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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

199.13

Def EXP

-75.69

#18

Net EXP

123.44

Record

10-7

Pythag 11.1 (-1.1)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

+6.54

SoS Rank

#15

pts: −0.3 (#20)

#15

Pts / Game

29.5

Home 28.6 · Road 30.6

Net Pts / G

+6.9

Pts Allowed / G

22.6

Home 22.6 · Road 22.8

#16

Yds / Play

6.20

Yds/Play Allowed

5.50

#18

3rd Down %

50.9%

3rd Down % Allowed

38.1%

#14

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	502	389.50	+112.50	#4
Total Yards	6793	5,736.19	+1,056.81	#3
Yds / Play	6.20	5.42	+0.78	#4
1st Downs	395	335.31	+59.69	#2
Turnovers	23	20.56	+2.44	#21
Fumbles Lost	7	8.47	-1.47	#8
EXP Pts	199.13	62.00	+137.13	#5

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	385	389.50	-4.50	#16
Total Yards	5810	5,736.19	+73.81	#18
Yds / Play	5.50	5.43	+0.07	#18
1st Downs	336	335.31	+0.69	#20
Turnovers	18	20.56	-2.56	#18
Fumbles Lost	11	8.47	+2.53	#6
EXP Pts	-75.69	-62.00	-13.69	#18

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 502 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	571	556.59	+14.41	#10
Pass Cmp	408	363.41	+44.59	#5
Cmp %	71.50	65.29	+6.21	#2
Pass Yds	4257	3,699.50	+557.50	#3
Yds / Att	7.50	6.69	+0.81	#6
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.23	+0.18	#12
Adj Y/A	7.60	6.63	+0.97	#9
Adj NY/A	7.10	6.17	+0.93	#7
Pass TD	41	25.28	+15.72	#3
TD %	7.20	4.58	+2.62	#2
Pass Int	16	12.09	+3.91	#25
Int %	2.80	2.15	+0.65	#27
Sack %	6.50	6.82	-0.32	#17
Pass Rating	105	90.63	+14.37	#4
EXP Pts Pass	163.23	68.74	+94.49	#5

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	630	556.59	+73.41	#2
Pass Cmp	418	363.41	+54.59	#32
Cmp %	66.30	65.30	+1.00	#22
Pass Yds	4147	3,699.50	+447.50	#29
Yds / Att	7.10	7.13	-0.03	#17
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.94	-0.24	#13
Adj Y/A	7.40	7.09	+0.31	#24
Adj NY/A	6.50	6.14	+0.36	#23
Pass TD	27	25.28	+1.72	#20
TD %	4.30	4.57	-0.27	#14
Pass Int	7	12.09	-5.09	#28
Int %	1.10	2.15	-1.05	#29
Sack %	6.80	6.86	-0.06	#16
Pass Rating	96.60	92.48	+4.12	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-97.30	-68.74	-28.56	#26

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2024. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

94.0%

#1 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#13 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#5 of 32

Return Yards

975

#21 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

94.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	7	0	100.0%
40-49	4	0	100.0%
50-59	8	2	80.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292122232323252626262729(11)

30–3930303032343437(7)

40–4942434547(4)

50–595152525253535556(8)

Missed FG distances

50–595555(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3930(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

159

Punt avg

7.6

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

816

Kickoff avg

26.3

Total return yds

975

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2183

Gross avg

43.7

Net yards

1866

Net avg

37.3

Long

67 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

28.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

272

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2024.

QB Hits

114

#3 of 32

Pass Def.

#24 of 32

TFL

#19 of 32

Forced Fum.

#8 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2024. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+115.7

#4 of 32

Rush EPA

+20.7

#6 of 32

Recv EPA

+180.3

#4 of 32

CPOE

+3.62

#9 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2024 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,968

#25 of 32

Pass YAC

2,447

#2 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,968

#25 of 32

Recv YAC

2,447

#2 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2024. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

108

#13 of 32

Penalty Yds

839

#14 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#19 of 32

Yds / Game

49.4

#14 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2024 vs 2023.


All Purpose Yds	6217	8085	1868
Kickoff Yds	5124	6692	1568
Total Yards	5321	6793	1472

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2020 through 2024. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2024

W vs NO · 27–19

TB failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2024.

