Offensive: Receiving · Rec EPA
Expected points added by receiving. Situation-aware production.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2023
- League leaderSF 12.40
- League average4.96
- Best to worst16.09
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2023
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
SF · 12.40
League laggard
NE · -3.69
League average
4.96
Spread (max − min)
16.09
All teams — 2023
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 12.40 | 7.43 | 100% |
| 2 | DAL | 10.98 | 6.01 | 96.8% |
| 3 | MIA | 9.64 | 4.67 | 93.5% |
| 4 | DET | 9.29 | 4.32 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BAL | 8.56 | 3.59 | 87.1% |
| 6 | GB | 8.44 | 3.47 | 83.9% |
| 7 | BUF | 8.12 | 3.16 | 80.6% |
| 8 | HOU | 7.80 | 2.84 | 77.4% |
| 9 | PHI | 7.27 | 2.31 | 74.2% |
| 10 | SEA | 7.17 | 2.20 | 71% |
| 11 | LAR | 6.97 | 2.01 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CIN | 6.79 | 1.83 | 64.5% |
| 13 | TB | 6.79 | 1.83 | 61.3% |
| 14 | NO | 6.23 | 1.26 | 58.1% |
| 15 | MIN | 6.18 | 1.21 | 54.8% |
| 16 | LAC | 5.79 | 0.83 | 51.6% |
| 17 | IND | 5.35 | 0.38 | 48.4% |
| 18 | DEN | 5.30 | 0.33 | 45.2% |
| 19 | KC | 5.04 | 0.08 | 41.9% |
| 20 | JAX | 4.50 | -0.47 | 38.7% |
| 21 | TEN | 4.31 | -0.65 | 35.5% |
| 22 | LV | 2.98 | -1.99 | 32.3% |
| 23 | CHI | 2.77 | -2.19 | 29% |
| 24 | ATL | 2.00 | -2.97 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NYG | 1.95 | -3.01 | 22.6% |
| 26 | PIT | 1.83 | -3.13 | 19.4% |
| 27 | WAS | 1.46 | -3.51 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CAR | 0.69 | -4.27 | 12.9% |
| 29 | ARI | -0.57 | -5.53 | 9.7% |
| 30 | CLE | -1.32 | -6.28 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NYJ | -2.16 | -7.13 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NE | -3.69 | -8.65 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
HOU · +9.69
Biggest faller
KC · −8.90
Most consistent
LAC · +0.07
League trend 2023 vs 2022
▼ -0.01
YoY by team — 2023 vs 2022
| Rank | Team | 2023 | 2022 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 7.80 | -1.88 | +9.69 |
| 2 | DAL | 10.98 | 4.29 | +6.69 |
| 3 | BAL | 8.56 | 2.08 | +6.47 |
| 4 | IND | 5.35 | 0.19 | +5.16 |
| 5 | GB | 8.44 | 3.80 | +4.64 |
| 6 | LAR | 6.97 | 2.73 | +4.24 |
| 7 | SF | 12.40 | 8.98 | +3.42 |
| 8 | DEN | 5.30 | 2.79 | +2.51 |
| 9 | CHI | 2.77 | 0.31 | +2.46 |
| 10 | SEA | 7.17 | 5.55 | +1.62 |
| 11 | TB | 6.79 | 5.28 | +1.52 |
| 12 | MIA | 9.64 | 8.20 | +1.44 |
| 13 | NO | 6.23 | 5.00 | +1.23 |
| 14 | TEN | 4.31 | 4.13 | +0.18 |
| 15 | LAC | 5.79 | 5.72 | +0.07 |
| 16 | DET | 9.29 | 9.71 | −0.42 |
| 17 | PHI | 7.27 | 8.06 | −0.79 |
| 18 | CAR | 0.69 | 1.69 | −1.00 |
| 19 | ARI | -0.57 | 0.70 | −1.27 |
| 20 | BUF | 8.12 | 9.51 | −1.39 |
| 21 | ATL | 2.00 | 3.50 | −1.50 |
