The insights diary
Every insight the site has written, newest first — what each matchup looked like beforehand, what happened after, and how the numbers moved.
This season, as it happened
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (3rd) against WAS's defense (32nd) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; WAS's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks 1st in touchdown rate per pass; WAS's defense ranks 30th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 1st in sack rate (taken); WAS's defense ranks 27th against it.
- WAS's offense ranks 6th in average drive start (yards to go); SF's defense ranks 24th against it.
- WAS's offense ranks 4th in interception rate (thrown); SF's defense ranks 21st against it.
- WAS's offense ranks 4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; SF's defense ranks 17th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: WAS (1 win, 3 losses, 1 tie) at SF (5 wins, 0 losses), on a 5-game winning streak.
- WAS: tackles for loss 13.0 over the last four weeks, up from 10.0 — 1st to 29th in the league.
- SF: average drive start (yards to go) 194.5 over the last four weeks, up from 65.6 — 32nd to 6th in the league.
- Head-to-head: SF leads WAS 3–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jayden Daniels for WAS, Brock Purdy for SF.
- Biggest mismatch: DAL's offense (1st) against GB's defense (T-25th) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- DAL's offense ranks 1st in red-zone scoring rate; GB's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- GB's offense ranks 8th in net yards per pass attempt; DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- GB's offense ranks 3rd in yards per completion; DAL's defense ranks 27th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 4th in third-down conversion rate; GB's defense ranks 28th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 7th in rushing touchdowns; GB's defense ranks 31st against it.
- GB's offense ranks 12th in expected points added passing; DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: DAL (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at GB (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- DAL: forced fumbles 2.0 over the last four weeks, down from 4.0 — 2nd to 27th in the league.
- GB: yards after catch allowed 549.0 over the last four weeks, up from 46.0 — 1st to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: GB leads DAL 2–0–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Dak Prescott for DAL, Jordan Love for GB.
- DAL enters on 10 days rest to GB's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: BUF's offense (2nd) against LV's defense (31st) in yards per carry.
The mismatch
- BUF's offense ranks 2nd in yards per carry; LV's defense ranks 31st against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in yards per completion; LV's defense ranks 29th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in yards per play; LV's defense ranks 29th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 5th in passing first downs; BUF's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LV's offense ranks 5th in touchdown rate per pass; BUF's defense ranks 26th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 8th in expected points added passing; BUF's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: BUF (4 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at LV (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- BUF: share of drives ending in a turnover 21.4 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- LV: touchdown rate per pass allowed 8.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 31st in the league.
- Head-to-head: BUF leads LV 2–0 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Josh Allen for BUF, Kirk Cousins for LV.
- LV enters on 7 days rest to BUF's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: KC's offense (2nd) against LAC's defense (23rd) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- KC's offense ranks 2nd in average drive start (yards to go); LAC's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- KC's offense ranks 2nd in yards per completion; LAC's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- KC's offense ranks T-10th in rushing touchdowns; LAC's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 27th in average drive start (yards to go); KC's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LAC's offense ranks T-8th in red-zone scoring rate; KC's defense ranks 12th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 31st in sack rate (taken); KC's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: LAC (0 wins, 5 losses), on a 5-game losing streak at KC (4 wins, 0 losses), on a 4-game winning streak.
- LAC: forced fumbles 8.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 27th to 2nd in the league.
- KC: average drive start (yards to go) 145.4 over the last four weeks, up from 60.1 — 28th to 1st in the league.
- Head-to-head: KC leads LAC 11–5 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Justin Herbert for LAC, Patrick Mahomes for KC.
- KC enters on 14 days rest to LAC's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: ARI's offense (T-3rd) against LAR's defense (T-28th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- ARI's offense ranks T-3rd in fumbles lost; LAR's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 3rd in yards per drive; ARI's defense ranks 26th against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 9th in net yards per pass attempt; ARI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 6th in yards per play; ARI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 13th in average drive start (yards to go); LAR's defense ranks 25th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 11th in sack rate (taken); LAR's defense ranks 23rd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: ARI (1 win, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak at LAR (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- ARI: share of opponent drives ending in a score 54.5 over the last four weeks, up from 20.0 — 4th to 31st in the league.
- LAR: opponents' average drive start (yards to go) 180.4 over the last four weeks, up from 65.6 — 1st to 30th in the league.
- Head-to-head: LAR leads ARI 13–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jacoby Brissett for ARI, Matthew Stafford for LAR.
- ARI enters on 7 days rest to LAR's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (1st) against TB's defense (31st) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 1st in yards after catch; TB's defense ranks 31st against it.
- TB's offense ranks 6th in yards after catch; PIT's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- TB's offense ranks 5th in yards per carry; PIT's defense ranks 17th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 11th in rushing first downs; PIT's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks T-14th in fourth-down conversion rate; TB's defense ranks T-22nd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 21st in sack rate (taken); TB's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: PIT (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at TB (1 win, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- PIT: expected points added rushing 11.3 over the last four weeks, up from -4.5 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- TB: fumbles lost 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 4.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads TB 2–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Aaron Rodgers for PIT, Jalon Daniels for TB.
