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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

127.54

#10

Def EXP

-154.58

#29

Net EXP

-27.04

Record

5-11

Pythag 6.9 (-1.9)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

−3.16

#23

SoS Rank

pts: +1.1 (#4)

Pts / Game

24.8

Home 22.5 · Road 27.0

#12

Net Pts / G

−4.3

#23

Pts Allowed / G

29.0

Home 22.3 · Road 35.8

#31

Yds / Play

6.30

Yds/Play Allowed

6.10

#29

3rd Down %

46.0%

3rd Down % Allowed

40.3%

#21

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	396	373.50	+22.50	#12
Total Yards	6648	5,635.56	+1,012.44	#3
Yds / Play	6.30	5.59	+0.71	#4
1st Downs	388	326.94	+61.06	#2
Turnovers	35	21.75	+13.25	#32
Fumbles Lost	9	8.66	+0.34	#15
EXP Pts	127.54	66.06	+61.48	#10

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	464	373.50	+90.50	#31
Total Yards	6134	5,635.56	+498.44	#27
Yds / Play	6.10	5.59	+0.51	#29
1st Downs	356	326.94	+29.06	#27
Turnovers	17	21.75	-4.75	#26
Fumbles Lost	8	8.66	-0.66	#18
EXP Pts	-154.58	-66.06	-88.52	#29

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 396 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	625	552.22	+72.78	#4
Pass Cmp	408	358.19	+49.81	#6
Cmp %	65.30	64.79	+0.51	#19
Pass Yds	5125	3,804.28	+1,320.72	#1
Yds / Att	8.20	6.86	+1.34	#2
Yds / Cmp	12.60	10.59	+2.01	#2
Adj Y/A	7.50	6.75	+0.75	#9
Adj NY/A	7	6.30	+0.70	#8
Pass TD	36	26.47	+9.53	#4
TD %	5.80	4.79	+1.01	#7
Pass Int	26	13.09	+12.91	#32
Int %	4.20	2.39	+1.81	#31
Sack %	6.20	6.88	-0.67	#11
Pass Rating	92.50	90.66	+1.84	#15
EXP Pts Pass	161.03	74.79	+86.24	#6

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	534	552.22	-18.22	#21
Pass Cmp	387	358.19	+28.81	#27
Cmp %	72.50	64.88	+7.62	#32
Pass Yds	4151	3,804.28	+346.72	#26
Yds / Att	8.20	7.38	+0.82	#30
Yds / Cmp	11.30	11.38	-0.07	#16
Adj Y/A	8.70	7.28	+1.42	#32
Adj NY/A	7.70	6.33	+1.37	#31
Pass TD	34	26.47	+7.53	#30
TD %	6.40	4.82	+1.58	#30
Pass Int	9	13.09	-4.09	#27
Int %	1.70	2.38	-0.68	#26
Sack %	6.60	6.75	-0.15	#21
Pass Rating	110.90	93.10	+17.80	#32
EXP Pts Pass	-148.08	-74.79	-73.29	#30

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2018. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

74.0%

#29 of 32

PAT%

91.0%

#26 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#7 of 32

Return Yards

794

#25 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

59 yd

FG %

74.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	5	0	100.0%
30-39	11	1	91.7%
40-49	3	5	37.5%
50-59	1	1	50.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292121252828(5)

30–393033333535363637383839(11)

40–49414545(3)

50–5959(1)

Missed FG distances

30–3930(1)

40–494040444648(5)

50–5952(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

91.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5959(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

163

Punt avg

6.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

631

Kickoff avg

20.4

Total return yds

794

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2567

Gross avg

44.3

Net yards

2256

Net avg

38.2

Long

64 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

25.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.9%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

231

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2018.

#15 of 32

#28 of 32

#7 of 32

#18 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2018. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+101.4

#8 of 32

Rush EPA

-40.1

#26 of 32

Recv EPA

+155.3

#8 of 32

CPOE

+3.34

#9 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2018 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

6,642

#1 of 32

Pass YAC

1,769

#22 of 32

Recv Air Yds

6,642

#1 of 32

Recv YAC

1,769

#22 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2018. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

117

#28 of 32

Penalty Yds

975

#24 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#8 of 32

Yds / Game

60.9

#24 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Year-over-year not available — 2017 stats missing.

Last game — Week 17, 2018

L vs ATL · 32–34

TB covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2018.