| 22 | WAS | 1.46 | 3.48 | −2.02 |
| 23 | LV | 2.98 | 5.02 | −2.04 |
| 24 | PIT | 1.83 | 3.96 | −2.13 |
| 25 | MIN | 6.18 | 8.33 | −2.15 |
| 26 | NYG | 1.95 | 5.01 | −3.06 |
| 27 | JAX | 4.50 | 8.49 | −3.99 |
| 28 | CIN | 6.79 | 10.83 | −4.04 |
| 29 | NYJ | -2.16 | 2.13 | −4.29 |
| 30 | CLE | -1.32 | 4.20 | −5.52 |
| 31 | NE | -3.69 | 3.38 | −7.07 |
| 32 | KC | 5.04 | 13.94 | −8.90 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
KC · 10.27
Multi-year laggard
NYJ · 1.42
Biggest improver
DET · +1.32/yr
Biggest decliner
CLE · −1.83/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 10.27 | −1.30 | 11.72 | 14.99 | 11.75 | 13.94 | 5.04 | 8.02 | 6.43 |
| 2 | SF | 9.54 | −0.00 | 10.40 | 8.38 | 9.11 | 8.98 | 12.40 | 8.04 | 9.48 |
| 3 | GB | 9.11 | −0.36 | 8.65 | 14.15 | 10.89 | 3.80 | 8.44 | 7.01 | 10.85 |
| 4 | BUF | 9.09 | +0.27 | 4.40 | 14.23 | 7.68 | 9.51 | 8.12 | 10.15 | 9.51 |
| 5 | DET | 8.77 | +1.32 | 6.05 | 6.71 | 3.93 | 9.71 | 9.29 | 13.87 | 11.83 |
| 6 | TB | 8.07 | −0.67 | 8.70 | 10.46 | 10.96 | 5.28 | 6.79 | 10.61 | 3.73 |
| 7 | MIN | 7.67 | −0.96 | 9.14 | 11.10 | 7.66 | 8.33 | 6.18 | 9.71 | 1.55 |
| 8 | DAL | 7.58 | −0.49 | 11.00 | 5.33 | 11.18 | 4.29 | 10.98 | 0.80 | 9.48 |
| 9 | CIN | 7.56 | +0.61 | 1.86 | 5.59 | 10.87 | 10.83 | 6.79 | 12.98 | 3.96 |
| 10 | SEA | 7.45 | −0.43 | 8.99 | 10.81 | 5.95 | 5.55 | 7.17 | 5.84 | 7.86 |
| 11 | LAC | 7.42 | −0.65 | 8.96 | 8.89 | 9.79 | 5.72 | 5.79 | 7.80 | 4.99 |
| 12 | LAR | 7.39 | +0.30 | 8.01 | 5.54 | 10.74 | 2.73 | 6.97 | 6.05 | 11.69 |
| 13 | BAL | 7.19 | −0.09 | 11.16 | 5.76 | 5.37 | 2.08 | 8.56 | 12.91 | 4.47 |
| 14 | PHI | 6.44 | +0.59 | 5.56 | 2.48 | 6.09 | 8.06 | 7.27 | 9.88 | 5.72 |
| 15 | MIA | 6.19 | +0.47 | 2.93 | 5.68 | 4.69 | 8.20 | 9.64 | 8.30 | 3.91 |
| 16 | HOU | 5.73 | −0.65 | 8.72 | 13.43 | 0.96 | -1.88 | 7.80 | 5.21 | 5.87 |
| 17 | NO | 5.64 | −1.22 | 10.77 | 8.81 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 6.23 | 1.70 | 3.25 |
| 18 | TEN | 5.53 | −1.75 | 10.21 | 10.95 | 6.53 | 4.13 | 4.31 | 1.84 | 0.72 |
| 19 | LV | 5.49 | −1.36 | 9.46 | 8.81 | 6.86 | 5.02 | 2.98 | 4.24 | 1.10 |
| 20 | ATL | 5.46 | −0.94 | 9.88 | 9.59 | 3.27 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 6.13 | 3.84 |
| 21 | ARI | 4.97 | +0.02 | 5.15 | 5.49 | 9.51 | 0.70 | -0.57 | 6.45 | 8.06 |
| 22 | NE | 4.79 | +0.63 | 6.00 | 2.37 | 7.10 | 3.38 | -3.69 | 3.86 | 14.51 |
| 23 | JAX | 4.70 | +0.32 | 4.93 | 3.84 | 0.67 | 8.49 | 4.50 | 4.02 | 6.49 |
| 24 | IND | 4.47 | −0.15 | 3.35 | 8.16 | 5.95 | 0.19 | 5.35 | 2.05 | 6.22 |
| 25 | DEN | 4.30 | +0.53 | 3.78 | 0.46 | 6.72 | 2.79 | 5.30 | 4.48 | 6.56 |
| 26 | WAS | 3.68 | +0.81 | 1.42 | 2.89 | 2.22 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 9.25 | 5.01 |
