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Washington Commanders

NFC East

Team

Off EXP

15.80

#21

Def EXP

-125.40

#26

Net EXP

-109.60

Record

7-10

Pythag 6.0 (+1.0)

Power Rating

97.0

#26

SRS

−4.20

#24

SoS Rank

pts: +1.6 (#2)

Pts / Game

19.7

Home 20.4 · Road 19.1

#24

Net Pts / G

−5.8

#25

Pts Allowed / G

25.5

Home 24.3 · Road 26.7

#25

Yds / Play

5.10

#23

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#26

3rd Down %

38.8%

#20

3rd Down % Allowed

48.5%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	335	390.69	-55.69	#24
Total Yards	5502	5,840.53	-338.53	#21
Yds / Play	5.10	5.42	-0.32	#23
1st Downs	345	345.50	-0.50	#16
Turnovers	24	22.06	+1.94	#20
Fumbles Lost	9	8.31	+0.69	#17
EXP Pts	15.80	64.59	-48.79	#21

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	434	390.69	+43.31	#25
Total Yards	6108	5,840.53	+267.47	#22
Yds / Play	5.70	5.42	+0.28	#26
1st Downs	346	345.50	+0.50	#18
Turnovers	19	22.06	-3.06	#24
Fumbles Lost	8	8.31	-0.31	#19
EXP Pts	-125.40	-64.59	-60.81	#26

Scoring Composition

Where Washington Commanders's points come from. Total = 335 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	550	584.75	-34.75	#21
Pass Cmp	356	378.78	-22.78	#21
Cmp %	64.70	64.70	0.00	#21
Pass Yds	3441	3,881.34	-440.34	#21
Yds / Att	6.30	6.64	-0.34	#23
Yds / Cmp	9.70	10.23	-0.53	#24
Adj Y/A	5.80	6.46	-0.66	#24
Adj NY/A	5.40	6.08	-0.68	#23
Pass TD	21	26.25	-5.25	#24
TD %	3.80	4.48	-0.68	#21
Pass Int	15	13.75	+1.25	#21
Int %	2.70	2.36	+0.34	#22
Sack %	7.30	6.31	+0.99	#23
Pass Rating	83.50	88.73	-5.23	#24
EXP Pts Pass	22.56	71.31	-48.75	#23

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	597	584.75	+12.25	#15
Pass Cmp	400	378.78	+21.22	#22
Cmp %	67	64.75	+2.25	#25
Pass Yds	4333	3,881.34	+451.66	#29
Yds / Att	7.60	7.10	+0.50	#26
Yds / Cmp	11.30	10.98	+0.32	#22
Adj Y/A	7.90	6.94	+0.96	#27
Adj NY/A	7.10	6.08	+1.02	#29
Pass TD	34	26.25	+7.75	#32
TD %	5.70	4.51	+1.19	#30
Pass Int	11	13.75	-2.75	#25
Int %	1.80	2.35	-0.55	#24
Sack %	6	6.24	-0.24	#19
Pass Rating	100.80	90.88	+9.93	#28
EXP Pts Pass	-142.08	-71.31	-70.77	#28

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.


3rd Down Att	229	217.81	+11.19	#28
3rd Down Made	111	87.94	+23.06	#32
4th Down Att	20	24.78	-4.78	#6
4th Down Made	12	13.16	-1.16	#11
Red Zone Att	59	56.19	+2.81	#19
Red Zone Scores	35	32.84	+2.16	#22

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for WAS 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

85.0%

#16 of 32

PAT%

86.0%

#27 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#5 of 32

Return Yards

1,038

#15 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

55 yd

FG %

85.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	5	0	100.0%
40-49	10	1	90.9%
50-59	3	1	75.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2921222323232324282929(10)

30–393031363739(5)

40–4943434343454546484849(10)

50–59505255(3)

Missed FG distances

40–4942(1)

50–5951(1)

Blocked FG distances

40–49424547(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

86.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–494348(2)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

134

Punt avg

8.4

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

904

Kickoff avg

25.1

Total return yds

1038

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2985

Gross avg

47.4

Net yards

2601

Net avg

40.6

Long

66 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

34.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

11.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

244

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for WAS 2021.

QB Hits

104

#7 of 32

Pass Def.

#25 of 32

TFL

#24 of 32

Forced Fum.

#28 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for WAS 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-36.0

#25 of 32

Rush EPA

-14.8

#15 of 32

Recv EPA

+37.8

#26 of 32

CPOE

-0.01

#20 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for WAS 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,120

#26 of 32

Pass YAC

1,896

#16 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,120

#26 of 32

Recv YAC

1,896

#16 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for WAS 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#5 of 32

Penalty Yds

743

#7 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#9 of 32

Yds / Game

43.7

#7 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


All Purpose Yds	6416	6973	557
Rush Yds	1611	2061	450
Rush Yds	1611	2061	450

5-Year Trajectory

WAS Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

W at NYG · 22–7

WAS covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for WAS 2021.