Cmp %

71.5%

Pass Yds/G

250.4

Pass Rating

105.0

Pass TD

Pass Int

#25

Sack Rate

6.5%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	10-7	10-7	58.8%	12-5	70.6%	+6.9	+5.3	34	+26.0
Home	9	5-4	5-4	55.6%	6-3	66.7%	+6.0	+2.9	34	+24.5
Away	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	6-2	75.0%	+7.9	+8.0	24	+26.0
As favorite	9	7-2	5-4	55.6%	6-3	66.7%	+11.4	+4.6	34	+24.5
As underdog	8	3-5	5-3	62.5%	6-2	75.0%	+1.8	+6.2	23	+26.0
Division games	6	4-2	2-4	33.3%	6-0	100.0%	+9.7	+4.7	34	+24.5
Non-division	11	6-5	8-3	72.7%	6-5	54.5%	+5.4	+5.7	23	+26.0
Pick-em (≤3)	4	2-2	2-2	—	4-0	—	+7.2	+9.2	23	+26.0
Small favorite (3-7)	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	+7.7	+2.5	24	+20.5
Large favorite (7+)	3	3-0	2-1	—	2-1	—	+19.0	+8.7	34	+24.5
Small underdog (3-7)	2	0-2	1-1	—	1-1	—	-6.5	-1.0	—	+3.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	1-1	2-0	—	1-1	—	-1.0	+7.2	4	+11.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2024. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-5.5	-3.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	+16.0	+7.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	+18.5	+10.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+13.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+4.0	+11.5
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-19.0	-25.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+18.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-5.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-6.0	+3.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-3.0	+3.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+23.0	+16.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+15.0	+8.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+23.0	+26.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-2.0	-6.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Oct	4	1-3	1-3	4-0	25%
Nov	3	1-2	3-0	1-2	100%
Dec	5	4-1	3-2	4-1	60%
Jan	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	14	10-4	9-5	9-5	64%
Mon	2	0-2	1-1	2-0	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	5-4	7-2	56%
Second half (W10+)	8	6-2	5-3	5-3	62%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	6-5	6-5	8-3	55%
Turf	6	4-2	4-2	4-2	67%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	2-4	6-0	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	5-1	3-3	83%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Warm (75°F+)	7	3-4	4-3	5-2	57%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	11	6-5	6-5	8-3	55%
Indoor	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	2
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	4

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	6
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	9	5-4	3-6	6-3	33%
After a loss	7	4-3	6-1	5-2	86%
On 2+ winning streak	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
On 2+ losing streak	3	1-2	3-0	1-2	100%
vs winning opp.	6	3-3	4-2	5-1	67%
vs losing opp.	8	6-2	4-4	5-3	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	7-5	7-5	8-4	58%
Dome	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Retractable (closed)	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	5-4	5-4	6-3	56%
Domestic road	8	5-3	5-3	6-2	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	5-4	5-4	6-3	56%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Medium (500-1500)	5	3-2	3-2	3-2	60%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	7-4	6-5	7-4	55%
Long week (8-10d)	3	1-2	2-1	3-0	67%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-14 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 3-03 G

DecATS 3-25 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 9-514 G

MonATS 1-12 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-38 G

By surface

GrassATS 6-511 G

TurfATS 4-26 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 5-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-512 G

DomeATS 3-03 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-22 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-49 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-25 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-511 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-13 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-24 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-03 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-35 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.7 ptsBias +5.3 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	8-9	0.519 #11	22.9	24.9	99.63	-85.85
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-12	0.498 #18	20.1	31.4	-9.53	-220.48
New Orleans Saints (NO)	5-12	0.505 #13	19.9	23.4	14.68	-107.32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	10-7	0.502 #15	29.5	22.6	199.13	-75.69

Insights

A look at how the 2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yac over expected (1st of 32), offensive yards after contact per carry (1st of 32), and offensive avg yards after catch (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (31st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (29th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (29th of 32).


Drives	181	181.84	-0.84	#22
Plays / Drive	6.20	6.01	+0.19	#9
Yds / Drive	37.40	31.52	+5.88	#3
Points / Drive	2.70	2.08	+0.62	#5
Score %	48.10	38.90	+9.20	#4
Turnover %	12.70	10.64	+2.06	#23


Rush Att	483	458.97	+24.03	#10
Rush Yds	2536	2,036.69	+499.31	#4
Rush Y/A	5.30	4.41	+0.89	#3
Rush TD	16	15.97	+0.03	#14
EXP Pts Rush	52.68	8.62	+44.06	#6


3rd Down Att	216	214.81	+1.19	#15
3rd Down Made	110	85.25	+24.75	#2
4th Down Att	14	23.94	-9.94	#31
4th Down Made	9	13.59	-4.59	#25
Red Zone Att	69	55.44	+13.56	#4
Red Zone Scores	46	31.94	+14.06	#4


Drives	182	181.84	+0.16	#17
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.01	+0.09	#20
Yds / Drive	31.60	31.48	+0.13	#18
Points / Drive	2.08	2.07	+0.01	#19
Score %	40.10	38.85	+1.25	#19
Turnover %	8.80	10.70	-1.90	#23


Rush Att	389	458.97	-69.97	#3
Rush Yds	1663	2,036.69	-373.69	#4
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.42	-0.12	#9
Rush TD	13	15.97	-2.97	#10
EXP Pts Rush	11.82	-8.62	+20.44	#9


2020	200.7	-23.9	+176.8
2021	214.9	-14.3	+200.7
2022	3.0	-11.3	-8.3
2023	34.9	-23.2	+11.7
2024	199.1	-75.7	+123.4

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South