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Houston Texans

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

-74.29

#30

Def EXP

-143.17

#29

Net EXP

-217.46

Record

4-13

Pythag 4.1 (-0.1)

Power Rating

100.9

#15

SRS

−9.51

#30

SoS Rank

#18

pts: +0.6 (#8)

#18

Pts / Game

16.5

Home 20.3 · Road 12.1

#30

Net Pts / G

−10.1

#30

Pts Allowed / G

26.6

Home 27.8 · Road 25.3

#27

Yds / Play

4.70

#30

Yds/Play Allowed

5.90

#30

3rd Down %

39.7%

#15

3rd Down % Allowed

43.2%

#26

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	280	390.69	-110.69	#30
Total Yards	4727	5,840.53	-1,113.53	#32
Yds / Play	4.70	5.42	-0.72	#30
1st Downs	266	345.50	-79.50	#32
Turnovers	22	22.06	-0.06	#14
Fumbles Lost	7	8.31	-1.31	#12
EXP Pts	-74.29	64.59	-138.88	#30

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	452	390.69	+61.31	#27
Total Yards	6535	5,840.53	+694.47	#31
Yds / Play	5.90	5.42	+0.48	#30
1st Downs	382	345.50	+36.50	#27
Turnovers	25	22.06	+2.94	#10
Fumbles Lost	8	8.31	-0.31	#17
EXP Pts	-143.17	-64.59	-78.58	#29

Scoring Composition

Where Houston Texans's points come from. Total = 280 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	546	584.75	-38.75	#22
Pass Cmp	354	378.78	-24.78	#23
Cmp %	64.80	64.70	+0.10	#20
Pass Yds	3305	3,881.34	-576.34	#28
Yds / Att	6.10	6.64	-0.54	#25
Yds / Cmp	9.30	10.23	-0.93	#28
Adj Y/A	5.60	6.46	-0.86	#25
Adj NY/A	5.20	6.08	-0.88	#27
Pass TD	21	26.25	-5.25	#22
TD %	3.80	4.48	-0.68	#20
Pass Int	15	13.75	+1.25	#23
Int %	2.70	2.36	+0.34	#24
Sack %	7.50	6.31	+1.19	#24
Pass Rating	82.70	88.73	-6.03	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-7.51	71.31	-78.82	#28

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	546	584.75	-38.75	#25
Pass Cmp	363	378.78	-15.78	#9
Cmp %	66.50	64.75	+1.75	#23
Pass Yds	4117	3,881.34	+235.66	#23
Yds / Att	8	7.10	+0.90	#30
Yds / Cmp	12	10.98	+1.02	#30
Adj Y/A	7.50	6.94	+0.56	#26
Adj NY/A	6.70	6.08	+0.62	#25
Pass TD	27	26.25	+0.75	#19
TD %	4.90	4.51	+0.39	#22
Pass Int	17	13.75	+3.25	#8
Int %	3.10	2.35	+0.75	#5
Sack %	5.50	6.24	-0.74	#22
Pass Rating	94.10	90.88	+3.22	#21
EXP Pts Pass	-131.46	-71.31	-60.15	#26

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for HOU 2021. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

78.0%

#26 of 32

PAT%

86.0%

#27 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

1,194

#4 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

61 yd

FG %

78.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	5	0	100.0%
40-49	3	2	60.0%
50-59	5	3	62.5%
60+	1	0	100.0%

Made FG distances

20–2920212425252526(7)

30–393131313337(5)

40–49404043(3)

50–595151525353(5)

60+61(1)

Missed FG distances

40–494545(2)

50–59525556(3)

Blocked FG distances

40–4941(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

86.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

188

Punt avg

7.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

1006

Kickoff avg

23.4

Total return yds

1194

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

4108

Gross avg

46.7

Net yards

3673

Net avg

41.7

Long

69 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

42.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

355

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for HOU 2021.

#30 of 32

#23 of 32

#10 of 32

#8 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for HOU 2021. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-60.4

#28 of 32

Rush EPA

-66.5

#32 of 32

Recv EPA

+16.3

#28 of 32

CPOE

-1.25

#23 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for HOU 2021 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,997

#30 of 32

Pass YAC

1,723

#26 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,997

#30 of 32

Recv YAC

1,723

#26 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for HOU 2021. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

114

#28 of 32

Penalty Yds

978

#24 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#13 of 32

Yds / Game

57.5

#24 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2021 vs 2020.


Punt Yds	2531	4108	1577
Punt Net Yds	2283	3673	1390
Kick Ret Yds	722	1006	284

5-Year Trajectory

HOU Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2021. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2021

L vs TEN · 25–28

HOU covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for HOU 2021.

Cmp %

64.8%

#20

Pass Yds/G

194.4

#28

Pass Rating

82.7

#25

Pass TD

#22

Pass Int

#23

Sack Rate

7.5%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. HOU has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	4-13	8-9	47.1%	8-9	47.1%	-10.1	+0.2	16	+25.5
Home	9	2-7	5-4	55.6%	6-3	66.7%	-7.4	+1.2	16	+25.5
Away	8	2-6	3-5	37.5%	2-6	25.0%	-13.1	-0.9	14	+20.0
As favorite	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-7.0	-10.0	—	-10.0
As underdog	16	4-12	8-8	50.0%	8-8	50.0%	-10.3	+0.8	16	+25.5
Division games	6	3-3	4-2	66.7%	3-3	50.0%	-3.8	+4.7	16	+20.0
Non-division	11	1-10	4-7	36.4%	5-6	45.5%	-13.5	-2.2	12	+25.5
Pick-em (≤3)	1	0-1	0-1	—	0-1	—	-7.0	-10.0	—	-10.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	2-1	2-1	—	2-1	—	+7.3	+11.8	16	+20.0
Large underdog (7+)	13	2-11	6-7	46.2%	6-7	46.2%	-14.4	-1.7	12	+25.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2021. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	+15.0	+19.8
IND	Indianapolis Colts	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	-29.5	-19.2
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+3.0	+13.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-10.0	+3.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-15.0	-7.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-40.0	-21.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-3.0	+5.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-26.0	-5.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-16.0	+1.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-4.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-10.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-20.0	-10.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+12.0	+25.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-2.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	5	0-5	2-3	2-3	40%
Nov	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%
Dec	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%
Jan	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	16	4-12	8-8	8-8	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	1-8	4-5	4-5	44%
Second half (W10+)	8	3-5	4-4	4-4	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
Turf	11	2-9	5-6	6-5	45%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	4-2	3-3	67%
Same conference	6	1-5	3-3	3-3	50%
Inter-conference	5	0-5	1-4	2-3	20%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Warm (75°F+)	2	1-1	2-0	2-0	100%
Indoor	11	2-9	5-6	6-5	45%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	5	2-3	3-2	2-3	60%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	11	2-9	5-6	6-5	45%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	8
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%
After a loss	12	2-10	5-7	5-7	42%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	9	2-7	4-5	4-5	44%
vs winning opp.	8	2-6	4-4	3-5	50%
vs losing opp.	7	1-6	3-4	4-3	43%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
Retractable (open)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	9	2-7	5-4	5-4	56%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	2-7	5-4	6-3	56%
Domestic road	8	2-6	3-5	2-6	38%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	2-7	5-4	6-3	56%
Medium (500-1500)	7	2-5	3-4	2-5	43%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	13	2-11	6-7	7-6	46%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 1-23 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 8-816 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-59 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-36 G

TurfATS 5-611 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-45 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-36 G

Retractable (open)ATS 0-22 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 5-49 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-49 G

Domestic roadATS 3-58 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-47 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-713 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-46 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-25 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-12 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-24 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 11.7 ptsBias +0.2 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	4-13	0.498 #18	16.5	26.6	-74.29	-143.17
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	9-8	0.495 #19	26.5	21.5	127.06	-49.31
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	3-14	0.512 #10	14.9	26.9	-42.52	-154.57
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	12-5	0.472 #29	24.6	20.8	82.34	-31.73

Insights

A look at how the 2021 Houston Texans ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yac over expected allowed (4th of 32) and defensive avg yac allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per rush (32nd of 32), offensive epa per rush (32nd of 32), and offensive rush success rate (32nd of 32).


Drives	188	183.56	+4.44	#10
Plays / Drive	5.50	6.04	-0.54	#30
Yds / Drive	25.10	31.81	-6.71	#32
Points / Drive	1.41	2.06	-0.65	#30
Score %	26.60	37.91	-11.31	#31
Turnover %	11.20	11.53	-0.32	#13


Rush Att	420	452.91	-32.91	#23
Rush Yds	1422	1,959.19	-537.19	#32
Rush Y/A	3.40	4.31	-0.91	#32
Rush TD	8	15.78	-7.78	#31
EXP Pts Rush	-58.45	4.81	-63.26	#32


3rd Down Att	239	217.81	+21.19	#1
3rd Down Made	95	87.94	+7.06	#9
4th Down Att	21	24.78	-3.78	#22
4th Down Made	9	13.16	-4.16	#30
Red Zone Att	37	56.19	-19.19	#32
Red Zone Scores	19	32.84	-13.84	#31


Drives	189	183.56	+5.44	#22
Plays / Drive	6	6.06	-0.06	#14
Yds / Drive	34.40	31.78	+2.62	#27
Points / Drive	2.41	2.06	+0.35	#27
Score %	42.90	37.88	+5.02	#27
Turnover %	12.20	11.51	+0.69	#12


Rush Att	523	452.91	+70.09	#31
Rush Yds	2418	1,959.19	+458.81	#31
Rush Y/A	4.60	4.32	+0.28	#27
Rush TD	25	15.78	+9.22	#31
EXP Pts Rush	-21.18	-4.81	-16.37	#24


2018	88.4	16.8	+105.2
2019	110.6	-128.2	-17.6
2020	140.2	-242.8	-102.6
2021	-74.3	-143.2	-217.5

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South