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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

-135.03

#30

Def EXP

-56.65

#22

Net EXP

-191.68

Record

2-15

Pythag 3.5 (-1.5)

Power Rating

101.9

#11

SRS

−9.33

#31

SoS Rank

pts: +1.3 (#4)

Pts / Game

13.9

Home 13.4 · Road 14.3

#31

Net Pts / G

−10.6

#31

Pts Allowed / G

24.5

Home 20.4 · Road 28.1

#29

Yds / Play

4.10

#32

Yds/Play Allowed

4.90

3rd Down %

34.1%

#27

3rd Down % Allowed

38.0%

#15

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	236	370.06	-134.06	#31
Total Yards	4510	5,636.94	-1,126.94	#32
Yds / Play	4.10	5.25	-1.15	#32
1st Downs	297	327.44	-30.44	#27
Turnovers	20	22.94	-2.94	#15
Fumbles Lost	10	9.50	+0.50	#18
EXP Pts	-135.03	27.68	-162.71	#30

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	416	370.06	+45.94	#29
Total Yards	4997	5,636.94	-639.94	#4
Yds / Play	4.90	5.24	-0.34	#6
1st Downs	311	327.44	-16.44	#10
Turnovers	11	22.94	-11.94	#32
Fumbles Lost	3	9.50	-6.50	#32
EXP Pts	-56.65	-27.68	-28.97	#22

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 236 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	586	572.34	+13.66	#13
Pass Cmp	350	369	-19	#23
Cmp %	59.70	64.46	-4.76	#30
Pass Yds	2741	3,721.72	-980.72	#32
Yds / Att	4.70	6.52	-1.82	#32
Yds / Cmp	7.80	10.08	-2.28	#32
Adj Y/A	4.40	6.29	-1.89	#30
Adj NY/A	3.90	5.84	-1.94	#31
Pass TD	13	23.56	-10.56	#30
TD %	2.20	4.12	-1.92	#31
Pass Int	10	13.44	-3.44	#9
Int %	1.70	2.35	-0.65	#6
Sack %	10	7.17	+2.83	#30
Pass Rating	71.60	86.88	-15.28	#29
EXP Pts Pass	-111.18	41.96	-153.14	#30

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	249	224.81	+24.19	#2
3rd Down Made	85	87.13	-2.13	#17
4th Down Att	48	24.97	+23.03	#1
4th Down Made	23	12.88	+10.13	#1
Red Zone Att	36	52.94	-16.94	#31
Red Zone Scores	18	29.09	-11.09	#31

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	481	572.34	-91.34	#32
Pass Cmp	309	369	-60	#3
Cmp %	64.20	64.44	-0.24	#12
Pass Yds	2916	3,721.72	-805.72	#3
Yds / Att	6.50	7.03	-0.53	#6
Yds / Cmp	10.10	10.89	-0.79	#5
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.79	-0.29	#12
Adj NY/A	5.80	5.82	-0.02	#16
Pass TD	19	23.56	-4.56	#7
TD %	4	4.12	-0.12	#19
Pass Int	8	13.44	-5.44	#28
Int %	1.70	2.35	-0.65	#23
Sack %	5.30	7.14	-1.84	#31
Pass Rating	88.80	88.94	-0.14	#15
EXP Pts Pass	-43.53	-41.96	-1.57	#16

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2023. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

83.0%

#21 of 32

PAT%

85.0%

#32 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#1 of 32

Return Yards

959

#3 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

83.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	7	0	100.0%
40-49	7	2	77.8%
50-59	5	3	62.5%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29232323252629(6)

30–3933333435363739(7)

40–4942434446474749(7)

50–595052525456(5)

Missed FG distances

40–494143(2)

50–59525559(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

85.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–292323(2)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

322

Punt avg

8.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

637

Kickoff avg

26.5

Total return yds

959

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3838

Gross avg

46.8

Net yards

3476

Net avg

42.4

Long

69 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

30.5%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

210

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2023.

#31 of 32

#28 of 32

#32 of 32

#32 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2023. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-156.7

#31 of 32

Rush EPA

-33.2

#18 of 32

Recv EPA

+11.8

#28 of 32

CPOE

-1.81

#24 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2023 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,482

#15 of 32

Pass YAC

1,439

#32 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,482

#15 of 32

Recv YAC

1,439

#32 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2023. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

103

#24 of 32

Penalty Yds

845

#18 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#12 of 32

Yds / Game

49.7

#18 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2023 vs 2022.


Pass Att	457	586	129
Pass Att	457	586	129
Plays Offense	976	1096	120

5-Year Trajectory

CAR Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2019 through 2023. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2023

L vs TB · 0–9

CAR failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2023.

