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Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

127.06

#10

Def EXP

-49.31

#14

Net EXP

77.75

Record

9-8

Pythag 10.6 (-1.6)

Power Rating

95.5

#29

SRS

+4.56

SoS Rank

#19

pts: −0.5 (#24)

#19

Pts / Game

26.5

Home 27.6 · Road 25.4

#10

Net Pts / G

+5.1

Pts Allowed / G

21.5

Home 24.1 · Road 18.5

#11

Yds / Play

5.60

#16

Yds/Play Allowed

5.60

#24

3rd Down %

41.0%

#12

3rd Down % Allowed

40.5%

#19

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	451	390.69	+60.31	#9
Total Yards	5901	5,840.53	+60.47	#16
Yds / Play	5.60	5.42	+0.18	#16
1st Downs	354	345.50	+8.50	#13
Turnovers	19	22.06	-3.06	#9
Fumbles Lost	11	8.31	+2.69	#28
EXP Pts	127.06	64.59	+62.47	#10

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	365	390.69	-25.69	#10
Total Yards	5834	5,840.53	-6.53	#16
Yds / Play	5.60	5.42	+0.18	#24
1st Downs	334	345.50	-11.50	#11
Turnovers	33	22.06	+10.94	#2
Fumbles Lost	14	8.31	+5.69	#2
EXP Pts	-49.31	-64.59	+15.28	#14

Scoring Composition

Where Indianapolis Colts's points come from. Total = 451 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	521	584.75	-63.75	#27
Pass Cmp	324	378.78	-54.78	#28
Cmp %	62.20	64.70	-2.50	#24
Pass Yds	3361	3,881.34	-520.34	#26
Yds / Att	6.50	6.64	-0.14	#19
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.23	+0.17	#16
Adj Y/A	6.80	6.46	+0.34	#14
Adj NY/A	6.40	6.08	+0.33	#14
Pass TD	27	26.25	+0.75	#13
TD %	5.20	4.48	+0.72	#12
Pass Int	8	13.75	-5.75	#4
Int %	1.50	2.36	-0.86	#4
Sack %	5.80	6.31	-0.51	#13
Pass Rating	91.70	88.73	+2.97	#14
EXP Pts Pass	83.01	71.31	+11.70	#14

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	597	584.75	+12.25	#14
Pass Cmp	390	378.78	+11.22	#18
Cmp %	65.30	64.75	+0.55	#14
Pass Yds	3980	3,881.34	+98.66	#19
Yds / Att	7	7.10	-0.10	#14
Yds / Cmp	10.80	10.98	-0.18	#16
Adj Y/A	6.70	6.94	-0.24	#11
Adj NY/A	6	6.08	-0.08	#14
Pass TD	32	26.25	+5.75	#31
TD %	5.40	4.51	+0.89	#28
Pass Int	19	13.75	+5.25	#4
Int %	3.20	2.35	+0.85	#4
Sack %	5.20	6.24	-1.04	#28
Pass Rating	90.50	90.88	-0.38	#14
EXP Pts Pass	-73.90	-71.31	-2.59	#19

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for IND 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

83.0%

#20 of 32

PAT%

98.0%

#6 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

978

#17 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

48 yd

FG %

83.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	9	1	90.0%
40-49	13	2	86.7%
50-59	0	2	0.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2921232424252829(7)

30–39343435353637373739(9)

40–4941414141414243434345464648(13)

Missed FG distances

30–3935(1)

40–494749(2)

50–595153(2)

Blocked FG distances

30–3937(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

98.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

170

Punt avg

7.4

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

808

Kickoff avg

24.5

Total return yds

978

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2627

Gross avg

44.5

Net yards

2340

Net avg

39.7

Long

79 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

40.7%

Touchbacks

TB %

1.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

267

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for IND 2021.

#23 of 32

#19 of 32

#19 of 32

#4 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for IND 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+10.0

#18 of 32

Rush EPA

+39.3

#2 of 32

Recv EPA

+101.2

#17 of 32

CPOE

-2.35

#25 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for IND 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,000

#29 of 32

Pass YAC

1,657

#29 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,000

#29 of 32

Recv YAC

1,647

#29 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for IND 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#3 of 32

Penalty Yds

688

#5 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#3 of 32

Yds / Game

40.5

#5 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Rush Yds	1996	2540	544
Rush Yds	1996	2540	544
Punt Yds	2216	2627	411

5-Year Trajectory

IND Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L at JAX · 11–26

IND failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for IND 2021.

