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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

50.25

#16

Def EXP

57.45

Net EXP

107.70

Record

10-7

Pythag 11.5 (-1.5)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

+6.16

SoS Rank

#17

pts: −0.5 (#23)

#17

Pts / Game

25.0

Home 29.0 · Road 21.4

#10

Net Pts / G

+6.7

Pts Allowed / G

18.3

Home 14.9 · Road 21.3

Yds / Play

5.20

#18

Yds/Play Allowed

4.90

3rd Down %

39.6%

#13

3rd Down % Allowed

37.3%

#11

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	425	389.50	+35.50	#10
Total Yards	5518	5,736.19	-218.19	#19
Yds / Play	5.20	5.42	-0.22	#18
1st Downs	315	335.31	-20.31	#20
Turnovers	19	20.56	-1.56	#15
Fumbles Lost	7	8.47	-1.47	#11
EXP Pts	50.25	62.00	-11.75	#16

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	311	389.50	-78.50	#3
Total Yards	5391	5,736.19	-345.19	#7
Yds / Play	4.90	5.43	-0.53	#2
1st Downs	327	335.31	-8.31	#13
Turnovers	25	20.56	+4.44	#8
Fumbles Lost	10	8.47	+1.53	#8
EXP Pts	57.45	-62.00	+119.45	#1

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 425 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	570	556.59	+13.41	#11
Pass Cmp	379	363.41	+15.59	#11
Cmp %	66.50	65.29	+1.21	#11
Pass Yds	3610	3,699.50	-89.50	#20
Yds / Att	6.30	6.69	-0.39	#19
Yds / Cmp	9.50	10.23	-0.73	#24
Adj Y/A	6.40	6.63	-0.23	#16
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.17	+0.03	#14
Pass TD	30	25.28	+4.72	#8
TD %	5.30	4.58	+0.72	#10
Pass Int	12	12.09	-0.09	#20
Int %	2.10	2.15	-0.05	#16
Sack %	4	6.82	-2.82	#2
Pass Rating	92.70	90.63	+2.07	#11
EXP Pts Pass	65.80	68.74	-2.94	#17

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	606	556.59	+49.41	#5
Pass Cmp	393	363.41	+29.59	#27
Cmp %	64.90	65.30	-0.40	#12
Pass Yds	3752	3,699.50	+52.50	#19
Yds / Att	6.80	7.13	-0.33	#7
Yds / Cmp	10.50	10.94	-0.44	#9
Adj Y/A	6.40	7.09	-0.69	#5
Adj NY/A	5.30	6.14	-0.84	#4
Pass TD	22	25.28	-3.28	#8
TD %	3.60	4.57	-0.97	#5
Pass Int	15	12.09	+2.91	#9
Int %	2.50	2.15	+0.35	#11
Sack %	9.40	6.86	+2.54	#1
Pass Rating	86.20	92.48	-6.28	#6
EXP Pts Pass	2.55	-68.74	+71.29	#2

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2024. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

91.0%

#6 of 32

PAT%

100.0%

#1 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 1

#20 of 32

Return Yards

772

#30 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

55 yd

FG %

91.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	2	0	100.0%
30-39	13	0	100.0%
40-49	11	0	100.0%
50-59	5	1	83.3%
60+	0	1	0.0%

Made FG distances

20–292729(2)

30–3930303233333335353637383838(13)

40–494041434344444545454647(11)

50–595152535455(5)

Missed FG distances

50–5950(1)

60+60(1)

Blocked FG distances

30–3935(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

100.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3935(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

408

Punt avg

15.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

364

Kickoff avg

28.0

Total return yds

772

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3597

Gross avg

46.7

Net yards

3236

Net avg

Long

65 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

42.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

251

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2024.

QB Hits

142

#1 of 32

Pass Def.

#19 of 32

TFL

#6 of 32

Forced Fum.

#19 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2024. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+40.0

#15 of 32

Rush EPA

-14.4

#16 of 32

Recv EPA

+76.2

#22 of 32

CPOE

+0.78

#17 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2024 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,130

#19 of 32

Pass YAC

2,091

#9 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,130

#19 of 32

Recv YAC

2,091

#9 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2024. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

108

#13 of 32

Penalty Yds

941

#23 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#29 of 32

Yds / Game

55.4

#23 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2024 vs 2023.


Kickoff Yds	5190	6022	832
All Purpose Yds	6260	7053	793
Total Yards	5072	5518	446

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2020 through 2024. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2024

W vs KC · 38–0

DEN covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2024.

