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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

147.66

Def EXP

-17.25

Net EXP

130.41

Record

11-5

Pythag 11.3 (-0.3)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

+6.02

SoS Rank

#24

pts: −0.9 (#28)

#24

Pts / Game

27.3

Home 32.9 · Road 21.6

Net Pts / G

+6.9

Pts Allowed / G

20.3

Home 16.6 · Road 24.0

Yds / Play

5.90

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#20

3rd Down %

40.8%

#13

3rd Down % Allowed

38.6%

#16

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	436	373.50	+62.50	#4
Total Yards	6295	5,635.56	+659.44	#5
Yds / Play	5.90	5.59	+0.31	#9
1st Downs	365	326.94	+38.06	#8
Turnovers	18	21.75	-3.75	#8
Fumbles Lost	7	8.66	-1.66	#9
EXP Pts	147.66	66.06	+81.60	#7

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	325	373.50	-48.50	#7
Total Yards	5746	5,635.56	+110.44	#21
Yds / Play	5.70	5.59	+0.11	#20
1st Downs	322	326.94	-4.94	#17
Turnovers	28	21.75	+6.25	#7
Fumbles Lost	10	8.66	+1.34	#13
EXP Pts	-17.25	-66.06	+48.81	#7

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 436 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	574	552.22	+21.78	#13
Pass Cmp	378	358.19	+19.81	#13
Cmp %	65.90	64.79	+1.11	#15
Pass Yds	4258	3,804.28	+453.72	#8
Yds / Att	7.40	6.86	+0.54	#8
Yds / Cmp	11.30	10.59	+0.71	#7
Adj Y/A	7.60	6.75	+0.85	#8
Adj NY/A	7.30	6.30	+1.00	#6
Pass TD	29	26.47	+2.53	#12
TD %	5.10	4.79	+0.31	#13
Pass Int	11	13.09	-2.09	#11
Int %	1.90	2.39	-0.49	#11
Sack %	3.50	6.88	-3.38	#3
Pass Rating	96.70	90.66	+6.04	#11
EXP Pts Pass	154.46	74.79	+79.67	#8

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	605	552.22	+52.78	#5
Pass Cmp	370	358.19	+11.81	#22
Cmp %	61.20	64.88	-3.68	#2
Pass Yds	3943	3,804.28	+138.72	#22
Yds / Att	6.90	7.38	-0.48	#5
Yds / Cmp	11.30	11.38	-0.07	#17
Adj Y/A	6.50	7.28	-0.78	#6
Adj NY/A	5.80	6.33	-0.53	#7
Pass TD	29	26.47	+2.53	#20
TD %	4.80	4.82	-0.02	#19
Pass Int	18	13.09	+4.91	#4
Int %	3	2.38	+0.62	#6
Sack %	4.70	6.75	-2.05	#31
Pass Rating	85.40	93.10	-7.70	#7
EXP Pts Pass	-29.80	-74.79	+44.99	#6

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2018. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

84.0%

#16 of 32

PAT%

98.0%

#3 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#7 of 32

Return Yards

954

#13 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

52 yd

FG %

84.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	10	0	100.0%
40-49	4	2	66.7%
50-59	2	3	40.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292020222424252528282929(11)

30–3932323334353638383939(10)

40–4940454648(4)

50–595052(2)

Missed FG distances

40–494248(2)

50–59505254(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

98.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–2928(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

199

Punt avg

7.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

755

Kickoff avg

27.0

Total return yds

954

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2886

Gross avg

45.1

Net yards

2530

Net avg

39.5

Long

66 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

32.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.8%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

255

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2018.

QB Hits

100

#7 of 32

Pass Def.

#18 of 32

TFL

#31 of 32

Forced Fum.

#10 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2018. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+91.8

#9 of 32

Rush EPA

-1.7

#7 of 32

Recv EPA

+136.3

#12 of 32

CPOE

+1.06

#15 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2018 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,489

#13 of 32

Pass YAC

2,176

#6 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,489

#13 of 32

Recv YAC

2,176

#6 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2018. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#4 of 32

Penalty Yds

744

#2 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#4 of 32

Yds / Game

46.5

#2 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Year-over-year not available — 2017 stats missing.

Last game — Week 17, 2018

W vs NYJ · 38–3

NE covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2018.

