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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

73.69

#12

Def EXP

-123.50

#29

Net EXP

-49.81

Record

7-10

Pythag 7.9 (-0.9)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

−2.11

#25

SoS Rank

#27

pts: −0.9 (#28)

#27

Pts / Game

21.5

Home 24.9 · Road 17.6

#15

Net Pts / G

−1.2

#20

Pts Allowed / G

22.7

Home 21.6 · Road 24.0

#23

Yds / Play

5.40

#15

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#26

3rd Down %

41.8%

#10

3rd Down % Allowed

45.9%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	365	370.63	-5.63	#15
Total Yards	5417	5,760.38	-343.38	#24
Yds / Play	5.40	5.40	+0.00	#15
1st Downs	330	333.31	-3.31	#21
Turnovers	21	22.19	-1.19	#13
Fumbles Lost	12	9.13	+2.88	#29
EXP Pts	73.69	46.32	+27.37	#12

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	386	370.63	+15.38	#23
Total Yards	6156	5,760.38	+395.63	#27
Yds / Play	5.70	5.40	+0.30	#26
1st Downs	351	333.31	+17.69	#25
Turnovers	17	22.19	-5.19	#27
Fumbles Lost	7	9.13	-2.13	#23
EXP Pts	-123.50	-46.32	-77.18	#29

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 365 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	415	564.66	-149.66	#31
Pass Cmp	257	362.66	-105.66	#31
Cmp %	61.90	64.03	-2.13	#25
Pass Yds	2699	3,701.19	-1,002.19	#31
Yds / Att	6.50	6.56	-0.06	#15
Yds / Cmp	10.50	10.24	+0.26	#10
Adj Y/A	6.30	6.33	-0.03	#15
Adj NY/A	5.80	5.91	-0.11	#17
Pass TD	17	23.44	-6.44	#25
TD %	4.10	4.17	-0.07	#17
Pass Int	9	13.06	-4.06	#6
Int %	2.20	2.35	-0.15	#15
Sack %	8.20	6.83	+1.37	#26
Pass Rating	85.40	86.83	-1.43	#18
EXP Pts Pass	28.90	47.33	-18.43	#18

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	561	564.66	-3.66	#16
Pass Cmp	372	362.66	+9.34	#20
Cmp %	66.30	64.17	+2.13	#25
Pass Yds	3942	3,701.19	+240.81	#25
Yds / Att	7.30	7.04	+0.26	#25
Yds / Cmp	11	10.97	+0.03	#17
Adj Y/A	7.40	6.83	+0.57	#29
Adj NY/A	6.90	5.93	+0.98	#30
Pass TD	26	23.44	+2.56	#25
TD %	4.60	4.16	+0.44	#24
Pass Int	10	13.06	-3.06	#24
Int %	1.80	2.34	-0.54	#24
Sack %	3.60	6.68	-3.08	#32
Pass Rating	95.70	89.01	+6.69	#29
EXP Pts Pass	-112.41	-47.33	-65.08	#30

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2022. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

86.0%

#13 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#20 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 3

#4 of 32

Return Yards

926

#19 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

86.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	7	0	100.0%
40-49	9	1	90.0%
50-59	7	3	70.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29212124262727282829(9)

30–3930303233343437(7)

40–49404041414345474849(9)

50–5950505151535454(7)

Missed FG distances

40–4944(1)

50–59505258(3)

Blocked FG distances

60+63(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

20–2921(1)

40–4941(1)

60+63(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

292

Punt avg

16.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

634

Kickoff avg

22.6

Total return yds

926

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2845

Gross avg

45.9

Net yards

2555

Net avg

41.2

Long

73 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

37.1%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.2%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

250

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2022.

#30 of 32

#17 of 32

#31 of 32

#31 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2022. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+12.7

#16 of 32

Rush EPA

+10.7

#8 of 32

Recv EPA

+59.4

#21 of 32

CPOE

-0.83

#17 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2022 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,033

#24 of 32

Pass YAC

1,240

#31 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,033

#24 of 32

Recv YAC

1,240

#31 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2022. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#1 of 32

Penalty Yds

594

#1 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#2 of 32

Yds / Game

34.9

#1 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2022 vs 2021.


Rush Yds	1451	2718	1267
Rush Yds	1451	2718	1267
Kickoff Yds	4454	5143	689

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2022. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2022

W vs TB · 30–17

ATL covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2022.