- TB enters on 10 days rest to PIT's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: CAR's offense (T-3rd) against PHI's defense (T-31st) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- CAR's offense ranks T-3rd in fumbles lost; PHI's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 5th in expected points added passing; PHI's defense ranks 26th against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 5th in yards per completion; PHI's defense ranks 25th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 20th in average drive start (yards to go); CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 21st in yards per carry; CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 19th in red-zone scoring rate; CAR's defense ranks T-29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: CAR (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at PHI (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- CAR: points per drive allowed 1.4 over the last four weeks, down from 4.2 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- PHI: yards per play 4.2 over the last four weeks, down from 6.2 — 7th to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: PHI leads CAR 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bryce Young for CAR, Jalen Hurts for PHI.
- CAR enters on 14 days rest to PHI's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: NO's offense (2nd) against NYG's defense (T-25th) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- NO's offense ranks 2nd in red-zone scoring rate; NYG's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 8th in third-down conversion rate; NO's defense ranks 29th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 7th in third-down conversion rate; NYG's defense ranks 27th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks T-12th in rushing first downs; NO's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- NO's offense ranks 6th in passing first downs; NYG's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 15th in share of drives ending in a score; NO's defense ranks 31st against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: NO (1 win, 4 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at NYG (3 wins, 1 loss, 1 tie).
- NO: passes defended 8.0 over the last four weeks, up from 5.0 — 10th to 31st in the league.
- NYG: completion rate 57.2 over the last four weeks, down from 79.3 — 2nd to 31st in the league.
- Head-to-head: NO leads NYG 4–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Tyler Shough for NO, Jameis Winston for NYG.
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (4th) against NE's defense (24th) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks 4th in completion rate; NE's defense ranks 24th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-3rd in fourth-down conversion rate; NE's defense ranks 21st against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); NE's defense ranks 18th against it.
- NE's offense ranks T-6th in rushing first downs; NYJ's defense ranks T-16th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 2nd in fourth-down conversion rate; NYJ's defense ranks T-6th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 15th in yards per carry; NYJ's defense ranks 19th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: NYJ (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at NE (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- NYJ: sack rate (taken) 10.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 32nd in the league.
- NE: yards per completion 13.2 over the last four weeks, up from 7.3 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: NE leads NYJ 14–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Geno Smith for NYJ, Drake Maye for NE.
- Biggest mismatch: IND's offense (T-8th) against TEN's defense (T-30th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- IND's offense ranks T-8th in fourth-down conversion rate; TEN's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 4th in share of drives ending in a score; TEN's defense ranks 25th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 5th in rushing first downs; TEN's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; IND's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 16th in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks 30th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 20th in expected points added rushing; IND's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: TEN (0 wins, 5 losses), on a 5-game losing streak at IND (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- TEN: opponents' penalty yards 349.0 over the last four weeks, up from 48.0 — 21st to 1st in the league.
- IND: passes defended 24.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: IND leads TEN 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Cam Ward for TEN, Daniel Jones for IND.
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (3rd) against CLE's defense (28th) in expected points added rushing.
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added rushing; CLE's defense ranks 28th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing first downs; CLE's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 4th in yards per carry; CLE's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 7th in interception rate (thrown); BAL's defense ranks 20th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 19th in expected points added passing; BAL's defense ranks 21st against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 18th in completion rate; BAL's defense ranks 20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: BAL (4 wins, 1 loss), on a 3-game winning streak at CLE (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- BAL: red-zone scoring rate allowed 47.1 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 29th to 4th in the league.
- CLE: expected points added by the pass defense 30.9 over the last four weeks, up from -19.0 — 31st to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads CLE 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Lamar Jackson for BAL, Deshaun Watson for CLE.
- Biggest mismatch: ATL's offense (7th) against CHI's defense (31st) in yards per completion.
The mismatch
- ATL's offense ranks 7th in yards per completion; CHI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 9th in yards per play; CHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 11th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- CHI's offense ranks T-10th in passing first downs; ATL's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 15th in sack rate (taken); ATL's defense ranks 24th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 12th in yards after catch; ATL's defense ranks T-20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: CHI (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at ATL (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- CHI: penalties 20.0 over the last four weeks, up from 12.0 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- ATL: third-down conversion rate 47.9 over the last four weeks, up from 16.7 — 31st to 5th in the league.
- Head-to-head: CHI leads ATL 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Tyson Bagent for CHI, Michael Penix Jr. for ATL.
- Biggest mismatch: JAX's offense (7th) against HOU's defense (27th) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- JAX's offense ranks 7th in completion rate; HOU's defense ranks 27th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 7th in share of drives ending in a turnover; HOU's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks 11th in yards per completion; JAX's defense ranks 28th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-10th in passing first downs; JAX's defense ranks 27th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks T-8th in share of drives ending in a score; HOU's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- HOU's offense ranks 14th in yards per drive; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: HOU (1 win, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at JAX (4 wins, 1 loss), on a 3-game winning streak.
- HOU: fourth-down conversion rate 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 5th to 32nd in the league.
