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Houston Texans

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

-120.59

#32

Def EXP

-80.38

#24

Net EXP

-200.97

Record

3-13-1

Pythag 5.0 (-1.5)

Power Rating

100.9

#15

SRS

−8.33

#32

SoS Rank

#21

pts: −0.6 (#24)

#21

Pts / Game

17.0

Home 15.3 · Road 18.6

#30

Net Pts / G

−7.7

#30

Pts Allowed / G

24.7

Home 26.4 · Road 23.2

#27

Yds / Play

4.70

#32

Yds/Play Allowed

5.70

#25

3rd Down %

30.3%

#31

3rd Down % Allowed

38.9%

#15

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	289	370.63	-81.63	#30
Total Yards	4820	5,760.38	-940.38	#31
Yds / Play	4.70	5.40	-0.70	#32
1st Downs	277	333.31	-56.31	#31
Turnovers	28	22.19	+5.81	#31
Fumbles Lost	9	9.13	-0.13	#17
EXP Pts	-120.59	46.32	-166.91	#32

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	420	370.63	+49.38	#27
Total Yards	6452	5,760.38	+691.63	#30
Yds / Play	5.70	5.40	+0.30	#25
1st Downs	372	333.31	+38.69	#31
Turnovers	27	22.19	+4.81	#5
Fumbles Lost	11	9.13	+1.88	#6
EXP Pts	-80.38	-46.32	-34.06	#24

Scoring Composition

Where Houston Texans's points come from. Total = 289 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	579	564.66	+14.34	#13
Pass Cmp	352	362.66	-10.66	#19
Cmp %	60.80	64.03	-3.23	#28
Pass Yds	3344	3,701.19	-357.19	#25
Yds / Att	5.80	6.56	-0.76	#30
Yds / Cmp	9.50	10.24	-0.74	#25
Adj Y/A	5	6.33	-1.33	#30
Adj NY/A	4.70	5.91	-1.21	#28
Pass TD	20	23.44	-3.44	#18
TD %	3.50	4.17	-0.67	#22
Pass Int	19	13.06	+5.94	#31
Int %	3.30	2.35	+0.95	#31
Sack %	6.20	6.83	-0.63	#13
Pass Rating	74.70	86.83	-12.13	#31
EXP Pts Pass	-58.31	47.33	-105.64	#30

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	522	564.66	-42.66	#27
Pass Cmp	336	362.66	-26.66	#9
Cmp %	64.40	64.17	+0.23	#17
Pass Yds	3558	3,701.19	-143.19	#11
Yds / Att	7.20	7.04	+0.16	#21
Yds / Cmp	11.20	10.97	+0.23	#22
Adj Y/A	6.40	6.83	-0.43	#8
Adj NY/A	5.60	5.93	-0.33	#9
Pass TD	15	23.44	-8.44	#2
TD %	2.90	4.16	-1.26	#2
Pass Int	16	13.06	+2.94	#8
Int %	3.10	2.34	+0.76	#5
Sack %	7	6.68	+0.32	#13
Pass Rating	82.70	89.01	-6.31	#6
EXP Pts Pass	-51.52	-47.33	-4.19	#18

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for HOU 2022. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

94.0%

#1 of 32

PAT%

100.0%

#1 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#17 of 32

Return Yards

875

#21 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

94.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	7	1	87.5%
40-49	9	1	90.0%
50-59	6	0	100.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2922232425282929(7)

30–3930343535373839(7)

40–49404043434344444546(9)

50–59505051545556(6)

Missed FG distances

30–3939(1)

40–4946(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

100.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

362

Punt avg

9.8

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

513

Kickoff avg

23.3

Total return yds

875

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

4229

Gross avg

48.1

Net yards

3735

Net avg

42.4

Long

67 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

42.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

4.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

401

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for HOU 2022.

#28 of 32

#22 of 32

#10 of 32

#9 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for HOU 2022. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-113.1

#32 of 32

Rush EPA

-72.6

#31 of 32

Recv EPA

-32.0

#32 of 32

CPOE

-4.62

#30 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for HOU 2022 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,358

#18 of 32

Pass YAC

1,842

#13 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,358

#18 of 32

Recv YAC

1,842

#13 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for HOU 2022. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#8 of 32

Penalty Yds

644

#4 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#11 of 32

Yds / Game

37.9

#3 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2022 vs 2021.


Kickoff Yds	4126	4564	438
Penalties Yds	978	644	-334
Punt Ret Yds	188	362	174

5-Year Trajectory

HOU Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2022. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2022

W at IND · 32–31

HOU covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for HOU 2022.