Cmp %

66.5%

#11

Pass Yds/G

212.4

#20

Pass Rating

92.7

#11

Pass TD

Pass Int

#20

Sack Rate

4.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	10-7	12-5	70.6%	11-6	64.7%	+6.7	+6.7	38	+30.0
Home	8	6-2	6-2	75.0%	5-3	62.5%	+14.1	+9.9	38	+30.0
Away	9	4-5	6-3	66.7%	6-3	66.7%	+0.1	+3.9	23	+25.0
As favorite	8	8-0	8-0	100.0%	6-2	75.0%	+20.0	+13.9	38	+30.0
As underdog	9	2-7	4-5	44.4%	5-4	55.6%	-5.1	+0.3	19	+25.0
Division games	6	3-3	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+8.0	+6.9	38	+27.5
Non-division	11	7-4	8-3	72.7%	7-4	63.6%	+6.0	+6.6	32	+30.0
Pick-em (≤3)	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	+8.3	+8.6	32	+30.0
Small favorite (3-7)	3	3-0	3-0	—	3-0	—	+12.3	+6.5	18	+13.5
Large favorite (7+)	2	2-0	2-0	—	1-1	—	+26.0	+14.2	38	+27.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	2-1	—	2-1	—	+2.3	+7.7	19	+25.0
Large underdog (7+)	3	1-2	2-1	—	1-2	—	-10.7	-2.7	1	+8.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2024. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	+13.0	+8.2
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-7.0	-4.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	1-1	2-0	0-2	+18.0	+16.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-6.0	+0.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-4.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+19.0	+25.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+1.0	+8.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+23.0	+20.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+14.0	+1.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-31.0	-22.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+32.0	+30.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+9.0	+2.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+18.0	+13.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	3-1	1-3	75%
Oct	4	3-1	3-1	4-0	75%
Nov	4	2-2	3-1	2-2	75%
Dec	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%
Jan	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	13	8-5	10-3	7-6	77%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	6-3	6-3	67%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	6-2	5-3	75%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	8-4	9-3	7-5	75%
Turf	5	2-3	3-2	4-1	60%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	4-2	4-2	67%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	4-2	50%
Inter-conference	5	4-1	5-0	3-2	100%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	5	3-2	4-1	3-2	80%
Mild (60-74°F)	5	2-3	3-2	4-1	60%
Warm (75°F+)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	9	5-4	7-2	4-5	78%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	5
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	9	6-3	6-3	8-1	67%
After a loss	7	4-3	5-2	2-5	71%
On 2+ winning streak	6	3-3	3-3	6-0	50%
On 2+ losing streak	3	3-0	3-0	0-3	100%
vs winning opp.	8	4-4	5-3	2-6	62%
vs losing opp.	6	5-1	5-1	6-0	83%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	8-6	10-4	8-6	71%
Dome	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	6-2	6-2	5-3	75%
Domestic road	9	4-5	6-3	6-3	67%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	6-2	6-2	5-3	75%
Medium (500-1500)	6	2-4	4-2	5-1	67%
Long (1500+)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Standard (5-7d)	9	5-4	6-3	4-5	67%
Long week (8-10d)	4	3-1	3-1	3-1	75%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-14 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-12 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 10-313 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 9-312 G

TurfATS 3-25 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 5-05 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 10-414 G

DomeATS 2-13 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 6-28 G

Domestic roadATS 6-39 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 6-28 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-26 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-13 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-12 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-39 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 3-14 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-12 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-47 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 4-04 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 4-04 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.0 ptsBias +6.7 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	10-7	0.502 #17	25.0	18.3	50.25	57.45
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	15-2	0.488 #21	22.6	19.2	106.14	-55.29
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	11-6	0.467 #27	23.6	17.7	105.09	-11.72
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	4-13	0.540 #4	18.2	25.5	-76.31	-69.33

Insights

A look at how the 2024 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive stuffed rate forced (30th of 32) and offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	190	181.84	+8.16	#7
Plays / Drive	5.70	6.01	-0.31	#27
Yds / Drive	29	31.52	-2.52	#23
Points / Drive	2.04	2.08	-0.04	#16
Score %	38.40	38.90	-0.50	#18
Turnover %	10	10.64	-0.64	#15


Rush Att	461	458.97	+2.03	#13
Rush Yds	1908	2,036.69	-128.69	#16
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.41	-0.31	#22
Rush TD	12	15.97	-3.97	#23
EXP Pts Rush	-8.08	8.62	-16.70	#21


3rd Down Att	230	214.81	+15.19	#6
3rd Down Made	91	85.25	+5.75	#8
4th Down Att	22	23.94	-1.94	#20
4th Down Made	15	13.59	+1.41	#11
Red Zone Att	56	55.44	+0.56	#15
Red Zone Scores	35	31.94	+3.06	#10


Drives	193	181.84	+11.16	#29
Plays / Drive	5.80	6.01	-0.21	#9
Yds / Drive	27.90	31.48	-3.58	#4
Points / Drive	1.61	2.07	-0.46	#1
Score %	31.60	38.85	-7.25	#3
Turnover %	12.40	10.70	+1.70	#11


Rush Att	424	458.97	-34.97	#9
Rush Yds	1639	2,036.69	-397.69	#3
Rush Y/A	3.90	4.42	-0.52	#2
Rush TD	10	15.97	-5.97	#3
EXP Pts Rush	41.19	-8.62	+49.81	#2


2020	-21.8	-92.8	-114.6
2021	61.3	-36.1	+25.2
2022	-41.6	7.2	-34.4
2023	7.7	-91.1	-83.4
2024	50.3	57.5	+107.7

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West