- JAX: sack rate 3.0 over the last four weeks, down from 15.6 — 1st to 30th in the league.
- Head-to-head: HOU leads JAX 13–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: C.J. Stroud for HOU, Trevor Lawrence for JAX.
- Biggest mismatch: DEN's offense (12th) against SEA's defense (T-30th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- DEN's offense ranks 12th in fourth-down conversion rate; SEA's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 2nd in touchdown rate per pass; DEN's defense ranks 16th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 10th in yards per completion; DEN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-8th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-19th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-13th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- SEA's offense ranks T-20th in rushing first downs; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: SEA (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at DEN (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- SEA: fourth-down conversion rate 20.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- DEN: sack rate (taken) 1.4 over the last four weeks, down from 11.1 — 29th to 1st in the league.
- Head-to-head: SEA leads DEN 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Drew Lock for SEA, Bo Nix for DEN.
- Entering Week 6:
- SF: average drive start (yards to go) 194.5 over the last four weeks, up from 65.6 — 32nd to 6th in the league.
- WAS: tackles for loss 13.0 over the last four weeks, up from 10.0 — 1st to 29th in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- LV: touchdown rate per pass allowed 8.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 31st in the league.
- BUF: share of drives ending in a turnover 21.4 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- KC: average drive start (yards to go) 145.4 over the last four weeks, up from 60.1 — 28th to 1st in the league.
- LAC: forced fumbles 8.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 27th to 2nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- LAR: opponents' average drive start (yards to go) 180.4 over the last four weeks, up from 65.6 — 1st to 30th in the league.
- ARI: share of opponent drives ending in a score 54.5 over the last four weeks, up from 20.0 — 4th to 31st in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- TB: fumbles lost 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 4.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- PIT: expected points added rushing 11.3 over the last four weeks, up from -4.5 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- ATL: third-down conversion rate 47.9 over the last four weeks, up from 16.7 — 31st to 5th in the league.
- CHI: penalties 20.0 over the last four weeks, up from 12.0 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- GB: yards after catch allowed 549.0 over the last four weeks, up from 46.0 — 1st to 32nd in the league.
- DAL: forced fumbles 2.0 over the last four weeks, down from 4.0 — 2nd to 27th in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- PHI: yards per play 4.2 over the last four weeks, down from 6.2 — 7th to 32nd in the league.
- CAR: points per drive allowed 1.4 over the last four weeks, down from 4.2 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- NYG: completion rate 57.2 over the last four weeks, down from 79.3 — 2nd to 31st in the league.
- NO: passes defended 8.0 over the last four weeks, up from 5.0 — 10th to 31st in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- NE: yards per completion 13.2 over the last four weeks, up from 7.3 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- NYJ: sack rate (taken) 10.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 32nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- IND: passes defended 24.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- TEN: opponents' penalty yards 349.0 over the last four weeks, up from 48.0 — 21st to 1st in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- CLE: expected points added by the pass defense 30.9 over the last four weeks, up from -19.0 — 31st to 2nd in the league.
- BAL: red-zone scoring rate allowed 47.1 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 29th to 4th in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- JAX: sack rate 3.0 over the last four weeks, down from 15.6 — 1st to 30th in the league.
- HOU: fourth-down conversion rate 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 5th to 32nd in the league.
- Entering Week 6:
- DEN: sack rate (taken) 1.4 over the last four weeks, down from 11.1 — 29th to 1st in the league.
- SEA: fourth-down conversion rate 20.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- Biggest mismatch: LAR's offense (T-6th) against BUF's defense (31st) in passing first downs.
The mismatch
- LAR's offense ranks T-6th in passing first downs; BUF's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 8th in yards per drive; BUF's defense ranks 28th against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 7th in yards per completion; BUF's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in expected points added rushing; LAR's defense ranks 13th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 3rd in yards per carry; LAR's defense ranks 12th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 15th in average drive start (yards to go); LAR's defense ranks 23rd against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: BUF (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at LAR (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: BUF leads LAR 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Josh Allen for BUF, Matthew Stafford for LAR.
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (7th) against ATL's defense (31st) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks 7th in interception rate (thrown); ATL's defense ranks 31st against it.
- ATL's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing touchdowns; BAL's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 1st in rushing first downs; BAL's defense ranks 24th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added rushing; BAL's defense ranks 16th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks T-4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; ATL's defense ranks T-17th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 16th in average drive start (yards to go); ATL's defense ranks 27th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: BAL (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak at ATL (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads ATL 2–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Lamar Jackson for BAL, Michael Penix Jr. for ATL.
- BAL enters on 7 days rest to ATL's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: SEA's offense (7th) against SF's defense (30th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- SEA's offense ranks 7th in yards after catch; SF's defense ranks 30th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 1st in touchdown rate per pass; SEA's defense ranks T-18th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 5th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 11th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 26th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; SF's defense ranks 27th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: SF (4 wins, 0 losses), on a 4-game winning streak at SEA (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 8–8 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Brock Purdy for SF, Drew Lock for SEA.