Cmp %

60.8%

#28

Pass Yds/G

196.7

#25

Pass Rating

74.7

#31

Pass TD

#18

Pass Int

#31

Sack Rate

6.2%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. HOU has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	17	3-13-1	8-8-1	50.0%	7-10	41.2%	-7.7	-0.3	7	+14.0
Home	8	0-7-1	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-11.1	-4.1	—	+8.5
Away	9	3-6	5-3-1	62.5%	4-5	44.4%	-4.7	+3.1	7	+14.0
As underdog	17	3-13-1	8-8-1	50.0%	7-10	41.2%	-7.7	-0.3	7	+14.0
Division games	6	3-2-1	4-2	66.7%	1-5	16.7%	-3.7	+0.4	7	+14.0
Non-division	11	0-11	4-6-1	40.0%	6-5	54.5%	-9.9	-0.7	—	+13.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	2-3	2-2-1	50.0%	2-3	40.0%	-3.4	-0.8	5	+8.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	0-3	0-3	—	1-2	—	-15.3	-10.5	—	-2.5
Large underdog (7+)	9	1-7-1	6-3	66.7%	4-5	44.4%	-7.6	+3.4	7	+14.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2022. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


IND	Indianapolis Colts	2	1-0-1	2-0	1-1	+0.5	+5.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-10.5	-5.2
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-1.0	+1.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-7.0	+3.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-0-1	1-0	-3.0	+0.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-10.0	-4.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-18.0	-11.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-12.0	+2.0
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-8.0	-2.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-13.0	-10.0
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-15.0	-1.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-13.0	-5.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-4.0	+13.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-6.0	+8.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-2-1	2-0-1	1-2	100%
Oct	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Nov	4	0-4	1-3	1-3	25%
Dec	4	1-3	3-1	2-2	75%
Jan	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Sat	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	15	2-12-1	6-8-1	6-9	43%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	1-6-1	4-3-1	4-4	57%
Second half (W10+)	9	2-7	4-5	3-6	44%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	6	2-4	3-2-1	2-4	60%
Turf	11	1-9-1	5-6	5-6	45%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-2-1	4-2	1-5	67%
Same conference	6	0-6	2-4	3-3	33%
Inter-conference	5	0-5	2-2-1	3-2	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	14	2-11-1	7-6-1	7-7	54%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	14	2-11-1	7-6-1	7-7	54%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	1
Longest SU loss streak	9
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	4
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
After a loss	13	3-10	6-6-1	6-7	50%
On 2+ losing streak	10	2-8	5-5	4-6	50%
vs winning opp.	6	0-6	3-3	3-3	50%
vs losing opp.	6	1-5	2-4	3-3	33%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	2-4	3-2-1	1-5	60%
Dome	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Retractable (closed)	10	1-8-1	5-5	5-5	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	0-7-1	3-5	3-5	38%
Domestic road	9	3-6	5-3-1	4-5	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	0-7-1	3-5	3-5	38%
Short (<500)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Medium (500-1500)	8	3-5	4-3-1	3-5	57%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	3-9	6-5-1	5-7	55%
Long week (8-10d)	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-0-13 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 3-14 G

JanATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 6-8-115 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-3-18 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-59 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-2-16 G

TurfATS 5-611 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-2-15 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-2-16 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 5-510 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 5-3-19 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-01 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-3-18 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-5-112 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-22 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-03 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-45 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-33 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 4-1-16 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.4 ptsBias -0.3 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	3-13-1	0.481 #21	17.0	24.7	-120.59	-80.38
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	4-12-1	0.512 #12	17.0	25.1	-110.46	-51.07
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	9-8	0.467 #28	23.8	20.6	95.22	-35.25
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	7-10	0.511 #14	17.5	21.1	-27.22	-52.12

Insights

A look at how the 2022 Houston Texans ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yac over expected allowed (1st of 32), defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (6th of 32), and defensive qb pressure rate (8th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg wr separation allowed (32nd of 32), offensive epa per play (32nd of 32), and offensive rush success rate (32nd of 32). Notably, defensive yac over expected allowed (1st) yet defensive avg wr separation allowed (32nd).


Drives	198	184.56	+13.44	#2
Plays / Drive	5.30	5.96	-0.66	#31
Yds / Drive	24.30	31.23	-6.92	#32
Points / Drive	1.43	1.93	-0.50	#31
Score %	28.80	36.36	-7.56	#30
Turnover %	13.60	11.34	+2.26	#30


Rush Att	398	461.56	-63.56	#30
Rush Yds	1476	2,059.19	-583.19	#31
Rush Y/A	3.70	4.43	-0.73	#31
Rush TD	7	15.22	-8.22	#31
EXP Pts Rush	-45.95	9.71	-55.66	#31


3rd Down Att	221	218.03	+2.97	#13
3rd Down Made	67	85.94	-18.94	#31
4th Down Att	26	23	+3	#10
4th Down Made	13	11.66	+1.34	#9
Red Zone Att	48	52.78	-4.78	#21
Red Zone Scores	23	29.59	-6.59	#27


Drives	193	184.56	+8.44	#26
Plays / Drive	6	5.97	+0.03	#18
Yds / Drive	33.20	31.20	+2.00	#25
Points / Drive	1.89	1.93	-0.04	#14
Score %	35.20	36.28	-1.08	#12
Turnover %	11.90	11.38	+0.52	#16


Rush Att	573	461.56	+111.44	#32
Rush Yds	2894	2,059.19	+834.81	#32
Rush Y/A	5.10	4.44	+0.66	#29
Rush TD	25	15.22	+9.78	#31
EXP Pts Rush	-32.99	-9.71	-23.28	#24


2018	88.4	16.8	+105.2
2019	110.6	-128.2	-17.6
2020	140.2	-242.8	-102.6
2021	-74.3	-143.2	-217.5
2022	-120.6	-80.4	-201.0

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South