Cmp %

61.9%

#25

Pass Yds/G

158.8

#31

Pass Rating

85.4

#18

Pass TD

#25

Pass Int

Sack Rate

8.2%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	8-8-1	50.0%	7-10	41.2%	-1.2	+0.8	14	+17.5
Home	9	6-3	4-4-1	50.0%	4-5	44.4%	+3.3	+2.6	14	+17.5
Away	8	1-7	4-4	50.0%	3-5	37.5%	-6.4	-1.2	4	+6.5
As favorite	5	4-1	1-3-1	25.0%	3-2	60.0%	+2.0	-2.6	13	+7.0
As underdog	12	3-9	7-5	58.3%	4-8	33.3%	-2.6	+2.2	14	+17.5
Division games	6	2-4	4-2	66.7%	3-3	50.0%	-0.7	+0.8	13	+7.0
Non-division	11	5-6	4-6-1	40.0%	4-7	36.4%	-1.5	+0.8	14	+17.5
Pick-em (≤3)	6	3-3	2-3-1	40.0%	2-4	33.3%	-1.0	-1.0	4	+5.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	2-0	1-1	—	2-0	—	+8.0	+2.8	13	+7.0
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	0-1	—	0-1	—	+1.0	-6.0	1	-6.0
Small underdog (3-7)	6	1-5	3-3	50.0%	2-4	33.3%	-3.7	+1.5	14	+17.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	0-2	2-0	—	1-1	—	-5.0	+5.5	—	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2022. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	2-0	1-1	-2.0	+3.5
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+3.5	+5.8
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	-3.5	-7.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-4.0	+6.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+4.0	+5.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+4.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+17.5
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-18.0	-11.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-0.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	0-0-1	1-0	+3.0	+0.0
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-2.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-2.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-1.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+1.0	-6.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	3-0	3-0	100%
Oct	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%
Nov	4	1-3	0-3-1	1-3	0%
Dec	3	0-3	1-2	0-3	33%
Jan	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	15	7-8	8-6-1	7-8	57%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	4-5	6-3	5-4	67%
Second half (W10+)	8	3-5	2-5-1	2-6	29%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	4	0-4	1-3	0-4	25%
Turf	13	7-6	7-5-1	7-6	58%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	4-2	3-3	67%
Same conference	6	4-2	3-2-1	3-3	60%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	1-4	1-4	20%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	14	7-7	8-5-1	7-7	62%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	0-3	0-3	0-3	0%
Indoor	14	7-7	8-5-1	7-7	62%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	2
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	6
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
After a loss	10	5-5	4-5-1	4-6	44%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
On 2+ losing streak	5	3-2	2-2-1	2-3	50%
vs winning opp.	5	2-3	2-3	0-5	40%
vs losing opp.	7	3-4	2-4-1	3-4	33%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	1-5	2-4	2-4	33%
Dome	2	0-2	2-0	1-1	100%
Retractable (open)	3	2-1	2-1	0-3	67%
Retractable (closed)	6	4-2	2-3-1	4-2	40%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	6-3	4-4-1	4-5	50%
Domestic road	8	1-7	4-4	3-5	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	6-3	4-4-1	4-5	50%
Short (<500)	4	0-4	2-2	1-3	50%
Medium (500-1500)	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	2-0	2-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	5-7	6-6	5-7	50%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	0-1-1	1-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-03 G

OctATS 3-25 G

NovATS 0-3-14 G

DecATS 1-23 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 8-6-115 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-5-18 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-34 G

TurfATS 7-5-113 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 3-2-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-45 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-46 G

DomeATS 2-02 G

Retractable (open)ATS 2-13 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-3-16 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-4-19 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-4-19 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-24 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 0-22 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-02 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-612 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-23 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 5-49 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-1-13 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 5.3 ptsBias +0.8 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.468 #27	21.5	22.7	73.69	-123.50
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-10	0.475 #24	20.4	22.0	-5.06	-52.04
New Orleans Saints (NO)	7-10	0.508 #15	19.4	20.3	17.30	-30.60
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.504 #19	18.4	21.1	3.03	-11.33

Insights

A look at how the 2022 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush success rate (4th of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (4th of 32), and offensive rush yards per carry (4th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive sack rate (32nd of 32), offensive avg yards after catch (31st of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (31st of 32).


Drives	167	184.56	-17.56	#32
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.96	+0.24	#9
Yds / Drive	32.30	31.23	+1.08	#12
Points / Drive	2	1.93	+0.07	#14
Score %	39.50	36.36	+3.14	#10
Turnover %	11.40	11.34	+0.06	#17


Rush Att	559	461.56	+97.44	#1
Rush Yds	2718	2,059.19	+658.81	#3
Rush Y/A	4.90	4.43	+0.47	#4
Rush TD	17	15.22	+1.78	#10
EXP Pts Rush	46.17	9.71	+36.46	#6


3rd Down Att	196	218.03	-22.03	#29
3rd Down Made	82	85.94	-3.94	#21
4th Down Att	18	23	-5	#24
4th Down Made	9	11.66	-2.66	#22
Red Zone Att	54	52.78	+1.22	#14
Red Zone Scores	30	29.59	+0.41	#12


Drives	170	184.56	-14.56	#2
Plays / Drive	6.60	5.97	+0.63	#32
Yds / Drive	36.20	31.20	+5.00	#31
Points / Drive	2.27	1.93	+0.34	#29
Score %	43.50	36.28	+7.23	#32
Turnover %	10	11.38	-1.38	#25


Rush Att	500	461.56	+38.44	#28
Rush Yds	2214	2,059.19	+154.81	#23
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.44	-0.04	#18
Rush TD	15	15.22	-0.22	#19
EXP Pts Rush	-24.68	-9.71	-14.97	#23


2018	154.2	-157.0	-2.8
2019	95.5	-98.3	-2.8
2020	129.8	-148.6	-18.8
2021	-18.4	-136.7	-155.1
2022	73.7	-123.5	-49.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South