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Houston Texans

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

38.99

#15

Def EXP

-40.05

#20

Net EXP

-1.06

Record

10-7

Pythag 9.2 (+0.8)

Power Rating

100.9

#15

SRS

+0.19

#15

SoS Rank

#25

pts: −1.2 (#27)

#25

Pts / Game

22.2

Home 24.6 · Road 19.5

#13

Net Pts / G

+1.4

#12

Pts Allowed / G

20.8

Home 20.3 · Road 21.3

#11

Yds / Play

5.40

#12

Yds/Play Allowed

5.20

#16

3rd Down %

37.9%

#19

3rd Down % Allowed

35.7%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	377	370.06	+6.94	#13
Total Yards	5820	5,636.94	+183.06	#12
Yds / Play	5.40	5.25	+0.15	#12
1st Downs	329	327.44	+1.56	#16
Turnovers	14	22.94	-8.94	#1
Fumbles Lost	6	9.50	-3.50	#6
EXP Pts	38.99	27.68	+11.31	#15

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	353	370.06	-17.06	#11
Total Yards	5622	5,636.94	-14.94	#14
Yds / Play	5.20	5.24	-0.04	#16
1st Downs	332	327.44	+4.56	#19
Turnovers	24	22.94	+1.06	#16
Fumbles Lost	10	9.50	+0.50	#14
EXP Pts	-40.05	-27.68	-12.37	#20

Scoring Composition

Where Houston Texans's points come from. Total = 377 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	592	572.34	+19.66	#12
Pass Cmp	372	369	+3	#13
Cmp %	62.80	64.46	-1.66	#23
Pass Yds	4173	3,721.72	+451.28	#7
Yds / Att	7	6.52	+0.48	#7
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.08	+1.12	#4
Adj Y/A	7.40	6.29	+1.11	#6
Adj NY/A	6.80	5.84	+0.96	#6
Pass TD	27	23.56	+3.44	#14
TD %	4.60	4.12	+0.48	#11
Pass Int	8	13.44	-5.44	#3
Int %	1.40	2.35	-0.95	#2
Sack %	7.40	7.17	+0.23	#22
Pass Rating	93.40	86.88	+6.52	#8
EXP Pts Pass	88.91	41.96	+46.95	#10

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	565	572.34	-7.34	#20
Pass Cmp	382	369	+13	#20
Cmp %	67.60	64.44	+3.16	#29
Pass Yds	3979	3,721.72	+257.28	#23
Yds / Att	7.70	7.03	+0.67	#30
Yds / Cmp	11.30	10.89	+0.41	#24
Adj Y/A	7.20	6.79	+0.41	#22
Adj NY/A	6	5.82	+0.18	#18
Pass TD	17	23.56	-6.56	#1
TD %	3	4.12	-1.12	#2
Pass Int	14	13.44	+0.56	#16
Int %	2.50	2.35	+0.15	#16
Sack %	7.50	7.14	+0.36	#11
Pass Rating	90.10	88.94	+1.16	#18
EXP Pts Pass	-70.58	-41.96	-28.62	#21

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for HOU 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

89.0%

#12 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#21 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#1 of 32

Return Yards

905

#5 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

89.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	13	0	100.0%
30-39	13	0	100.0%
40-49	3	1	75.0%
50-59	5	3	62.5%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2922222324262727282828292929(13)

30–3933353636363838383838383839(13)

40–49424345(3)

50–595051515354(5)

Missed FG distances

40–4948(1)

50–59505158(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3938(1)

50–5954(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

292

Punt avg

9.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

613

Kickoff avg

26.7

Total return yds

905

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3735

Gross avg

46.7

Net yards

3423

Net avg

42.8

Long

74 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

40.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.3%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

192

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for HOU 2023.

QB Hits

113

#7 of 32

Pass Def.

#21 of 32

TFL

#2 of 32

Forced Fum.

#10 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for HOU 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+37.4

#12 of 32

Rush EPA

-59.4

#26 of 32

Recv EPA

+132.6

#8 of 32

CPOE

-1.27

#22 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for HOU 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,177

#2 of 32

Pass YAC

1,982

#12 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,177

#2 of 32

Recv YAC

1,982

#12 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for HOU 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

114

#29 of 32

Penalty Yds

937

#28 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#28 of 32

Yds / Game

55.1

#28 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Total Yards	4820	5820	1000
All Purpose Yds	6260	7218	958
Kickoff Yds	4564	5424	860

5-Year Trajectory

HOU Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

W at IND · 23–19

HOU covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for HOU 2023.

