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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

-5.06

#22

Def EXP

-52.04

#17

Net EXP

-57.10

Record

7-10

Pythag 7.7 (-0.7)

Power Rating

101.9

#11

SRS

−2.08

#24

SoS Rank

#24

pts: −0.5 (#22)

#24

Pts / Game

20.4

Home 22.1 · Road 18.5

#20

Net Pts / G

−1.6

#23

Pts Allowed / G

22.0

Home 19.8 · Road 24.5

#19

Yds / Play

5.30

#17

Yds/Play Allowed

5.40

#19

3rd Down %

31.7%

#30

3rd Down % Allowed

41.1%

#23

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	347	370.63	-23.63	#20
Total Yards	5206	5,760.38	-554.38	#29
Yds / Play	5.30	5.40	-0.10	#17
1st Downs	281	333.31	-52.31	#29
Turnovers	21	22.19	-1.19	#11
Fumbles Lost	8	9.13	-1.13	#11
EXP Pts	-5.06	46.32	-51.38	#22

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	374	370.63	+3.38	#19
Total Yards	5953	5,760.38	+192.63	#22
Yds / Play	5.40	5.40	+0.00	#19
1st Downs	346	333.31	+12.69	#22
Turnovers	17	22.19	-5.19	#28
Fumbles Lost	7	9.13	-2.13	#24
EXP Pts	-52.04	-46.32	-5.72	#17

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 347 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	457	564.66	-107.66	#29
Pass Cmp	267	362.66	-95.66	#30
Cmp %	58.40	64.03	-5.63	#31
Pass Yds	2996	3,701.19	-705.19	#29
Yds / Att	6.60	6.56	+0.04	#13
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.24	+0.96	#6
Adj Y/A	6	6.33	-0.33	#21
Adj NY/A	5.50	5.91	-0.41	#21
Pass TD	16	23.44	-7.44	#28
TD %	3.50	4.17	-0.67	#20
Pass Int	13	13.06	-0.06	#15
Int %	2.80	2.35	+0.45	#26
Sack %	7.30	6.83	+0.47	#21
Pass Rating	77.90	86.83	-8.93	#26
EXP Pts Pass	-18.72	47.33	-66.05	#27

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	580	564.66	+15.34	#12
Pass Cmp	383	362.66	+20.34	#22
Cmp %	66	64.17	+1.83	#23
Pass Yds	3868	3,701.19	+166.81	#23
Yds / Att	7.10	7.04	+0.06	#19
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.97	-0.27	#12
Adj Y/A	7.20	6.83	+0.37	#25
Adj NY/A	6.40	5.93	+0.48	#25
Pass TD	25	23.44	+1.56	#22
TD %	4.30	4.16	+0.14	#20
Pass Int	10	13.06	-3.06	#25
Int %	1.70	2.34	-0.64	#28
Sack %	5.70	6.68	-0.98	#25
Pass Rating	93.70	89.01	+4.69	#24
EXP Pts Pass	-82.35	-47.33	-35.02	#25

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2022. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

94.0%

#1 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#20 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#6 of 32

Return Yards

963

#14 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

94.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	2	0	100.0%
30-39	16	1	94.1%
40-49	13	1	92.9%
50-59	2	0	100.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292629(2)

30–3931323232323434343636373737373839(16)

40–4940404242424243454647484949(13)

50–595254(2)

Missed FG distances

30–3932(1)

40–4941(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4942(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

216

Punt avg

6.4

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

747

Kickoff avg

24.1

Total return yds

963

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3925

Gross avg

48.5

Net yards

3579

Net avg

44.2

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

48.1%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.4%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

231

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2022.

#20 of 32

#25 of 32

#8 of 32

#29 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2022. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-41.8

#24 of 32

Rush EPA

+7.9

#9 of 32

Recv EPA

+28.8

#28 of 32

CPOE

-4.87

#32 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2022 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,321

#32 of 32

Pass YAC

1,734

#21 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,321

#32 of 32

Recv YAC

1,734

#21 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2022. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

104

#23 of 32

Penalty Yds

862

#25 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#15 of 32

Yds / Game

50.7

#25 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2022 vs 2021.


Punt Yds	3184	3925	741
Punt Net Yds	2872	3579	707
Kickoff Yds	4750	5154	404

5-Year Trajectory

CAR Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2022. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2022

W at NO · 10–7

CAR covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2022.

Cmp %

58.4%

#31

Pass Yds/G

176.2

#29

Pass Rating

77.9

#26

Pass TD

#28

Pass Int

#15

Sack Rate

7.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	7-10	9-8	52.9%	8-9	47.1%	-1.6	+2.2	18	+31.0
Home	9	5-4	5-4	55.6%	4-5	44.4%	+2.3	+4.7	18	+31.0
Away	8	2-6	4-4	50.0%	4-4	50.0%	-6.0	-0.5	6	+9.5
As favorite	4	0-4	0-4	—	2-2	—	-5.8	-7.5	—	-4.0
As underdog	13	7-6	9-4	69.2%	6-7	46.2%	-0.3	+5.2	18	+31.0
Division games	6	4-2	5-1	83.3%	2-4	33.3%	+5.0	+9.8	18	+31.0
Non-division	11	3-8	4-7	36.4%	6-5	54.5%	-5.2	-1.9	14	+16.5
Pick-em (≤3)	8	4-4	4-4	50.0%	3-5	37.5%	+2.8	+2.9	14	+16.5
Small underdog (3-7)	5	2-3	3-2	60.0%	4-1	80.0%	-4.4	-0.2	6	+9.5
Large underdog (7+)	4	1-3	2-2	—	1-3	—	-6.8	+4.0	18	+31.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2022. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+5.5	+8.2
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+6.0	+14.2
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	+3.5	+7.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-2.0	-4.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-4.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-10.0	-11.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-22.0	-16.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-4.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-21.0	-14.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-10.0	+3.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+13.0	+14.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+9.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-8.0	-10.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+14.0	+16.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Oct	5	1-4	2-3	2-3	40%
Nov	4	2-2	3-1	1-3	75%
Dec	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sat	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	15	5-10	7-8	7-8	47%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	2-7	3-6	4-5	33%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	6-2	4-4	75%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	5-6	6-5	5-6	55%
Turf	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	5-1	2-4	83%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-4	3-3	33%
Inter-conference	5	1-4	2-3	3-2	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	9	3-6	4-5	3-6	44%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	9	3-6	4-5	3-6	44%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	4
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	1-5	3-3	4-2	50%
After a loss	10	6-4	6-4	3-7	60%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
On 2+ losing streak	4	3-1	3-1	0-4	75%
vs winning opp.	3	1-2	2-1	1-2	67%
vs losing opp.	8	3-5	4-4	3-5	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	6-8	7-7	7-7	50%
Dome	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	9	5-4	5-4	4-5	56%
Domestic road	8	2-6	4-4	4-4	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	9	5-4	5-4	4-5	56%
Short (<500)	3	0-3	2-1	2-1	67%
Medium (500-1500)	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	5-7	6-6	5-7	50%
Long week (8-10d)	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 2-13 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 7-815 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-69 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 6-511 G

TurfATS 3-36 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 5-16 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-714 G

DomeATS 1-12 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-49 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-23 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-612 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-24 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-36 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-25 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.1 ptsBias +2.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-10	0.468 #27	21.5	22.7	73.69	-123.50
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	7-10	0.475 #24	20.4	22.0	-5.06	-52.04
New Orleans Saints (NO)	7-10	0.508 #15	19.4	20.3	17.30	-30.60
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	8-9	0.504 #19	18.4	21.1	3.03	-11.33

Insights

A look at how the 2022 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive yac over expected (4th of 32), defensive yac over expected allowed (4th of 32), and defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (5th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (28th of 32), defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (27th of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (26th of 32).


Drives	187	184.56	+2.44	#13
Plays / Drive	5.40	5.96	-0.56	#29
Yds / Drive	27.90	31.23	-3.32	#25
Points / Drive	1.76	1.93	-0.17	#20
Score %	35.30	36.36	-1.06	#18
Turnover %	9.60	11.34	-1.74	#6


Rush Att	483	461.56	+21.44	#12
Rush Yds	2210	2,059.19	+150.81	#10
Rush Y/A	4.60	4.43	+0.17	#12
Rush TD	16	15.22	+0.78	#11
EXP Pts Rush	26.76	9.71	+17.05	#9


3rd Down Att	202	218.03	-16.03	#26
3rd Down Made	64	85.94	-21.94	#32
4th Down Att	21	23	-2	#17
4th Down Made	12	11.66	+0.34	#12
Red Zone Att	46	52.78	-6.78	#26
Red Zone Scores	26	29.59	-3.59	#20


Drives	193	184.56	+8.44	#27
Plays / Drive	5.90	5.97	-0.07	#14
Yds / Drive	30.80	31.20	-0.40	#15
Points / Drive	1.90	1.93	-0.03	#15
Score %	34.20	36.28	-2.08	#10
Turnover %	8.30	11.38	-3.08	#27


Rush Att	488	461.56	+26.44	#24
Rush Yds	2085	2,059.19	+25.81	#18
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.44	-0.14	#13
Rush TD	17	15.22	+1.78	#22
EXP Pts Rush	10.22	-9.71	+19.93	#9


2018	117.1	-117.2	-0.1
2019	-28.1	-109.9	-138.0
2020	81.2	-125.5	-44.3
2021	-92.1	-9.1	-101.2
2022	-5.1	-52.0	-57.1

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South