| 27 | CHI | 3.49 | +0.52 | 3.37 | 3.55 | 2.34 | 0.31 | 2.77 | 4.78 | 7.31 |
| 28 | PIT | 3.28 | +0.73 | -0.14 | 4.91 | 0.70 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 6.31 | 5.38 |
| 29 | NYG | 2.83 | +0.05 | 4.31 | 3.50 | -1.50 | 5.01 | 1.95 | 1.71 | 4.85 |
| 30 | CAR | 2.36 | −0.21 | 4.63 | 5.31 | -1.76 | 1.69 | 0.69 | 1.68 | 4.27 |
| 31 | CLE | 2.36 | −1.83 | 3.72 | 9.90 | 5.26 | 4.20 | -1.32 | -2.21 | -3.06 |
| 32 | NYJ | 1.42 | +0.06 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 1.77 | 2.13 | -2.16 | 5.37 | 0.41 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 10.40 | 8.38 | 9.11 | 8.98 | 12.40 | 8.04 | 9.48 |
| DAL | 11.00 | 5.33 | 11.18 | 4.29 | 10.98 | 0.80 | 9.48 |
| MIA | 2.93 | 5.68 | 4.69 | 8.20 | 9.64 | 8.30 | 3.91 |
| DET | 6.05 | 6.71 | 3.93 | 9.71 | 9.29 | 13.87 | 11.83 |
| BAL | 11.16 | 5.76 | 5.37 | 2.08 | 8.56 | 12.91 | 4.47 |
| GB | 8.65 | 14.15 | 10.89 | 3.80 | 8.44 | 7.01 | 10.85 |
| BUF | 4.40 | 14.23 | 7.68 | 9.51 | 8.12 | 10.15 | 9.51 |
| HOU | 8.72 | 13.43 | 0.96 | -1.88 | 7.80 | 5.21 | 5.87 |
| PHI | 5.56 | 2.48 | 6.09 | 8.06 | 7.27 | 9.88 | 5.72 |
| SEA | 8.99 | 10.81 | 5.95 | 5.55 | 7.17 | 5.84 | 7.86 |
| LAR | 8.01 | 5.54 | 10.74 | 2.73 | 6.97 | 6.05 | 11.69 |
| CIN | 1.86 | 5.59 | 10.87 | 10.83 | 6.79 | 12.98 | 3.96 |
| TB | 8.70 | 10.46 | 10.96 | 5.28 | 6.79 | 10.61 | 3.73 |
| NO | 10.77 | 8.81 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 6.23 | 1.70 | 3.25 |
| MIN | 9.14 | 11.10 | 7.66 | 8.33 | 6.18 | 9.71 | 1.55 |
| LAC | 8.96 | 8.89 | 9.79 | 5.72 | 5.79 | 7.80 | 4.99 |
| IND | 3.35 | 8.16 | 5.95 | 0.19 | 5.35 | 2.05 | 6.22 |
| DEN | 3.78 | 0.46 | 6.72 | 2.79 | 5.30 | 4.48 | 6.56 |
| KC | 11.72 | 14.99 | 11.75 | 13.94 | 5.04 | 8.02 | 6.43 |
| JAX | 4.93 | 3.84 | 0.67 | 8.49 | 4.50 | 4.02 | 6.49 |
| TEN | 10.21 | 10.95 | 6.53 | 4.13 | 4.31 | 1.84 | 0.72 |
| LV | 9.46 | 8.81 | 6.86 | 5.02 | 2.98 | 4.24 | 1.10 |
| CHI | 3.37 | 3.55 | 2.34 | 0.31 | 2.77 | 4.78 | 7.31 |
| ATL | 9.88 | 9.59 | 3.27 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 6.13 | 3.84 |
| NYG | 4.31 | 3.50 | -1.50 | 5.01 | 1.95 | 1.71 | 4.85 |
| PIT | -0.14 | 4.91 | 0.70 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 6.31 | 5.38 |
| WAS | 1.42 | 2.89 | 2.22 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 9.25 | 5.01 |
| CAR | 4.63 | 5.31 | -1.76 | 1.69 | 0.69 | 1.68 | 4.27 |
| ARI | 5.15 | 5.49 | 9.51 | 0.70 | -0.57 | 6.45 | 8.06 |
| CLE | 3.72 | 9.90 | 5.26 | 4.20 | -1.32 | -2.21 | -3.06 |
| NYJ | 1.67 | 0.73 | 1.77 | 2.13 | -2.16 | 5.37 | 0.41 |
| NE | 6.00 | 2.37 | 7.10 | 3.38 | -3.69 | 3.86 | 14.51 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_receiving_rec_epa
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Receiving
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.