- Biggest mismatch: DET's offense (2nd) against ARI's defense (30th) in expected points added passing.
The mismatch
- DET's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added passing; ARI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 4th in points per drive; ARI's defense ranks 29th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 4th in red-zone scoring rate; ARI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-5th in fourth-down conversion rate; DET's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-12th in passing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 10th in completion rate; DET's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: DET (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at ARI (1 win, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: DET leads ARI 4–0–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jared Goff for DET, Jacoby Brissett for ARI.
- Biggest mismatch: LAC's offense (T-13th) against DEN's defense (30th) in rushing first downs.
The mismatch
- LAC's offense ranks T-13th in rushing first downs; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 12th in yards per carry; DEN's defense ranks 26th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 16th in yards per completion; DEN's defense ranks 26th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 21st in net yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 25th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 5th in sack rate (taken); LAC's defense ranks T-8th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-16th in fourth-down conversion rate; LAC's defense ranks T-21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: DEN (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at LAC (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: DEN leads LAC 9–7 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bo Nix for DEN, Justin Herbert for LAC.
- Biggest mismatch: CHI's offense (2nd) against GB's defense (T-29th) in rushing touchdowns.
The mismatch
- CHI's offense ranks 2nd in rushing touchdowns; GB's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 3rd in rushing first downs; GB's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 6th in third-down conversion rate; GB's defense ranks 30th against it.
- GB's offense ranks 8th in yards per completion; CHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- GB's offense ranks 16th in yards per play; CHI's defense ranks 25th against it.
- GB's offense ranks 13th in average drive start (yards to go); CHI's defense ranks 21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: CHI (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak at GB (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: GB leads CHI 13–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Tyson Bagent for CHI, Jordan Love for GB.
- Biggest mismatch: WAS's offense (3rd) against NYG's defense (31st) in sack rate (taken).
The mismatch
- WAS's offense ranks 3rd in sack rate (taken); NYG's defense ranks 31st against it.
- WAS's offense ranks 7th in touchdown rate per pass; NYG's defense ranks 28th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 11th in touchdown rate per pass; WAS's defense ranks 31st against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 10th in third-down conversion rate; WAS's defense ranks 24th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 19th in red-zone scoring rate; WAS's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- WAS's offense ranks T-14th in red-zone scoring rate; NYG's defense ranks T-26th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: NYG (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak at WAS (1 win, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: NYG leads WAS 8–7–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jameis Winston for NYG, Jayden Daniels for WAS.
- Biggest mismatch: HOU's offense (T-4th) against TEN's defense (29th) in share of drives ending in a turnover.
The mismatch
- HOU's offense ranks T-4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; TEN's defense ranks 29th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); TEN's defense ranks 20th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 12th in interception rate (thrown); HOU's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 11th in share of drives ending in a turnover; HOU's defense ranks 26th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks 13th in yards per pass attempt; TEN's defense ranks 27th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks T-15th in rushing touchdowns; HOU's defense ranks T-24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: HOU (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak at TEN (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: HOU leads TEN 9–7 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: C.J. Stroud for HOU, Cam Ward for TEN.
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (2nd) against IND's defense (29th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 2nd in yards after catch; IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-2nd in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; PIT's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 9th in yards per carry; IND's defense ranks 28th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 5th in rushing first downs; PIT's defense ranks T-20th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 14th in expected points added rushing; IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: IND (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at PIT (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads IND 4–2 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Aaron Rodgers for PIT.
- PIT enters on 10 days rest to IND's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (T-4th) against CLE's defense (T-27th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; CLE's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 2nd in share of drives ending in a turnover; CLE's defense ranks T-20th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 6th in completion rate; NYJ's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 4th in yards after catch; NYJ's defense ranks 18th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 13th in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); CLE's defense ranks 11th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: CLE (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 3-game winning streak at NYJ (1 win, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 3–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Deshaun Watson for CLE, Geno Smith for NYJ.
- CLE enters on 10 days rest to NYJ's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: MIN's offense (10th) against NO's defense (T-31st) in share of drives ending in a turnover.
The mismatch
- MIN's offense ranks 10th in share of drives ending in a turnover; NO's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- MIN's offense ranks T-14th in share of drives ending in a score; NO's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; NO's defense ranks T-12th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 15th in yards after catch; MIN's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 10th in average drive start (yards to go); MIN's defense ranks 15th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 4th in fourth-down conversion rate; MIN's defense ranks 8th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: MIN (4 wins, 0 losses), on a 4-game winning streak at NO (1 win, 3 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kyler Murray for MIN, Tyler Shough for NO.
- MIN enters on 7 days rest to NO's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: LV's offense (T-10th) against NE's defense (T-27th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- LV's offense ranks T-10th in fourth-down conversion rate; NE's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 2nd in sack rate (taken); NE's defense ranks 19th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 18th in yards per carry; LV's defense ranks 31st against it.
- NE's offense ranks 12th in yards per completion; LV's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- NE's offense ranks 9th in rushing first downs; LV's defense ranks 17th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 4th in touchdown rate per pass; NE's defense ranks T-11th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: LV (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at NE (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: LV leads NE 3–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kirk Cousins for LV, Drake Maye for NE.
