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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

214.94

Def EXP

-14.28

Net EXP

200.66

Record

13-4

Pythag 12.0 (+1.0)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

+8.41

SoS Rank

#31

pts: −0.9 (#28)

#31

Pts / Game

30.1

Home 33.3 · Road 27.2

Net Pts / G

+9.3

Pts Allowed / G

20.8

Home 17.1 · Road 24.0

Yds / Play

6.10

Yds/Play Allowed

5.20

3rd Down %

47.1%

3rd Down % Allowed

38.5%

#12

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	511	390.69	+120.31	#2
Total Yards	6901	5,840.53	+1,060.47	#2
Yds / Play	6.10	5.42	+0.68	#2
1st Downs	404	345.50	+58.50	#2
Turnovers	19	22.06	-3.06	#8
Fumbles Lost	7	8.31	-1.31	#9
EXP Pts	214.94	64.59	+150.35	#1

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	353	390.69	-37.69	#5
Total Yards	5635	5,840.53	-205.53	#13
Yds / Play	5.20	5.42	-0.22	#7
1st Downs	344	345.50	-1.50	#17
Turnovers	29	22.06	+6.94	#6
Fumbles Lost	12	8.31	+3.69	#5
EXP Pts	-14.28	-64.59	+50.31	#7

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 511 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	731	584.75	+146.25	#1
Pass Cmp	492	378.78	+113.22	#1
Cmp %	67.30	64.70	+2.60	#7
Pass Yds	5229	3,881.34	+1,347.66	#1
Yds / Att	7.20	6.64	+0.56	#9
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.23	+0.37	#14
Adj Y/A	7.60	6.46	+1.14	#7
Adj NY/A	7.40	6.08	+1.33	#5
Pass TD	43	26.25	+16.75	#1
TD %	5.90	4.48	+1.42	#6
Pass Int	12	13.75	-1.75	#10
Int %	1.60	2.36	-0.76	#5
Sack %	3.10	6.31	-3.21	#1
Pass Rating	100.70	88.73	+11.97	#4
EXP Pts Pass	195.76	71.31	+124.45	#1

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	680	584.75	+95.25	#1
Pass Cmp	445	378.78	+66.22	#32
Cmp %	65.40	64.75	+0.65	#15
Pass Yds	4062	3,881.34	+180.66	#21
Yds / Att	6.40	7.10	-0.70	#2
Yds / Cmp	9.80	10.98	-1.18	#2
Adj Y/A	6	6.94	-0.94	#3
Adj NY/A	5.30	6.08	-0.78	#4
Pass TD	26	26.25	-0.25	#13
TD %	3.80	4.51	-0.71	#6
Pass Int	17	13.75	+3.25	#9
Int %	2.50	2.35	+0.15	#12
Sack %	6.50	6.24	+0.26	#12
Pass Rating	85.60	90.88	-5.28	#8
EXP Pts Pass	-19.77	-71.31	+51.54	#5

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

81.0%

#23 of 32

PAT%

95.0%

#15 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#10 of 32

Return Yards

842

#28 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

48 yd

FG %

81.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	7	1	87.5%
40-49	7	3	70.0%
50-59	0	1	0.0%
60+	0	1	0.0%

Made FG distances

20–292122232425252526272729(11)

30–3930313136363939(7)

40–4940404243444848(7)

Missed FG distances

30–3936(1)

40–49434546(3)

50–5955(1)

60+60(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

95.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3936(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

250

Punt avg

7.1

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

592

Kickoff avg

19.7

Total return yds

842

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2605

Gross avg

Net yards

2381

Net avg

38.4

Long

65 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

41.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.2%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

184

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2021.

QB Hits

127

#2 of 32

Pass Def.

#3 of 32

TFL

#5 of 32

Forced Fum.

#8 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+144.3

#2 of 32

Rush EPA

-2.4

#12 of 32

Recv EPA

+186.2

#3 of 32

CPOE

+1.56

#13 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,894

#1 of 32

Pass YAC

2,573

#2 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,894

#1 of 32

Recv YAC

2,573

#2 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#10 of 32

Penalty Yds

874

#20 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#18 of 32

Yds / Game

51.4

#20 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


All Purpose Yds	7225	8092	867
Total Yards	6145	6901	756
Pass Yds	4626	5229	603

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

W vs CAR · 41–17

TB covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2021.

