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Minnesota Vikings

NFC North

Team

Off EXP

72.05

#17

Def EXP

-86.30

#21

Net EXP

-14.25

Record

8-9

Pythag 8.5 (-0.5)

Power Rating

102.7

SRS

+0.06

#17

SoS Rank

#16

pts: +0.1 (#16)

#16

Pts / Game

25.0

Home 24.5 · Road 25.4

#14

Net Pts / G

−0.1

#18

Pts Allowed / G

25.1

Home 21.8 · Road 28.0

#24

Yds / Play

5.70

#12

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#27

3rd Down %

36.4%

#26

3rd Down % Allowed

36.4%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	425	390.69	+34.31	#14
Total Yards	6168	5,840.53	+327.47	#12
Yds / Play	5.70	5.42	+0.28	#12
1st Downs	332	345.50	-13.50	#20
Turnovers	13	22.06	-9.06	#2
Fumbles Lost	6	8.31	-2.31	#6
EXP Pts	72.05	64.59	+7.46	#17

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	426	390.69	+35.31	#24
Total Yards	6522	5,840.53	+681.47	#30
Yds / Play	5.70	5.42	+0.28	#27
1st Downs	391	345.50	+45.50	#30
Turnovers	24	22.06	+1.94	#13
Fumbles Lost	8	8.31	-0.31	#18
EXP Pts	-86.30	-64.59	-21.71	#21

Scoring Composition

Where Minnesota Vikings's points come from. Total = 425 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	604	584.75	+19.25	#12
Pass Cmp	398	378.78	+19.22	#12
Cmp %	65.90	64.70	+1.20	#13
Pass Yds	4238	3,881.34	+356.66	#11
Yds / Att	7	6.64	+0.36	#12
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.23	+0.37	#11
Adj Y/A	7.60	6.46	+1.14	#6
Adj NY/A	7.30	6.08	+1.23	#7
Pass TD	34	26.25	+7.75	#9
TD %	5.60	4.48	+1.12	#9
Pass Int	7	13.75	-6.75	#2
Int %	1.20	2.36	-1.16	#1
Sack %	4.70	6.31	-1.61	#5
Pass Rating	100.20	88.73	+11.47	#5
EXP Pts Pass	130.70	71.31	+59.39	#10

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	626	584.75	+41.25	#5
Pass Cmp	401	378.78	+22.22	#25
Cmp %	64.10	64.75	-0.65	#13
Pass Yds	4300	3,881.34	+418.66	#28
Yds / Att	7.50	7.10	+0.40	#25
Yds / Cmp	11.70	10.98	+0.72	#28
Adj Y/A	7.20	6.94	+0.26	#22
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.08	+0.02	#17
Pass TD	29	26.25	+2.75	#22
TD %	4.60	4.51	+0.09	#17
Pass Int	16	13.75	+2.25	#10
Int %	2.60	2.35	+0.25	#9
Sack %	7.50	6.24	+1.26	#4
Pass Rating	91.40	90.88	+0.53	#15
EXP Pts Pass	-57.45	-71.31	+13.86	#15

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for MIN 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

87.0%

#13 of 32

PAT%

90.0%

#24 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 3

#5 of 32

Return Yards

1,055

#14 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

55 yd

FG %

87.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	8	0	100.0%
30-39	11	1	91.7%
40-49	7	2	77.8%
50-59	7	2	77.8%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292023242425252529(8)

30–393031313436373838383839(11)

40–4940414243444546(7)

50–5951515252535455(7)

Missed FG distances

30–3937(1)

40–494749(2)

50–595053(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

90.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–2929(1)

30–3937(1)

50–5954(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

206

Punt avg

7.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

849

Kickoff avg

26.5

Total return yds

1055

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3624

Gross avg

45.9

Net yards

3225

Net avg

40.3

Long

64 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

32.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.8%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

339

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for MIN 2021.

QB Hits

101

#10 of 32

Pass Def.

#21 of 32

TFL

#19 of 32

Forced Fum.

#15 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for MIN 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+57.4

#12 of 32

Rush EPA

-41.3

#27 of 32

Recv EPA

+130.2

#11 of 32

CPOE

+0.87

#14 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for MIN 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,842

#9 of 32

Pass YAC

1,944

#14 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,842

#9 of 32

Recv YAC

1,944

#14 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for MIN 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

111

#24 of 32

Penalty Yds

1,043

#29 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#23 of 32

Yds / Game

61.4

#29 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Punt Yds	2435	3624	1189
Punt Net Yds	2054	3225	1171
Kickoff Yds	5053	6004	951

5-Year Trajectory

MIN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

W vs CHI · 31–17

MIN covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for MIN 2021.