Cmp %

62.8%

#23

Pass Yds/G

245.5

Pass Rating

93.4

Pass TD

#14

Pass Int

Sack Rate

7.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. HOU has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	10-7	9-8	52.9%	6-11	35.3%	+1.4	+2.2	24	+27.5
Home	9	6-3	4-5	44.4%	3-6	33.3%	+4.2	+3.5	24	+27.0
Away	8	4-4	5-3	62.5%	3-5	37.5%	-1.8	+0.8	20	+27.5
As favorite	7	5-2	3-4	42.9%	2-5	28.6%	+1.9	-1.6	23	+18.0
As underdog	10	5-5	6-4	60.0%	4-6	40.0%	+1.1	+4.9	24	+27.5
Division games	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	2-4	33.3%	+6.0	+7.0	23	+27.5
Non-division	11	6-5	5-6	45.5%	4-7	36.4%	-1.1	-0.4	24	+27.0
Pick-em (≤3)	10	5-5	5-5	50.0%	3-7	30.0%	+0.8	+1.6	24	+27.0
Small favorite (3-7)	4	3-1	2-2	—	1-3	—	+2.2	-2.1	23	+18.0
Small underdog (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+3.0	+8.5	3	+8.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+2.0	+10.5	20	+27.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


IND	Indianapolis Colts	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-3.5	-3.8
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+8.5	+12.8
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+13.0	+12.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-6.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+24.0	+27.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-2.0	+0.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+9.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-2.0	-5.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+2.0	-0.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+8.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+5.0	-0.5
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+1.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-24.0	-27.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-14.0	-11.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Oct	4	2-2	3-1	0-4	75%
Nov	4	3-1	1-3	2-2	25%
Dec	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%
Jan	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sat	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	16	9-7	8-8	6-10	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	4-4	4-4	3-5	50%
Second half (W10+)	9	6-3	5-4	3-6	56%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Turf	12	8-4	7-5	4-8	58%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	4-2	2-4	67%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
Inter-conference	5	3-2	2-3	1-4	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Indoor	12	7-5	6-6	3-9	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	3-2	3-2	3-2	60%
Indoor	12	7-5	6-6	3-9	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	2
ATS	W	2
O/U	U	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	9	4-5	4-5	3-6	44%
After a loss	7	6-1	5-2	3-4	71%
On 2+ winning streak	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
vs winning opp.	7	5-2	5-2	2-5	71%
vs losing opp.	7	4-3	2-5	3-4	29%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
Retractable (open)	3	1-2	2-1	1-2	67%
Retractable (closed)	8	6-2	4-4	2-6	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	6-3	4-5	3-6	44%
Domestic road	8	4-4	5-3	3-5	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	6-3	4-5	3-6	44%
Medium (500-1500)	8	4-4	5-3	3-5	62%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Standard (5-7d)	15	10-5	9-6	6-9	60%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 3-25 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 8-816 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-48 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-49 G

By surface

GrassATS 2-13 G

TurfATS 7-512 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-36 G

Retractable (open)ATS 2-13 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 4-48 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-59 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-59 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 5-38 G

By rest days

Standard (5-7d)ATS 9-615 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-22 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 4-26 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-13 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-36 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.6 ptsBias +2.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	10-7	0.474 #25	22.2	20.8	38.99	-40.05
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	9-8	0.491 #18	23.3	24.4	30.12	-38.18
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	9-8	0.533 #6	22.2	21.8	13.64	-8.04
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	6-11	0.522 #11	17.9	21.6	3.82	-69.25

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Houston Texans ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive rush success rate allowed (1st of 32), defensive avg time to pressure (2nd of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yards before contact per carry (31st of 32), offensive rush success rate (29th of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (29th of 32). Notably, defensive epa per rush allowed (2nd) yet offensive rush success rate (29th).


Drives	191	188.09	+2.91	#12
Plays / Drive	5.90	5.90	+0.00	#14
Yds / Drive	30.40	30.04	+0.36	#14
Points / Drive	1.89	1.89	0.00	#14
Score %	37.20	35.66	+1.54	#13
Turnover %	7.30	11.54	-4.24	#1


Rush Att	444	456.44	-12.44	#20
Rush Yds	1647	1,915.22	-268.22	#22
Rush Y/A	3.70	4.18	-0.48	#28
Rush TD	10	14.69	-4.69	#24
EXP Pts Rush	-36.63	-5.27	-31.36	#26


3rd Down Att	232	224.81	+7.19	#9
3rd Down Made	88	87.13	+0.88	#14
4th Down Att	21	24.97	-3.97	#19
4th Down Made	8	12.88	-4.88	#30
Red Zone Att	53	52.94	+0.06	#15
Red Zone Scores	29	29.09	-0.09	#15


Drives	190	188.09	+1.91	#23
Plays / Drive	5.90	5.90	+0.00	#17
Yds / Drive	29.60	30.03	-0.42	#14
Points / Drive	1.80	1.88	-0.08	#13
Score %	34.70	35.59	-0.89	#16
Turnover %	11.10	11.57	-0.47	#20


Rush Att	468	456.44	+11.56	#19
Rush Yds	1643	1,915.22	-272.22	#6
Rush Y/A	3.50	4.20	-0.70	#2
Rush TD	19	14.69	+4.31	#27
EXP Pts Rush	34.40	5.27	+29.13	#3


2019	110.6	-128.2	-17.6
2020	140.2	-242.8	-102.6
2021	-74.3	-143.2	-217.5
2022	-120.6	-80.4	-201.0
2023	39.0	-40.1	-1.1

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South