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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

154.23

Def EXP

-156.99

#30

Net EXP

-2.76

Record

7-9

Pythag 8.3 (-1.3)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

−0.98

#18

SoS Rank

#23

pts: −0.4 (#22)

#23

Pts / Game

25.9

Home 29.5 · Road 22.3

#10

Net Pts / G

−0.6

#17

Pts Allowed / G

26.4

Home 26.9 · Road 26.0

#25

Yds / Play

6.20

Yds/Play Allowed

6.00

#28

3rd Down %

45.3%

3rd Down % Allowed

48.7%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	414	373.50	+40.50	#10
Total Yards	6226	5,635.56	+590.44	#6
Yds / Play	6.20	5.59	+0.61	#5
1st Downs	352	326.94	+25.06	#10
Turnovers	18	21.75	-3.75	#10
Fumbles Lost	11	8.66	+2.34	#28
EXP Pts	154.23	66.06	+88.17	#6

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	423	373.50	+49.50	#25
Total Yards	6152	5,635.56	+516.44	#28
Yds / Play	6	5.59	+0.41	#28
1st Downs	375	326.94	+48.06	#30
Turnovers	19	21.75	-2.75	#20
Fumbles Lost	4	8.66	-4.66	#31
EXP Pts	-156.99	-66.06	-90.93	#30

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 414 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	617	552.22	+64.78	#5
Pass Cmp	428	358.19	+69.81	#3
Cmp %	69.40	64.79	+4.61	#4
Pass Yds	4653	3,804.28	+848.72	#4
Yds / Att	7.50	6.86	+0.64	#6
Yds / Cmp	10.90	10.59	+0.31	#10
Adj Y/A	8.20	6.75	+1.45	#3
Adj NY/A	7.70	6.30	+1.40	#3
Pass TD	36	26.47	+9.53	#3
TD %	5.80	4.79	+1.01	#6
Pass Int	7	13.09	-6.09	#4
Int %	1.10	2.39	-1.29	#2
Sack %	6.40	6.88	-0.47	#17
Pass Rating	106	90.66	+15.34	#4
EXP Pts Pass	180.60	74.79	+105.81	#3

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	585	552.22	+32.78	#7
Pass Cmp	398	358.19	+39.81	#30
Cmp %	68	64.88	+3.12	#30
Pass Yds	4153	3,804.28	+348.72	#27
Yds / Att	7.50	7.38	+0.12	#20
Yds / Cmp	11.10	11.38	-0.28	#13
Adj Y/A	7.50	7.28	+0.22	#24
Adj NY/A	6.70	6.33	+0.37	#24
Pass TD	33	26.47	+6.53	#29
TD %	5.60	4.82	+0.78	#24
Pass Int	15	13.09	+1.91	#9
Int %	2.60	2.38	+0.22	#12
Sack %	5.90	6.75	-0.85	#26
Pass Rating	98.30	93.10	+5.20	#24
EXP Pts Pass	-117.47	-74.79	-42.68	#25

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2018. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

96.0%

#3 of 32

PAT%

95.0%

#16 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#7 of 32

Return Yards

836

#21 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

57 yd

FG %

96.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	5	0	100.0%
30-39	5	0	100.0%
40-49	9	0	100.0%
50-59	6	1	85.7%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292121222728(5)

30–393232333739(5)

40–49404041444445454749(9)

50–59505253555657(6)

Missed FG distances

50–5953(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

95.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3937(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

147

Punt avg

7.0

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

689

Kickoff avg

22.2

Total return yds

836

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2729

Gross avg

Net yards

2485

Net avg

38.8

Long

57 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

35.5%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.8%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

184

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2018.

#26 of 32

#12 of 32

#30 of 32

#28 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2018. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+119.3

#6 of 32

Rush EPA

-33.0

#22 of 32

Recv EPA

+200.6

#3 of 32

CPOE

+4.26

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2018 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,270

#6 of 32

Pass YAC

2,145

#8 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,270

#6 of 32

Recv YAC

2,145

#9 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2018. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

101

#10 of 32

Penalty Yds

899

#13 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#22 of 32

Yds / Game

56.2

#13 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Year-over-year not available — 2017 stats missing.

Last game — Week 17, 2018

W at TB · 34–32

ATL failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2018.