Cmp %

62.2%

#24

Pass Yds/G

197.7

#26

Pass Rating

91.7

#14

Pass TD

#13

Pass Int

Sack Rate

5.8%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. IND has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	9-8	10-7	58.8%	8-9	47.1%	+5.1	+3.4	31	+33.5
Home	9	4-5	4-5	44.4%	4-5	44.4%	+3.4	-0.1	28	+17.5
Away	8	5-3	6-2	75.0%	4-4	50.0%	+6.9	+7.4	31	+33.5
As favorite	7	4-3	3-4	42.9%	2-5	28.6%	+8.4	-1.1	31	+21.0
As underdog	10	5-5	7-3	70.0%	6-4	60.0%	+2.7	+6.7	26	+33.5
Division games	6	3-3	2-4	33.3%	1-5	16.7%	+6.3	-0.9	31	+21.0
Non-division	11	6-5	8-3	72.7%	7-4	63.6%	+4.4	+5.8	26	+33.5
Pick-em (≤3)	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	+0.7	+2.2	10	+12.5
Large favorite (7+)	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	1-5	16.7%	+10.3	-0.3	31	+21.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	2-1	—	2-1	—	+0.0	+4.0	12	+15.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	1-1	2-0	—	2-0	—	+10.0	+17.5	26	+33.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-6.0	-5.2
HOU	Houston Texans	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+29.5	+19.2
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	1-1	0-2	0-2	-4.5	-16.8
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-12.0	-9.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+1.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+10.0	+12.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-6.0	+1.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+12.0	+15.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+15.0	+4.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+26.0	+33.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-7.0	-4.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+11.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+6.0	+9.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-11.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	1-2	1-2	33%
Oct	5	3-2	4-1	4-1	80%
Nov	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%
Dec	3	3-0	3-0	0-3	100%
Jan	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sat	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Sun	13	6-7	6-7	6-7	46%
Mon	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	6-3	6-3	67%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	4-4	2-6	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	3-3	4-2	3-3	67%
Turf	11	6-5	6-5	5-6	55%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	2-4	1-5	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	5-1	4-2	83%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	3-2	3-2	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Indoor	11	6-5	6-5	4-7	55%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	2	1-1	2-0	2-0	100%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Indoor	11	6-5	6-5	4-7	55%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	L	2
O/U	U	5

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	9	5-4	5-4	5-4	56%
After a loss	7	4-3	5-2	3-4	71%
On 2+ winning streak	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%
On 2+ losing streak	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
vs winning opp.	8	3-5	5-3	5-3	62%
vs losing opp.	7	6-1	5-2	3-4	71%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	3-3	4-2	4-2	67%
Retractable (open)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Retractable (closed)	9	5-4	5-4	3-6	56%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	4-5	4-5	4-5	44%
Domestic road	8	5-3	6-2	4-4	75%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	4-5	4-5	4-5	44%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	4	2-2	3-1	2-2	75%
Long (1500+)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	6-5	7-4	6-5	64%
Long week (8-10d)	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 4-15 G

NovATS 2-24 G

DecATS 3-03 G

JanATS 0-22 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 2-02 G

SunATS 6-713 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-26 G

TurfATS 6-511 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 5-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 4-26 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-12 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 5-49 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-59 G

Domestic roadATS 6-28 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-59 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-14 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-02 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-411 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-23 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 4-15 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-34 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-13 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.5 ptsBias +3.4 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	4-13	0.498 #18	16.5	26.6	-74.29	-143.17
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	9-8	0.495 #19	26.5	21.5	127.06	-49.31
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	3-14	0.512 #10	14.9	26.9	-42.52	-154.57
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	12-5	0.472 #29	24.6	20.8	82.34	-31.73

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Indianapolis Colts ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per rush (1st of 32), offensive epa per rush (1st of 32), and offensive ryoe per attempt (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg yards after catch (31st of 32), defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (31st of 32), and defensive avg time to pressure (30th of 32).


Drives	180	183.56	-3.56	#19
Plays / Drive	6	6.04	-0.04	#17
Yds / Drive	32.80	31.81	+0.99	#14
Points / Drive	2.39	2.06	+0.33	#10
Score %	43.30	37.91	+5.39	#11
Turnover %	8.90	11.53	-2.63	#6


Rush Att	499	452.91	+46.09	#5
Rush Yds	2540	1,959.19	+580.81	#2
Rush Y/A	5.10	4.31	+0.79	#2
Rush TD	22	15.78	+6.22	#5
EXP Pts Rush	60.03	4.81	+55.22	#2


3rd Down Att	210	217.81	-7.81	#24
3rd Down Made	86	87.94	-1.94	#16
4th Down Att	29	24.78	+4.22	#10
4th Down Made	18	13.16	+4.84	#4
Red Zone Att	64	56.19	+7.81	#9
Red Zone Scores	36	32.84	+3.16	#12


Drives	181	183.56	-2.56	#15
Plays / Drive	6	6.06	-0.06	#13
Yds / Drive	32.10	31.78	+0.32	#17
Points / Drive	1.99	2.06	-0.07	#16
Score %	35.40	37.88	-2.48	#11
Turnover %	17.10	11.51	+5.59	#1


Rush Att	420	452.91	-32.91	#7
Rush Yds	1854	1,959.19	-105.19	#10
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.32	+0.08	#19
Rush TD	10	15.78	-5.78	#3
EXP Pts Rush	9.34	-4.81	+14.15	#9


2018	131.1	-25.8	+105.2
2019	74.8	-56.4	+18.4
2020	149.9	-59.6	+90.3
2021	127.1	-49.3	+77.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South