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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

-92.10

#31

Def EXP

-9.14

Net EXP

-101.24

Record

5-12

Pythag 5.7 (-0.7)

Power Rating

101.9

#11

SRS

−5.56

#26

SoS Rank

#15

pts: +0.3 (#11)

#15

Pts / Game

17.9

Home 18.1 · Road 17.7

#29

Net Pts / G

−5.9

#26

Pts Allowed / G

23.8

Home 23.5 · Road 24.0

#21

Yds / Play

4.60

#32

Yds/Play Allowed

5.10

3rd Down %

35.7%

#29

3rd Down % Allowed

37.8%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	304	390.69	-86.69	#29
Total Yards	5081	5,840.53	-759.53	#30
Yds / Play	4.60	5.42	-0.82	#32
1st Downs	322	345.50	-23.50	#25
Turnovers	29	22.06	+6.94	#31
Fumbles Lost	8	8.31	-0.31	#15
EXP Pts	-92.10	64.59	-156.69	#31

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	404	390.69	+13.31	#21
Total Yards	5201	5,840.53	-639.53	#2
Yds / Play	5.10	5.42	-0.32	#6
1st Downs	311	345.50	-34.50	#4
Turnovers	16	22.06	-6.06	#26
Fumbles Lost	7	8.31	-1.31	#20
EXP Pts	-9.14	-64.59	+55.45	#6

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 304 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	599	584.75	+14.25	#14
Pass Cmp	348	378.78	-30.78	#25
Cmp %	58.10	64.70	-6.60	#31
Pass Yds	3239	3,881.34	-642.34	#29
Yds / Att	5.40	6.64	-1.24	#31
Yds / Cmp	9.30	10.23	-0.93	#27
Adj Y/A	4.30	6.46	-2.16	#32
Adj NY/A	4	6.08	-2.08	#32
Pass TD	14	26.25	-12.25	#31
TD %	2.30	4.48	-2.18	#31
Pass Int	21	13.75	+7.25	#32
Int %	3.50	2.36	+1.14	#31
Sack %	8	6.31	+1.69	#25
Pass Rating	66.20	88.73	-22.53	#32
EXP Pts Pass	-81.20	71.31	-152.51	#32

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	515	584.75	-69.75	#31
Pass Cmp	337	378.78	-41.78	#4
Cmp %	65.40	64.75	+0.65	#16
Pass Yds	3266	3,881.34	-615.34	#4
Yds / Att	6.90	7.10	-0.20	#10
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.98	-0.38	#10
Adj Y/A	7.10	6.94	+0.16	#20
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.08	+0.02	#18
Pass TD	26	26.25	-0.25	#15
TD %	5	4.51	+0.49	#24
Pass Int	9	13.75	-4.75	#27
Int %	1.70	2.35	-0.65	#25
Sack %	7	6.24	+0.76	#9
Pass Rating	95	90.88	+4.13	#22
EXP Pts Pass	-47.59	-71.31	+23.72	#11

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

90.0%

#7 of 32

PAT%

93.0%

#19 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

833

#29 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

57 yd

FG %

90.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	3	0	100.0%
40-49	10	1	90.9%
50-59	3	1	75.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2920212223232427292929(10)

30–39323539(3)

40–4941424344454748484949(10)

50–59505157(3)

Missed FG distances

40–4947(1)

50–5954(1)

Blocked FG distances

50–5950(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

93.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

213

Punt avg

8.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

620

Kickoff avg

22.1

Total return yds

833

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3184

Gross avg

42.5

Net yards

2872

Net avg

37.3

Long

62 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

25.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

252

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2021.

#15 of 32

#31 of 32

#9 of 32

#11 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-132.2

#32 of 32

Rush EPA

-18.6

#17 of 32

Recv EPA

-29.9

#32 of 32

CPOE

-7.14

#32 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,417

#18 of 32

Pass YAC

1,833

#17 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,417

#18 of 32

Recv YAC

1,831

#17 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

107

#22 of 32

Penalty Yds

864

#19 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#13 of 32

Yds / Game

50.8

#19 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Punt Yds	2082	3184	1102
Punt Net Yds	1838	2872	1034
Rush Yds	1704	1842	138

5-Year Trajectory

CAR Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L at TB · 17–41

CAR failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2021.

