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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

61.32

#18

Def EXP

-36.14

#11

Net EXP

25.18

Record

7-10

Pythag 8.9 (-1.9)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

−0.73

#19

SoS Rank

#22

pts: −1.5 (#30)

#22

Pts / Game

19.7

Home 20.8 · Road 18.5

#23

Net Pts / G

+0.8

#17

Pts Allowed / G

18.9

Home 18.1 · Road 19.9

Yds / Play

5.40

#19

Yds/Play Allowed

5.30

#13

3rd Down %

38.5%

#21

3rd Down % Allowed

44.9%

#28

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	335	390.69	-55.69	#23
Total Yards	5618	5,840.53	-222.53	#19
Yds / Play	5.40	5.42	-0.02	#19
1st Downs	331	345.50	-14.50	#21
Turnovers	18	22.06	-4.06	#7
Fumbles Lost	9	8.31	+0.69	#20
EXP Pts	61.32	64.59	-3.27	#18

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	322	390.69	-68.69	#3
Total Yards	5544	5,840.53	-296.53	#8
Yds / Play	5.30	5.42	-0.12	#13
1st Downs	312	345.50	-33.50	#5
Turnovers	19	22.06	-3.06	#22
Fumbles Lost	6	8.31	-2.31	#28
EXP Pts	-36.14	-64.59	+28.45	#11

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 335 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	541	584.75	-43.75	#24
Pass Cmp	354	378.78	-24.78	#22
Cmp %	65.40	64.70	+0.70	#18
Pass Yds	3593	3,881.34	-288.34	#19
Yds / Att	6.60	6.64	-0.04	#15
Yds / Cmp	10.10	10.23	-0.13	#19
Adj Y/A	6.60	6.46	+0.14	#16
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.08	+0.13	#17
Pass TD	20	26.25	-6.25	#26
TD %	3.70	4.48	-0.78	#22
Pass Int	9	13.75	-4.75	#5
Int %	1.70	2.36	-0.66	#7
Sack %	6.90	6.31	+0.59	#22
Pass Rating	89.70	88.73	+0.97	#16
EXP Pts Pass	82.98	71.31	+11.67	#15

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	562	584.75	-22.75	#22
Pass Cmp	341	378.78	-37.78	#5
Cmp %	60.70	64.75	-4.05	#4
Pass Yds	3652	3,881.34	-229.34	#8
Yds / Att	6.90	7.10	-0.20	#9
Yds / Cmp	11.40	10.98	+0.42	#25
Adj Y/A	6.70	6.94	-0.24	#12
Adj NY/A	5.90	6.08	-0.18	#13
Pass TD	22	26.25	-4.25	#5
TD %	3.90	4.51	-0.61	#9
Pass Int	13	13.75	-0.75	#18
Int %	2.30	2.35	-0.05	#16
Sack %	6	6.24	-0.24	#18
Pass Rating	85	90.88	-5.88	#6
EXP Pts Pass	-43.39	-71.31	+27.92	#10

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

84.0%

#18 of 32

PAT%

97.0%

#8 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

521

#31 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

61 yd

FG %

84.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	6	0	100.0%
40-49	8	0	100.0%
50-59	4	4	50.0%
60+	1	0	100.0%

Made FG distances

20–2921212323272829(7)

30–39313232363639(6)

40–494042424545464749(8)

50–5952535455(4)

60+61(1)

Missed FG distances

50–5951535355(4)

Blocked FG distances

20–2922(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

97.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

230

Punt avg

8.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

291

Kickoff avg

16.2

Total return yds

521

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3083

Gross avg

Net yards

2869

Net avg

42.8

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

41.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

154

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2021.

#25 of 32

#15 of 32

#18 of 32

#32 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+43.7

#13 of 32

Rush EPA

-34.4

#22 of 32

Recv EPA

+114.2

#14 of 32

CPOE

+2.43

#8 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,552

#13 of 32

Pass YAC

1,744

#21 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,552

#13 of 32

Recv YAC

1,744

#21 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#6 of 32

Penalty Yds

711

#6 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#4 of 32

Yds / Game

41.8

#6 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Total Yards	5369	5618	249
Pass Yds	3451	3593	142
Pass Yds	3451	3593	142

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L vs KC · 24–28

DEN covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2021.

