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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

55.88

#23

Def EXP

-113.10

#20

Net EXP

-57.22

Record

7-9

Pythag 7.7 (-0.7)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

−1.16

#18

SoS Rank

#11

pts: +0.5 (#11)

#11

Pts / Game

20.4

Home 19.4 · Road 21.4

#27

Net Pts / G

−1.7

#19

Pts Allowed / G

22.1

Home 21.0 · Road 23.1

Yds / Play

5.30

#23

Yds/Play Allowed

5.80

#22

3rd Down %

40.9%

#17

3rd Down % Allowed

40.9%

#16

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	326	396.63	-70.63	#27
Total Yards	5236	5,744.53	-508.53	#27
Yds / Play	5.30	5.58	-0.28	#23
1st Downs	332	347.06	-15.06	#23
Turnovers	19	20.78	-1.78	#15
Fumbles Lost	5	8.44	-3.44	#6
EXP Pts	55.88	98.89	-43.01	#23

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	353	396.63	-43.63	#7
Total Yards	5660	5,744.53	-84.53	#15
Yds / Play	5.80	5.57	+0.23	#22
1st Downs	339	347.06	-8.06	#13
Turnovers	22	20.78	+1.22	#15
Fumbles Lost	4	8.44	-4.44	#32
EXP Pts	-113.10	-98.89	-14.21	#20

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 326 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	440	563.06	-123.06	#31
Pass Cmp	283	367.38	-84.38	#31
Cmp %	64.30	65.23	-0.93	#24
Pass Yds	2890	3,842.41	-952.41	#30
Yds / Att	6.60	6.84	-0.24	#22
Yds / Cmp	10.20	10.47	-0.27	#19
Adj Y/A	5.70	6.81	-1.11	#25
Adj NY/A	5.20	6.42	-1.22	#27
Pass TD	12	27.22	-15.22	#31
TD %	2.70	4.85	-2.15	#30
Pass Int	14	12.34	+1.66	#24
Int %	3.20	2.20	+1.00	#30
Sack %	7.80	5.94	+1.86	#27
Pass Rating	78.90	91.90	-13	#27
EXP Pts Pass	4.99	95.98	-90.99	#26

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	494	563.06	-69.06	#32
Pass Cmp	333	367.38	-34.38	#5
Cmp %	67.40	65.19	+2.21	#23
Pass Yds	3557	3,842.41	-285.41	#8
Yds / Att	7.50	7.24	+0.26	#23
Yds / Cmp	11.20	11.11	+0.09	#16
Adj Y/A	6.80	7.23	-0.43	#9
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.41	-0.21	#14
Pass TD	22	27.22	-5.22	#7
TD %	4.50	4.84	-0.34	#12
Pass Int	18	12.34	+5.66	#2
Int %	3.60	2.21	+1.39	#1
Sack %	4.60	5.91	-1.31	#25
Pass Rating	89.30	93.56	-4.26	#9
EXP Pts Pass	-70.19	-95.98	+25.79	#11

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

93.0%

#8 of 32

PAT%

91.0%

#21 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

2 / 2

#1 of 32

Return Yards

1,074

#6 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

51 yd

FG %

93.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	7	0	100.0%
40-49	11	1	91.7%
50-59	2	1	66.7%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29202223252929(6)

30–3932323333363638(7)

40–494041414243434545454545(11)

50–595051(2)

Missed FG distances

40–4945(1)

50–5951(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

91.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–595051(2)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

357

Punt avg

15.5

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

717

Kickoff avg

23.1

Total return yds

1074

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2678

Gross avg

48.7

Net yards

2507

Net avg

45.6

Long

71 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

56.4%

Touchbacks

TB %

9.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2020.

#31 of 32

#27 of 32

#32 of 32

#32 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-22.7

#26 of 32

Rush EPA

+28.8

#4 of 32

Recv EPA

+37.9

#30 of 32

CPOE

-1.60

#27 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

2,995

#32 of 32

Pass YAC

1,534

#26 of 32

Recv Air Yds

2,995

#32 of 32

Recv YAC

1,534

#26 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#1 of 32

Penalty Yds

534

#1 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#2 of 32

Yds / Game

33.4

#1 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


Rush Yds	1703	2346	643
Rush Yds	1703	2346	643
Penalties Yds	828	534	-294

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

W vs NYJ · 28–14

NE covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2020.