Cmp %

65.3%

#19

Pass Yds/G

320.3

Pass Rating

92.5

#15

Pass TD

Pass Int

#32

Sack Rate

6.2%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	5-11	7-7-2	50.0%	9-7	56.3%	-4.2	-1.0	18	+18.0
Home	8	4-4	4-4	50.0%	3-5	37.5%	+0.2	+1.2	18	+16.5
Away	8	1-7	3-3-2	50.0%	6-2	75.0%	-8.8	-3.2	8	+18.0
As favorite	4	2-2	1-3	—	1-3	—	+1.2	-1.1	18	+16.5
As underdog	12	3-9	6-4-2	60.0%	8-4	66.7%	-6.1	-1.0	8	+18.0
Division games	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	-3.3	+2.2	8	+18.0
Non-division	10	3-7	4-4-2	50.0%	5-5	50.0%	-4.8	-3.0	18	+16.5
Pick-em (≤3)	7	2-5	3-3-1	50.0%	6-1	85.7%	-3.9	-2.1	18	+16.5
Small favorite (3-7)	2	1-1	0-2	—	0-2	—	-5.0	-8.5	3	-0.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	2-1	—	2-1	—	-3.3	+1.0	7	+10.5
Large underdog (7+)	4	1-3	2-1-1	—	1-3	—	-5.2	+3.2	8	+18.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2018. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-3.0	+6.2
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	0-2	1-1	2-0	-3.5	-0.8
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-3.5	+1.2
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+9.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-4.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-38.0	-35.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-0.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+0.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-13.0	-16.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-3.0	+0.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+18.0	+16.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-8.0	+0.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	-7.0	+0.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%
Oct	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Nov	4	1-3	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Dec	5	1-4	3-1-1	1-4	75%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sun	15	5-10	7-6-2	8-7	54%
Mon	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	3-5	7-1	38%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	4-2-2	2-6	67%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	4-7	5-6	5-6	45%
Turf	5	1-4	2-1-2	4-1	67%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	3-3	4-2	50%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-2-2	3-3	50%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	0-3	2-0-1	2-1	100%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Warm (75°F+)	7	4-3	4-3	3-4	57%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-1-1	2-1	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	2	0-2	0-1-1	1-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	10	3-7	5-5	6-4	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-1-1	2-1	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	4
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%
After a loss	10	2-8	3-5-2	5-5	38%
On 2+ winning streak	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	7	2-5	2-3-2	3-4	40%
vs winning opp.	9	2-7	4-4-1	4-5	50%
vs losing opp.	6	2-4	2-3-1	4-2	40%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	4-9	6-6-1	7-6	50%
Dome	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Retractable (open)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	—

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	4-4	3-5	50%
Domestic road	8	1-7	3-3-2	6-2	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	4-4	3-5	50%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Medium (500-1500)	6	0-6	2-2-2	4-2	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Standard (5-7d)	13	4-9	6-5-2	6-7	55%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 1-23 G

NovATS 1-2-14 G

DecATS 3-1-15 G

By day of week

SunATS 7-6-215 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-2-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-611 G

TurfATS 2-1-25 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-2-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-24 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-6-113 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (open)ATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-48 G

Domestic roadATS 3-3-28 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-2-26 G

By rest days

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-5-213 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-35 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-1-14 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-2-14 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-13 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.9 ptsBias -1.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-9	0.482 #23	25.9	26.4	154.23	-156.99
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-9	0.508 #12	23.5	23.9	117.06	-117.21
New Orleans Saints (NO)	13-3	0.482 #25	31.5	22.1	219.25	-91.33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	5-11	0.523 #6	24.8	29.0	127.54	-154.58

Insights

A look at how the 2018 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive pass yards per play (2nd of 32), offensive pass yards per play (2nd of 32), and offensive yards per play (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive rush success rate allowed (32nd of 32), defensive avg time to pressure (31st of 32), and offensive avg wr separation (31st of 32).


Drives	184	179.38	+4.63	#10
Plays / Drive	5.90	5.82	+0.08	#14
Yds / Drive	36	31.44	+4.56	#5
Points / Drive	2.15	2.00	+0.15	#11
Score %	37	36.65	+0.35	#17
Turnover %	19	11.71	+7.29	#32


Rush Att	389	414.75	-25.75	#22
Rush Yds	1523	1,831.28	-308.28	#29
Rush Y/A	3.90	4.42	-0.52	#31
Rush TD	11	13.72	-2.72	#26
EXP Pts Rush	-30.72	-2.64	-28.08	#28


3rd Down Att	187	201.63	-14.63	#27
3rd Down Made	86	78.88	+7.13	#8
4th Down Att	13	16.84	-3.84	#28
4th Down Made	9	9.38	-0.38	#20
Red Zone Att	60	51.22	+8.78	#6
Red Zone Scores	36	30.25	+5.75	#9


Drives	182	179.38	+2.63	#21
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.80	-0.20	#5
Yds / Drive	33.70	31.41	+2.29	#26
Points / Drive	2.38	2.00	+0.38	#29
Score %	40.70	36.52	+4.18	#27
Turnover %	8.20	11.76	-3.56	#30


Rush Att	426	414.75	+11.25	#18
Rush Yds	1983	1,831.28	+151.72	#24
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.41	+0.29	#20
Rush TD	19	13.72	+5.28	#29
EXP Pts Rush	-4.67	2.64	-7.31	#22

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South