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Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

30.12

#17

Def EXP

-38.18

#19

Net EXP

-8.06

Record

9-8

Pythag 8.0 (+1.0)

Power Rating

95.5

#29

SRS

−1.47

#21

SoS Rank

#18

pts: −0.3 (#20)

#18

Pts / Game

23.3

Home 25.7 · Road 20.6

#11

Net Pts / G

−1.1

#19

Pts Allowed / G

24.4

Home 25.4 · Road 23.3

#28

Yds / Play

5.20

#17

Yds/Play Allowed

5.20

#15

3rd Down %

35.3%

#26

3rd Down % Allowed

37.1%

#11

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	396	370.06	+25.94	#11
Total Yards	5725	5,636.94	+88.06	#15
Yds / Play	5.20	5.25	-0.05	#17
1st Downs	324	327.44	-3.44	#19
Turnovers	22	22.94	-0.94	#17
Fumbles Lost	12	9.50	+2.50	#25
EXP Pts	30.12	27.68	+2.44	#17

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	415	370.06	+44.94	#28
Total Yards	5947	5,636.94	+310.06	#24
Yds / Play	5.20	5.24	-0.04	#15
1st Downs	346	327.44	+18.56	#25
Turnovers	24	22.94	+1.06	#17
Fumbles Lost	9	9.50	-0.50	#19
EXP Pts	-38.18	-27.68	-10.50	#19

Scoring Composition

Where Indianapolis Colts's points come from. Total = 396 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	574	572.34	+1.66	#18
Pass Cmp	355	369	-14	#21
Cmp %	61.80	64.46	-2.66	#27
Pass Yds	3666	3,721.72	-55.72	#20
Yds / Att	6.40	6.52	-0.12	#19
Yds / Cmp	10.30	10.08	+0.22	#15
Adj Y/A	6.20	6.29	-0.09	#20
Adj NY/A	5.80	5.84	-0.04	#19
Pass TD	18	23.56	-5.56	#25
TD %	3.10	4.12	-1.02	#26
Pass Int	10	13.44	-3.44	#7
Int %	1.70	2.35	-0.65	#5
Sack %	6.70	7.17	-0.47	#17
Pass Rating	83.40	86.88	-3.48	#20
EXP Pts Pass	42.57	41.96	+0.61	#18

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	568	572.34	-4.34	#18
Pass Cmp	370	369	+1	#15
Cmp %	65.10	64.44	+0.66	#15
Pass Yds	3842	3,721.72	+120.28	#16
Yds / Att	7.30	7.03	+0.27	#23
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.89	+0.31	#21
Adj Y/A	6.90	6.79	+0.11	#16
Adj NY/A	5.80	5.82	-0.02	#15
Pass TD	21	23.56	-2.56	#13
TD %	3.70	4.12	-0.42	#12
Pass Int	15	13.44	+1.56	#14
Int %	2.60	2.35	+0.25	#13
Sack %	8.20	7.14	+1.06	#8
Pass Rating	88.20	88.94	-0.74	#14
EXP Pts Pass	-35.93	-41.96	+6.03	#14

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for IND 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

80.0%

#27 of 32

PAT%

97.0%

#14 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#8 of 32

Return Yards

467

#31 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

57 yd

FG %

80.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	9	1	90.0%
40-49	7	2	77.8%
50-59	8	4	66.7%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29202323262728282829(9)

30–39313133333535363838(9)

40–4942424243454646(7)

50–595152535353545657(8)

Missed FG distances

30–3938(1)

40–494347(2)

50–5956575758(4)

Blocked FG distances

60+60(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

97.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5953(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

267

Punt avg

9.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

200

Kickoff avg

22.2

Total return yds

467

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3281

Gross avg

47.6

Net yards

2911

Net avg

41.6

Long

69 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

30.4%

Touchbacks

TB %

0.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

360

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for IND 2023.

QB Hits

108

#10 of 32

Pass Def.

#22 of 32

TFL

#7 of 32

Forced Fum.

#7 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for IND 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+0.1

#18 of 32

Rush EPA

-41.1

#22 of 32

Recv EPA

+90.9

#17 of 32

CPOE

-3.93

#30 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for IND 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,255

#19 of 32

Pass YAC

1,863

#18 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,255

#19 of 32

Recv YAC

1,863

#18 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for IND 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#12 of 32

Penalty Yds

685

#6 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#18 of 32

Yds / Game

40.3

#6 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Kickoff Yds	5069	5960	891
Total Yards	5298	5725	427
Pass Yds	3432	3666	234

5-Year Trajectory

IND Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L vs HOU · 19–23

IND failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for IND 2023.