- Biggest mismatch: CIN's offense (3rd) against MIA's defense (32nd) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- CIN's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; MIA's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 6th in yards per drive; MIA's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 5th in passing first downs; MIA's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 6th in average drive start (yards to go); CIN's defense ranks 25th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 11th in yards per completion; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 11th in yards per carry; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: CIN (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at MIA (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: CIN leads MIA 3–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Joe Burrow for CIN, Malik Willis for MIA.
- Biggest mismatch: JAX's offense (T-1st) against PHI's defense (T-27th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- JAX's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; PHI's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 7th in share of drives ending in a turnover; PHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 5th in expected points added rushing; PHI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 8th in average drive start (yards to go); JAX's defense ranks 19th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; JAX's defense ranks T-12th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 26th in yards per completion; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: PHI (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at JAX (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: PHI leads JAX 3–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jalen Hurts for PHI, Trevor Lawrence for JAX.
- Biggest mismatch: DAL's offense (2nd) against TB's defense (26th) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- DAL's offense ranks 2nd in average drive start (yards to go); TB's defense ranks 26th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 5th in completion rate; TB's defense ranks 29th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 11th in average drive start (yards to go); DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- TB's offense ranks 8th in yards per carry; DAL's defense ranks 27th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 6th in sack rate (taken); TB's defense ranks 24th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 16th in completion rate; DAL's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: TB (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak at DAL (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jalon Daniels for TB, Dak Prescott for DAL.
- Biggest mismatch: ATL's offense (2nd) against NO's defense (T-27th) in rushing first downs.
The mismatch
- ATL's offense ranks 2nd in rushing first downs; NO's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 1st in passing first downs; ATL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 7th in yards per carry; NO's defense ranks 27th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks T-7th in rushing touchdowns; NO's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 11th in yards after catch; ATL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 19th in interception rate (thrown); ATL's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: ATL (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at NO (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: NO leads ATL 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Michael Penix Jr. for ATL, Tyler Shough for NO.
- ATL enters on 11 days rest to NO's 8.
- Biggest mismatch: DET's offense (1st) against CAR's defense (32nd) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- DET's offense ranks 1st in red-zone scoring rate; CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 2nd in passing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- DET's offense ranks T-4th in rushing touchdowns; CAR's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- DET's offense ranks 9th in yards per carry; CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 10th in points per drive; DET's defense ranks 31st against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 12th in yards per drive; DET's defense ranks 31st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DET (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at CAR (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jared Goff for DET, Bryce Young for CAR.
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (1st) against DEN's defense (27th) in third-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 1st in third-down conversion rate; DEN's defense ranks 27th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 6th in expected points added rushing; DEN's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks 4th in yards per carry; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 9th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 20th in average drive start (yards to go); SF's defense ranks 31st against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 17th in yards after catch; SF's defense ranks T-20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DEN (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak at SF (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bo Nix for DEN, Brock Purdy for SF.
- Biggest mismatch: SEA's offense (3rd) against LAC's defense (26th) in net yards per pass attempt.
The mismatch
- SEA's offense ranks 3rd in net yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 26th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 4th in yards per pass attempt; LAC's defense ranks 27th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 4th in completion rate; LAC's defense ranks 26th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 10th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: LAC (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at SEA (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Justin Herbert for LAC, Drew Lock for SEA.
- Biggest mismatch: KC's offense (1st) against LV's defense (22nd) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- KC's offense ranks 1st in yards after catch; LV's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- LV's offense ranks 10th in sack rate (taken); KC's defense ranks 28th against it.
- KC's offense ranks 6th in yards per carry; LV's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- KC's offense ranks 6th in touchdown rate per pass; LV's defense ranks 20th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 11th in average drive start (yards to go); KC's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- LV's offense ranks 10th in third-down conversion rate; KC's defense ranks T-13th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: KC (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak at LV (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: KC leads LV 13–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Patrick Mahomes for KC, Kirk Cousins for LV.
- Biggest mismatch: MIN's offense (T-1st) against MIA's defense (T-24th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- MIN's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; MIA's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 8th in yards per completion; MIN's defense ranks 28th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks 17th in points per drive; MIA's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- MIN's offense ranks 15th in touchdown rate per pass; MIA's defense ranks 30th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 16th in yards after catch; MIN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 9th in average drive start (yards to go); MIN's defense ranks 13th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: MIA (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at MIN (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: MIN leads MIA 2–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Malik Willis for MIA, Kyler Murray for MIN.
- Biggest mismatch: GB's offense (5th) against TB's defense (29th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- GB's offense ranks 5th in yards after catch; TB's defense ranks 29th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 8th in yards after catch; GB's defense ranks 28th against it.
- TB's offense ranks T-13th in rushing touchdowns; GB's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- GB's offense ranks 13th in average drive start (yards to go); TB's defense ranks 27th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 10th in yards per carry; GB's defense ranks 17th against it.
- GB's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; TB's defense ranks T-24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: GB (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at TB (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: TB leads GB 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jordan Love for GB, Baker Mayfield for TB.
