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Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

201.78

Def EXP

-100.11

#23

Net EXP

101.67

Record

12-5

Pythag 11.2 (+0.8)

Power Rating

106.3

SRS

+7.65

SoS Rank

pts: +0.8 (#6)

Pts / Game

28.2

Home 26.1 · Road 30.6

Net Pts / G

+6.8

Pts Allowed / G

21.4

Home 17.6 · Road 25.8

Yds / Play

5.90

Yds/Play Allowed

5.90

#29

3rd Down %

52.2%

3rd Down % Allowed

40.2%

#18

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	480	390.69	+89.31	#4
Total Yards	6746	5,840.53	+905.47	#3
Yds / Play	5.90	5.42	+0.48	#6
1st Downs	419	345.50	+73.50	#1
Turnovers	25	22.06	+2.94	#24
Fumbles Lost	12	8.31	+3.69	#31
EXP Pts	201.78	64.59	+137.19	#2

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	364	390.69	-26.69	#8
Total Yards	6272	5,840.53	+431.47	#27
Yds / Play	5.90	5.42	+0.48	#29
1st Downs	363	345.50	+17.50	#24
Turnovers	29	22.06	+6.94	#5
Fumbles Lost	14	8.31	+5.69	#3
EXP Pts	-100.11	-64.59	-35.52	#23

Scoring Composition

Where Kansas City Chiefs's points come from. Total = 480 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	675	584.75	+90.25	#2
Pass Cmp	448	378.78	+69.22	#2
Cmp %	66.40	64.70	+1.70	#12
Pass Yds	4791	3,881.34	+909.66	#4
Yds / Att	7.10	6.64	+0.46	#10
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.23	+0.47	#9
Adj Y/A	7.30	6.46	+0.84	#10
Adj NY/A	7	6.08	+0.93	#8
Pass TD	37	26.25	+10.75	#6
TD %	5.50	4.48	+1.02	#11
Pass Int	13	13.75	-0.75	#13
Int %	1.90	2.36	-0.46	#9
Sack %	4	6.31	-2.31	#2
Pass Rating	97.20	88.73	+8.47	#10
EXP Pts Pass	180.94	71.31	+109.63	#2

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	610	584.75	+25.25	#10
Pass Cmp	401	378.78	+22.22	#26
Cmp %	65.70	64.75	+0.95	#18
Pass Yds	4273	3,881.34	+391.66	#27
Yds / Att	7.30	7.10	+0.20	#24
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.98	+0.22	#21
Adj Y/A	7.10	6.94	+0.16	#18
Adj NY/A	6.50	6.08	+0.42	#24
Pass TD	27	26.25	+0.75	#18
TD %	4.40	4.51	-0.11	#14
Pass Int	15	13.75	+1.25	#12
Int %	2.50	2.35	+0.15	#10
Sack %	4.80	6.24	-1.44	#30
Pass Rating	92	90.88	+1.13	#16
EXP Pts Pass	-89.33	-71.31	-18.02	#22

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for KC 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

88.0%

#10 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#17 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

930

#19 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

88.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	3	0	100.0%
30-39	13	1	92.9%
40-49	5	1	83.3%
50-59	7	2	77.8%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29242628(3)

30–3930303334343434343536373738(13)

40–494042434445(5)

50–5951525354545556(7)

Missed FG distances

30–3939(1)

40–4946(1)

50–595157(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

228

Punt avg

12.0

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

702

Kickoff avg

23.4

Total return yds

930

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

1868

Gross avg

46.7

Net yards

1724

Net avg

43.1

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

52.5%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for KC 2021.

#19 of 32

#19 of 32

#32 of 32

#4 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for KC 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+146.9

#1 of 32

Rush EPA

+19.4

#5 of 32

Recv EPA

+199.8

#1 of 32

CPOE

+2.75

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for KC 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,965

#8 of 32

Pass YAC

2,728

#1 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,965

#8 of 32

Recv YAC

2,728

#1 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for KC 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

111

#24 of 32

Penalty Yds

925

#22 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#17 of 32

Yds / Game

54.4

#22 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Kickoff Yds	6130	6369	239
All Purpose Yds	7881	8103	222
Rush Yds	1799	1955	156

5-Year Trajectory

KC Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

W at DEN · 28–24

KC failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for KC 2021.

