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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

-38.96

#26

Def EXP

-133.48

#30

Net EXP

-172.44

Record

4-13

Pythag 5.0 (-1.0)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

−7.98

#30

SoS Rank

#26

pts: −0.4 (#21)

#26

Pts / Game

17.0

Home 19.0 · Road 15.2

#30

Net Pts / G

−7.5

#28

Pts Allowed / G

24.5

Home 26.3 · Road 23.0

#22

Yds / Play

4.80

#29

Yds/Play Allowed

5.50

#19

3rd Down %

34.9%

#29

3rd Down % Allowed

43.3%

#26

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	289	389.50	-100.50	#30
Total Yards	4964	5,736.19	-772.19	#31
Yds / Play	4.80	5.42	-0.62	#29
1st Downs	301	335.31	-34.31	#28
Turnovers	23	20.56	+2.44	#23
Fumbles Lost	12	8.47	+3.53	#28
EXP Pts	-38.96	62.00	-100.96	#26

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	417	389.50	+27.50	#22
Total Yards	5829	5,736.19	+92.81	#22
Yds / Play	5.50	5.43	+0.07	#19
1st Downs	348	335.31	+12.69	#27
Turnovers	12	20.56	-8.56	#31
Fumbles Lost	5	8.47	-3.47	#28
EXP Pts	-133.48	-62.00	-71.48	#30

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 289 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	529	556.59	-27.59	#24
Pass Cmp	342	363.41	-21.41	#22
Cmp %	64.70	65.29	-0.59	#17
Pass Yds	2995	3,699.50	-704.50	#32
Yds / Att	5.70	6.69	-0.99	#29
Yds / Cmp	8.80	10.23	-1.43	#30
Adj Y/A	5.40	6.63	-1.23	#29
Adj NY/A	4.90	6.17	-1.27	#29
Pass TD	18	25.28	-7.28	#31
TD %	3.40	4.58	-1.18	#29
Pass Int	11	12.09	-1.09	#12
Int %	2.10	2.15	-0.05	#14
Sack %	9	6.82	+2.18	#29
Pass Rating	82.20	90.63	-8.43	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-18.01	68.74	-86.75	#29

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	533	556.59	-23.59	#23
Pass Cmp	346	363.41	-17.41	#9
Cmp %	64.90	65.30	-0.40	#11
Pass Yds	3596	3,699.50	-103.50	#10
Yds / Att	7	7.13	-0.13	#12
Yds / Cmp	10.80	10.94	-0.14	#15
Adj Y/A	7.50	7.09	+0.41	#25
Adj NY/A	6.80	6.14	+0.66	#28
Pass TD	27	25.28	+1.72	#21
TD %	5.10	4.57	+0.53	#23
Pass Int	7	12.09	-5.09	#26
Int %	1.30	2.15	-0.85	#27
Sack %	5	6.86	-1.86	#32
Pass Rating	96.90	92.48	+4.42	#26
EXP Pts Pass	-119.58	-68.74	-50.84	#30

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2024. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

79.0%

#25 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#13 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 1

#20 of 32

Return Yards

1,089

#14 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

63 yd

FG %

79.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	5	1	83.3%
30-39	10	1	90.9%
40-49	5	1	83.3%
50-59	5	2	71.4%
60+	1	1	50.0%

Made FG distances

20–292325252829(5)

30–3930313232333535373738(10)

40–494141424244(5)

50–595050525454(5)

60+63(1)

Missed FG distances

20–2925(1)

30–3933(1)

40–4945(1)

50–595356(2)

60+68(1)

Blocked FG distances

40–4948(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

60+68(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

427

Punt avg

14.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

662

Kickoff avg

25.5

Total return yds

1089

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3486

Gross avg

49.8

Net yards

2908

Net avg

41.5

Long

75 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

44.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

11.4%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

406

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2024.

#31 of 32

#13 of 32

#32 of 32

#13 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2024. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-53.1

#27 of 32

Rush EPA

-31.5

#25 of 32

Recv EPA

+65.6

#25 of 32

CPOE

+1.73

#14 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2024 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,846

#27 of 32

Pass YAC

1,701

#27 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,846

#27 of 32

Recv YAC

1,701

#27 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2024. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

111

#18 of 32

Penalty Yds

916

#19 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#21 of 32

Yds / Game

53.9

#19 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2024 vs 2023.


All Purpose Yds	5807	6502	695
Kickoff Yds	3830	4348	518
Rush Yds	1627	1969	342

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2020 through 2024. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2024

W vs BUF · 23–16

NE covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2024.

Cmp %

64.7%

#17

Pass Yds/G

176.2

#32

Pass Rating

82.2

#25

Pass TD

#31

Pass Int

#12

Sack Rate

9.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	4-13	7-9-1	43.8%	11-6	64.7%	-7.5	-1.5	16	+22.5
Home	8	2-6	4-4	50.0%	7-1	87.5%	-7.2	-2.9	7	+10.0
Away	9	2-7	3-5-1	37.5%	4-5	44.4%	-7.8	-0.2	16	+22.5
As underdog	17	4-13	7-9-1	43.8%	11-6	64.7%	-7.5	-1.5	16	+22.5
Division games	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	-6.3	+0.3	7	+11.0
Non-division	11	2-9	4-6-1	40.0%	8-3	72.7%	-8.2	-2.5	16	+22.5
Pick-em (≤3)	4	1-3	2-1-1	—	2-2	—	-0.5	+2.1	7	+10.0
Small underdog (3-7)	8	1-7	2-6	25.0%	6-2	75.0%	-12.0	-6.3	16	+22.5
Large underdog (7+)	5	2-3	3-2	60.0%	3-2	60.0%	-6.0	+3.4	6	+14.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2024. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NYJ	New York Jets	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-9.0	-2.2
MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-12.0	-7.2
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+2.0	+10.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+6.0	+14.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+0.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-17.0	-6.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-20.0	-13.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-16.0	-9.5
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	-3.0	+0.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+16.0	+22.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+1.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-13.0	-7.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-33.0	-27.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%
Oct	4	1-3	1-3	3-1	25%
Nov	4	1-3	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Dec	4	0-4	2-2	3-1	50%
Jan	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	15	4-11	7-7-1	10-5	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	2-7	3-5-1	5-4	38%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	4-4	6-2	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	1-5	1-4-1	4-2	20%
Turf	11	3-8	6-5	7-4	55%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
Same conference	6	1-5	2-3-1	4-2	40%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	2-3	4-1	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	1-2	3-0	2-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	1-3	1-3	4-0	25%
Mild (60-74°F)	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%
Warm (75°F+)	4	0-4	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	0-3	1-2	1-2	33%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	13	4-9	6-6-1	9-4	50%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	1
Longest SU loss streak	6
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	3	0-3	1-1-1	2-1	50%
After a loss	13	3-10	5-8	9-4	38%
On 2+ losing streak	10	2-8	4-6	8-2	40%
vs winning opp.	5	1-4	3-2	4-1	60%
vs losing opp.	9	1-8	2-6-1	7-2	25%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	16	4-12	7-8-1	10-6	47%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	4-4	7-1	50%
Domestic road	8	2-6	3-4-1	3-5	43%
International	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	4-4	7-1	50%
Short (<500)	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%
Medium (500-1500)	4	2-2	2-1-1	1-3	67%
Long (1500+)	3	0-3	0-3	3-0	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	2-10	5-6-1	8-4	45%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 1-2-14 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 7-7-115 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-5-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-4-16 G

TurfATS 6-511 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-3-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-8-116 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-48 G

Domestic roadATS 3-4-18 G

InternationalATS 0-11 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-1-14 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-33 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-6-112 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-02 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-35 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-58 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 0-1-12 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.6 ptsBias -1.5 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	13-4	0.467 #28	30.9	21.6	221.37	-51.35
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	8-9	0.419 #32	20.3	21.4	0.06	-5.70
New England Patriots (NE)	4-13	0.471 #26	17.0	24.5	-38.96	-133.48
New York Jets (NYJ)	5-12	0.495 #20	19.9	23.8	28.95	-93.24

Insights

A look at how the 2024 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yards after contact per carry (3rd of 32), defensive avg yac allowed (5th of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (32nd of 32), and defensive sack rate (32nd of 32).


Drives	178	181.84	-3.84	#23
Plays / Drive	6	6.01	-0.01	#16
Yds / Drive	27.80	31.52	-3.72	#26
Points / Drive	1.58	2.08	-0.50	#30
Score %	30.90	38.90	-8.00	#28
Turnover %	12.90	10.64	+2.26	#24


Rush Att	446	458.97	-12.97	#20
Rush Yds	1969	2,036.69	-67.69	#13
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.41	-0.01	#14
Rush TD	11	15.97	-4.97	#26
EXP Pts Rush	-7.76	8.62	-16.38	#20


3rd Down Att	215	214.81	+0.19	#16
3rd Down Made	75	85.25	-10.25	#30
4th Down Att	24	23.94	+0.06	#15
4th Down Made	14	13.59	+0.41	#17
Red Zone Att	47	55.44	-8.44	#25
Red Zone Scores	22	31.94	-9.94	#30


Drives	173	181.84	-8.84	#6
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.01	+0.39	#28
Yds / Drive	33.40	31.48	+1.93	#25
Points / Drive	2.30	2.07	+0.23	#26
Score %	42.80	38.85	+3.95	#24
Turnover %	5.80	10.70	-4.90	#30


Rush Att	507	458.97	+48.03	#29
Rush Yds	2233	2,036.69	+196.31	#23
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.42	-0.02	#13
Rush TD	16	15.97	+0.03	#17
EXP Pts Rush	-25.99	-8.62	-17.37	#25


2020	55.9	-113.1	-57.2
2021	117.4	35.5	+153.0
2022	-25.8	55.4	+29.5
2023	-157.6	25.4	-132.1
2024	-39.0	-133.5	-172.4

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East