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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

-32.52

#27

Def EXP

6.86

#11

Net EXP

-25.66

Record

7-10

Pythag 7.0 (-0.0)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

−4.98

#27

SoS Rank

#32

pts: −1.9 (#30)

#32

Pts / Game

18.9

Home 24.0 · Road 14.3

#26

Net Pts / G

−3.1

#23

Pts Allowed / G

21.9

Home 20.3 · Road 23.4

#18

Yds / Play

5.20

#15

Yds/Play Allowed

5.00

3rd Down %

40.0%

#13

3rd Down % Allowed

33.8%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	321	370.06	-49.06	#26
Total Yards	5683	5,636.94	+46.06	#17
Yds / Play	5.20	5.25	-0.05	#15
1st Downs	326	327.44	-1.44	#17
Turnovers	28	22.94	+5.06	#26
Fumbles Lost	11	9.50	+1.50	#23
EXP Pts	-32.52	27.68	-60.20	#27

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	373	370.06	+2.94	#18
Total Yards	5458	5,636.94	-178.94	#11
Yds / Play	5	5.24	-0.24	#9
1st Downs	320	327.44	-7.44	#14
Turnovers	16	22.94	-6.94	#29
Fumbles Lost	8	9.50	-1.50	#23
EXP Pts	6.86	-27.68	+34.54	#11

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 321 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	530	572.34	-42.34	#25
Pass Cmp	327	369	-42	#29
Cmp %	61.70	64.46	-2.76	#28
Pass Yds	3524	3,721.72	-197.72	#22
Yds / Att	6.60	6.52	+0.08	#15
Yds / Cmp	10.80	10.08	+0.72	#6
Adj Y/A	5.80	6.29	-0.49	#22
Adj NY/A	5.40	5.84	-0.44	#22
Pass TD	17	23.56	-6.56	#26
TD %	3.20	4.12	-0.92	#25
Pass Int	17	13.44	+3.56	#26
Int %	3.20	2.35	+0.85	#29
Sack %	7	7.17	-0.17	#20
Pass Rating	78.50	86.88	-8.38	#27
EXP Pts Pass	7.53	41.96	-34.43	#23

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	549	572.34	-23.34	#26
Pass Cmp	340	369	-29	#7
Cmp %	61.90	64.44	-2.54	#9
Pass Yds	3449	3,721.72	-272.72	#8
Yds / Att	6.80	7.03	-0.23	#11
Yds / Cmp	10.90	10.89	+0.01	#17
Adj Y/A	7	6.79	+0.21	#20
Adj NY/A	6	5.82	+0.18	#19
Pass TD	24	23.56	+0.44	#23
TD %	4.40	4.12	+0.28	#25
Pass Int	8	13.44	-5.44	#27
Int %	1.50	2.35	-0.85	#26
Sack %	7.10	7.14	-0.04	#19
Pass Rating	90.30	88.94	+1.36	#19
EXP Pts Pass	-47.91	-41.96	-5.95	#17

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

86.0%

#15 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#15 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#1 of 32

Return Yards

475

#30 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

86.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	10	0	100.0%
40-49	9	2	81.8%
50-59	3	3	50.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2920222323242424252529(10)

30–3930333335363738393939(10)

40–49414142434747484949(9)

50–59515254(3)

Missed FG distances

40–494247(2)

50–59505052(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3937(1)

50–5951(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

239

Punt avg

7.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

236

Kickoff avg

16.9

Total return yds

475

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3523

Gross avg

Net yards

3083

Net avg

41.1

Long

66 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

36.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

353

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2023.

#18 of 32

#25 of 32

#31 of 32

#2 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-43.0

#22 of 32

Rush EPA

-64.3

#27 of 32

Recv EPA

+34.0

#24 of 32

CPOE

-3.30

#27 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,345

#16 of 32

Pass YAC

1,769

#25 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,345

#16 of 32

Recv YAC

1,769

#25 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#5 of 32

Penalty Yds

743

#11 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#22 of 32

Yds / Game

43.7

#11 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Pass Yds	2699	3524	825
Pass Yds	2699	3524	825
Punt Yds	2845	3523	678

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L at NO · 17–48

ATL failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2023.

