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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

117.06

#11

Def EXP

-117.21

#25

Net EXP

-0.15

Record

7-9

Pythag 8.3 (-1.3)

Power Rating

101.9

#11

SRS

+0.23

#16

SoS Rank

#12

pts: +0.6 (#8)

#12

Pts / Game

23.5

Home 25.5 · Road 21.5

#14

Net Pts / G

−0.4

#16

Pts Allowed / G

23.9

Home 21.9 · Road 25.9

#19

Yds / Play

5.90

Yds/Play Allowed

6.00

#27

3rd Down %

41.6%

3rd Down % Allowed

39.9%

#19

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	376	373.50	+2.50	#14
Total Yards	5972	5,635.56	+336.44	#10
Yds / Play	5.90	5.59	+0.31	#8
1st Downs	356	326.94	+29.06	#9
Turnovers	22	21.75	+0.25	#19
Fumbles Lost	6	8.66	-2.66	#7
EXP Pts	117.06	66.06	+51.00	#11

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	382	373.50	+8.50	#19
Total Yards	5651	5,635.56	+15.44	#15
Yds / Play	6	5.59	+0.41	#27
1st Downs	315	326.94	-11.94	#13
Turnovers	23	21.75	+1.25	#14
Fumbles Lost	10	8.66	+1.34	#12
EXP Pts	-117.21	-66.06	-51.15	#25

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 374 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	563	552.22	+10.78	#15
Pass Cmp	378	358.19	+19.81	#12
Cmp %	67.10	64.79	+2.31	#10
Pass Yds	3836	3,804.28	+31.72	#16
Yds / Att	6.80	6.86	-0.06	#17
Yds / Cmp	10.10	10.59	-0.49	#21
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.75	-0.25	#21
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.30	-0.10	#17
Pass TD	28	26.47	+1.53	#14
TD %	5	4.79	+0.21	#15
Pass Int	16	13.09	+2.91	#25
Int %	2.80	2.39	+0.41	#24
Sack %	5.40	6.88	-1.48	#6
Pass Rating	91.20	90.66	+0.54	#17
EXP Pts Pass	79.39	74.79	+4.60	#14

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	529	552.22	-23.22	#24
Pass Cmp	353	358.19	-5.19	#15
Cmp %	66.70	64.88	+1.82	#25
Pass Yds	3847	3,804.28	+42.72	#18
Yds / Att	7.70	7.38	+0.32	#26
Yds / Cmp	11.50	11.38	+0.13	#19
Adj Y/A	7.80	7.28	+0.52	#25
Adj NY/A	6.90	6.33	+0.57	#25
Pass TD	32	26.47	+5.53	#28
TD %	6	4.82	+1.18	#28
Pass Int	13	13.09	-0.09	#15
Int %	2.50	2.38	+0.12	#13
Sack %	6.20	6.75	-0.55	#25
Pass Rating	99.60	93.10	+6.50	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-110.12	-74.79	-35.33	#24

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2018. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

90.0%

#6 of 32

PAT%

90.0%

#28 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#7 of 32

Return Yards

747

#26 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

63 yd

FG %

90.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	4	0	100.0%
30-39	6	1	85.7%
40-49	4	0	100.0%
50-59	4	1	80.0%
60+	1	0	100.0%

Made FG distances

20–2922252627(4)

30–39303032343739(6)

40–4940444747(4)

50–5950515454(4)

60+63(1)

Missed FG distances

30–3934(1)

50–5952(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

90.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

60+63(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

165

Punt avg

6.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

582

Kickoff avg

22.4

Total return yds

747

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2759

Gross avg

45.2

Net yards

2498

Net avg

Long

59 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

39.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.6%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

181

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2018.

#31 of 32

#13 of 32

#9 of 32

#12 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2018. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+34.4

#14 of 32

Rush EPA

+25.8

#2 of 32

Recv EPA

+90.5

#19 of 32

CPOE

+2.73

#10 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2018 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,161

#21 of 32

Pass YAC

2,053

#12 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,161

#21 of 32

Recv YAC

2,053

#12 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2018. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#2 of 32

Penalty Yds

818

#7 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#3 of 32

Yds / Game

51.1

#7 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Year-over-year not available — 2017 stats missing.

Last game — Week 17, 2018

W at NO · 33–14

CAR covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2018.

