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Chicago Bears

NFC North

Team

Off EXP

-10.73

#23

Def EXP

-34.58

#16

Net EXP

-45.31

Record

7-10

Pythag 8.0 (-1.0)

Power Rating

100.5

#16

SRS

−2.09

#23

SoS Rank

#28

pts: −1.0 (#26)

#28

Pts / Game

21.2

Home 24.9 · Road 17.9

#18

Net Pts / G

−1.1

#20

Pts Allowed / G

22.3

Home 19.9 · Road 24.4

#20

Yds / Play

5.00

#22

Yds/Play Allowed

5.30

#19

3rd Down %

41.2%

#12

3rd Down % Allowed

44.1%

#29

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	360	370.06	-10.06	#18
Total Yards	5495	5,636.94	-141.94	#20
Yds / Play	5	5.25	-0.25	#22
1st Downs	322	327.44	-5.44	#20
Turnovers	25	22.94	+2.06	#22
Fumbles Lost	10	9.50	+0.50	#17
EXP Pts	-10.73	27.68	-38.41	#23

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	379	370.06	+8.94	#20
Total Yards	5511	5,636.94	-125.94	#12
Yds / Play	5.30	5.24	+0.06	#19
1st Downs	307	327.44	-20.44	#7
Turnovers	28	22.94	+5.06	#5
Fumbles Lost	6	9.50	-3.50	#29
EXP Pts	-34.58	-27.68	-6.90	#16

Scoring Composition

Where Chicago Bears's points come from. Total = 360 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	513	572.34	-59.34	#27
Pass Cmp	321	369	-48	#31
Cmp %	62.60	64.46	-1.86	#24
Pass Yds	3096	3,721.72	-625.72	#27
Yds / Att	6	6.52	-0.52	#25
Yds / Cmp	9.60	10.08	-0.48	#25
Adj Y/A	5.50	6.29	-0.79	#24
Adj NY/A	5	5.84	-0.84	#25
Pass TD	19	23.56	-4.56	#23
TD %	3.70	4.12	-0.42	#21
Pass Int	15	13.44	+1.56	#23
Int %	2.90	2.35	+0.55	#25
Sack %	8.90	7.17	+1.73	#26
Pass Rating	79.50	86.88	-7.38	#24
EXP Pts Pass	-27.07	41.96	-69.03	#27

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	617	572.34	+44.66	#4
Pass Cmp	410	369	+41	#30
Cmp %	66.50	64.44	+2.06	#24
Pass Yds	4043	3,721.72	+321.28	#25
Yds / Att	6.90	7.03	-0.13	#14
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.89	-0.49	#11
Adj Y/A	6.30	6.79	-0.49	#9
Adj NY/A	5.70	5.82	-0.12	#12
Pass TD	31	23.56	+7.44	#29
TD %	5	4.12	+0.88	#28
Pass Int	22	13.44	+8.56	#1
Int %	3.60	2.35	+1.25	#1
Sack %	4.60	7.14	-2.54	#32
Pass Rating	88	88.94	-0.94	#13
EXP Pts Pass	-75.71	-41.96	-33.75	#24

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CHI 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

92.0%

#8 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#21 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#8 of 32

Return Yards

731

#15 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

55 yd

FG %

92.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	11	0	100.0%
40-49	8	2	80.0%
50-59	7	1	87.5%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29212222222525282929(9)

30–393031313536363739393939(11)

40–494041424243464749(8)

50–5950525353545455(7)

Missed FG distances

40–494048(2)

50–5955(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3930(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

188

Punt avg

8.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

543

Kickoff avg

23.6

Total return yds

731

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3088

Gross avg

46.1

Net yards

2547

Net avg

Long

76 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

26.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

11.9%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

381

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CHI 2023.

#20 of 32

#7 of 32

#29 of 32

#20 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CHI 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-64.7

#25 of 32

Rush EPA

+20.4

#2 of 32

Recv EPA

+47.1

#23 of 32

CPOE

-0.14

#20 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CHI 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,775

#31 of 32

Pass YAC

1,722

#27 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,775

#31 of 32

Recv YAC

1,722

#27 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CHI 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#18 of 32

Penalty Yds

853

#21 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#4 of 32

Yds / Game

50.2

#21 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Pass Yds	2219	3096	877
Pass Yds	2219	3096	877
Kickoff Yds	4819	5624	805

5-Year Trajectory

CHI Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L at GB · 9–17

CHI failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CHI 2023.

Cmp %

62.6%

#24

Pass Yds/G

182.1

#27

Pass Rating

79.5

#24

Pass TD

#23

Pass Int

#23

Sack Rate

8.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CHI has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	8-6-3	57.1%	9-8	52.9%	-1.1	+2.2	20	+26.0
Home	8	5-3	4-2-2	66.7%	5-3	62.5%	+5.0	+5.0	20	+20.5
Away	9	2-7	4-4-1	50.0%	4-5	44.4%	-6.6	-0.3	20	+26.0
As favorite	4	3-1	2-1-1	—	3-1	—	+4.0	+1.1	20	+17.0
As underdog	13	4-9	6-5-2	54.5%	6-7	46.2%	-2.7	+2.5	20	+26.0
Division games	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	2-4	33.3%	-3.3	-0.2	15	+18.0
Non-division	11	5-6	5-3-3	62.5%	7-4	63.6%	+0.1	+3.5	20	+26.0
Pick-em (≤3)	11	5-6	4-4-3	50.0%	5-6	45.5%	+0.9	+2.3	20	+20.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+11.0	+6.5	11	+6.5
Small underdog (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+20.0	+26.0	20	+26.0
Large underdog (7+)	4	0-4	2-2	—	2-2	—	-15.0	-5.1	—	+3.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


