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2026 — Week 10

This week's games, the Vegas line, and what the house algorithm makes it.

The house algorithm, on the record

House Algorithm is the site's own recipe — the same builder members use. Every pick below was made by it.

58.6%2023–2026Replayed against each full season467-330-19 against the spread
52.7%2023–2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then489-439-24 against the spread
48.9%2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then64-67-5 against the spread

The two numbers cover the same games. The higher one replays the algorithm against each season in full; the lower one is it picking week to week with only what was known at the time — that is what you would have made, and it runs 5.9 points behind. Break-even against the spread is 52.4% after the standard vig.

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The record, drawn

Record by season

The seasons this algorithm has actually been live for. The upper line is it replayed against each season in full; the lower is it picking week to week with only what was known at the time — that one is what you would have made. The flat line is break-even after vig (52.4%). 2026 is still in progress and is not shown here — a season only appears once it is complete. The week-by-week chart beside this one carries it.

The record as it was earned

Against the spread, week by week, picking with only what was known at the time — the running record, not each week in isolation. The flat line is break-even after vig (52.4%).