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Minnesota Vikings

NFC North

Team

Off EXP

42.62

#13

Def EXP

-37.62

#18

Net EXP

Record

7-10

Pythag 8.0 (-1.0)

Power Rating

102.7

SRS

−0.45

#18

SoS Rank

#15

pts: +0.6 (#11)

#15

Pts / Game

20.2

Home 19.3 · Road 21.1

#22

Net Pts / G

−1.1

#18

Pts Allowed / G

21.3

Home 23.3 · Road 19.6

#13

Yds / Play

5.50

#10

Yds/Play Allowed

5.20

#13

3rd Down %

38.1%

#18

3rd Down % Allowed

41.4%

#26

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	344	370.06	-26.06	#22
Total Yards	5912	5,636.94	+275.06	#10
Yds / Play	5.50	5.25	+0.25	#10
1st Downs	340	327.44	+12.56	#10
Turnovers	34	22.94	+11.06	#31
Fumbles Lost	15	9.50	+5.50	#30
EXP Pts	42.62	27.68	+14.94	#13

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	362	370.06	-8.06	#13
Total Yards	5664	5,636.94	+27.06	#16
Yds / Play	5.20	5.24	-0.04	#13
1st Downs	328	327.44	+0.56	#16
Turnovers	22	22.94	-0.94	#20
Fumbles Lost	11	9.50	+1.50	#10
EXP Pts	-37.62	-27.68	-9.94	#18

Scoring Composition

Where Minnesota Vikings's points come from. Total = 344 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	631	572.34	+58.66	#4
Pass Cmp	424	369	+55	#2
Cmp %	67.20	64.46	+2.74	#6
Pass Yds	4359	3,721.72	+637.28	#5
Yds / Att	6.90	6.52	+0.38	#9
Yds / Cmp	10.30	10.08	+0.22	#16
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.29	+0.21	#15
Adj NY/A	6.10	5.84	+0.26	#13
Pass TD	30	23.56	+6.44	#6
TD %	4.80	4.12	+0.68	#10
Pass Int	19	13.44	+5.56	#29
Int %	3	2.35	+0.65	#26
Sack %	6.90	7.17	-0.27	#19
Pass Rating	90.20	86.88	+3.32	#13
EXP Pts Pass	64.35	41.96	+22.39	#15

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	606	572.34	+33.66	#7
Pass Cmp	426	369	+57	#32
Cmp %	70.30	64.44	+5.86	#32
Pass Yds	3986	3,721.72	+264.28	#24
Yds / Att	7.10	7.03	+0.07	#17
Yds / Cmp	10.10	10.89	-0.79	#4
Adj Y/A	7	6.79	+0.21	#17
Adj NY/A	6.10	5.82	+0.28	#21
Pass TD	23	23.56	-0.56	#19
TD %	3.80	4.12	-0.32	#14
Pass Int	11	13.44	-2.44	#21
Int %	1.80	2.35	-0.55	#22
Sack %	6.60	7.14	-0.54	#21
Pass Rating	95.20	88.94	+6.26	#26
EXP Pts Pass	-71.57	-41.96	-29.61	#23

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for MIN 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

80.0%

#27 of 32

PAT%

95.0%

#20 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#20 of 32

Return Yards

766

#11 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

80.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	1	0	100.0%
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	9	0	100.0%
40-49	3	2	60.0%
50-59	4	3	57.1%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

Under 2019(1)

20–2920212325252629(7)

30–39303132333434363939(9)

40–49404043(3)

50–5951535454(4)

Missed FG distances

40–494249(2)

50–59505457(3)

Blocked FG distances

40–4944(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

95.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

289

Punt avg

7.8

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

477

Kickoff avg

25.1

Total return yds

766

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2900

Gross avg

48.3

Net yards

2452

Net avg

40.9

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

28.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

11.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

277

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for MIN 2023.

#21 of 32

#24 of 32

#29 of 32

#1 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for MIN 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+2.7

#17 of 32

Rush EPA

-28.5

#16 of 32

Recv EPA

+105.0

#15 of 32

CPOE

+3.00

#7 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for MIN 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,930

#7 of 32

Pass YAC

1,926

#16 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,930

#7 of 32

Recv YAC

1,926

#16 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for MIN 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#8 of 32

Penalty Yds

670

#4 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#2 of 32

Yds / Game

39.4

#4 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Punt Ret Yds	167	289	122
Penalties Yds	684	670	-14
Punt Ret	26	37	11

5-Year Trajectory

MIN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L at DET · 20–30

MIN failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for MIN 2023.

Cmp %

67.2%

Pass Yds/G

256.4

Pass Rating

90.2

#13

Pass TD

Pass Int

#29

Sack Rate

6.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. MIN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	7-7-3	50.0%	7-10	41.2%	-1.1	-0.2	14	+13.0
Home	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-4.0	-3.1	8	+12.0
Away	9	5-4	5-1-3	83.3%	4-5	44.4%	+1.6	+2.3	14	+13.0
As favorite	8	4-4	3-4-1	42.9%	1-7	12.5%	-0.1	-2.7	14	+13.0
As underdog	9	3-6	4-3-2	57.1%	6-3	66.7%	-1.9	+1.9	8	+12.0
Division games	6	2-4	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	-3.5	-3.8	14	+13.0
Non-division	11	5-6	5-3-3	62.5%	4-7	36.4%	+0.3	+1.7	8	+12.0
Pick-em (≤3)	10	4-6	4-4-2	50.0%	4-6	40.0%	-0.8	-0.9	14	+13.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	1-1	1-1	—	0-2	—	+2.5	-1.8	8	+3.5
Small underdog (3-7)	4	1-3	1-2-1	—	3-1	—	-5.0	-0.9	3	+6.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	0-1	—	+5.0	+12.0	5	+12.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