Cmp %

65.9%

#13

Pass Yds/G

249.3

#11

Pass Rating

100.2

Pass TD

Pass Int

Sack Rate

4.7%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. MIN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	9-8	52.9%	11-6	64.7%	-0.1	-0.2	14	+15.0
Home	8	5-3	4-4	50.0%	4-4	50.0%	+2.8	+1.0	14	+15.0
Away	9	3-6	5-4	55.6%	7-2	77.8%	-2.6	-1.3	8	+10.0
As favorite	8	5-3	4-4	50.0%	5-3	62.5%	+3.6	-1.5	14	+10.5
As underdog	9	3-6	5-4	55.6%	6-3	66.7%	-3.3	+0.9	13	+15.0
Division games	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	-0.3	-2.6	14	+10.5
Non-division	11	4-7	6-5	54.5%	7-4	63.6%	+0.1	+1.1	13	+15.0
Pick-em (≤3)	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	3-3	50.0%	+3.2	+3.4	13	+15.0
Small favorite (3-7)	3	2-1	2-1	—	2-1	—	+6.0	+2.2	14	+10.5
Large favorite (7+)	3	2-1	1-2	—	1-2	—	+2.7	-5.3	8	+1.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	0-3	1-2	—	3-0	—	-5.3	-1.7	—	+3.0
Large underdog (7+)	2	0-2	1-1	—	2-0	—	-15.0	-4.8	—	+4.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


DET	Detroit Lions	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	+0.0	-8.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	-12.0	-5.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+11.0	+5.8
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-6.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+3.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+13.0	+15.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-6.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+3.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-4.0	-8.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+4.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+10.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-8.0	-4.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+8.0	+4.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-7.0	-3.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	4	2-2	1-3	1-3	25%
Nov	4	2-2	3-1	3-1	75%
Dec	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	15	6-9	7-8	10-5	47%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	4-4	4-4	50%
Second half (W10+)	9	5-4	5-4	7-2	56%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	2-4	4-2	5-1	67%
Turf	11	6-5	5-6	6-5	45%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	3-3	4-2	50%
Same conference	6	2-4	3-3	4-2	50%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Cool (40-59°F)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	11	6-5	6-5	6-5	55%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	2-3	3-2	4-1	60%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	11	6-5	6-5	6-5	55%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	3-4	3-4	4-3	43%
After a loss	9	5-4	6-3	6-3	67%
On 2+ winning streak	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	4	4-0	4-0	2-2	100%
vs winning opp.	10	4-6	6-4	7-3	60%
vs losing opp.	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	2-4	3-3	5-1	50%
Dome	10	6-4	5-5	5-5	50%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	4-4	4-4	50%
Domestic road	9	3-6	5-4	7-2	56%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	4-4	4-4	50%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	5	1-4	3-2	5-0	60%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	13	6-7	7-6	9-4	54%
Bye+ (11+d)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 7-815 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-48 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-49 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-26 G

TurfATS 5-611 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-36 G

DomeATS 5-510 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-48 G

Domestic roadATS 5-49 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-25 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-613 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-12 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-23 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-36 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-13 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 6.8 ptsBias -0.2 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC North

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Chicago Bears (CHI)	6-11	0.524 #6	18.3	23.9	-40.89	-77.49
Detroit Lions (DET)	3-13-1	0.528 #5	19.1	27.5	6.87	-176.03
Green Bay Packers (GB)	13-4	0.479 #25	26.5	21.8	185.17	-67.13
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)	8-9	0.507 #16	25.0	25.1	72.05	-86.30

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Minnesota Vikings ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (1st of 32), defensive sack rate (5th of 32), and offensive sack rate allowed (5th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive stuffed rate (32nd of 32), defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), and defensive avg time to pressure (29th of 32). Notably, defensive sack rate (5th) yet defensive avg time to pressure (29th).

Rivalries

Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings have met 16 times in the regular season. Minnesota Vikings leads the series 8 to 7, with 1 tie. The most lopsided meeting was a 27-point win for Green Bay Packers in 2021.


Drives	196	183.56	+12.44	#2
Plays / Drive	5.70	6.04	-0.34	#27
Yds / Drive	31.40	31.81	-0.41	#18
Points / Drive	2.08	2.06	+0.02	#15
Score %	39.30	37.91	+1.39	#15
Turnover %	6.60	11.53	-4.93	#2


Rush Att	449	452.91	-3.91	#16
Rush Yds	1930	1,959.19	-29.19	#17
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.31	-0.01	#17
Rush TD	10	15.78	-5.78	#29
EXP Pts Rush	-36.93	4.81	-41.74	#28


3rd Down Att	228	217.81	+10.19	#8
3rd Down Made	83	87.94	-4.94	#20
4th Down Att	22	24.78	-2.78	#21
4th Down Made	12	13.16	-1.16	#20
Red Zone Att	53	56.19	-3.19	#19
Red Zone Scores	33	32.84	+0.16	#15


Drives	194	183.56	+10.44	#29
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.06	+0.04	#19
Yds / Drive	33.60	31.78	+1.82	#23
Points / Drive	2.11	2.06	+0.05	#19
Score %	40.20	37.88	+2.32	#22
Turnover %	11.90	11.51	+0.39	#14


Rush Att	475	452.91	+22.09	#22
Rush Yds	2222	1,959.19	+262.81	#26
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.32	+0.38	#29
Rush TD	15	15.78	-0.78	#15
EXP Pts Rush	-44.57	-4.81	-39.76	#32


2018	8.3	26.7	+35.0
2019	111.7	-1.5	+110.2
2020	157.7	-180.3	-22.6
2021	72.1	-86.3	-14.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC North

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in NFC North