Cmp %

59.7%

#30

Pass Yds/G

161.2

#32

Pass Rating

71.6

#29

Pass TD

#30

Pass Int

Sack Rate

10.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	2-15	4-11-2	26.7%	5-11-1	31.3%	-10.6	-5.5	2	+5.0
Home	8	2-6	3-4-1	42.9%	1-6-1	14.3%	-7.0	-2.7	2	+5.0
Away	9	0-9	1-7-1	12.5%	4-5	44.4%	-13.8	-8.1	—	+1.0
As underdog	17	2-15	4-11-2	26.7%	5-11-1	31.3%	-10.6	-5.5	2	+5.0
Division games	6	1-5	2-3-1	40.0%	1-5	16.7%	-8.2	-4.2	2	+5.0
Non-division	11	1-10	2-8-1	20.0%	4-6-1	40.0%	-11.9	-6.3	2	+5.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	2-3	2-1-2	66.7%	0-5	0.0%	-3.2	-0.5	2	+5.0
Small underdog (3-7)	9	0-9	2-7	22.2%	3-6	33.3%	-11.3	-7.1	—	+1.0
Large underdog (7+)	3	0-3	0-3	—	2-0-1	—	-20.7	-9.2	—	-7.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2023. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-6.0	-2.8
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-1-1	0-2	-12.5	-8.2
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	-6.0	-1.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-5.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-3.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-18.0	-8.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-21.0	-7.0
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+2.0	+5.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-12.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	-3.0	+0.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	0-0-1	-23.0	-12.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-3.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+0.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-26.0	-22.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	0-2-1	1-2	0%
Oct	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Nov	4	0-4	0-3-1	0-3-1	0%
Dec	5	1-4	3-2	2-3	60%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	—
Sun	15	2-13	4-11	5-9-1	27%
Mon	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	—

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	1-7	1-6-1	3-5	14%
Second half (W10+)	9	1-8	3-5-1	2-6-1	38%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	2-10	4-7-1	3-8-1	36%
Turf	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	2-3-1	1-5	40%
Same conference	6	0-6	1-4-1	3-2-1	20%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	1-4	1-4	20%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	1-4	1-3-1	0-5	25%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	0-3	1-2	2-0-1	33%
Warm (75°F+)	5	1-4	2-3	2-3	40%
Indoor	4	0-4	0-3-1	1-3	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	0-4	1-3	2-1-1	25%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	2-6	3-4-1	2-6	43%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	4	0-4	0-3-1	1-3	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	3
ATS	L	2
O/U	U	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	1
Longest SU loss streak	6
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	50%
After a loss	14	2-12	3-9-2	4-9-1	25%
On 2+ losing streak	11	2-9	3-8	4-6-1	27%
vs winning opp.	5	0-5	0-4-1	2-2-1	0%
vs losing opp.	8	1-7	3-4-1	2-6	43%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	2-12	4-8-2	4-9-1	33%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	3-4-1	1-6-1	43%
Domestic road	9	0-9	1-7-1	4-5	12%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	3-4-1	1-6-1	43%
Short (<500)	3	0-3	0-3	0-3	0%
Medium (500-1500)	5	0-5	1-3-1	3-2	25%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	—
Standard (5-7d)	12	1-11	3-9	5-7	25%
Long week (8-10d)	2	0-2	0-1-1	0-1-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-2-13 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 0-3-14 G

DecATS 3-25 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-0-11 G

SunATS 4-1115 G

MonATS 0-0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 1-6-18 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-5-19 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-7-112 G

TurfATS 0-33 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-3-16 G

Same conferenceATS 1-4-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-45 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 4-8-214 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-4-18 G

Domestic roadATS 1-7-19 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-4-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 0-33 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-3-15 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-912 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-33 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-3-17 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-3-14 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-23 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 6.9 ptsBias -5.5 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.429 #32	18.9	21.9	-32.52	6.86
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	2-15	0.522 #9	13.9	24.5	-135.03	-56.65
New Orleans Saints (NO)	9-8	0.433 #31	23.6	19.2	46.88	35.39
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	9-8	0.481 #24	20.5	19.1	34.88	-23.20

Insights

A look at how the 2023 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg yac allowed (1st of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (1st of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (4th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg yards after catch (32nd of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (32nd of 32).


Drives	180	188.09	-8.09	#24
Plays / Drive	6.30	5.90	+0.40	#4
Yds / Drive	25.10	30.04	-4.94	#29
Points / Drive	1.19	1.89	-0.70	#30
Score %	25	35.66	-10.66	#30
Turnover %	11.10	11.54	-0.44	#18


Rush Att	445	456.44	-11.44	#19
Rush Yds	1769	1,915.22	-146.22	#20
Rush Y/A	4	4.18	-0.18	#21
Rush TD	7	14.69	-7.69	#30
EXP Pts Rush	-17.40	-5.27	-12.13	#21


Drives	183	188.09	-5.09	#11
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.90	-0.20	#7
Yds / Drive	27.30	30.03	-2.72	#5
Points / Drive	2.09	1.88	+0.21	#27
Score %	37.70	35.59	+2.11	#22
Turnover %	5.50	11.57	-6.07	#32


Rush Att	508	456.44	+51.56	#28
Rush Yds	2081	1,915.22	+165.78	#23
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.20	-0.10	#14
Rush TD	25	14.69	+10.31	#32
EXP Pts Rush	-8.41	5.27	-13.68	#23


2019	-28.1	-109.9	-138.0
2020	81.2	-125.5	-44.3
2021	-92.1	-9.1	-101.2
2022	-5.1	-52.0	-57.1
2023	-135.0	-56.7	-191.7

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South