Cmp %

58.1%

#31

Pass Yds/G

190.5

#29

Pass Rating

66.2

#32

Pass TD

#31

Pass Int

#32

Sack Rate

8.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	5-12	5-12	29.4%	8-9	47.1%	-5.9	-3.4	24	+31.0
Home	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-5.4	-4.3	19	+22.0
Away	9	3-6	3-6	33.3%	5-4	55.6%	-6.3	-2.6	24	+31.0
As favorite	7	2-5	2-5	28.6%	3-4	42.9%	-6.0	-9.4	15	+7.0
As underdog	10	3-7	3-7	30.0%	5-5	50.0%	-5.8	+0.8	24	+31.0
Division games	6	2-4	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	-6.8	-1.4	19	+22.0
Non-division	11	3-8	3-8	27.3%	6-5	54.5%	-5.4	-4.5	24	+31.0
Pick-em (≤3)	7	2-5	2-5	28.6%	3-4	42.9%	-5.3	-5.4	19	+22.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	-0.5	-4.0	5	+1.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	0-1	—	+15.0	+7.0	15	+7.0
Small underdog (3-7)	2	0-2	0-2	—	1-1	—	-13.0	-9.0	—	-3.5
Large underdog (7+)	5	1-4	1-4	20.0%	3-2	60.0%	-10.2	-0.1	24	+31.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+5.5	+10.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-1.0	-1.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-25.0	-13.8
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+1.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+15.0	+7.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-8.0	-3.5
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-5.5
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-3.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-22.0	-25.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-18.0	-14.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+24.0	+31.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-9.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-23.0	-24.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-17.0	-3.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	3-0	3-0	0-3	100%
Oct	5	1-4	1-4	2-3	20%
Nov	4	1-3	1-3	3-1	25%
Dec	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Jan	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	16	4-12	4-12	8-8	25%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	4-5	2-7	44%
Second half (W10+)	8	1-7	1-7	6-2	12%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	3-8	3-8	6-5	27%
Turf	6	2-4	2-4	2-4	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	1-5	1-5	4-2	17%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	0-4	0-4	2-2	0%
Warm (75°F+)	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	6	2-4	2-4	3-3	33%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	0-5	0-5	3-2	0%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	7
ATS	L	7
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	7
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	7
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%
After a loss	11	2-9	2-9	6-5	18%
On 2+ winning streak	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
On 2+ losing streak	8	1-7	1-7	4-4	12%
vs winning opp.	6	2-4	2-4	4-2	33%
vs losing opp.	7	0-7	0-7	4-3	0%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	2-10	2-10	6-6	17%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (open)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Retractable (closed)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Domestic road	9	3-6	3-6	5-4	33%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Short (<500)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Medium (500-1500)	7	1-6	1-6	4-3	14%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	13	3-10	3-10	6-7	23%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-03 G

OctATS 1-45 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 0-33 G

JanATS 0-22 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 4-1216 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-59 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 1-78 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-811 G

TurfATS 2-46 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 1-56 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-1012 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-01 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-13 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 2-68 G

Domestic roadATS 3-69 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 2-68 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-01 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-67 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-1013 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-56 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-23 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-33 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.6 ptsBias -3.4 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.472 #26	18.4	27.0	-18.38	-136.74
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-12	0.509 #15	17.9	23.8	-92.10	-9.14
New Orleans Saints (NO)	9-8	0.512 #11	21.4	19.7	-11.97	43.03
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	13-4	0.467 #31	30.1	20.8	214.94	-14.28

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg time to pressure (1st of 32), defensive avg yac allowed (1st of 32), and defensive yac over expected allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per pass play (32nd of 32), offensive epa per pass play (32nd of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (32nd of 32). Notably, defensive avg time to pressure (1st) yet offensive epa per pass play (32nd).


Drives	195	183.56	+11.44	#5
Plays / Drive	5.80	6.04	-0.24	#24
Yds / Drive	26	31.81	-5.81	#30
Points / Drive	1.51	2.06	-0.55	#29
Score %	29.20	37.91	-8.71	#29
Turnover %	14.90	11.53	+3.38	#29


Rush Att	455	452.91	+2.09	#14
Rush Yds	1842	1,959.19	-117.19	#20
Rush Y/A	4	4.31	-0.31	#23
Rush TD	17	15.78	+1.22	#13
EXP Pts Rush	-0.64	4.81	-5.45	#18


3rd Down Att	235	217.81	+17.19	#4
3rd Down Made	84	87.94	-3.94	#17
4th Down Att	34	24.78	+9.22	#3
4th Down Made	14	13.16	+0.84	#11
Red Zone Att	47	56.19	-9.19	#28
Red Zone Scores	25	32.84	-7.84	#27


Drives	197	183.56	+13.44	#31
Plays / Drive	5.40	6.06	-0.66	#1
Yds / Drive	26.10	31.78	-5.68	#2
Points / Drive	1.98	2.06	-0.08	#15
Score %	37.60	37.88	-0.28	#20
Turnover %	8.10	11.51	-3.41	#28


Rush Att	474	452.91	+21.09	#21
Rush Yds	1935	1,959.19	-24.19	#18
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.32	-0.22	#9
Rush TD	16	15.78	+0.22	#20
EXP Pts Rush	13.54	-4.81	+18.35	#5


2018	117.1	-117.2	-0.1
2019	-28.1	-109.9	-138.0
2020	81.2	-125.5	-44.3
2021	-92.1	-9.1	-101.2

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South