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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

117.44

#12

Def EXP

35.53

Net EXP

152.97

Record

10-7

Pythag 12.4 (-2.4)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

+8.72

SoS Rank

#24

pts: −0.6 (#26)

#24

Pts / Game

27.2

Home 31.2 · Road 22.6

Net Pts / G

+9.4

Pts Allowed / G

17.8

Home 19.4 · Road 16.0

Yds / Play

5.70

#13

Yds/Play Allowed

5.10

3rd Down %

43.5%

#10

3rd Down % Allowed

36.5%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	462	390.69	+71.31	#6
Total Yards	6008	5,840.53	+167.47	#15
Yds / Play	5.70	5.42	+0.28	#13
1st Downs	362	345.50	+16.50	#9
Turnovers	23	22.06	+0.94	#17
Fumbles Lost	10	8.31	+1.69	#25
EXP Pts	117.44	64.59	+52.85	#12

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	303	390.69	-87.69	#2
Total Yards	5284	5,840.53	-556.53	#4
Yds / Play	5.10	5.42	-0.32	#5
1st Downs	308	345.50	-37.50	#3
Turnovers	30	22.06	+7.94	#4
Fumbles Lost	7	8.31	-1.31	#21
EXP Pts	35.53	-64.59	+100.12	#3

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 462 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	535	584.75	-49.75	#25
Pass Cmp	364	378.78	-14.78	#17
Cmp %	68	64.70	+3.30	#5
Pass Yds	3857	3,881.34	-24.34	#14
Yds / Att	7.20	6.64	+0.56	#8
Yds / Cmp	10.60	10.23	+0.37	#12
Adj Y/A	7	6.46	+0.54	#13
Adj NY/A	6.70	6.08	+0.63	#12
Pass TD	24	26.25	-2.25	#15
TD %	4.50	4.48	+0.02	#15
Pass Int	13	13.75	-0.75	#12
Int %	2.40	2.36	+0.04	#15
Sack %	5	6.31	-1.31	#8
Pass Rating	93.60	88.73	+4.87	#12
EXP Pts Pass	104.96	71.31	+33.65	#13

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	538	584.75	-46.75	#29
Pass Cmp	319	378.78	-59.78	#3
Cmp %	59.30	64.75	-5.45	#2
Pass Yds	3181	3,881.34	-700.34	#2
Yds / Att	6.40	7.10	-0.70	#3
Yds / Cmp	10.80	10.98	-0.18	#14
Adj Y/A	5.20	6.94	-1.74	#2
Adj NY/A	4.50	6.08	-1.58	#2
Pass TD	21	26.25	-5.25	#4
TD %	3.90	4.51	-0.61	#8
Pass Int	23	13.75	+9.25	#2
Int %	4.30	2.35	+1.95	#1
Sack %	6.30	6.24	+0.06	#16
Pass Rating	73.30	90.88	-17.58	#2
EXP Pts Pass	25.37	-71.31	+96.68	#2

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

92.0%

#5 of 32

PAT%

89.0%

#25 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 2

#10 of 32

Return Yards

860

#26 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

53 yd

FG %

92.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	11	0	100.0%
40-49	11	0	100.0%
50-59	5	3	62.5%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29212224252626272728(9)

30–393032323233333437373839(11)

40–494142434344444546484849(11)

50–595052525253(5)

Missed FG distances

50–59535456(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

89.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–2921(1)

50–5956(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

316

Punt avg

11.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

544

Kickoff avg

21.8

Total return yds

860

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2316

Gross avg

45.4

Net yards

2058

Net avg

38.1

Long

71 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

45.1%

Touchbacks

TB %

11.8%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

138

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2021.

#23 of 32

#2 of 32

#28 of 32

#25 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+77.9

#11 of 32

Rush EPA

+6.7

#9 of 32

Recv EPA

+120.8

#12 of 32

CPOE

+2.90

#5 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,288

#23 of 32

Pass YAC

1,940

#15 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,288

#23 of 32

Recv YAC

1,940

#15 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#9 of 32

Penalty Yds

854

#16 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#4 of 32

Yds / Game

50.2

#16 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Kickoff Yds	4756	6497	1741
Pass Yds	2890	3857	967
Pass Yds	2890	3857	967

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L at MIA · 24–33

NE failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2021.

Cmp %

68.0%

Pass Yds/G

226.9

#14

Pass Rating

93.6

#12

Pass TD

#15

Pass Int

#12

Sack Rate

5.0%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	10-7	10-7	58.8%	9-8	52.9%	+9.4	+6.0	41	+35.5
Home	9	4-5	5-4	55.6%	6-3	66.7%	+11.8	+8.2	41	+35.5
Away	8	6-2	5-3	62.5%	3-5	37.5%	+6.6	+3.6	25	+18.0
As favorite	13	8-5	7-6	53.8%	7-6	53.8%	+12.3	+6.7	41	+35.5
As underdog	4	2-2	3-1	—	2-2	—	-0.2	+3.8	4	+7.0
Division games	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	+7.0	+3.7	41	+34.0
Non-division	11	7-4	7-4	63.6%	6-5	54.5%	+10.6	+7.3	40	+35.5
Pick-em (≤3)	5	2-3	2-3	40.0%	2-3	40.0%	+1.0	+0.1	38	+35.5
Small favorite (3-7)	4	2-2	2-2	—	1-3	—	+6.8	+2.1	19	+14.5
Large favorite (7+)	5	5-0	4-1	80.0%	4-1	80.0%	+26.4	+17.0	41	+34.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	2-1	—	2-1	—	-1.7	+2.7	3	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-5.0	-9.8
NYJ	New York Jets	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+30.0	+23.8
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-4.0	-3.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-15.0	-18.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-2.0	+4.0
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+3.0	-5.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+18.0	+14.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+38.0	+35.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+25.0	+18.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+23.0	+15.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-10.0	-11.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+40.0	+22.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Oct	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%
Nov	4	4-0	4-0	2-2	100%
Dec	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	14	8-6	8-6	9-5	57%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	5-4	5-4	4-5	56%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	5-3	5-3	62%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Turf	15	9-6	9-6	8-7	60%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
Same conference	6	5-1	4-2	5-1	67%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	3-2	1-4	60%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	3-0	3-0	3-0	100%
Mild (60-74°F)	5	2-3	3-2	1-4	60%
Warm (75°F+)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Indoor	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	2-1	3-0	2-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	7	3-4	3-4	5-2	43%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Indoor	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	7
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	7
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	10	6-4	6-4	5-5	60%
After a loss	6	4-2	4-2	4-2	67%
On 2+ winning streak	6	5-1	5-1	2-4	83%
On 2+ losing streak	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%
vs winning opp.	8	4-4	5-3	5-3	62%
vs losing opp.	5	5-0	4-1	3-2	80%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	7-6	8-5	7-6	62%
Dome	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Retractable (closed)	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	4-5	5-4	6-3	56%
Domestic road	8	6-2	5-3	3-5	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	4-5	5-4	6-3	56%
Short (<500)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Medium (500-1500)	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Long (1500+)	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	7-4	7-4	7-4	64%
Long week (8-10d)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 3-25 G

NovATS 4-04 G

DecATS 1-23 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 8-614 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-38 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-12 G

TurfATS 9-615 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 8-513 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-23 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-49 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-02 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-24 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-411 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-13 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-35 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-23 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 5-16 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 14.1 ptsBias +6.0 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	11-6	0.472 #28	28.4	17.0	151.07	78.28
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	9-8	0.464 #32	20.1	21.9	-11.96	-16.12
New England Patriots (NE)	10-7	0.481 #24	27.2	17.8	117.44	35.53
New York Jets (NYJ)	4-13	0.512 #12	18.2	29.6	-32.71	-193.85

Insights

A look at how the 2021 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive pass yards allowed per play (2nd of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (2nd of 32), and defensive avg yac allowed (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg opp time to throw (32nd of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (32nd of 32), and defensive rush success rate allowed (32nd of 32).


Drives	175	183.56	-8.56	#28
Plays / Drive	6.20	6.04	+0.16	#12
Yds / Drive	34.30	31.81	+2.49	#11
Points / Drive	2.54	2.06	+0.48	#6
Score %	48	37.91	+10.09	#2
Turnover %	12.60	11.53	+1.08	#20


Rush Att	489	452.91	+36.09	#8
Rush Yds	2151	1,959.19	+191.81	#8
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.31	+0.09	#12
Rush TD	24	15.78	+8.22	#2
EXP Pts Rush	20.38	4.81	+15.57	#11


3rd Down Att	209	217.81	-8.81	#25
3rd Down Made	91	87.94	+3.06	#12
4th Down Att	17	24.78	-7.78	#29
4th Down Made	11	13.16	-2.16	#22
Red Zone Att	63	56.19	+6.81	#10
Red Zone Scores	39	32.84	+6.16	#9


Drives	177	183.56	-6.56	#7
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.06	+0.04	#18
Yds / Drive	29.90	31.78	-1.88	#9
Points / Drive	1.56	2.06	-0.50	#2
Score %	29.40	37.88	-8.48	#2
Turnover %	16.90	11.51	+5.39	#2


Rush Att	464	452.91	+11.09	#20
Rush Yds	2103	1,959.19	+143.81	#22
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.32	+0.18	#24
Rush TD	9	15.78	-6.78	#1
EXP Pts Rush	4.76	-4.81	+9.57	#11


2018	147.7	-17.3	+130.4
2019	35.5	169.6	+205.0
2020	55.9	-113.1	-57.2
2021	117.4	35.5	+153.0

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East