GB	Green Bay Packers	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-13.0	-12.2
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-2.0	+1.0
DET	Detroit Lions	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+5.0	+10.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-7.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-31.0	-18.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-3.0	+0.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+20.0	+26.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+18.0	+20.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-17.0	-7.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-7.0	+2.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	+3.0	+0.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	-3.0	+0.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+11.0	+6.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+20.0	+17.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	0-3	3-0	0%
Oct	5	2-3	2-2-1	3-2	50%
Nov	4	2-2	3-0-1	1-3	100%
Dec	4	3-1	3-0-1	2-2	100%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	2	2-0	1-0-1	1-1	100%
Sun	14	4-10	6-6-2	8-6	50%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	2-7	3-5-1	6-3	38%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	5-1-2	3-5	83%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	6-5	5-3-3	6-5	62%
Turf	4	1-3	3-1	1-3	75%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
Same conference	6	4-2	4-1-1	4-2	80%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	1-2-2	3-2	33%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	3-2	2-1-2	2-3	67%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	—
Indoor	7	1-6	3-4	4-3	43%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	2-1	2-0-1	3-0	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	4-1	3-1-1	2-3	75%
Windy (≥15 mph)	2	0-2	0-1-1	0-2	0%
Indoor	7	1-6	3-4	4-3	43%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	2-5	3-3-1	2-5	50%
After a loss	9	5-4	5-2-2	6-3	71%
On 2+ winning streak	2	0-2	0-1-1	0-2	0%
On 2+ losing streak	4	2-2	1-1-2	3-1	50%
vs winning opp.	5	2-3	3-1-1	2-3	75%
vs losing opp.	6	3-3	2-2-2	3-3	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	6-7	5-5-3	8-5	50%
Dome	4	1-3	3-1	1-3	75%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	4-2-2	5-3	67%
Domestic road	9	2-7	4-4-1	4-5	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	4-2-2	5-3	67%
Short (<500)	5	1-4	2-2-1	2-3	50%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	2	2-0	1-0-1	1-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	10	3-7	4-4-2	6-4	50%
Long week (8-10d)	3	1-2	2-1	1-2	67%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-33 G

OctATS 2-2-15 G

NovATS 3-0-14 G

DecATS 3-0-14 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-0-12 G

SunATS 6-6-214 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-5-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-1-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-3-311 G

TurfATS 3-14 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 4-1-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-2-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-5-313 G

DomeATS 3-14 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-2-28 G

Domestic roadATS 4-4-19 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-2-28 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-2-15 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-13 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-0-12 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-4-210 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-13 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-1-14 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-34 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-2-15 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-0-14 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.3 ptsBias +2.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC North

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Chicago Bears (CHI)	7-10	0.464 #28	21.2	22.3	-10.73	-34.58
Detroit Lions (DET)	12-5	0.481 #22	27.1	23.2	145.19	-62.60
Green Bay Packers (GB)	9-8	0.474 #26	22.5	20.6	123.35	-60.86
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)	7-10	0.509 #15	20.2	21.3	42.62	-37.62

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Chicago Bears ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to throw (1st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (1st of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32), and defensive sack rate (32nd of 32).


Drives	184	188.09	-4.09	#19
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.90	+0.30	#5
Yds / Drive	29.80	30.04	-0.24	#15
Points / Drive	1.90	1.89	+0.01	#13
Score %	38	35.66	+2.34	#12
Turnover %	13	11.54	+1.46	#20


Rush Att	534	456.44	+77.56	#2
Rush Yds	2399	1,915.22	+483.78	#2
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.18	+0.33	#6
Rush TD	16	14.69	+1.31	#11
EXP Pts Rush	32.23	-5.27	+37.50	#6


3rd Down Att	238	224.81	+13.19	#4
3rd Down Made	98	87.13	+10.88	#5
4th Down Att	26	24.97	+1.03	#12
4th Down Made	13	12.88	+0.13	#13
Red Zone Att	49	52.94	-3.94	#20
Red Zone Scores	28	29.09	-1.09	#16


Drives	184	188.09	-4.09	#13
Plays / Drive	5.80	5.90	-0.10	#14
Yds / Drive	29.80	30.03	-0.22	#16
Points / Drive	1.88	1.88	0.00	#17
Score %	34.20	35.59	-1.39	#14
Turnover %	14.70	11.57	+3.13	#3


Rush Att	388	456.44	-68.44	#2
Rush Yds	1468	1,915.22	-447.22	#1
Rush Y/A	3.80	4.20	-0.40	#8
Rush TD	8	14.69	-6.69	#2
EXP Pts Rush	25.81	5.27	+20.54	#7


2019	-41.1	0.9	-40.2
2020	42.5	-78.3	-35.8
2021	-40.9	-77.5	-118.4
2022	-7.1	-169.1	-176.3
2023	-10.7	-34.6	-45.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC North

Insights

Other teams in NFC North