Cmp %

65.4%

#18

Pass Yds/G

211.4

#19

Pass Rating

89.7

#16

Pass TD

#26

Pass Int

Sack Rate

6.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	8-9	47.1%	5-12	29.4%	+0.8	+0.4	28	+24.5
Home	9	4-5	5-4	55.6%	3-6	33.3%	+2.7	+0.1	28	+17.5
Away	8	3-5	3-5	37.5%	2-6	25.0%	-1.4	+0.8	14	+24.5
As favorite	11	5-6	5-6	45.5%	3-8	27.3%	+2.3	-2.2	28	+15.5
As underdog	6	2-4	3-3	50.0%	2-4	33.3%	-2.0	+5.2	15	+24.5
Division games	6	1-5	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	-6.2	-2.1	15	+17.5
Non-division	11	6-5	6-5	54.5%	2-9	18.2%	+4.5	+1.7	28	+24.5
Pick-em (≤3)	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	1-7	12.5%	-3.0	-3.8	15	+17.5
Small favorite (3-7)	3	2-1	2-1	—	1-2	—	+2.3	-2.7	10	+4.0
Large favorite (7+)	2	2-0	2-0	—	1-1	—	+27.0	+15.2	28	+15.5
Large underdog (7+)	4	1-3	2-2	—	2-2	—	-6.0	+3.6	14	+24.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-7.0	-10.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-3.0	+2.2
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	-8.5	+1.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+11.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+4.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+26.0	+15.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-17.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-8.0	-10.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-1.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+3.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+24.5
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-17.0	-18.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+28.0	+15.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-5.0	-8.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	3-0	3-0	0-3	100%
Oct	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Nov	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Dec	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Jan	2	0-2	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	15	7-8	7-8	4-11	47%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	5-4	2-7	56%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	3-5	3-5	38%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	14	5-9	6-8	4-10	43%
Turf	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	2-4	3-3	33%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-4	1-5	33%
Inter-conference	5	4-1	4-1	1-4	80%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	1-4	2-3	1-4	40%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Warm (75°F+)	5	3-2	3-2	1-4	60%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	2-1	3-0	1-2	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	5	1-4	1-4	0-5	20%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	4
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	6

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	3-4	3-4	0-7	43%
After a loss	9	3-6	4-5	5-4	44%
On 2+ winning streak	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
On 2+ losing streak	5	1-4	2-3	3-2	40%
vs winning opp.	8	2-6	3-5	3-5	38%
vs losing opp.	6	4-2	4-2	2-4	67%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	6-8	7-7	4-10	50%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	4-5	5-4	3-6	56%
Domestic road	8	3-5	3-5	2-6	38%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	4-5	5-4	3-6	56%
Medium (500-1500)	7	2-5	2-5	2-5	29%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	13	4-9	5-8	5-8	38%
Long week (8-10d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-03 G

OctATS 1-45 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 1-34 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 7-815 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-58 G

By surface

GrassATS 6-814 G

TurfATS 2-13 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 4-15 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-714 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-49 G

Domestic roadATS 3-58 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-57 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-813 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-01 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-13 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-34 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-56 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 4-04 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.1 ptsBias +0.4 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	7-10	0.484 #22	19.7	18.9	61.32	-36.14
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	12-5	0.538 #1	28.2	21.4	201.78	-100.11
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	9-8	0.510 #13	27.9	27.0	164.91	-122.86
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	10-7	0.510 #14	22.0	25.8	74.24	-130.39

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yards after contact per carry (3rd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (4th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (4th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg time to pressure (32nd of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	168	183.56	-15.56	#31
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.04	+0.36	#4
Yds / Drive	33.50	31.81	+1.69	#12
Points / Drive	1.96	2.06	-0.10	#19
Score %	36.90	37.91	-1.01	#18
Turnover %	9.50	11.53	-2.03	#9


Rush Att	455	452.91	+2.09	#15
Rush Yds	2025	1,959.19	+65.81	#13
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.31	+0.19	#8
Rush TD	16	15.78	+0.22	#15
EXP Pts Rush	-12.92	4.81	-17.73	#20


3rd Down Att	213	217.81	-4.81	#18
3rd Down Made	82	87.94	-5.94	#24
4th Down Att	28	24.78	+3.22	#12
4th Down Made	16	13.16	+2.84	#7
Red Zone Att	53	56.19	-3.19	#18
Red Zone Scores	29	32.84	-3.84	#23


Drives	168	183.56	-15.56	#1
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.06	+0.34	#30
Yds / Drive	33	31.78	+1.22	#22
Points / Drive	1.72	2.06	-0.34	#5
Score %	32.70	37.88	-5.18	#5
Turnover %	10.70	11.51	-0.81	#20


Rush Att	441	452.91	-11.91	#15
Rush Yds	1892	1,959.19	-67.19	#15
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.32	-0.02	#15
Rush TD	9	15.78	-6.78	#2
EXP Pts Rush	-6.12	-4.81	-1.31	#21


2018	37.9	-43.2	-5.3
2019	-14.6	-32.0	-46.6
2020	-21.8	-92.8	-114.6
2021	61.3	-36.1	+25.2

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West