Cmp %

67.1%

#10

Pass Yds/G

239.8

#16

Pass Rating

91.2

#17

Pass TD

#14

Pass Int

#25

Sack Rate

5.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	7-9	43.8%	8-8	50.0%	-0.4	-0.2	19	+27.0
Home	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	5-3	62.5%	+3.6	+2.4	15	+17.5
Away	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-4.4	-2.8	19	+27.0
As favorite	9	4-5	3-6	33.3%	4-5	44.4%	+1.2	-2.2	14	+8.0
As underdog	7	3-4	4-3	57.1%	4-3	57.1%	-2.4	+2.3	19	+27.0
Division games	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	+0.3	+2.4	19	+27.0
Non-division	10	5-5	4-6	40.0%	5-5	50.0%	-0.8	-1.8	15	+17.5
Pick-em (≤3)	7	3-4	3-4	42.9%	3-4	42.9%	+0.6	-0.1	15	+17.5
Small favorite (3-7)	3	1-2	1-2	—	1-2	—	+2.0	-2.5	14	+8.0
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	0-1	—	1-0	—	+2.0	-5.0	2	-5.0
Small underdog (3-7)	4	1-3	2-2	—	2-2	—	-9.2	-4.2	4	+9.0
Large underdog (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+19.0	+27.0	19	+27.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2018. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-10.5	-6.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+3.5	-1.2
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+8.0	+15.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+5.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+10.0	+7.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+2.0	-5.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-7.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+4.0	+9.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+15.0	+17.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-31.0	-27.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-1.0	-5.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-6.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-7.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Nov	4	1-3	1-3	3-1	25%
Dec	5	1-4	2-3	1-4	40%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	14	7-7	6-8	7-7	43%
Mon	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	6-2	5-3	5-3	62%
Second half (W10+)	8	1-7	2-6	3-5	25%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	6-7	6-7	6-7	46%
Turf	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	2-4	33%
Inter-conference	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	6	1-5	2-4	2-4	33%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%
Warm (75°F+)	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	7	2-5	2-5	4-3	29%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Windy (≥15 mph)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	7
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	3-3	2-4	5-1	33%
After a loss	9	3-6	4-5	3-6	44%
On 2+ winning streak	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
On 2+ losing streak	6	1-5	2-4	2-4	33%
vs winning opp.	5	3-2	4-1	4-1	80%
vs losing opp.	7	2-5	1-6	3-4	14%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	6-7	6-7	6-7	46%
Dome	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	5-3	5-3	62%
Domestic road	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	5-3	5-3	62%
Short (<500)	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	5-6	5-6	6-5	45%
Long week (8-10d)	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 2-24 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 2-35 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 6-814 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-38 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-68 G

By surface

GrassATS 6-713 G

TurfATS 1-23 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-24 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-713 G

DomeATS 1-12 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-38 G

Domestic roadATS 2-68 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-38 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-45 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-23 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-611 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-14 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-67 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-12 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.9 ptsBias -0.2 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-9	0.482 #23	25.9	26.4	154.23	-156.99
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-9	0.508 #12	23.5	23.9	117.06	-117.21
New Orleans Saints (NO)	13-3	0.482 #25	31.5	22.1	219.25	-91.33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	5-11	0.523 #6	24.8	29.0	127.54	-154.58

Insights

A look at how the 2018 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush yards per carry (1st of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (1st of 32), and offensive epa per rush (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (31st of 32), defensive epa per play allowed (28th of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (28th of 32).


Drives	173	179.38	-6.38	#23
Plays / Drive	6	5.82	+0.18	#8
Yds / Drive	34.50	31.44	+3.06	#8
Points / Drive	2.15	2.00	+0.15	#10
Score %	37	36.65	+0.35	#15
Turnover %	12.10	11.71	+0.39	#20


Rush Att	416	414.75	+1.25	#12
Rush Yds	2136	1,831.28	+304.72	#4
Rush Y/A	5.10	4.42	+0.68	#1
Rush TD	17	13.72	+3.28	#6
EXP Pts Rush	44.06	-2.64	+46.70	#3


3rd Down Att	185	201.63	-16.63	#29
3rd Down Made	77	78.88	-1.88	#16
4th Down Att	19	16.84	+2.16	#11
4th Down Made	9	9.38	-0.38	#14
Red Zone Att	58	51.22	+6.78	#8
Red Zone Scores	36	30.25	+5.75	#5


Drives	171	179.38	-8.38	#6
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.80	-0.10	#15
Yds / Drive	33	31.41	+1.59	#24
Points / Drive	2.19	2.00	+0.19	#25
Score %	38	36.52	+1.48	#20
Turnover %	12.90	11.76	+1.14	#14


Rush Att	384	414.75	-30.75	#8
Rush Yds	1804	1,831.28	-27.28	#12
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.41	+0.29	#25
Rush TD	13	13.72	-0.72	#18
EXP Pts Rush	-5.60	2.64	-8.24	#23

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South