CHI	Chicago Bears	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+2.0	-1.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-4.5	-5.5
DET	Detroit Lions	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-8.0	-5.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-7.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-6.0	+0.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-5.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+3.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-3.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+12.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+8.0	+11.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-1.0	+1.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	+3.0	+0.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-3.0	+0.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	0-2-1	1-2	0%
Oct	5	4-1	4-1	0-5	80%
Nov	4	2-2	3-1	2-2	75%
Dec	4	1-3	0-2-2	3-1	0%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	—
Sat	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	—
Sun	13	6-7	6-6-1	5-8	50%
Mon	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	5-3-1	2-7	62%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	2-4-2	5-3	33%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	4-1	4-0-1	0-5	100%
Turf	10	3-7	3-6-1	6-4	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	2-4	3-3	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	4-1-1	3-3	80%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	1-2-2	1-4	33%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	1-2	2-0-1	1-2	100%
Warm (75°F+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	12	4-8	3-7-2	6-6	30%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	2-1	2-0-1	1-2	100%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	12	4-8	3-7-2	6-6	30%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	4
ATS	L	3
O/U	O	4

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	5
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	6
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	6

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	4-3	5-1-1	3-4	83%
After a loss	9	3-6	2-5-2	4-5	29%
On 2+ winning streak	4	3-1	4-0	2-2	100%
On 2+ losing streak	5	2-3	1-3-1	2-3	25%
vs winning opp.	7	2-5	2-3-2	5-2	40%
vs losing opp.	8	4-4	4-3-1	1-7	57%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	3-3	4-0-2	2-4	100%
Dome	10	3-7	2-7-1	4-6	22%
Retractable (open)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Domestic road	9	5-4	5-1-3	4-5	83%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Short (<500)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Medium (500-1500)	7	3-4	3-1-3	4-3	75%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	—
Standard (5-7d)	10	5-5	6-3-1	5-5	67%
Long week (8-10d)	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	—

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-2-13 G

OctATS 4-15 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 0-2-24 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-0-11 G

SatATS 0-0-11 G

SunATS 6-6-113 G

MonATS 1-12 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-3-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-4-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-0-15 G

TurfATS 3-6-110 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 4-1-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-2-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 4-0-26 G

DomeATS 2-7-110 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 2-68 G

Domestic roadATS 5-1-39 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 2-68 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-02 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-1-37 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-3-110 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-34 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-34 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-2-15 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-2-26 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-02 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 6.2 ptsBias -0.2 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC North

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Chicago Bears (CHI)	7-10	0.464 #28	21.2	22.3	-10.73	-34.58
Detroit Lions (DET)	12-5	0.481 #22	27.1	23.2	145.19	-62.60
Green Bay Packers (GB)	9-8	0.474 #26	22.5	20.6	123.35	-60.86
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)	7-10	0.509 #15	20.2	21.3	42.62	-37.62

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Minnesota Vikings ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg opp time to throw (3rd of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (3rd of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (4th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg wr separation allowed (32nd of 32), defensive avg yac allowed (32nd of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (27th of 32).

Rivalries

Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings have met 16 times in the regular season. Minnesota Vikings leads the series 8 to 7, with 1 tie. The most lopsided meeting was a 27-point win for Green Bay Packers in 2021.


Drives	179	188.09	-9.09	#26
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.90	+0.30	#9
Yds / Drive	32.90	30.04	+2.86	#10
Points / Drive	1.85	1.89	-0.04	#17
Score %	34.10	35.66	-1.56	#22
Turnover %	18.40	11.54	+6.86	#32


Rush Att	393	456.44	-63.44	#28
Rush Yds	1553	1,915.22	-362.22	#29
Rush Y/A	4	4.18	-0.18	#24
Rush TD	7	14.69	-7.69	#31
EXP Pts Rush	-16.84	-5.27	-11.57	#20


3rd Down Att	223	224.81	-1.81	#20
3rd Down Made	85	87.13	-2.13	#19
4th Down Att	29	24.97	+4.03	#9
4th Down Made	17	12.88	+4.13	#6
Red Zone Att	51	52.94	-1.94	#18
Red Zone Scores	24	29.09	-5.09	#23


Drives	186	188.09	-2.09	#17
Plays / Drive	6.10	5.90	+0.20	#26
Yds / Drive	30.50	30.03	+0.48	#19
Points / Drive	1.91	1.88	+0.03	#18
Score %	37.10	35.59	+1.51	#20
Turnover %	11.30	11.57	-0.27	#19


Rush Att	446	456.44	-10.44	#13
Rush Yds	1678	1,915.22	-237.22	#8
Rush Y/A	3.80	4.20	-0.40	#6
Rush TD	14	14.69	-0.69	#13
EXP Pts Rush	17.31	5.27	+12.04	#11


2019	111.7	-1.5	+110.2
2020	157.7	-180.3	-22.6
2021	72.1	-86.3	-14.3
2022	75.8	-80.0	-4.2
2023	42.6	-37.6	+5.0

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC North

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC North