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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

-157.57

#31

Def EXP

25.44

Net EXP

-132.13

Record

4-13

Pythag 4.4 (-0.4)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

−6.99

#29

SoS Rank

#10

pts: +0.7 (#9)

#10

Pts / Game

13.9

Home 12.1 · Road 15.9

#32

Net Pts / G

−7.6

#29

Pts Allowed / G

21.5

Home 20.9 · Road 22.3

#15

Yds / Play

4.60

#29

Yds/Play Allowed

4.70

3rd Down %

30.2%

#30

3rd Down % Allowed

36.3%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	236	370.06	-134.06	#32
Total Yards	4696	5,636.94	-940.94	#30
Yds / Play	4.60	5.25	-0.65	#29
1st Downs	261	327.44	-66.44	#31
Turnovers	29	22.94	+6.06	#27
Fumbles Lost	8	9.50	-1.50	#14
EXP Pts	-157.57	27.68	-185.25	#31

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	366	370.06	-4.06	#15
Total Yards	5127	5,636.94	-509.94	#7
Yds / Play	4.70	5.24	-0.54	#4
1st Downs	305	327.44	-22.44	#5
Turnovers	18	22.94	-4.94	#24
Fumbles Lost	8	9.50	-1.50	#24
EXP Pts	25.44	-27.68	+53.12	#7

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 236 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	557	572.34	-15.34	#23
Pass Cmp	351	369	-18	#22
Cmp %	63	64.46	-1.46	#22
Pass Yds	3069	3,721.72	-652.72	#28
Yds / Att	5.50	6.52	-1.02	#30
Yds / Cmp	8.70	10.08	-1.38	#29
Adj Y/A	4.40	6.29	-1.89	#31
Adj NY/A	4	5.84	-1.84	#30
Pass TD	16	23.56	-7.56	#27
TD %	2.90	4.12	-1.22	#27
Pass Int	21	13.44	+7.56	#31
Int %	3.80	2.35	+1.45	#32
Sack %	7.90	7.17	+0.73	#25
Pass Rating	71.40	86.88	-15.48	#31
EXP Pts Pass	-123.49	41.96	-165.45	#31

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	575	572.34	+2.66	#14
Pass Cmp	370	369	+1	#14
Cmp %	64.30	64.44	-0.14	#13
Pass Yds	3543	3,721.72	-178.72	#11
Yds / Att	6.60	7.03	-0.43	#7
Yds / Cmp	10.20	10.89	-0.69	#8
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.79	-0.29	#11
Adj NY/A	5.70	5.82	-0.12	#11
Pass TD	19	23.56	-4.56	#5
TD %	3.30	4.12	-0.82	#4
Pass Int	10	13.44	-3.44	#24
Int %	1.70	2.35	-0.65	#25
Sack %	5.90	7.14	-1.24	#28
Pass Rating	86.90	88.94	-2.04	#11
EXP Pts Pass	-43.06	-41.96	-1.10	#15

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

64.0%

#32 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#15 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#8 of 32

Return Yards

679

#21 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

64.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	4	0	100.0%
30-39	5	2	71.4%
40-49	5	5	50.0%
50-59	2	2	50.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2924242529(4)

30–393030333738(5)

40–494343484949(5)

50–595156(2)

Missed FG distances

30–393535(2)

40–494147474848(5)

50–595257(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5956(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

208

Punt avg

6.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

471

Kickoff avg

26.2

Total return yds

679

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

4598

Gross avg

46.9

Net yards

3997

Net avg

40.8

Long

79 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

38.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

8.2%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

439

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2023.

#29 of 32

#25 of 32

#21 of 32

#10 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-137.8

#30 of 32

Rush EPA

-37.6

#21 of 32

Recv EPA

-62.7

#32 of 32

CPOE

-3.47

#28 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,096

#22 of 32

Pass YAC

1,848

#20 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,096

#22 of 32

Recv YAC

1,848

#20 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#8 of 32

Penalty Yds

676

#5 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#7 of 32

Yds / Game

39.8

#5 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Punt Yds	3338	4598	1260
Punt Net Yds	2859	3997	1138
Punt Ret Yds Opp	267	439	172

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L vs NYJ · 3–17

NE failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2023.

Cmp %

63.0%

#22

Pass Yds/G

180.5

#28

Pass Rating

71.4

#31

Pass TD

#27

Pass Int

#31

Sack Rate

7.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	4-13	5-11-1	31.3%	7-10	41.2%	-7.6	-4.2	5	+11.5
Home	9	1-8	1-7-1	12.5%	3-6	33.3%	-8.8	-6.4	4	+11.5
Away	8	3-5	4-4	50.0%	4-4	50.0%	-6.4	-1.6	5	+10.0
As favorite	5	1-4	1-4	20.0%	0-5	0.0%	-9.8	-12.7	5	+2.5
As underdog	12	3-9	4-7-1	36.4%	7-5	58.3%	-6.8	-0.6	4	+11.5
Division games	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	-5.3	-0.8	5	+11.5
Non-division	11	2-9	2-8-1	20.0%	4-7	36.4%	-8.9	-6.0	3	+10.0
Pick-em (≤3)	7	1-6	1-6	14.3%	0-7	0.0%	-8.7	-9.3	5	+2.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-3.0	-7.5	—	-7.5
Small underdog (3-7)	4	1-3	1-3	—	2-2	—	-10.8	-5.6	3	+9.0
Large underdog (7+)	5	2-3	3-1-1	75.0%	5-0	100.0%	-4.6	+4.8	4	+11.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-10.5	-5.8
NYJ	New York Jets	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-4.5	-7.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	1-1	2-0	2-0	-1.0	+10.2
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-1.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-35.0	-28.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-34.0	-36.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-1.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-5.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-3.0
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-7.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-1.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+9.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-10.0	+0.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+10.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Oct	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Nov	3	0-3	0-3	0-3	0%
Dec	5	2-3	3-1-1	4-1	75%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	16	3-13	4-11-1	6-10	27%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	2-7	2-7	3-6	22%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	3-4-1	4-4	43%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%
Turf	10	2-8	3-6-1	3-7	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-3-1	3-3	40%
Inter-conference	5	0-5	0-5	1-4	0%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	2-3	2-2-1	3-2	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	5	0-5	0-5	1-4	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	10	4-6	4-5-1	4-6	44%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	5	0-5	0-5	1-4	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	L	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	1
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	4	0-4	1-2-1	3-1	33%
After a loss	12	4-8	4-8	3-9	33%
On 2+ losing streak	7	3-4	3-4	2-5	43%
vs winning opp.	7	2-5	3-3-1	5-2	50%
vs losing opp.	6	0-6	0-6	0-6	0%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	15	4-11	5-9-1	7-8	36%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	1-7	1-6-1	3-5	14%
Domestic road	8	3-5	4-4	4-4	50%
International	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	1-7	1-6-1	3-5	14%
Short (<500)	4	2-2	3-1	2-2	75%
Medium (500-1500)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Long (1500+)	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	13	3-10	4-9	4-9	31%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	—
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 1-45 G

NovATS 0-33 G

DecATS 3-1-15 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 4-11-116 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-79 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-4-18 G

By surface

GrassATS 2-35 G

TurfATS 3-6-110 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-3-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 0-55 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-9-115 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 1-6-18 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

InternationalATS 0-11 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 1-6-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 3-14 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 0-11 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-34 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-913 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-3-16 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-45 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-34 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.1 ptsBias -4.2 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	11-6	0.471 #27	26.5	18.3	166.97	15.23
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	11-6	0.450 #29	29.2	23.0	139.45	-1.01
New England Patriots (NE)	4-13	0.522 #10	13.9	21.5	-157.57	25.44
New York Jets (NYJ)	7-10	0.502 #17	15.8	20.9	-199.77	75.84

Insights

A look at how the 2023 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg wr separation (32nd of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (32nd of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (31st of 32).


Drives	203	188.09	+14.91	#3
Plays / Drive	5.10	5.90	-0.80	#32
Yds / Drive	23.10	30.04	-6.94	#31
Points / Drive	1.10	1.89	-0.79	#32
Score %	20.20	35.66	-15.46	#32
Turnover %	14.30	11.54	+2.76	#24


Rush Att	415	456.44	-41.44	#26
Rush Yds	1627	1,915.22	-288.22	#26
Rush Y/A	3.90	4.18	-0.28	#26
Rush TD	9	14.69	-5.69	#27
EXP Pts Rush	-23.64	-5.27	-18.37	#22


3rd Down Att	222	224.81	-2.81	#21
3rd Down Made	67	87.13	-20.13	#31
4th Down Att	25	24.97	+0.03	#15
4th Down Made	9	12.88	-3.88	#25
Red Zone Att	36	52.94	-16.94	#32
Red Zone Scores	21	29.09	-8.09	#28


Drives	203	188.09	+14.91	#29
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.90	-0.30	#5
Yds / Drive	25.20	30.03	-4.83	#3
Points / Drive	1.60	1.88	-0.28	#6
Score %	31.50	35.59	-4.09	#4
Turnover %	7.90	11.57	-3.67	#30


Rush Att	480	456.44	+23.56	#25
Rush Yds	1584	1,915.22	-331.22	#4
Rush Y/A	3.30	4.20	-0.90	#1
Rush TD	14	14.69	-0.69	#12
EXP Pts Rush	62.77	5.27	+57.50	#1


2019	35.5	169.6	+205.0
2020	55.9	-113.1	-57.2
2021	117.4	35.5	+153.0
2022	-25.8	55.4	+29.5
2023	-157.6	25.4	-132.1

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East