Cmp %

69.4%

Pass Yds/G

290.8

Pass Rating

106.0

Pass TD

Pass Int

Sack Rate

6.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	5-11	31.3%	9-7	56.3%	-0.6	-2.0	26	+25.5
Home	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	5-3	62.5%	+2.6	-1.6	26	+16.0
Away	8	3-5	2-6	25.0%	4-4	50.0%	-3.8	-2.4	24	+25.5
As favorite	11	6-5	4-7	36.4%	6-5	54.5%	+2.3	-1.8	26	+16.0
As underdog	5	1-4	1-4	20.0%	3-2	60.0%	-6.8	-2.5	24	+25.5
Division games	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	+1.3	+0.8	14	+11.5
Non-division	10	3-7	2-8	20.0%	5-5	50.0%	-1.7	-3.6	26	+25.5
Pick-em (≤3)	7	4-3	3-4	42.9%	4-3	57.1%	+3.3	+1.9	24	+25.5
Small favorite (3-7)	5	2-3	1-4	20.0%	2-3	40.0%	-1.2	-5.7	7	+1.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+26.0	+16.0	26	+16.0
Small underdog (3-7)	2	0-2	0-2	—	2-0	—	-19.0	-15.2	—	-10.0
Large underdog (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-14.0	-2.5	—	-2.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2018. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+10.5	+6.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-10.0	-5.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	+3.5	+0.8
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-5.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-1.0	-4.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-24.0	-20.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-1.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+24.0	+25.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-12.0	-17.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-6.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-10.0	-12.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-14.0	-10.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+26.0	+16.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	1-3	1-3	3-1	25%
Oct	3	2-1	1-2	2-1	33%
Nov	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Dec	5	3-2	2-3	3-2	40%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Sun	13	6-7	5-8	9-4	38%
Mon	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	4-4	3-5	6-2	38%
Second half (W10+)	8	3-5	2-6	3-5	25%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	7	3-4	2-5	4-3	29%
Turf	9	4-5	3-6	5-4	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	3-3	4-2	50%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	3-3	33%
Inter-conference	4	0-4	0-4	2-2	0%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Warm (75°F+)	3	1-2	0-3	2-1	0%
Indoor	9	4-5	3-6	5-4	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	7	3-4	2-5	4-3	29%
Indoor	9	4-5	3-6	5-4	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	3
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	4-2	2-4	3-3	33%
After a loss	9	3-6	3-6	6-3	33%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	1-2	2-1	33%
On 2+ losing streak	6	2-4	2-4	4-2	33%
vs winning opp.	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%
vs losing opp.	8	4-4	2-6	4-4	25%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	7	3-4	2-5	4-3	29%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (open)	4	2-2	1-3	1-3	25%
Retractable (closed)	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	3-5	5-3	38%
Domestic road	8	3-5	2-6	4-4	25%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	3-5	5-3	38%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Medium (500-1500)	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	10	4-6	3-7	7-3	30%
Long week (8-10d)	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-34 G

OctATS 1-23 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 2-35 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-22 G

SunATS 5-813 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-68 G

By surface

GrassATS 2-57 G

TurfATS 3-69 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 0-44 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-57 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-34 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-24 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 2-68 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-23 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-45 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-710 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-23 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-44 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-24 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-45 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-13 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.1 ptsBias -2.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-9	0.482 #23	25.9	26.4	154.23	-156.99
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-9	0.508 #12	23.5	23.9	117.06	-117.21
New Orleans Saints (NO)	13-3	0.482 #25	31.5	22.1	219.25	-91.33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	5-11	0.523 #6	24.8	29.0	127.54	-154.58

Insights

A look at how the 2018 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive stuffed rate forced (1st of 32), offensive yards before contact per carry (4th of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32), offensive stuffed rate (31st of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32).


Drives	168	179.38	-11.38	#29
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.82	+0.38	#3
Yds / Drive	37	31.44	+5.56	#2
Points / Drive	2.40	2.00	+0.40	#4
Score %	42.90	36.65	+6.25	#4
Turnover %	10.70	11.71	-1.01	#15


Rush Att	351	414.75	-63.75	#30
Rush Yds	1573	1,831.28	-258.28	#27
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.42	+0.08	#12
Rush TD	11	13.72	-2.72	#23
EXP Pts Rush	-18.75	-2.64	-16.11	#24


3rd Down Att	203	201.63	+1.38	#18
3rd Down Made	92	78.88	+13.13	#4
4th Down Att	19	16.84	+2.16	#10
4th Down Made	10	9.38	+0.63	#11
Red Zone Att	50	51.22	-1.22	#16
Red Zone Scores	32	30.25	+1.75	#14


Drives	171	179.38	-8.38	#7
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.80	+0.40	#30
Yds / Drive	36	31.41	+4.59	#30
Points / Drive	2.39	2.00	+0.39	#30
Score %	41.50	36.52	+4.98	#30
Turnover %	10.50	11.76	-1.26	#18


Rush Att	409	414.75	-5.75	#14
Rush Yds	1999	1,831.28	+167.72	#25
Rush Y/A	4.90	4.41	+0.49	#29
Rush TD	16	13.72	+2.28	#24
EXP Pts Rush	-52.09	2.64	-54.73	#32

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South