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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

99.63

#13

Def EXP

-85.85

#19

Net EXP

13.78

Record

8-9

Pythag 7.7 (+0.3)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

−1.96

#19

SoS Rank

#11

pts: +0.0 (#17)

#11

Pts / Game

22.9

Home 23.9 · Road 21.8

#13

Net Pts / G

−2.0

#19

Pts Allowed / G

24.9

Home 24.1 · Road 25.8

#23

Yds / Play

5.80

Yds/Play Allowed

5.50

#22

3rd Down %

39.2%

#17

3rd Down % Allowed

45.3%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	389	389.50	-0.50	#13
Total Yards	6287	5,736.19	+550.81	#6
Yds / Play	5.80	5.42	+0.38	#8
1st Downs	359	335.31	+23.69	#8
Turnovers	24	20.56	+3.44	#26
Fumbles Lost	5	8.47	-3.47	#5
EXP Pts	99.63	62.00	+37.63	#13

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	423	389.50	+33.50	#23
Total Yards	5868	5,736.19	+131.81	#23
Yds / Play	5.50	5.43	+0.07	#22
1st Downs	347	335.31	+11.69	#26
Turnovers	18	20.56	-2.56	#16
Fumbles Lost	6	8.47	-2.47	#23
EXP Pts	-85.85	-62.00	-23.85	#19

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 389 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	559	556.59	+2.41	#14
Pass Cmp	364	363.41	+0.59	#16
Cmp %	65.10	65.29	-0.19	#16
Pass Yds	4068	3,699.50	+368.50	#5
Yds / Att	7.30	6.69	+0.61	#8
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.23	+0.98	#6
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.63	-0.13	#15
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.17	-0.07	#16
Pass TD	21	25.28	-4.28	#21
TD %	3.80	4.58	-0.78	#21
Pass Int	19	12.09	+6.91	#30
Int %	3.40	2.15	+1.25	#29
Sack %	5.40	6.82	-1.42	#7
Pass Rating	85	90.63	-5.63	#20
EXP Pts Pass	102.61	68.74	+33.87	#12

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	578	556.59	+21.41	#9
Pass Cmp	404	363.41	+40.59	#30
Cmp %	69.90	65.30	+4.60	#32
Pass Yds	3817	3,699.50	+117.50	#22
Yds / Att	6.90	7.13	-0.23	#10
Yds / Cmp	9.90	10.94	-1.04	#2
Adj Y/A	7.20	7.09	+0.11	#19
Adj NY/A	6.50	6.14	+0.36	#27
Pass TD	34	25.28	+8.72	#31
TD %	5.90	4.57	+1.33	#31
Pass Int	12	12.09	-0.09	#17
Int %	2.10	2.15	-0.05	#19
Sack %	5.10	6.86	-1.76	#31
Pass Rating	100.20	92.48	+7.72	#29
EXP Pts Pass	-76.07	-68.74	-7.33	#16

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2024. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

71.0%

#30 of 32

PAT%

100.0%

#1 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#5 of 32

Return Yards

991

#20 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

58 yd

FG %

71.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	8	1	88.9%
40-49	7	5	58.3%
50-59	7	4	63.6%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2920212224262729(7)

30–393131343537393939(8)

40–4940414142444848(7)

50–5951525253545458(7)

Missed FG distances

30–3935(1)

40–494142434646(5)

50–5952535456(4)

Blocked FG distances

30–3935(1)

50–5954(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

100.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5958(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

200

Punt avg

9.5

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

791

Kickoff avg

26.4

Total return yds

991

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2209

Gross avg

Net yards

1802

Net avg

38.3

Long

65 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

29.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

8.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

305

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2024.

#27 of 32

#21 of 32

#22 of 32

#19 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2024. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+34.3

#17 of 32

Rush EPA

+0.1

#12 of 32

Recv EPA

+104.1

#16 of 32

CPOE

-0.06

#20 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2024 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,466

#10 of 32

Pass YAC

1,958

#14 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,466

#10 of 32

Recv YAC

1,958

#14 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2024. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#7 of 32

Penalty Yds

828

#10 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#2 of 32

Yds / Game

48.7

#10 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2024 vs 2023.


All Purpose Yds	6525	7642	1117
Kickoff Yds	5128	5774	646
Total Yards	5683	6287	604

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2020 through 2024. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2024

L vs CAR · 38–44

ATL failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2024.