Cmp %

67.3%

Pass Yds/G

307.6

Pass Rating

100.7

Pass TD

Pass Int

#10

Sack Rate

3.1%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	13-4	9-8	52.9%	9-8	52.9%	+9.3	+0.3	35	+22.5
Home	8	7-1	6-2	75.0%	5-3	62.5%	+16.1	+5.6	35	+22.5
Away	9	6-3	3-6	33.3%	4-5	44.4%	+3.2	-4.3	26	+14.5
As favorite	17	13-4	9-8	52.9%	9-8	52.9%	+9.3	+0.3	35	+22.5
Division games	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	3-3	50.0%	+11.3	+0.9	26	+14.5
Non-division	11	9-2	5-6	45.5%	6-5	54.5%	+8.2	+0.0	35	+22.5
Pick-em (≤3)	2	1-1	1-1	—	2-0	—	-1.5	-3.5	7	+4.0
Small favorite (3-7)	3	2-1	1-2	—	2-1	—	-0.3	-4.8	6	+2.5
Large favorite (7+)	12	10-2	7-5	58.3%	5-7	41.7%	+13.5	+2.2	35	+22.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+18.0	+5.8
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-9.0	-16.8
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+25.0	+13.8
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+2.0	-8.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-11.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+2.0	-4.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+28.0	+17.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+6.0	-1.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+35.0	+22.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-10.0	-20.0
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+20.0	+8.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+4.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+2.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+4.0	-10.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	1-2	3-0	33%
Oct	5	4-1	2-3	2-3	40%
Nov	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Dec	4	3-1	3-1	1-3	75%
Jan	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	2	2-0	0-2	1-1	0%
Sun	14	10-4	8-6	8-6	57%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	6-2	3-5	5-3	38%
Second half (W10+)	9	7-2	6-3	4-5	67%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	9-2	7-4	5-6	64%
Turf	6	4-2	2-4	4-2	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	4-2	3-3	67%
Same conference	6	4-2	2-4	2-4	33%
Inter-conference	5	5-0	3-2	4-1	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	4-0	2-2	0-4	50%
Warm (75°F+)	7	6-1	5-2	5-2	71%
Indoor	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	5	4-1	3-2	3-2	60%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	7-1	4-4	3-5	50%
Indoor	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	3
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	12	9-3	7-5	8-4	58%
After a loss	4	3-1	2-2	0-4	50%
On 2+ winning streak	8	5-3	4-4	4-4	50%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
vs winning opp.	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%
vs losing opp.	11	9-2	6-5	4-7	55%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	11-2	7-6	6-7	54%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Retractable (closed)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	7-1	6-2	5-3	75%
Domestic road	9	6-3	3-6	4-5	33%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	7-1	6-2	5-3	75%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	6	5-1	2-4	2-4	33%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	8-3	6-5	7-4	55%
Long week (8-10d)	3	3-0	3-0	1-2	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 3-14 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-22 G

SunATS 8-614 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-39 G

By surface

GrassATS 7-411 G

TurfATS 2-46 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-613 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-02 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 6-28 G

Domestic roadATS 3-69 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 6-28 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-46 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-511 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 3-03 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-35 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-33 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-12 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 6-17 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.7 ptsBias +0.3 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.472 #26	18.4	27.0	-18.38	-136.74
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-12	0.509 #15	17.9	23.8	-92.10	-9.14
New Orleans Saints (NO)	9-8	0.512 #11	21.4	19.7	-11.97	43.03
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	13-4	0.467 #31	30.1	20.8	214.94	-14.28

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), and offensive sack rate allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to throw (31st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (31st of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (29th of 32).


Drives	194	183.56	+10.44	#6
Plays / Drive	6	6.04	-0.04	#20
Yds / Drive	35.50	31.81	+3.69	#5
Points / Drive	2.59	2.06	+0.53	#3
Score %	44.30	37.91	+6.39	#8
Turnover %	9.80	11.53	-1.73	#10


Rush Att	385	452.91	-67.91	#31
Rush Yds	1672	1,959.19	-287.19	#26
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.31	-0.01	#19
Rush TD	18	15.78	+2.22	#12
EXP Pts Rush	27.96	4.81	+23.15	#8


3rd Down Att	223	217.81	+5.19	#11
3rd Down Made	105	87.94	+17.06	#2
4th Down Att	16	24.78	-8.78	#30
4th Down Made	9	13.16	-4.16	#31
Red Zone Att	68	56.19	+11.81	#6
Red Zone Scores	45	32.84	+12.16	#3


Drives	191	183.56	+7.44	#26
Plays / Drive	5.90	6.06	-0.16	#10
Yds / Drive	29.40	31.78	-2.38	#7
Points / Drive	1.78	2.06	-0.28	#6
Score %	33.50	37.88	-4.38	#6
Turnover %	14.70	11.51	+3.19	#6


Rush Att	366	452.91	-86.91	#1
Rush Yds	1573	1,959.19	-386.19	#3
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.32	-0.02	#13
Rush TD	11	15.78	-4.78	#5
EXP Pts Rush	0.17	-4.81	+4.98	#15


2018	127.5	-154.6	-27.0
2019	37.0	20.2	+57.2
2020	200.7	-23.9	+176.8
2021	214.9	-14.3	+200.7

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South