Cmp %

64.7%

#21

Pass Yds/G

202.4

#21

Pass Rating

83.5

#24

Pass TD

#24

Pass Int

#21

Sack Rate

7.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. WAS has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	7-9-1	43.8%	7-10	41.2%	-5.8	-2.1	15	+20.0
Home	8	3-5	3-5	37.5%	2-6	25.0%	-3.9	-0.6	10	+20.0
Away	9	4-5	4-4-1	50.0%	5-4	55.6%	-7.6	-3.3	15	+9.5
As favorite	4	3-1	2-2	—	2-2	—	+4.0	+0.6	15	+9.0
As underdog	13	4-9	5-7-1	41.7%	5-8	38.5%	-8.8	-2.9	10	+20.0
Division games	6	2-4	2-3-1	40.0%	3-3	50.0%	-7.8	-3.9	15	+9.0
Non-division	11	5-6	5-6	45.5%	4-7	36.4%	-4.7	-1.0	10	+20.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	3-2	3-2	60.0%	2-3	40.0%	-1.4	-1.2	4	+3.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	2-0	1-1	—	1-1	—	+8.0	+3.0	15	+9.0
Small underdog (3-7)	5	1-4	2-3	40.0%	1-4	20.0%	-6.0	-0.7	6	+9.5
Large underdog (7+)	5	1-4	1-3-1	25.0%	3-2	60.0%	-15.6	-6.3	10	+20.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NYG	New York Giants	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	+8.0	+3.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-24.5	-16.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	2	0-2	1-0-1	1-1	-7.0	+1.2
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-6.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-22.0	-14.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+4.0	+3.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-11.0	-8.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-18.0	-12.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-5.5
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-3.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+20.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+9.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+2.0	+3.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+2.0	+3.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	0-3	2-1	0%
Oct	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Nov	3	3-0	3-0	1-2	100%
Dec	4	1-3	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Jan	2	1-1	2-0	0-2	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	14	5-9	6-8	5-9	43%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	2-6	1-7	4-4	12%
Second half (W10+)	9	5-4	6-2-1	3-6	75%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	5-8	5-7-1	4-9	42%
Turf	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	2-3-1	3-3	40%
Same conference	6	4-2	4-2	3-3	67%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	1-4	1-4	20%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	7	3-4	3-3-1	2-5	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	6	3-3	3-3	2-4	50%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	6	2-4	2-3-1	2-4	40%
Windy (≥15 mph)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	2
O/U	U	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
After a loss	10	4-6	4-5-1	4-6	44%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
On 2+ losing streak	6	2-4	3-3	1-5	50%
vs winning opp.	6	2-4	3-3	1-5	50%
vs losing opp.	7	4-3	3-3-1	3-4	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	5-9	5-8-1	5-9	38%
Dome	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Retractable (open)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	3-5	3-5	2-6	38%
Domestic road	9	4-5	4-4-1	5-4	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	3-5	3-5	2-6	38%
Short (<500)	4	2-2	2-1-1	3-1	67%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	4-7	5-6	4-7	45%
Long week (8-10d)	3	1-2	1-1-1	2-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 0-33 G

OctATS 1-45 G

NovATS 3-03 G

DecATS 1-2-14 G

JanATS 2-02 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 6-814 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 1-78 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-2-19 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-7-113 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-3-16 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-45 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-8-114 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-01 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 4-4-19 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-1-14 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-23 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-611 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-1-13 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-45 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-3-16 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-12 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-14 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.9 ptsBias -2.1 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)	12-5	0.488 #21	31.2	21.1	163.43	24.24
New York Giants (NYG)	4-13	0.536 #2	15.2	24.5	-100.13	-76.83
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)	9-8	0.469 #30	26.1	22.6	119.97	-68.27
Washington Commanders (WAS)	7-10	0.529 #4	19.7	25.5	15.80	-125.40

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Washington Commanders ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (2nd of 32), and defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (28th of 32), and defensive pass yards allowed per play (28th of 32).

Rivalries

Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders have met 16 times in the regular season. Philadelphia Eagles leads the series 11 to 5. The most lopsided meeting was a 24-point win for Philadelphia Eagles in 2018.


Drives	179	183.56	-4.56	#21
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.04	+0.06	#16
Yds / Drive	30.50	31.81	-1.31	#21
Points / Drive	1.80	2.06	-0.26	#23
Score %	34.60	37.91	-3.31	#21
Turnover %	13.40	11.53	+1.88	#25


Rush Att	477	452.91	+24.09	#10
Rush Yds	2061	1,959.19	+101.81	#12
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.31	-0.01	#20
Rush TD	13	15.78	-2.78	#23
EXP Pts Rush	5.87	4.81	+1.06	#17


Drives	177	183.56	-6.56	#6
Plays / Drive	6.20	6.06	+0.14	#21
Yds / Drive	34.40	31.78	+2.62	#26
Points / Drive	2.36	2.06	+0.30	#26
Score %	42.40	37.88	+4.52	#26
Turnover %	10.70	11.51	-0.81	#21


Rush Att	430	452.91	-22.91	#12
Rush Yds	1775	1,959.19	-184.19	#8
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.32	-0.22	#8
Rush TD	14	15.78	-1.78	#11
EXP Pts Rush	3.16	-4.81	+7.97	#13


2018	-30.3	-85.9	-116.2
2019	-88.3	-132.8	-221.1
2020	-15.6	47.0	+31.4
2021	15.8	-125.4	-109.6

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC East

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC East