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Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

Off EXP
279.13
Off EXP — 2-year weekly trajectory
#1
Def EXP
-152.20
Def EXP — 2-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#28
Net EXP
126.93
Net EXP — 2-year weekly trajectory
Record
12-4
Pythag 11.3 (+0.7)
Power Rating
106.3
#2
SRS
+8.32
#3
SoS Rank
#26
pts: −0.7 (#26)
#26
Pts / Game
35.3
Home 32.4 · Road 38.3
Points scored — 2-year weekly trajectory
#1
Net Pts / G
+9.0
#2
Pts Allowed / G
26.3
Home 18.0 · Road 34.6
Points allowed — 2-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#24
Yds / Play
6.80
#1
Yds/Play Allowed
5.90
#25
3rd Down %
47.2%
#2
3rd Down % Allowed
41.5%
#25

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Kansas City Chiefs's points come from. Total = 565 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for KC 2018. Click Details for full breakdown.

89.0%
#10 of 32
94.0%
#19 of 32
0 / 0
#22 of 32
Return Yards
1,236
#4 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for KC 2018.

105
#5 of 32
64
#20 of 32
67
#18 of 32
23
#1 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for KC 2018. Higher = better.

+222.1
#1 of 32
+20.9
#4 of 32
+271.7
#1 of 32
+4.41
#5 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for KC 2018 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

5,273
#5 of 32
2,628
#2 of 32
5,273
#5 of 32
2,628
#2 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for KC 2018. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

137
#32 of 32
1,152
#32 of 32
Yds / Game
72.0
#32 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Year-over-year not available — 2017 stats missing.

Last game — Week 17, 2018

W vs LV · 35–3
KC covered.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for KC 2018.

Cmp %
66.0%
#14
Pass Yds/G
309.7
#3
Pass Rating
112.5
#1
Pass TD
50
#1
Pass Int
12
#16
Sack Rate
4.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. KC has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2018. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

LACLos Angeles Chargers21-11-12-0+4.5+4.5
DENDenver Broncos22-01-10-1-1+5.5-0.5
LVLas Vegas Raiders22-01-11-1+19.5+5.2
PITPittsburgh Steelers11-01-01-0+5.0+9.5
SFSan Francisco 49ers11-01-01-0+11.0+5.0
JAXJacksonville Jaguars11-01-00-1+16.0+13.0
NENew England Patriots10-11-01-0-3.0+1.0
CINCincinnati Bengals11-01-00-1+35.0+28.5
CLECleveland Browns11-01-01-0+16.0+8.5
ARIArizona Cardinals11-00-10-1+12.0-4.5
LARLos Angeles Rams10-10-0-11-0-3.0+0.0
BALBaltimore Ravens11-00-11-0+3.0-3.5
SEASeattle Seahawks10-10-11-0-7.0-8.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep33-03-03-0100%
Oct54-14-11-3-180%
Nov32-11-1-12-150%
Dec53-21-44-120%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu10-10-11-00%
Sun1311-28-58-4-162%
Mon21-11-0-11-1100%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)98-18-15-3-189%
Second half (W10+)74-31-5-15-217%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass1412-28-5-18-5-162%
Turf20-21-12-050%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division65-13-33-2-150%
Same conference65-15-14-283%
Inter-conference42-21-2-13-133%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Cold (<40°F)21-10-22-00%
Cool (40-59°F)97-25-44-4-156%
Mild (60-74°F)32-12-0-12-1100%
Warm (75°F+)22-02-02-0100%

By wind

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Calm (<5 mph)42-22-1-14-067%
Breezy (5-14 mph)108-25-55-4-150%
Windy (≥15 mph)22-02-01-1100%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUW1
ATSW1
O/UU1

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak5
Longest SU loss streak2
Longest ATS cover7
Longest ATS no-cover4
Longest O streak5
Longest U streak2

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win118-36-4-17-3-160%
After a loss43-12-22-250%
On 2+ winning streak85-35-2-15-371%
On 2+ losing streak11-01-00-1100%
vs winning opp.84-44-3-15-357%
vs losing opp.55-02-32-2-140%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor1612-49-6-110-5-160%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home87-14-43-4-150%
Domestic road85-35-2-17-171%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)87-14-43-4-150%
Medium (500-1500)75-25-1-16-183%
Long (1500+)10-10-11-00%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)10-10-11-00%
Standard (5-7d)109-17-35-4-170%
Long week (8-10d)31-21-1-12-150%
Bye+ (11+d)11-00-11-00%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 3-03 G
OctATS 4-15 G
NovATS 1-1-13 G
DecATS 1-45 G
By day of week
ThuATS 0-11 G
SunATS 8-513 G
MonATS 1-0-12 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 8-19 G
Second half (W10+)ATS 1-5-17 G
By surface
GrassATS 8-5-114 G
TurfATS 1-12 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 3-36 G
Same conferenceATS 5-16 G
Inter-conferenceATS 1-2-14 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 9-6-116 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 4-48 G
Domestic roadATS 5-2-18 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 5-1-17 G
Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-310 G
Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-1-13 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 3-2-16 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-11 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-14 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.9 ptsBias +4.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)6-100.523 #820.621.837.88-43.16
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)12-40.480 #2635.326.3279.13-152.20
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)12-40.477 #2826.820.6166.55-25.54
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)4-120.547 #218.129.2-21.20-185.82

Insights

A look at how the 2018 Kansas City Chiefs ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), and offensive epa per play (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per rush allowed (31st of 32), defensive rush yards allowed per carry (31st of 32), and defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (30th of 32).

Rivalries

  • Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.