#8 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,754

#32 of 32

Recv YAC

2,067

#8 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#18 of 32

Penalty Yds

749

#12 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#14 of 32

Yds / Game

44.1

#12 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Kickoff Yds	4580	5190	610
Penalties Yds	970	749	-221
Pass Sacked Yds	415	304	-111

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L at LV · 14–27

DEN failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2023.

Cmp %

65.7%

#12

Pass Yds/G

191.9

#24

Pass Rating

94.2

Pass TD

Pass Int

Sack Rate

9.2%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	6-10-1	37.5%	8-9	47.1%	-3.3	-2.2	17	+22.0
Home	9	5-4	4-5	44.4%	4-5	44.4%	+2.9	+0.8	17	+22.0
Away	8	3-5	2-5-1	28.6%	4-4	50.0%	-10.2	-5.7	17	+20.0
As favorite	9	5-4	3-5-1	37.5%	5-4	55.6%	+1.6	-1.6	17	+15.5
As underdog	8	3-5	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-8.8	-2.9	17	+22.0
Division games	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	1-5	16.7%	+2.3	+5.2	17	+22.0
Non-division	11	5-6	3-7-1	30.0%	7-4	63.6%	-6.4	-6.3	17	+15.5
Pick-em (≤3)	7	5-2	3-3-1	50.0%	3-4	42.9%	+4.1	+2.6	17	+20.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+2.5	-1.2	7	+3.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-3.0	-10.0	—	-10.0
Small underdog (3-7)	4	0-4	0-4	—	3-1	—	-23.2	-18.6	—	-1.5
Large underdog (7+)	3	2-1	2-1	—	0-3	—	+2.0	+10.3	15	+22.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-7.0	-6.8
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+2.0	+10.8
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+12.0	+11.8
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-2.0	-6.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-50.0	-44.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	0-0-1	1-0	+3.0	+0.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-12.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+2.0	+0.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+2.0	+9.5
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+1.0	-1.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+15.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-5.0	-1.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-25.0	-19.5
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-10.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Oct	5	3-2	2-2-1	2-3	50%
Nov	3	3-0	2-1	1-2	67%
Dec	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	14	7-7	5-8-1	7-7	38%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	2-5-1	4-4	29%
Second half (W10+)	9	5-4	4-5	4-5	44%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	6-5	4-6-1	6-5	40%
Turf	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	3-3	1-5	50%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-4	4-2	33%
Inter-conference	5	3-2	1-3-1	3-2	25%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	4-0	3-1	1-3	75%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	0-1-1	2-0	0%
Indoor	7	1-6	1-6	3-4	14%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	2	2-0	0-1-1	1-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Indoor	7	1-6	1-6	3-4	14%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	5
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	8	4-4	3-5	4-4	38%
After a loss	8	4-4	3-4-1	4-4	43%
On 2+ winning streak	4	3-1	2-2	1-3	50%
On 2+ losing streak	4	3-1	2-1-1	2-2	67%
vs winning opp.	9	4-5	3-6	4-5	33%
vs losing opp.	7	4-3	3-3-1	4-3	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	7-6	5-7-1	6-7	42%
Dome	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	5-4	4-5	4-5	44%
Domestic road	8	3-5	2-5-1	4-4	29%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	5-4	4-5	4-5	44%
Medium (500-1500)	7	3-4	2-4-1	3-4	33%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	6-6	4-7-1	7-5	36%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-33 G

OctATS 2-2-15 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 2-35 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 5-8-114 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-5-18 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-59 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-6-111 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-3-15 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-7-113 G

DomeATS 1-23 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-59 G

Domestic roadATS 2-5-18 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-59 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-4-17 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-7-112 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-36 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-3-16 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 0-33 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.6 ptsBias -2.2 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	8-9	0.488 #20	21.0	24.3	7.68	-91.09
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	11-6	0.481 #21	21.8	17.3	59.01	37.02
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	5-12	0.529 #7	20.4	23.4	-5.38	-92.65
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	8-9	0.488 #19	19.5	19.5	-27.95	-22.59

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (1st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32), defensive rush yards allowed per carry (32nd of 32), and defensive rush success rate allowed (31st of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	189	188.09	+0.91	#14
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.90	-0.30	#26
Yds / Drive	26.80	30.04	-3.24	#26
Points / Drive	1.81	1.89	-0.08	#21
Score %	34.90	35.66	-0.76	#19
Turnover %	10.60	11.54	-0.94	#17


Rush Att	451	456.44	-5.44	#18
Rush Yds	1810	1,915.22	-105.22	#18
Rush Y/A	4	4.18	-0.18	#23
Rush TD	8	14.69	-6.69	#28
EXP Pts Rush	-0.05	-5.27	+5.22	#13


3rd Down Att	220	224.81	-4.81	#22
3rd Down Made	81	87.13	-6.13	#24
4th Down Att	20	24.97	-4.97	#22
4th Down Made	13	12.88	+0.13	#15
Red Zone Att	58	52.94	+5.06	#10
Red Zone Scores	30	29.09	+0.91	#14


Drives	184	188.09	-4.09	#12
Plays / Drive	6	5.90	+0.10	#23
Yds / Drive	34	30.03	+3.98	#27
Points / Drive	2.16	1.88	+0.28	#28
Score %	40.20	35.59	+4.61	#27
Turnover %	13	11.57	+1.43	#12


Rush Att	469	456.44	+12.56	#20
Rush Yds	2331	1,915.22	+415.78	#30
Rush Y/A	5	4.20	+0.80	#32
Rush TD	15	14.69	+0.31	#23
EXP Pts Rush	-9.82	5.27	-15.09	#25


2019	-14.6	-32.0	-46.6
2020	-21.8	-92.8	-114.6
2021	61.3	-36.1	+25.2
2022	-41.6	7.2	-34.4
2023	7.7	-91.1	-83.4

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West