- GB enters on 10 days rest to TB's 7.
- Biggest mismatch: LAR's offense (7th) against PHI's defense (27th) in sack rate (taken).
The mismatch
- LAR's offense ranks 7th in sack rate (taken); PHI's defense ranks 27th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks T-5th in fumbles lost; LAR's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 6th in net yards per pass attempt; PHI's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 4th in yards per drive; PHI's defense ranks 19th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 10th in expected points added rushing; LAR's defense ranks 24th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks T-8th in third-down conversion rate; LAR's defense ranks T-21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: LAR (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at PHI (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: PHI leads LAR 4–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Matthew Stafford for LAR, Jalen Hurts for PHI.
- LAR enters on 7 days rest to PHI's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: ARI's offense (6th) against NYG's defense (31st) in sack rate (taken).
The mismatch
- ARI's offense ranks 6th in sack rate (taken); NYG's defense ranks 31st against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-9th in passing first downs; NYG's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 14th in third-down conversion rate; NYG's defense ranks 30th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 13th in third-down conversion rate; ARI's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NYG's offense ranks T-10th in rushing first downs; ARI's defense ranks T-22nd against it.
- NYG's offense ranks 19th in expected points added passing; ARI's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: ARI (1 win, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at NYG (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: ARI leads NYG 2–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jacoby Brissett for ARI, Jameis Winston for NYG.
- Biggest mismatch: HOU's offense (T-1st) against DAL's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- HOU's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); DAL's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 1st in share of drives ending in a score; HOU's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added; HOU's defense ranks 21st against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; DAL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks 15th in average drive start (yards to go); DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added passing; HOU's defense ranks 19th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DAL (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at HOU (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: HOU leads DAL 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Dak Prescott for DAL, C.J. Stroud for HOU.
- Biggest mismatch: CIN's offense (1st) against JAX's defense (23rd) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- CIN's offense ranks 1st in average drive start (yards to go); JAX's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 4th in third-down conversion rate; CIN's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; JAX's defense ranks 20th against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 13th in yards per pass attempt; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 9th in yards per play; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 10th in yards per drive; CIN's defense ranks 21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: JAX (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at CIN (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: CIN leads JAX 4–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Trevor Lawrence for JAX, Joe Burrow for CIN.
- Biggest mismatch: CHI's offense (8th) against NYJ's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- CHI's offense ranks 8th in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 1st in yards per carry; NYJ's defense ranks 18th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; NYJ's defense ranks 30th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 11th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 25th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-7th in rushing touchdowns; CHI's defense ranks T-18th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 14th in net yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: NYJ (1 win, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at CHI (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Geno Smith for NYJ, Case Keenum for CHI.
- NYJ enters on 7 days rest to CHI's 6.
- Biggest mismatch: BUF's offense (1st) against NE's defense (27th) in expected points added rushing.
The mismatch
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in expected points added rushing; NE's defense ranks 27th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks T-11th in fourth-down conversion rate; NE's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 3rd in yards per carry; NE's defense ranks 19th against it.
- NE's offense ranks T-8th in fourth-down conversion rate; BUF's defense ranks 24th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 9th in yards per pass attempt; BUF's defense ranks 21st against it.
- NE's offense ranks 14th in expected points added rushing; BUF's defense ranks 23rd against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: NE (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at BUF (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 8–8 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Drake Maye for NE, Josh Allen for BUF.
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (7th) against TEN's defense (30th) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks 7th in completion rate; TEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 3rd in rushing first downs; TEN's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 2nd in net yards per pass attempt; TEN's defense ranks 21st against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; BAL's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 9th in interception rate (thrown); BAL's defense ranks 25th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 8th in expected points added rushing; BAL's defense ranks 21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: TEN (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at BAL (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads TEN 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Cam Ward for TEN, Lamar Jackson for BAL.
- Biggest mismatch: WAS's offense (T-1st) against IND's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- WAS's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- WAS's offense ranks T-6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; IND's defense ranks 31st against it.
- WAS's offense ranks 7th in average drive start (yards to go); IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 8th in red-zone scoring rate; WAS's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-9th in share of drives ending in a score; WAS's defense ranks 28th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-13th in completion rate; WAS's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: IND (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at WAS (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Jayden Daniels for WAS.
- Biggest mismatch: CLE's offense (6th) against PIT's defense (19th) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- CLE's offense ranks 6th in average drive start (yards to go); PIT's defense ranks 19th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks T-14th in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 11th in completion rate; PIT's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 11th in yards per carry; CLE's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 2nd in yards after catch; CLE's defense ranks 8th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks T-21st in share of drives ending in a turnover; CLE's defense ranks 27th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: PIT (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at CLE (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads CLE 9–6–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Aaron Rodgers for PIT, Deshaun Watson for CLE.
- Biggest mismatch: CHI's offense (1st) against PHI's defense (T-23rd) in rushing touchdowns.