Cmp %

66.4%

#12

Pass Yds/G

281.8

Pass Rating

97.2

#10

Pass TD

Pass Int

#13

Sack Rate

4.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. KC has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	12-5	8-9	47.1%	10-7	58.8%	+6.8	+0.6	39	+29.0
Home	9	7-2	4-5	44.4%	4-5	44.4%	+8.6	+1.5	39	+29.0
Away	8	5-3	4-4	50.0%	6-2	75.0%	+4.9	-0.3	27	+24.5
As favorite	17	12-5	8-9	47.1%	10-7	58.8%	+6.8	+0.6	39	+29.0
Division games	6	5-1	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+13.8	+6.8	39	+29.0
Non-division	11	7-4	4-7	36.4%	6-5	54.5%	+3.0	-2.7	26	+15.5
Pick-em (≤3)	4	3-1	3-1	—	3-1	—	+6.2	+3.6	27	+24.5
Small favorite (3-7)	6	2-4	1-5	16.7%	3-3	50.0%	-2.0	-6.8	18	+12.0
Large favorite (7+)	7	7-0	4-3	57.1%	4-3	57.1%	+14.7	+5.4	39	+29.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+0.0	-4.8
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	+33.0	+26.8
DEN	Denver Broncos	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	+8.5	-1.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+4.0	-1.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-1.0	-4.5
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+12.0	+4.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-18.0	-20.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+18.0	+12.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-24.0	-28.0
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-7.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+6.0	-1.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+7.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+26.0	+15.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-6.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	0-3	2-1	0%
Oct	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Nov	4	4-0	2-2	1-3	50%
Dec	4	4-0	4-0	3-1	100%
Jan	2	1-1	0-2	2-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sat	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	14	9-5	7-7	8-6	50%
Mon	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	2-7	4-5	22%
Second half (W10+)	8	7-1	6-2	6-2	75%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	15	11-4	7-8	8-7	47%
Turf	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	5-1	4-2	4-2	67%
Same conference	6	2-4	1-5	5-1	17%
Inter-conference	5	5-0	3-2	1-4	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	5-0	3-2	2-3	60%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Warm (75°F+)	4	1-3	0-4	3-1	0%
Indoor	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	2-1	0-3	2-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	7	4-3	2-5	4-3	29%
Windy (≥15 mph)	5	4-1	4-1	2-3	80%
Indoor	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	L	2
O/U	O	5

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	8
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	6
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	11	7-4	6-5	7-4	55%
After a loss	5	4-1	2-3	2-3	40%
On 2+ winning streak	7	6-1	6-1	5-2	86%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
vs winning opp.	9	6-3	5-4	5-4	56%
vs losing opp.	5	4-1	2-3	3-2	40%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	15	10-5	6-9	8-7	40%
Dome	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	7-2	4-5	4-5	44%
Domestic road	8	5-3	4-4	6-2	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	7-2	4-5	4-5	44%
Short (<500)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Medium (500-1500)	7	5-2	4-3	6-1	57%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	7-5	5-7	7-5	42%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-33 G

OctATS 2-24 G

NovATS 2-24 G

DecATS 4-04 G

JanATS 0-22 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 7-714 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-79 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 7-815 G

TurfATS 1-12 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 1-56 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-915 G

DomeATS 2-02 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-59 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-59 G

Short (<500)ATS 0-11 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-37 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-712 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-12 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-46 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 5-38 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 0-11 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.2 ptsBias +0.6 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	7-10	0.484 #22	19.7	18.9	61.32	-36.14
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	12-5	0.538 #1	28.2	21.4	201.78	-100.11
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	9-8	0.510 #13	27.9	27.0	164.91	-122.86
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	10-7	0.510 #14	22.0	25.8	74.24	-130.39

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Kansas City Chiefs ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to pressure (1st of 32), offensive avg wr separation (1st of 32), and offensive avg yards after catch (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yards after contact per carry (32nd of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (31st of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (31st of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	168	183.56	-15.56	#32
Plays / Drive	6.90	6.04	+0.86	#1
Yds / Drive	40.10	31.81	+8.29	#1
Points / Drive	2.71	2.06	+0.65	#1
Score %	48.20	37.91	+10.29	#1
Turnover %	13.70	11.53	+2.18	#26


Rush Att	431	452.91	-21.91	#20
Rush Yds	1955	1,959.19	-4.19	#16
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.31	+0.19	#10
Rush TD	16	15.78	+0.22	#16
EXP Pts Rush	32.94	4.81	+28.13	#7


3rd Down Att	205	217.81	-12.81	#28
3rd Down Made	107	87.94	+19.06	#1
4th Down Att	15	24.78	-9.78	#31
4th Down Made	10	13.16	-3.16	#26
Red Zone Att	69	56.19	+12.81	#5
Red Zone Scores	41	32.84	+8.16	#7


Drives	169	183.56	-14.56	#2
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.06	+0.34	#28
Yds / Drive	37	31.78	+5.22	#32
Points / Drive	2.14	2.06	+0.08	#22
Score %	37.30	37.88	-0.58	#18
Turnover %	16	11.51	+4.49	#4


Rush Att	419	452.91	-33.91	#6
Rush Yds	1999	1,959.19	+39.81	#21
Rush Y/A	4.80	4.32	+0.48	#31
Rush TD	15	15.78	-0.78	#16
EXP Pts Rush	-20.58	-4.81	-15.77	#23


2018	279.1	-152.2	+126.9
2019	186.6	-40.1	+146.5
2020	239.3	-109.0	+130.3
2021	201.8	-100.1	+101.7

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West