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Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

Off EXP
106.14
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#11
Def EXP
-55.29
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#14
Net EXP
50.85
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
15-2
Pythag 10.2 (+4.8)
Power Rating
106.3
#2
SRS
+4.06
#10
SoS Rank
#21
pts: +0.6 (#14)
#21
Pts / Game
22.6
Home 23.8 · Road 21.7
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#15
Net Pts / G
+3.5
#11
Pts Allowed / G
19.2
Home 18.6 · Road 19.7
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#4
Yds / Play
5.10
#23
Yds/Play Allowed
5.30
#13
3rd Down %
48.5%
#2
3rd Down % Allowed
43.3%
#27

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Kansas City Chiefs's points come from. Total = 385 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for KC 2024. Click Details for full breakdown.

86.0%
#12 of 32
95.0%
#20 of 32
3 / 3
#1 of 32
Return Yards
1,092
#13 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for KC 2024.

112
#5 of 32
71
#16 of 32
87
#11 of 32
15
#12 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for KC 2024. Higher = better.

+63.0
#11 of 32
+2.6
#10 of 32
+136.3
#11 of 32
+2.44
#11 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for KC 2024 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

3,806
#28 of 32
2,368
#3 of 32
3,806
#28 of 32
2,368
#3 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for KC 2024. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

94
#4 of 32
829
#11 of 32
Yds / Game
48.8
#11 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2024 vs 2023.

Kick Ret Yds241785544
Punt Yds27763027251
Punt Net Yds24732575102

5-Year Trajectory

KC Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2020 through 2024. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2024

L at DEN · 0–38
KC failed to cover.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for KC 2024.

Cmp %
67.3%
#9
Pass Yds/G
222.4
#14
Pass Rating
91.2
#17
Pass TD
26
#11
Pass Int
11
#13
Sack Rate
6.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. KC has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2024. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

LACLos Angeles Chargers22-00-20-2+4.5-1.8
LVLas Vegas Raiders22-00-21-1+4.5-6.8
DENDenver Broncos21-10-20-2-18.0-16.5
BALBaltimore Ravens11-01-01-0+7.0+4.0
CINCincinnati Bengals11-00-11-0+1.0-5.5
ATLAtlanta Falcons11-01-00-1+5.0+2.0
NONew Orleans Saints11-01-00-1+13.0+7.5
SFSan Francisco 49ers11-01-00-1+10.0+12.5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers11-00-11-0+6.0-3.0
BUFBuffalo Bills10-10-11-0-9.0-6.5
CARCarolina Panthers11-00-11-0+3.0-8.0
CLECleveland Browns11-01-00-1+14.0+9.5
HOUHouston Texans11-01-01-0+8.0+4.5
PITPittsburgh Steelers11-01-00-1+19.0+16.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep44-02-22-250%
Oct33-02-11-267%
Nov54-10-53-20%
Dec44-03-11-375%
Jan10-10-10-10%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu11-01-01-0100%
Sat11-01-01-0100%
Sun119-23-84-727%
Mon22-01-11-150%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)88-04-44-450%
Second half (W10+)97-23-63-633%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass1413-16-86-843%
Turf32-11-21-233%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division65-10-61-50%
Same conference65-14-24-267%
Inter-conference55-03-22-360%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Cold (<40°F)43-12-21-350%
Cool (40-59°F)43-11-31-325%
Mild (60-74°F)44-02-23-150%
Warm (75°F+)22-01-11-150%
Indoor33-01-21-233%

By wind

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Calm (<5 mph)43-13-11-375%
Breezy (5-14 mph)98-12-75-422%
Windy (≥15 mph)11-01-00-1100%
Indoor33-01-21-233%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUL1
ATSL1
O/UU2

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak9
Longest SU loss streak1
Longest ATS cover3
Longest ATS no-cover7
Longest O streak2
Longest U streak4

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win1513-26-95-1040%
After a loss11-00-11-00%
On 2+ winning streak1311-26-74-946%
vs winning opp.75-22-52-529%
vs losing opp.55-01-43-220%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor1412-26-86-843%
Dome22-00-21-10%
Retractable (closed)11-01-00-1100%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home88-03-54-438%
Domestic road97-24-53-644%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)88-03-54-438%
Medium (500-1500)97-24-53-644%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)11-01-00-1100%
Standard (5-7d)98-13-64-533%
Long week (8-10d)44-01-32-225%
Bye+ (11+d)21-11-10-250%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 2-24 G
OctATS 2-13 G
NovATS 0-55 G
DecATS 3-14 G
JanATS 0-11 G
By day of week
ThuATS 1-01 G
SatATS 1-01 G
SunATS 3-811 G
MonATS 1-12 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 4-48 G
Second half (W10+)ATS 3-69 G
By surface
GrassATS 6-814 G
TurfATS 1-23 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 0-66 G
Same conferenceATS 4-26 G
Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 6-814 G
DomeATS 0-22 G
Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 3-58 G
Domestic roadATS 4-59 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-59 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-69 G
Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-34 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-12 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 1-45 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-34 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 4-04 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 1-34 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.6 ptsBias -1.0 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)10-70.502 #1725.018.350.2557.45
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)15-20.488 #2122.619.2106.14-55.29
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)11-60.467 #2723.617.7105.09-11.72
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)4-130.540 #418.225.5-76.31-69.33

Insights

A look at how the 2024 Kansas City Chiefs ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive stuffed rate (1st of 32), offensive avg time to pressure (2nd of 32), and offensive avg wr separation (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive rush yards per carry (29th of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (29th of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (29th of 32).

Rivalries

  • Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.