The mismatch
- CHI's offense ranks 1st in rushing touchdowns; PHI's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 4th in expected points added rushing; PHI's defense ranks 27th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 12th in yards per completion; CHI's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CHI's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing first downs; PHI's defense ranks T-22nd against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 11th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 13th in yards per play; CHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: PHI (2 wins, 0 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at CHI (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: PHI leads CHI 2–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jalen Hurts for PHI, Tyson Bagent for CHI.
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Season background (65 entries)
As of week 5, how the 2026 Washington Commanders rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yards before contact per carry (4th of 32), offensive avg time to throw (6th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (6th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg yards after catch (28th of 32), offensive yac over expected (28th of 32), and defensive sack rate (27th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Tennessee Titans rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yac over expected allowed (1st of 32), defensive avg yac allowed (3rd of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (4th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg time to pressure (32nd of 32), offensive epa per pass play (32nd of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (32nd of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Tampa Bay Buccaneers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per pass play (30th of 32), offensive epa per pass play (30th of 32), and offensive sack rate allowed (30th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Seattle Seahawks rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), and defensive pass yards allowed per play (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per rush (31st of 32), offensive epa per rush (31st of 32), and offensive stuffed rate (28th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 San Francisco 49ers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg wr separation allowed (32nd of 32), offensive avg wr separation (30th of 32), and defensive avg yac allowed (28th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Pittsburgh Steelers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg yards after catch (1st of 32), offensive yac over expected (1st of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg wr separation (29th of 32), defensive yac over expected allowed (29th of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (28th of 32). Notably, offensive yac over expected (1st) yet offensive avg wr separation (29th).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Philadelphia Eagles rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg wr separation allowed (2nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (5th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (5th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg yards after catch (32nd of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32), and offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 New York Jets rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive pass yards allowed per play (2nd of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (2nd of 32), and defensive sack rate (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive qb pressure rate faced (31st of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (31st of 32), and offensive sack rate allowed (29th of 32). Notably, defensive sack rate (2nd) yet offensive qb pressure rate faced (31st).
As of week 5, how the 2026 New York Giants rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg time to pressure (1st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (2nd of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yac over expected (32nd of 32), offensive avg yards after catch (31st of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (31st of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 New Orleans Saints rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Weaknesses: offensive ryoe per attempt (30th of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (30th of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 New England Patriots rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32), and defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive stuffed rate forced (31st of 32), offensive yards before contact per carry (31st of 32), and defensive avg yac allowed (27th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Minnesota Vikings rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg opp time to throw (32nd of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (32nd of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Miami Dolphins rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to throw (1st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (1st of 32), and defensive yac over expected allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg wr separation (32nd of 32), defensive sack rate (32nd of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (31st of 32). Notably, defensive yac over expected allowed (2nd) yet offensive avg wr separation (32nd).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Los Angeles Rams rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive stuffed rate (1st of 32), offensive avg yards after catch (2nd of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), offensive avg wr separation (28th of 32), and defensive yac over expected allowed (27th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Los Angeles Chargers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg yac allowed (4th of 32), defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (5th of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per play (32nd of 32), offensive sack rate allowed (31st of 32), and offensive avg yards after catch (30th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Las Vegas Raiders rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive sack rate allowed (5th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive rush yards per carry (32nd of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (32nd of 32), and offensive yards before contact per carry (32nd of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Kansas City Chiefs rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush yards per carry (1st of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (1st of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive sack rate (31st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (29th of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Jacksonville Jaguars rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive rush yards allowed per carry (1st of 32), defensive rush yards allowed per carry (1st of 32), and defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg wr separation (27th of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (27th of 32), and defensive pass yards allowed per play (27th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Indianapolis Colts rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per rush (3rd of 32), offensive epa per rush (3rd of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg yac allowed (32nd of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32). Notably, defensive avg wr separation allowed (5th) yet defensive avg yac allowed (32nd).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Houston Texans rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (2nd of 32), defensive rush yards allowed per carry (3rd of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive rush yards per carry (30th of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (30th of 32), and offensive rush success rate (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Green Bay Packers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg yards after catch (4th of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (4th of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (4th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to pressure (32nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32). Notably, defensive epa per pass play allowed (4th) yet offensive avg time to pressure (32nd).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Detroit Lions rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per pass play (2nd of 32), offensive epa per pass play (2nd of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per play allowed (31st of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (29th of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Denver Broncos rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (1st of 32), defensive avg wr separation allowed (1st of 32), and offensive stuffed rate (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yards after contact per carry (32nd of 32), offensive ryoe per attempt (31st of 32), and defensive yac over expected allowed (30th of 32). Notably, offensive avg wr separation (1st) yet defensive yac over expected allowed (30th).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Dallas Cowboys rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush success rate (2nd of 32), offensive sack rate allowed (2nd of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per pass play allowed (32nd of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (32nd of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Cleveland Browns rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (2nd of 32), defensive sack rate (5th of 32), and defensive qb pressure rate (6th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive rush success rate (32nd of 32), offensive sack rate allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (30th of 32). Notably, defensive qb pressure rate (6th) yet offensive sack rate allowed (32nd).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Cincinnati Bengals rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive stuffed rate forced (1st of 32), defensive sack rate (4th of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (6th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (32nd of 32), defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Chicago Bears rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to pressure (3rd of 32), offensive yards after contact per carry (6th of 32), and offensive rush yards per carry (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive pass yards allowed per play (30th of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (30th of 32), and defensive yards allowed per play (30th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Carolina Panthers rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg yac allowed (1st of 32), defensive yac over expected allowed (3rd of 32), and offensive yards per play (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive rush yards allowed per carry (32nd of 32), defensive rush yards allowed per carry (32nd of 32), and defensive stuffed rate forced (32nd of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Buffalo Bills rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per play (1st of 32), offensive epa per rush (1st of 32), and offensive epa per rush (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg yac allowed (31st of 32), defensive epa per play allowed (30th of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (28th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Baltimore Ravens rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to pressure (1st of 32), offensive yards before contact per carry (1st of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32) and defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (25th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Atlanta Falcons rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to throw (31st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (31st of 32), and offensive yards before contact per carry (29th of 32).