Cmp %

65.1%

#16

Pass Yds/G

239.3

Pass Rating

85.0

#20

Pass TD

#21

Pass Int

#30

Sack Rate

5.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	6-11	35.3%	7-10	41.2%	-2.0	-3.7	27	+17.5
Home	9	4-5	3-6	33.3%	3-6	33.3%	-0.2	-3.3	27	+17.5
Away	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	4-4	50.0%	-4.0	-4.1	18	+12.0
As favorite	11	7-4	5-6	45.5%	5-6	45.5%	+3.0	-1.5	27	+17.5
As underdog	6	1-5	1-5	16.7%	2-4	33.3%	-11.2	-7.7	1	+6.5
Division games	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	5-1	83.3%	+3.7	-0.2	18	+12.0
Non-division	11	4-7	3-8	27.3%	2-9	18.2%	-5.1	-5.5	27	+17.5
Pick-em (≤3)	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-5.2	-6.1	6	+3.5
Small favorite (3-7)	4	2-2	1-3	—	1-3	—	+3.2	-1.8	18	+12.0
Large favorite (7+)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+10.5	+2.0	27	+17.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	1-2	—	2-1	—	-8.7	-3.7	1	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2024. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	-0.5	-3.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	+5.5	+3.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	+6.0	-0.8
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-12.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+1.0	+6.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-5.0	-2.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-20.0	-23.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+6.0	+3.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-32.0	-30.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-3.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-21.0	-15.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+6.0	-0.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+27.0	+17.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	1-3	1-3	25%
Oct	4	3-1	3-1	3-1	75%
Nov	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Dec	5	2-3	1-4	2-3	20%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	14	5-9	4-10	6-8	29%
Mon	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	6-3	5-4	4-5	56%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	1-7	3-5	12%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	4-2	3-3	3-3	50%
Turf	11	4-7	3-8	4-7	27%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	3-3	5-1	50%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	2-4	50%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	0-5	0-5	0%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Warm (75°F+)	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%
Indoor	12	5-7	3-9	4-8	25%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	3-2	3-2	3-2	60%
Indoor	12	5-7	3-9	4-8	25%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	L	2
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	8	4-4	4-4	3-5	50%
After a loss	8	4-4	2-6	4-4	25%
On 2+ winning streak	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
On 2+ losing streak	3	1-2	0-3	1-2	0%
vs winning opp.	8	4-4	3-5	5-3	38%
vs losing opp.	6	4-2	3-3	2-4	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	5	3-2	3-2	3-2	60%
Dome	3	1-2	0-3	1-2	0%
Retractable (closed)	9	4-5	3-6	3-6	33%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	4-5	3-6	3-6	33%
Domestic road	8	4-4	3-5	4-4	38%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	4-5	3-6	3-6	33%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Medium (500-1500)	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	4-7	3-8	5-6	27%
Long week (8-10d)	3	3-0	2-1	1-2	67%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-34 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 1-23 G

DecATS 1-45 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 4-1014 G

MonATS 1-12 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 1-78 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-36 G

TurfATS 3-811 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 0-55 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-25 G

DomeATS 0-33 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 3-69 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-69 G

Domestic roadATS 3-58 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-69 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-34 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-811 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-13 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-25 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-55 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-22 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.1 ptsBias -3.7 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	8-9	0.519 #11	22.9	24.9	99.63	-85.85
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-12	0.498 #18	20.1	31.4	-9.53	-220.48
New Orleans Saints (NO)	5-12	0.505 #13	19.9	23.4	14.68	-107.32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	10-7	0.502 #15	29.5	22.6	199.13	-75.69

Insights

A look at how the 2024 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush success rate (2nd of 32), offensive pass yards per play (7th of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (7th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to pressure (32nd of 32), defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32), and defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32).


Drives	169	181.84	-12.84	#29
Plays / Drive	6.60	6.01	+0.59	#2
Yds / Drive	36.60	31.52	+5.08	#4
Points / Drive	2.11	2.08	+0.03	#14
Score %	39.60	38.90	+0.70	#14
Turnover %	13.60	10.64	+2.96	#26


Rush Att	495	458.97	+36.03	#8
Rush Yds	2219	2,036.69	+182.31	#10
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.41	+0.09	#11
Rush TD	18	15.97	+2.03	#9
EXP Pts Rush	17.02	8.62	+8.40	#12


3rd Down Att	209	214.81	-5.81	#23
3rd Down Made	82	85.25	-3.25	#18
4th Down Att	31	23.94	+7.06	#5
4th Down Made	21	13.59	+7.41	#4
Red Zone Att	53	55.44	-2.44	#18
Red Zone Scores	29	31.94	-2.94	#18


Drives	174	181.84	-7.84	#7
Plays / Drive	6.30	6.01	+0.29	#27
Yds / Drive	33.70	31.48	+2.23	#27
Points / Drive	2.34	2.07	+0.27	#28
Score %	43.70	38.85	+4.85	#28
Turnover %	9.80	10.70	-0.90	#16


Rush Att	458	458.97	-0.97	#16
Rush Yds	2051	2,036.69	+14.31	#15
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.42	+0.08	#22
Rush TD	11	15.97	-4.97	#6
EXP Pts Rush	-20.08	-8.62	-11.46	#21


2020	129.8	-148.6	-18.8
2021	-18.4	-136.7	-155.1
2022	73.7	-123.5	-49.8
2023	-32.5	6.9	-25.7
2024	99.6	-85.9	+13.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South