Cmp %

61.8%

#27

Pass Yds/G

215.6

#20

Pass Rating

83.4

#20

Pass TD

#25

Pass Int

Sack Rate

6.7%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. IND has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	9-8	9-8	52.9%	11-6	64.7%	-1.1	+0.0	17	+15.5
Home	9	4-5	4-5	44.4%	7-2	77.8%	+0.2	+1.0	17	+15.5
Away	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	4-4	50.0%	-2.6	-1.1	14	+12.5
As favorite	7	7-0	6-1	85.7%	5-2	71.4%	+8.4	+6.6	17	+15.5
As underdog	10	2-8	3-7	30.0%	6-4	60.0%	-7.8	-4.6	7	+10.5
Division games	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	-1.7	-0.1	11	+10.0
Non-division	11	6-5	6-5	54.5%	7-4	63.6%	-0.8	+0.1	17	+15.5
Pick-em (≤3)	12	7-5	7-5	58.3%	7-5	58.3%	+0.2	+0.6	17	+15.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	1-0	0-1	—	1-0	—	+3.0	-0.5	3	-0.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	0-3	1-2	—	3-0	—	-9.3	-5.5	—	+2.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	0-1	—	+3.0	+10.5	3	+10.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-13.5	-9.5
HOU	Houston Texans	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+3.5	+3.8
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+5.0	+5.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+10.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-5.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+2.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-11.0	-9.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+12.5
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+4.0	+3.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+4.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-20.0	-17.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+15.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-19.0	-16.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+3.0	-0.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	5	1-4	2-3	4-1	40%
Nov	3	3-0	3-0	1-2	100%
Dec	5	3-2	2-3	4-1	40%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sat	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Sun	15	8-7	8-7	10-5	53%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	5-4	6-3	56%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	4-4	5-3	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	4-1	4-1	2-3	80%
Turf	10	4-6	4-6	7-3	40%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	3-3	4-2	50%
Same conference	6	4-2	4-2	4-2	67%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Warm (75°F+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	13	6-7	6-7	9-4	46%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Indoor	13	6-7	6-7	9-4	46%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	3
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	9	4-5	4-5	5-4	44%
After a loss	7	5-2	5-2	5-2	71%
On 2+ winning streak	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%
On 2+ losing streak	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
vs winning opp.	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%
vs losing opp.	9	6-3	5-4	6-3	56%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	4-2	4-2	3-3	67%
Retractable (open)	4	2-2	3-1	3-1	75%
Retractable (closed)	7	3-4	2-5	5-2	29%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	4-5	4-5	7-2	44%
Domestic road	7	4-3	4-3	4-3	57%
International	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	4-5	4-5	7-2	44%
Short (<500)	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Medium (500-1500)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Standard (5-7d)	14	8-6	8-6	9-5	57%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 3-03 G

DecATS 2-35 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

SatATS 1-12 G

SunATS 8-715 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-15 G

TurfATS 4-610 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 4-26 G

Retractable (open)ATS 3-14 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-57 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-59 G

Domestic roadATS 4-37 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-59 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-24 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-13 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Standard (5-7d)ATS 8-614 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-02 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-69 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-11 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 4-15 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.1 ptsBias +0.0 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	10-7	0.474 #25	22.2	20.8	38.99	-40.05
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	9-8	0.491 #18	23.3	24.4	30.12	-38.18
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	9-8	0.533 #6	22.2	21.8	13.64	-8.04
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	6-11	0.522 #11	17.9	21.6	3.82	-69.25

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Indianapolis Colts ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (1st of 32), offensive ryoe per attempt (5th of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), defensive avg wr separation allowed (27th of 32), and offensive yac over expected (27th of 32).


Drives	196	188.09	+7.91	#8
Plays / Drive	5.80	5.90	-0.10	#19
Yds / Drive	29.20	30.04	-0.84	#19
Points / Drive	1.83	1.89	-0.06	#20
Score %	35.70	35.66	+0.04	#15
Turnover %	9.20	11.54	-2.34	#9


Rush Att	479	456.44	+22.56	#11
Rush Yds	2059	1,915.22	+143.78	#10
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.18	+0.13	#10
Rush TD	19	14.69	+4.31	#7
EXP Pts Rush	-6.31	-5.27	-1.04	#16


3rd Down Att	232	224.81	+7.19	#10
3rd Down Made	82	87.13	-5.13	#23
4th Down Att	32	24.97	+7.03	#6
4th Down Made	16	12.88	+3.13	#8
Red Zone Att	57	52.94	+4.06	#12
Red Zone Scores	28	29.09	-1.09	#18


Drives	203	188.09	+14.91	#30
Plays / Drive	5.80	5.90	-0.10	#10
Yds / Drive	29.10	30.03	-0.92	#12
Points / Drive	2.01	1.88	+0.13	#24
Score %	38.90	35.59	+3.31	#26
Turnover %	11.80	11.57	+0.23	#15


Rush Att	518	456.44	+61.56	#31
Rush Yds	2105	1,915.22	+189.78	#24
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.20	-0.10	#13
Rush TD	22	14.69	+7.31	#29
EXP Pts Rush	-11.95	5.27	-17.22	#26


2019	74.8	-56.4	+18.4
2020	149.9	-59.6	+90.3
2021	127.1	-49.3	+77.8
2022	-110.5	-51.1	-161.5
2023	30.1	-38.2	-8.1

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South