Cmp %

61.7%

#28

Pass Yds/G

207.3

#22

Pass Rating

78.5

#27

Pass TD

#26

Pass Int

#26

Sack Rate

7.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	5-12	29.4%	7-10	41.2%	-3.1	-3.6	19	+16.0
Home	8	5-3	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	+3.8	+1.7	19	+16.0
Away	9	2-7	2-7	22.2%	4-5	44.4%	-9.1	-8.4	5	+6.0
As favorite	11	5-6	3-8	27.3%	5-6	45.5%	+1.5	-1.0	19	+16.0
As underdog	6	2-4	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	-11.5	-8.5	9	+11.0
Division games	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	2-4	33.3%	-1.8	-1.8	14	+11.0
Non-division	11	4-7	2-9	18.2%	5-6	45.5%	-3.7	-4.7	19	+16.0
Pick-em (≤3)	13	6-7	4-9	30.8%	5-8	38.5%	-1.2	-2.0	19	+16.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+5.5	+2.0	14	+10.5
Small underdog (3-7)	2	0-2	0-2	—	1-1	—	-23.5	-20.0	—	-12.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+6.0	+2.8
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-0.5	+0.2
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-11.0	-8.2
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+1.0	-2.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-11.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-12.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+2.0	-0.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-9.5
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-7.5
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-6.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-2.0	-4.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+3.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+19.0	+16.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-20.0	-17.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Oct	5	2-3	1-4	1-4	20%
Nov	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Dec	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sun	17	7-10	5-12	7-10	29%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	2-7	3-6	22%
Second half (W10+)	8	3-5	3-5	4-4	38%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%
Turf	9	4-5	3-6	3-6	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	3-3	2-4	50%
Same conference	6	1-5	0-6	4-2	0%
Inter-conference	5	3-2	2-3	1-4	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Indoor	12	5-7	3-9	5-7	25%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Indoor	12	5-7	3-9	5-7	25%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	L	2
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	2-5	1-6	4-3	14%
After a loss	9	4-5	3-6	3-6	33%
On 2+ winning streak	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	4	3-1	2-2	1-3	50%
vs winning opp.	3	3-0	2-1	1-2	67%
vs losing opp.	8	1-7	1-7	4-4	12%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	2-4	2-4	2-4	33%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Retractable (open)	3	2-1	0-3	2-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	6	3-3	3-3	2-4	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	3-5	3-5	38%
Domestic road	8	2-6	2-6	4-4	25%
International	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	3-5	3-5	38%
Short (<500)	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Long (1500+)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Standard (5-7d)	15	5-10	3-12	7-8	20%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 1-45 G

NovATS 1-23 G

DecATS 2-35 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

SunATS 5-1217 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-79 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-58 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-45 G

TurfATS 3-69 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 0-66 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-46 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (open)ATS 0-33 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 3-36 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 2-68 G

InternationalATS 0-11 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-34 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-23 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-22 G

By rest days

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-1215 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-11 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-57 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-23 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-46 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.1 ptsBias -3.6 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.429 #32	18.9	21.9	-32.52	6.86
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	2-15	0.522 #9	13.9	24.5	-135.03	-56.65
New Orleans Saints (NO)	9-8	0.433 #31	23.6	19.2	46.88	35.39
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	9-8	0.481 #24	20.5	19.1	34.88	-23.20

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg wr separation allowed (1st of 32), defensive yac over expected allowed (1st of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive stuffed rate forced (31st of 32), defensive avg time to pressure (30th of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (29th of 32).


Drives	196	188.09	+7.91	#7
Plays / Drive	5.80	5.90	-0.10	#18
Yds / Drive	28.80	30.04	-1.24	#21
Points / Drive	1.60	1.89	-0.29	#27
Score %	32.10	35.66	-3.56	#25
Turnover %	14.30	11.54	+2.76	#25


Rush Att	522	456.44	+65.56	#3
Rush Yds	2159	1,915.22	+243.78	#9
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.18	-0.08	#16
Rush TD	14	14.69	-0.69	#15
EXP Pts Rush	-36.48	-5.27	-31.21	#25


3rd Down Att	225	224.81	+0.19	#16
3rd Down Made	90	87.13	+2.88	#12
4th Down Att	19	24.97	-5.97	#25
4th Down Made	8	12.88	-4.88	#28
Red Zone Att	47	52.94	-5.94	#24
Red Zone Scores	22	29.09	-7.09	#26


Drives	195	188.09	+6.91	#26
Plays / Drive	5.80	5.90	-0.10	#16
Yds / Drive	28	30.03	-2.03	#7
Points / Drive	1.86	1.88	-0.02	#16
Score %	37.90	35.59	+2.31	#23
Turnover %	8.20	11.57	-3.37	#28


Rush Att	499	456.44	+42.56	#27
Rush Yds	2009	1,915.22	+93.78	#20
Rush Y/A	4	4.20	-0.20	#9
Rush TD	11	14.69	-3.69	#9
EXP Pts Rush	46.27	5.27	+41.00	#2


2019	95.5	-98.3	-2.8
2020	129.8	-148.6	-18.8
2021	-18.4	-136.7	-155.1
2022	73.7	-123.5	-49.8
2023	-32.5	6.9	-25.7

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South