Cmp %

65.9%

#15

Pass Yds/G

266.1

Pass Rating

96.7

#11

Pass TD

#12

Pass Int

#11

Sack Rate

3.5%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	11-5	9-7	56.3%	5-11	31.3%	+6.9	-0.5	35	+24.5
Home	8	8-0	6-2	75.0%	2-6	25.0%	+16.2	+8.0	35	+24.5
Away	8	3-5	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-2.4	-9.1	19	+6.0
As favorite	16	11-5	9-7	56.3%	5-11	31.3%	+6.9	-0.5	35	+24.5
Division games	6	5-1	4-2	66.7%	1-5	16.7%	+18.3	+6.8	35	+24.5
Non-division	10	6-4	5-5	50.0%	4-6	40.0%	+0.1	-4.9	14	+9.0
Pick-em (≤3)	3	1-2	1-2	—	2-1	—	-3.7	-5.5	7	+6.0
Small favorite (3-7)	6	5-1	4-2	66.7%	1-5	16.7%	+7.5	+1.9	31	+24.5
Large favorite (7+)	7	5-2	4-3	57.1%	2-5	28.6%	+11.0	-0.5	35	+21.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2018. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+15.0	+7.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	+15.5	+1.8
NYJ	New York Jets	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+24.5	+11.0
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+1.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-11.0	-13.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-23.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+14.0	+3.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+3.0	-1.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+6.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+9.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-24.0	-30.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+8.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-9.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Oct	4	4-0	3-1	3-1	75%
Nov	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Dec	5	3-2	2-3	1-4	40%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	14	9-5	7-7	4-10	50%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	7-2	6-3	4-5	67%
Second half (W10+)	7	4-3	3-4	1-6	43%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%
Turf	11	10-1	8-3	2-9	73%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	5-1	4-2	1-5	67%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	3-3	33%
Inter-conference	4	3-1	3-1	1-3	75%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	9	7-2	5-4	2-7	56%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	3-0	3-0	1-2	100%
Warm (75°F+)	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	3-1	2-2	1-3	50%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	9	7-2	6-3	3-6	67%
Windy (≥15 mph)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	2
ATS	W	1
O/U	U	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	6
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	10	7-3	6-4	5-5	60%
After a loss	5	3-2	2-3	0-5	40%
On 2+ winning streak	6	4-2	3-3	3-3	50%
On 2+ losing streak	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	50%
vs winning opp.	6	4-2	3-3	3-3	50%
vs losing opp.	6	5-1	4-2	1-5	67%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	15	11-4	9-6	5-10	60%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	8-0	6-2	2-6	75%
Domestic road	8	3-5	3-5	3-5	38%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	8-0	6-2	2-6	75%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Medium (500-1500)	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	6-5	5-6	3-8	45%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 2-35 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 7-714 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-47 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-45 G

TurfATS 8-311 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 9-615 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 6-28 G

Domestic roadATS 3-58 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 6-28 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-45 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-611 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-23 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-14 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-23 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 4-26 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.5 ptsBias -0.5 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	6-10	0.523 #7	16.8	23.4	-96.90	16.95
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	7-9	0.469 #30	19.9	27.1	-44.43	-127.44
New England Patriots (NE)	11-5	0.482 #24	27.3	20.3	147.66	-17.25
New York Jets (NYJ)	4-12	0.506 #13	20.8	27.6	-97.61	-70.75

Insights

A look at how the 2018 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg wr separation allowed (2nd of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (2nd of 32), and offensive qb pressure rate faced (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive ryoe per attempt (31st of 32), defensive sack rate (31st of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (30th of 32). Notably, offensive qb pressure rate faced (2nd) yet defensive sack rate (31st).


Drives	184	179.38	+4.63	#9
Plays / Drive	6.10	5.82	+0.28	#6
Yds / Drive	34.20	31.44	+2.76	#9
Points / Drive	2.27	2.00	+0.27	#8
Score %	40.80	36.65	+4.15	#7
Turnover %	9.20	11.71	-2.51	#4


Rush Att	478	414.75	+63.25	#3
Rush Yds	2037	1,831.28	+205.72	#5
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.42	-0.12	#18
Rush TD	18	13.72	+4.28	#5
EXP Pts Rush	0.08	-2.64	+2.72	#13


3rd Down Att	201	201.63	-0.63	#19
3rd Down Made	82	78.88	+3.13	#12
4th Down Att	14	16.84	-2.84	#24
4th Down Made	7	9.38	-2.38	#28
Red Zone Att	57	51.22	+5.78	#9
Red Zone Scores	34	30.25	+3.75	#11


Drives	187	179.38	+7.63	#27
Plays / Drive	5.50	5.80	-0.30	#4
Yds / Drive	30.70	31.41	-0.71	#11
Points / Drive	1.75	2.00	-0.25	#7
Score %	32.60	36.52	-3.92	#4
Turnover %	15	11.76	+3.24	#4


Rush Att	367	414.75	-47.75	#6
Rush Yds	1803	1,831.28	-28.28	#11
Rush Y/A	4.90	4.41	+0.49	#28
Rush TD	7	13.72	-6.72	#2
EXP Pts Rush	3.17	2.64	+0.53	#16

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East