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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

-41.62

#29

Def EXP

7.24

Net EXP

-34.38

Record

5-12

Pythag 6.3 (-1.3)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

−4.49

#28

SoS Rank

#22

pts: −0.3 (#19)

#22

Pts / Game

16.9

Home 18.0 · Road 15.9

#32

Net Pts / G

−4.2

#27

Pts Allowed / G

21.1

Home 18.3 · Road 23.7

#15

Yds / Play

5.10

#23

Yds/Play Allowed

5.00

3rd Down %

29.1%

#32

3rd Down % Allowed

34.1%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	287	370.63	-83.63	#32
Total Yards	5527	5,760.38	-233.38	#21
Yds / Play	5.10	5.40	-0.30	#23
1st Downs	300	333.31	-33.31	#25
Turnovers	24	22.19	+1.81	#26
Fumbles Lost	9	9.13	-0.13	#18
EXP Pts	-41.62	46.32	-87.94	#29

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	359	370.63	-11.63	#15
Total Yards	5440	5,760.38	-320.38	#8
Yds / Play	5	5.40	-0.40	#6
1st Downs	324	333.31	-9.31	#13
Turnovers	23	22.19	+0.81	#15
Fumbles Lost	8	9.13	-1.13	#22
EXP Pts	7.24	-46.32	+53.56	#8

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 287 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	571	564.66	+6.34	#16
Pass Cmp	345	362.66	-17.66	#23
Cmp %	60.40	64.03	-3.63	#29
Pass Yds	3592	3,701.19	-109.19	#19
Yds / Att	6.30	6.56	-0.26	#21
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.24	+0.16	#12
Adj Y/A	5.70	6.33	-0.63	#25
Adj NY/A	5.20	5.91	-0.71	#25
Pass TD	18	23.44	-5.44	#23
TD %	3.20	4.17	-0.97	#27
Pass Int	15	13.06	+1.94	#25
Int %	2.60	2.35	+0.25	#21
Sack %	9.90	6.83	+3.07	#30
Pass Rating	78.20	86.83	-8.63	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-10.75	47.33	-58.08	#26

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	605	564.66	+40.34	#5
Pass Cmp	392	362.66	+29.34	#25
Cmp %	64.80	64.17	+0.63	#18
Pass Yds	3574	3,701.19	-127.19	#13
Yds / Att	6.30	7.04	-0.74	#2
Yds / Cmp	9.70	10.97	-1.27	#1
Adj Y/A	5.90	6.83	-0.93	#3
Adj NY/A	5.10	5.93	-0.83	#3
Pass TD	20	23.44	-3.44	#6
TD %	3.30	4.16	-0.86	#5
Pass Int	15	13.06	+1.94	#10
Int %	2.50	2.34	+0.16	#13
Sack %	5.60	6.68	-1.08	#26
Pass Rating	83.10	89.01	-5.91	#7
EXP Pts Pass	-14.65	-47.33	+32.68	#8

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2022. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

78.0%

#28 of 32

PAT%

93.0%

#24 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 2

#17 of 32

Return Yards

728

#30 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

55 yd

FG %

78.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	4	1	80.0%
40-49	10	0	100.0%
50-59	8	3	72.7%
60+	0	2	0.0%

Made FG distances

20–29202426272728(6)

30–3930333339(4)

40–4940414444454848484949(10)

50–595050515252525455(8)

Missed FG distances

30–3938(1)

50–59535656(3)

60+6364(2)

Blocked FG distances

20–2925(1)

30–3934(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

93.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

60+6364(2)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

308

Punt avg

8.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

420

Kickoff avg

17.5

Total return yds

728

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

4470

Gross avg

46.6

Net yards

3974

Net avg

41.4

Long

59 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

31.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.3%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

362

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2022.

#26 of 32

#20 of 32

#27 of 32

#5 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2022. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-86.2

#29 of 32

Rush EPA

-37.3

#26 of 32

Recv EPA

+47.5

#24 of 32

CPOE

-1.57

#22 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2022 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,998

#7 of 32

Pass YAC

1,987

#12 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,998

#7 of 32

Recv YAC

1,987

#12 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2022. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

113

#30 of 32

Penalty Yds

970

#32 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#29 of 32

Yds / Game

57.1

#32 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2022 vs 2021.


Punt Yds	3083	4470	1387
Punt Net Yds	2869	3974	1105
Punt Ret Yds Opp	154	362	208

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2022. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2022

W vs LAC · 31–28

DEN failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2022.

Cmp %

60.4%

#29

Pass Yds/G

211.3

#19

Pass Rating

78.2

#25

Pass TD

#23

Pass Int

#25

Sack Rate

9.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	5-12	7-10	41.2%	6-11	35.3%	-4.2	-3.6	9	+10.5
Home	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-0.2	-1.8	9	+7.5
Away	9	1-8	4-5	44.4%	3-6	33.3%	-7.8	-5.3	4	+10.5
As favorite	8	3-5	1-7	12.5%	3-5	37.5%	-5.1	-9.4	9	+7.5
As underdog	9	2-7	6-3	66.7%	3-6	33.3%	-3.4	+1.4	4	+10.5
Division games	6	1-5	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	-4.0	-0.8	3	+10.5
Non-division	11	4-7	4-7	36.4%	2-9	18.2%	-4.4	-5.2	9	+8.5
Pick-em (≤3)	9	3-6	3-6	33.3%	3-6	33.3%	-7.2	-7.1	9	+7.5
Small favorite (3-7)	3	1-2	0-3	—	1-2	—	-0.3	-5.5	3	-3.0
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	0-1	—	0-1	—	+7.0	-3.5	7	-3.5
Small underdog (3-7)	1	0-1	1-0	—	0-1	—	-3.0	+0.5	—	+0.5
Large underdog (7+)	3	0-3	3-0	—	2-1	—	-3.3	+7.2	—	+10.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2022. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-7.5	-7.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+0.0	-1.2
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	0-2	2-0	2-0	-4.5	+6.5
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-1.0	-7.0
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+7.0	-3.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+1.0	+2.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-6.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-5.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+4.0	+5.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-4.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-13.0	-14.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-1.0	+8.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+9.0	+7.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-37.0	-40.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	1-2	0-3	33%
Oct	5	1-4	2-3	1-4	40%
Nov	3	0-3	0-3	0-3	0%
Dec	4	1-3	3-1	3-1	75%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	14	5-9	6-8	6-8	43%
Mon	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	3-5	1-7	38%
Second half (W10+)	9	2-7	4-5	5-4	44%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	4-9	5-8	5-8	38%
Turf	3	0-3	1-2	1-2	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	3-3	4-2	50%
Same conference	6	2-4	2-4	0-6	33%
Inter-conference	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	1-3	2-2	3-1	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%
Indoor	9	3-6	3-6	2-7	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	2-2	3-1	4-0	75%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	0-3	1-2	0-3	33%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	9	3-6	3-6	2-7	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	5

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	5
Longest U streak	8

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
After a loss	12	4-8	6-6	4-8	50%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
On 2+ losing streak	8	3-5	5-3	3-5	62%
vs winning opp.	7	1-6	4-3	3-4	57%
vs losing opp.	7	2-5	2-5	3-4	29%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	14	5-9	6-8	4-10	43%
Dome	3	0-3	1-2	2-1	33%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	4-4	3-5	3-5	38%
Domestic road	8	0-8	3-5	3-5	38%
International	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	4-4	3-5	3-5	38%
Medium (500-1500)	7	0-7	2-5	3-4	29%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	2-0	0-2	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	13	5-8	6-7	6-7	46%
Bye+ (11+d)	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 0-33 G

DecATS 3-14 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 6-814 G

MonATS 1-12 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-59 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-813 G

TurfATS 1-23 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-814 G

DomeATS 1-23 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 3-58 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-57 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-02 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-713 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-12 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 4-04 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-23 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-45 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-45 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.9 ptsBias -3.6 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	5-12	0.481 #22	16.9	21.1	-41.62	7.24
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	14-3	0.455 #30	29.2	21.7	239.21	-40.58
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	10-7	0.443 #31	23.0	22.6	72.46	-81.43
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	6-11	0.474 #26	23.2	24.6	74.09	-132.08

Insights

A look at how the 2022 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (1st of 32), offensive avg time to throw (3rd of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive epa per play (30th of 32), offensive sack rate allowed (30th of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (29th of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	199	184.56	+14.44	#1
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.96	-0.36	#27
Yds / Drive	27.60	31.23	-3.62	#28
Points / Drive	1.44	1.93	-0.49	#30
Score %	28.60	36.36	-7.76	#31
Turnover %	10.60	11.34	-0.74	#12


Rush Att	444	461.56	-17.56	#17
Rush Yds	1935	2,059.19	-124.19	#21
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.43	-0.03	#16
Rush TD	11	15.22	-4.22	#28
EXP Pts Rush	-14.05	9.71	-23.76	#26


3rd Down Att	230	218.03	+11.97	#8
3rd Down Made	67	85.94	-18.94	#30
4th Down Att	24	23	+1	#14
4th Down Made	12	11.66	+0.34	#13
Red Zone Att	36	52.78	-16.78	#32
Red Zone Scores	20	29.59	-9.59	#30


Drives	198	184.56	+13.44	#32
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.97	-0.27	#6
Yds / Drive	27.40	31.20	-3.80	#3
Points / Drive	1.72	1.93	-0.21	#7
Score %	35.90	36.28	-0.38	#15
Turnover %	10.60	11.38	-0.78	#18


Rush Att	438	461.56	-23.56	#8
Rush Yds	1866	2,059.19	-193.19	#10
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.44	-0.14	#12
Rush TD	12	15.22	-3.22	#12
EXP Pts Rush	6.71	-9.71	+16.42	#11


2018	37.9	-43.2	-5.3
2019	-14.6	-32.0	-46.6
2020	-21.8	-92.8	-114.6
2021	61.3	-36.1	+25.2
2022	-41.6	7.2	-34.4

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West