As of week 5, how the 2026 Arizona Cardinals rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg wr separation allowed (3rd of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (5th of 32), and offensive qb pressure rate faced (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive pass yards allowed per play (32nd of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (32nd of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (32nd of 32).
The 2026 season through week 5: San Francisco 49ers, Minnesota Vikings, and Kansas City Chiefs is tied for the league's best record at 5 wins and 0 losses. Buffalo Bills has the highest-scoring offense with 164 points, while Minnesota Vikings has allowed the fewest at 64.
Through week 5, the 2026 Washington Commanders are 1 win and 3 losses with 1 tie. They have scored 115 points and allowed 149, outscored 149 to 115.
Through week 5, the 2026 Tennessee Titans are 0 wins and 5 losses. They have scored 58 points and allowed 109, outscored 109 to 58.
Through week 5, the 2026 Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1 win and 4 losses. They have scored 100 points and allowed 112, outscored 112 to 100.
Through week 5, the 2026 Seattle Seahawks are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 134 points and allowed 105, outscoring opponents 134 to 105.
Through week 5, the 2026 San Francisco 49ers are 5 wins and 0 losses. They have scored 154 points and allowed 93, outscoring opponents 154 to 93.
Through week 5, the 2026 Pittsburgh Steelers are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 111 points and allowed 109, outscoring opponents 111 to 109.
Through week 5, the 2026 Philadelphia Eagles are 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 92 points and allowed 112, outscored 112 to 92.
Through week 5, the 2026 New York Jets are 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 93 points and allowed 96, outscored 96 to 93.
Through week 5, the 2026 New York Giants are 3 wins and 1 loss with 1 tie. They have scored 109 points and allowed 106, outscoring opponents 109 to 106.
Through week 5, the 2026 New Orleans Saints are 1 win and 4 losses. They have scored 118 points and allowed 151, outscored 151 to 118.
Through week 5, the 2026 New England Patriots are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 110 points and allowed 94, outscoring opponents 110 to 94.
Through week 5, the 2026 Minnesota Vikings are 5 wins and 0 losses. They have scored 109 points and allowed 64, outscoring opponents 109 to 64.
Through week 5, the 2026 Miami Dolphins are 0 wins and 5 losses. They have scored 70 points and allowed 132, outscored 132 to 70.
Through week 5, the 2026 Los Angeles Rams are 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 119 points and allowed 120, outscored 120 to 119.
Through week 5, the 2026 Los Angeles Chargers are 0 wins and 5 losses. They have scored 84 points and allowed 129, outscored 129 to 84.
Through week 5, the 2026 Las Vegas Raiders are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 132 points and allowed 129, outscoring opponents 132 to 129.
Through week 5, the 2026 Kansas City Chiefs are 4 wins and 0 losses. They have scored 118 points and allowed 77, outscoring opponents 118 to 77.
Through week 5, the 2026 Jacksonville Jaguars are 4 wins and 1 loss. They have scored 123 points and allowed 70, outscoring opponents 123 to 70.
Through week 5, the 2026 Indianapolis Colts are 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 124 points and allowed 138, outscored 138 to 124.
Through week 5, the 2026 Houston Texans are 1 win and 4 losses. They have scored 110 points and allowed 112, outscored 112 to 110.
Through week 5, the 2026 Green Bay Packers are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 104 points and allowed 112, outscored 112 to 104.
Through week 5, the 2026 Detroit Lions are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 164 points and allowed 148, outscoring opponents 164 to 148.
Through week 5, the 2026 Denver Broncos are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 97 points and allowed 111, outscored 111 to 97.
Through week 5, the 2026 Dallas Cowboys are 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 138 points and allowed 136, outscoring opponents 138 to 136.
Through week 5, the 2026 Cleveland Browns are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 93 points and allowed 112, outscored 112 to 93.
Through week 5, the 2026 Cincinnati Bengals are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 128 points and allowed 109, outscoring opponents 128 to 109.
Through week 5, the 2026 Chicago Bears are 3 wins and 2 losses. They have scored 119 points and allowed 96, outscoring opponents 119 to 96.
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