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Green Bay Packers

NFC North

Team

Off EXP

185.17

Def EXP

-67.13

#17

Net EXP

118.04

Record

13-4

Pythag 10.4 (+2.6)

Power Rating

100.9

#14

SRS

+4.07

SoS Rank

#25

pts: −0.6 (#25)

#25

Pts / Game

26.5

Home 30.6 · Road 22.8

Net Pts / G

+4.6

#10

Pts Allowed / G

21.8

Home 16.8 · Road 26.3

#13

Yds / Play

5.80

Yds/Play Allowed

5.40

#17

3rd Down %

43.6%

3rd Down % Allowed

42.9%

#24

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	450	390.69	+59.31	#10
Total Yards	6215	5,840.53	+374.47	#10
Yds / Play	5.80	5.42	+0.38	#8
1st Downs	375	345.50	+29.50	#7
Turnovers	13	22.06	-9.06	#3
Fumbles Lost	6	8.31	-2.31	#7
EXP Pts	185.17	64.59	+120.58	#3

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	371	390.69	-19.69	#13
Total Yards	5579	5,840.53	-261.53	#9
Yds / Play	5.40	5.42	-0.02	#17
1st Downs	337	345.50	-8.50	#14
Turnovers	26	22.06	+3.94	#8
Fumbles Lost	8	8.31	-0.31	#16
EXP Pts	-67.13	-64.59	-2.54	#17

Scoring Composition

Where Green Bay Packers's points come from. Total = 450 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	593	584.75	+8.25	#16
Pass Cmp	402	378.78	+23.22	#11
Cmp %	67.80	64.70	+3.10	#6
Pass Yds	4315	3,881.34	+433.66	#8
Yds / Att	7.30	6.64	+0.66	#5
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.23	+0.47	#8
Adj Y/A	8.10	6.46	+1.64	#2
Adj NY/A	7.60	6.08	+1.53	#1
Pass TD	39	26.25	+12.75	#4
TD %	6.60	4.48	+2.12	#2
Pass Int	7	13.75	-6.75	#3
Int %	1.20	2.36	-1.16	#2
Sack %	5.30	6.31	-1.01	#10
Pass Rating	105.90	88.73	+17.17	#1
EXP Pts Pass	171.94	71.31	+100.63	#4

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	603	584.75	+18.25	#13
Pass Cmp	379	378.78	+0.22	#17
Cmp %	62.90	64.75	-1.85	#8
Pass Yds	3724	3,881.34	-157.34	#10
Yds / Att	6.70	7.10	-0.40	#7
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.98	-0.38	#9
Adj Y/A	6.40	6.94	-0.54	#8
Adj NY/A	5.50	6.08	-0.58	#7
Pass TD	31	26.25	+4.75	#26
TD %	5.10	4.51	+0.59	#26
Pass Int	18	13.75	+4.25	#6
Int %	3	2.35	+0.65	#6
Sack %	6.10	6.24	-0.14	#17
Pass Rating	86.90	90.88	-3.97	#10
EXP Pts Pass	-39.89	-71.31	+31.42	#9

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for GB 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

74.0%

#29 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#10 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#5 of 32

Return Yards

730

#30 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

74.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	9	2	81.8%
40-49	4	4	50.0%
50-59	3	1	75.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29202122262728292929(9)

30–39323536363738393939(9)

40–4944444549(4)

50–59515454(3)

Missed FG distances

30–393236(2)

40–4940404242(4)

50–5951(1)

Blocked FG distances

30–393437(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4949(1)

50–5951(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

199

Punt avg

8.0

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

531

Kickoff avg

17.7

Total return yds

730

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2467

Gross avg

46.5

Net yards

2119

Net avg

Long

82 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

34.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

268

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for GB 2021.

#16 of 32

#13 of 32

#30 of 32

#25 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for GB 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+121.7

#3 of 32

Rush EPA

+14.6

#7 of 32

Recv EPA

+185.1

#4 of 32

CPOE

+4.58

#2 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for GB 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,578

#12 of 32

Pass YAC

2,410

#4 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,578

#12 of 32

Recv YAC

2,410

#4 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for GB 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#1 of 32

Penalty Yds

678

#4 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#6 of 32

Yds / Game

39.9

#4 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Punt Net Yds	1741	2119	378
Punt Yds	2092	2467	375
Pass Yds	4106	4315	209

5-Year Trajectory

GB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L at DET · 30–37

GB failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for GB 2021.

Cmp %

67.8%

Pass Yds/G

253.8

Pass Rating

105.9

Pass TD

Pass Int

Sack Rate

5.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. GB has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	13-4	12-5	70.6%	8-9	47.1%	+4.6	+0.6	27	+14.0
Home	8	8-0	7-1	87.5%	4-4	50.0%	+13.9	+6.4	27	+14.0
Away	9	5-4	5-4	55.6%	4-5	44.4%	-3.6	-4.6	10	+9.5
As favorite	13	10-3	8-5	61.5%	6-7	46.2%	+5.5	-1.2	27	+14.0
As underdog	4	3-1	4-0	—	2-2	—	+1.8	+6.5	8	+10.0
Division games	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	5-1	83.3%	+10.0	+2.2	27	+14.0
Non-division	11	9-2	8-3	72.7%	3-8	27.3%	+1.7	-0.3	17	+14.0
Pick-em (≤3)	4	3-1	3-1	—	2-2	—	+6.2	+5.2	17	+14.0
Small favorite (3-7)	4	2-2	2-2	—	1-3	—	-5.5	-10.5	10	+4.5
Large favorite (7+)	6	6-0	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+12.8	+2.6	27	+14.0
Small underdog (3-7)	2	2-0	2-0	—	1-1	—	+2.5	+7.5	3	+9.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	0-1	1-0	—	0-1	—	-6.0	+1.0	—	+1.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


DET	Detroit Lions	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	+5.5	-2.2
CHI	Chicago Bears	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+12.5	+4.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	+12.0	+5.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-35.0	-39.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+2.0	+5.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+3.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+1.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+5.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+9.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-6.0	+1.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+17.0	+14.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+8.0	+10.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+1.0	-8.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+2.0	-5.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	5	5-0	5-0	0-5	100%
Nov	4	2-2	3-1	2-2	75%
Dec	3	3-0	1-2	2-1	33%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sat	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	14	10-4	10-4	7-7	71%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	7-2	8-1	2-7	89%
Second half (W10+)	8	6-2	4-4	6-2	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	14	12-2	11-3	6-8	79%
Turf	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	4-2	5-1	67%
Same conference	6	5-1	5-1	2-4	83%
Inter-conference	5	4-1	3-2	1-4	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	5	5-0	4-1	3-2	80%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	3-1	3-1	1-3	75%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	12	10-2	9-3	5-7	75%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	7
Longest SU loss streak	1
Longest ATS cover	9
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	7

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	13	10-3	9-4	6-7	69%
After a loss	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
On 2+ winning streak	10	8-2	7-3	3-7	70%
vs winning opp.	6	6-0	5-1	3-3	83%
vs losing opp.	8	6-2	6-2	5-3	75%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	12-2	11-3	6-8	79%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Retractable (open)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	8-0	7-1	4-4	88%
Domestic road	9	5-4	5-4	4-5	56%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	8-0	7-1	4-4	88%
Short (<500)	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Medium (500-1500)	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	9-2	7-4	5-6	64%
Long week (8-10d)	3	2-1	3-0	2-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 5-05 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 1-23 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 10-414 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 8-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 11-314 G

TurfATS 1-23 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 5-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 11-314 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 7-18 G

Domestic roadATS 5-49 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 7-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-24 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-24 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-411 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 3-03 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-03 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-14 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-36 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-14 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.6 ptsBias +0.6 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC North

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Chicago Bears (CHI)	6-11	0.524 #6	18.3	23.9	-40.89	-77.49
Detroit Lions (DET)	3-13-1	0.528 #5	19.1	27.5	6.87	-176.03
Green Bay Packers (GB)	13-4	0.479 #25	26.5	21.8	185.17	-67.13
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)	8-9	0.507 #16	25.0	25.1	72.05	-86.30

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Green Bay Packers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (1st of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (1st of 32), and defensive avg wr separation allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive epa per rush allowed (32nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (30th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (30th of 32).

Rivalries

Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings have met 16 times in the regular season. Minnesota Vikings leads the series 8 to 7, with 1 tie. The most lopsided meeting was a 27-point win for Green Bay Packers in 2021.


Drives	173	183.56	-10.56	#29
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.04	+0.36	#5
Yds / Drive	35.90	31.81	+4.09	#4
Points / Drive	2.54	2.06	+0.48	#5
Score %	44.50	37.91	+6.59	#7
Turnover %	6.40	11.53	-5.13	#1


Rush Att	446	452.91	-6.91	#17
Rush Yds	1900	1,959.19	-59.19	#18
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.31	-0.01	#15
Rush TD	13	15.78	-2.78	#21
EXP Pts Rush	22.36	4.81	+17.55	#10


3rd Down Att	202	217.81	-15.81	#30
3rd Down Made	88	87.94	+0.06	#14
4th Down Att	22	24.78	-2.78	#19
4th Down Made	13	13.16	-0.16	#15
Red Zone Att	70	56.19	+13.81	#3
Red Zone Scores	41	32.84	+8.16	#6


Drives	172	183.56	-11.56	#5
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.06	+0.04	#20
Yds / Drive	32.10	31.78	+0.32	#18
Points / Drive	2.12	2.06	+0.06	#20
Score %	36.60	37.88	-1.28	#15
Turnover %	14	11.51	+2.49	#8


Rush Att	395	452.91	-57.91	#4
Rush Yds	1855	1,959.19	-104.19	#11
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.32	+0.38	#30
Rush TD	13	15.78	-2.78	#7
EXP Pts Rush	-37.37	-4.81	-32.56	#30


2018	113.3	-95.2	+18.2
2019	89.3	-26.1	+63.2
2020	259.6	-92.3	+167.3
2021	185.2	-67.1	+118.0

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC North

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC North