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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

3.03

#21

Def EXP

-11.33

#10

Net EXP

-8.30

Record

8-9

Pythag 7.2 (+0.8)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

−1.97

#22

SoS Rank

#19

pts: +0.7 (#8)

#19

Pts / Game

18.4

Home 21.4 · Road 15.0

#25

Net Pts / G

−2.6

#25

Pts Allowed / G

21.1

Home 22.2 · Road 19.8

#14

Yds / Play

5.10

#24

Yds/Play Allowed

5.10

3rd Down %

37.4%

#21

3rd Down % Allowed

36.9%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	313	370.63	-57.63	#25
Total Yards	5894	5,760.38	+133.63	#14
Yds / Play	5.10	5.40	-0.30	#24
1st Downs	346	333.31	+12.69	#14
Turnovers	22	22.19	-0.19	#14
Fumbles Lost	12	9.13	+2.88	#28
EXP Pts	3.03	46.32	-43.29	#21

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	358	370.63	-12.63	#13
Total Yards	5513	5,760.38	-247.38	#10
Yds / Play	5.10	5.40	-0.30	#7
1st Downs	314	333.31	-19.31	#6
Turnovers	20	22.19	-2.19	#23
Fumbles Lost	10	9.13	+0.88	#16
EXP Pts	-11.33	-46.32	+34.99	#10

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 313 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	751	564.66	+186.34	#1
Pass Cmp	499	362.66	+136.34	#1
Cmp %	66.40	64.03	+2.37	#7
Pass Yds	4586	3,701.19	+884.81	#2
Yds / Att	6.10	6.56	-0.46	#25
Yds / Cmp	9.20	10.24	-1.04	#28
Adj Y/A	6.20	6.33	-0.13	#18
Adj NY/A	6	5.91	+0.09	#16
Pass TD	26	23.44	+2.56	#13
TD %	3.50	4.17	-0.67	#24
Pass Int	10	13.06	-3.06	#7
Int %	1.30	2.35	-1.05	#3
Sack %	2.80	6.83	-4.03	#1
Pass Rating	88.90	86.83	+2.07	#15
EXP Pts Pass	80.93	47.33	+33.60	#11

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	570	564.66	+5.34	#14
Pass Cmp	364	362.66	+1.34	#17
Cmp %	63.90	64.17	-0.27	#15
Pass Yds	3461	3,701.19	-240.19	#10
Yds / Att	6.70	7.04	-0.34	#6
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.97	-0.57	#8
Adj Y/A	6.90	6.83	+0.07	#15
Adj NY/A	5.80	5.93	-0.13	#10
Pass TD	29	23.44	+5.56	#29
TD %	5.10	4.16	+0.94	#30
Pass Int	10	13.06	-3.06	#27
Int %	1.80	2.34	-0.54	#26
Sack %	7.30	6.68	+0.62	#12
Pass Rating	92.70	89.01	+3.69	#22
EXP Pts Pass	-35.20	-47.33	+12.13	#12

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2022. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

82.0%

#22 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#13 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#6 of 32

Return Yards

986

#11 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

82.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	7	1	87.5%
40-49	12	0	100.0%
50-59	2	4	33.3%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2920212121222426272729(10)

30–3930303135383838(7)

40–49404142424444454545474747(12)

50–595054(2)

Missed FG distances

30–3936(1)

50–5950525355(4)

Blocked FG distances

20–2926(1)

50–5952(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4940(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

391

Punt avg

10.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

595

Kickoff avg

21.2

Total return yds

986

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3859

Gross avg

48.8

Net yards

3273

Net avg

41.4

Long

74 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

27.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

12.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

374

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2022.

QB Hits

104

#10 of 32

Pass Def.

#28 of 32

TFL

#6 of 32

Forced Fum.

#18 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2022. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+50.4

#9 of 32

Rush EPA

-85.2

#32 of 32

Recv EPA

+89.7

#12 of 32

CPOE

+0.23

#16 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2022 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,162

#5 of 32

Pass YAC

2,349

#3 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,162

#5 of 32

Recv YAC

2,349

#3 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2022. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#20 of 32

Penalty Yds

793

#16 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#9 of 32

Yds / Game

46.6

#16 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2022 vs 2021.


Punt Yds	2605	3859	1254
Punt Net Yds	2381	3273	892
Punt Ret Yds Opp	184	374	190

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2022. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2022

L at ATL · 17–30

TB failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2022.

Cmp %

66.4%

Pass Yds/G

269.8

Pass Rating

88.9

#15

Pass TD

#13

Pass Int

Sack Rate

2.8%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	8-9	4-12-1	25.0%	6-11	35.3%	-2.6	-5.7	16	+13.5
Home	9	5-4	2-6-1	25.0%	4-5	44.4%	-0.8	-3.4	6	+2.5
Away	8	3-5	2-6	25.0%	2-6	25.0%	-4.8	-8.4	16	+13.5
As favorite	14	8-6	4-9-1	30.8%	3-11	21.4%	+0.5	-4.2	16	+13.5
As underdog	3	0-3	0-3	—	3-0	—	-17.3	-13.0	—	-7.0
Division games	6	4-2	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	-1.3	-5.8	10	+7.5
Non-division	11	4-7	2-8-1	20.0%	4-7	36.4%	-3.4	-5.7	16	+13.5
Pick-em (≤3)	8	4-4	3-4-1	42.9%	2-6	25.0%	+1.4	-0.8	16	+13.5
Small favorite (3-7)	2	2-0	1-1	—	1-1	—	+3.5	+0.0	6	+2.5
Large favorite (7+)	4	2-2	0-4	—	0-4	—	-2.8	-13.0	6	-4.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	0-3	0-3	—	3-0	—	-17.3	-13.0	—	-7.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2022. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	+5.5	+2.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	-3.5	-5.8
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-6.0	-14.2
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+16.0	+13.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-2.0	-3.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-11.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-2.0	-12.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-7.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	+3.0	+0.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+2.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-9.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-28.0	-24.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-11.0	-7.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-4.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Oct	5	1-4	0-5	2-3	0%
Nov	3	2-1	1-1-1	0-3	50%
Dec	4	2-2	0-4	2-2	0%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	15	7-8	4-10-1	5-10	29%
Mon	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	2-6-1	2-7	25%
Second half (W10+)	8	4-4	2-6	4-4	25%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	5-8	1-11-1	5-8	8%
Turf	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	2-3-1	1-5	40%
Inter-conference	5	0-5	0-5	3-2	0%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	0%
Warm (75°F+)	2	2-0	1-0-1	1-1	100%
Indoor	11	5-6	3-8	3-8	27%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	3-0	1-1-1	1-2	50%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Indoor	11	5-6	3-8	3-8	27%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	6
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	8	3-5	3-5	3-5	38%
After a loss	8	4-4	0-7-1	3-5	0%
On 2+ winning streak	3	0-3	0-3	1-2	0%
On 2+ losing streak	4	3-1	0-3-1	1-3	0%
vs winning opp.	6	2-4	2-4	4-2	33%
vs losing opp.	8	4-4	1-6-1	2-6	14%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	5-8	2-10-1	5-8	17%
Dome	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Retractable (open)	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Retractable (closed)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	1-6-1	4-4	14%
Domestic road	8	3-5	2-6	2-6	25%
International	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	1-6-1	4-4	14%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	4	1-3	1-3	0-4	25%
Long (1500+)	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	5-7	3-9	5-7	25%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	0-1-1	0-2	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 0-55 G

NovATS 1-1-13 G

DecATS 0-44 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 4-10-115 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-6-19 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-68 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-11-113 G

TurfATS 2-13 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-3-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 0-55 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-10-113 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (open)ATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-12 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 1-6-18 G

Domestic roadATS 2-68 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 1-6-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-34 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-23 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 3-912 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-45 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-46 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 0-3-14 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.8 ptsBias -5.7 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.468 #27	21.5	22.7	73.69	-123.50
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-10	0.475 #24	20.4	22.0	-5.06	-52.04
New Orleans Saints (NO)	7-10	0.508 #15	19.4	20.3	17.30	-30.60
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.504 #19	18.4	21.1	3.03	-11.33

Insights

A look at how the 2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (1st of 32), and offensive sack rate allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32), offensive avg time to throw (32nd of 32), and offensive epa per rush (32nd of 32).


Drives	194	184.56	+9.44	#8
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.96	+0.24	#12
Yds / Drive	30.30	31.23	-0.92	#21
Points / Drive	1.60	1.93	-0.33	#26
Score %	32	36.36	-4.36	#25
Turnover %	10.30	11.34	-1.04	#10


Rush Att	386	461.56	-75.56	#32
Rush Yds	1308	2,059.19	-751.19	#32
Rush Y/A	3.40	4.43	-1.03	#32
Rush TD	5	15.22	-10.22	#32
EXP Pts Rush	-62.09	9.71	-71.80	#32


3rd Down Att	246	218.03	+27.97	#2
3rd Down Made	92	85.94	+6.06	#10
4th Down Att	27	23	+4	#9
4th Down Made	15	11.66	+3.34	#7
Red Zone Att	50	52.78	-2.78	#19
Red Zone Scores	26	29.59	-3.59	#22


Drives	197	184.56	+12.44	#29
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.97	-0.37	#3
Yds / Drive	27.90	31.20	-3.30	#4
Points / Drive	1.82	1.93	-0.11	#12
Score %	33	36.28	-3.28	#7
Turnover %	10.20	11.38	-1.18	#24


Rush Att	458	461.56	-3.56	#16
Rush Yds	2052	2,059.19	-7.19	#15
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.44	+0.06	#19
Rush TD	12	15.22	-3.22	#10
EXP Pts Rush	14.19	-9.71	+23.90	#7


2018	127.5	-154.6	-27.0
2019	37.0	20.2	+57.2
2020	200.7	-23.9	+176.8
2021	214.9	-14.3	+200.7
2022	3.0	-11.3	-8.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South