Cmp %

64.3%

#24

Pass Yds/G

180.6

#30

Pass Rating

78.9

#27

Pass TD

#31

Pass Int

#24

Sack Rate

7.8%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	7-9	43.8%	5-10-1	33.3%	-1.7	-1.9	45	+47.5
Home	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	2-5-1	28.6%	-1.6	-3.2	16	+13.0
Away	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-1.8	-0.6	45	+47.5
As favorite	8	4-4	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	-0.9	-6.0	16	+11.0
As underdog	8	3-5	4-4	50.0%	2-5-1	28.6%	-2.5	+2.2	45	+47.5
Division games	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	3-2-1	60.0%	-2.5	-4.2	14	+11.0
Non-division	10	4-6	4-6	40.0%	2-8	20.0%	-1.2	-0.5	45	+47.5
Pick-em (≤3)	6	3-3	3-3	50.0%	1-5	16.7%	+3.0	+1.9	45	+47.5
Large favorite (7+)	4	3-1	2-2	—	2-2	—	+5.8	-2.0	16	+9.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	0-3	1-2	—	2-1	—	-9.7	-5.3	—	+1.0
Large underdog (7+)	3	1-2	1-2	—	0-2-1	—	-13.0	-6.0	6	+13.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+0.0	-4.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	0-2	1-1	1-0-1	-16.0	-10.5
NYJ	New York Jets	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	+8.5	+2.2
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-1.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+16.0	+9.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-9.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-13.0
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-27.0	-30.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+6.0	+13.0
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-9.5
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+3.0	+4.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+45.0	+47.5
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-21.0	-16.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	3	0-3	0-3	0-3	0%
Nov	5	3-2	3-2	2-3	60%
Dec	4	1-3	1-3	0-3-1	25%
Jan	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	12	6-6	7-5	4-8	58%
Mon	3	1-2	0-3	1-1-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	3-5	4-4	38%
Second half (W10+)	8	4-4	4-4	1-6-1	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	10	5-5	5-5	2-7-1	50%
Turf	6	2-4	2-4	3-3	33%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	3-3	3-2-1	50%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	1-5	50%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	6	2-4	3-3	1-4-1	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	5	3-2	2-3	3-2	40%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	2	1-1	0-2	1-0-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	10	5-5	5-5	3-7	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Indoor	3	1-2	1-2	0-3	33%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	6

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	2-4	2-4	1-5	33%
After a loss	9	4-5	4-5	4-4-1	44%
On 2+ winning streak	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
On 2+ losing streak	5	2-3	2-3	3-1-1	40%
vs winning opp.	9	3-6	4-5	3-5-1	44%
vs losing opp.	5	3-2	2-3	2-3	40%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	6-7	6-7	5-7-1	46%
Dome	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	5-3	2-5-1	62%
Domestic road	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	5-3	2-5-1	62%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Medium (500-1500)	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Long (1500+)	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	9	5-4	6-3	4-5	67%
Long week (8-10d)	4	1-3	0-4	1-2-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 0-33 G

NovATS 3-25 G

DecATS 1-34 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 7-512 G

MonATS 0-33 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-510 G

TurfATS 2-46 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-34 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-713 G

DomeATS 1-12 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-38 G

Domestic roadATS 2-68 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-38 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 0-22 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-34 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-39 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-44 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-35 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-35 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-02 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-34 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 12.9 ptsBias -1.9 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	13-3	0.512 #12	31.3	23.4	213.32	-88.65
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	10-6	0.467 #25	25.3	21.1	61.96	-36.43
New England Patriots (NE)	7-9	0.527 #11	20.4	22.1	55.88	-113.10
New York Jets (NYJ)	2-14	0.594 #1	15.2	28.6	-59.07	-169.15

Insights

A look at how the 2020 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive rush success rate (2nd of 32), offensive avg wr separation (3rd of 32), and defensive stuffed rate forced (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yac over expected (32nd of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32), and defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32). Notably, offensive avg wr separation (3rd) yet offensive yac over expected (32nd).


Drives	157	173.97	-16.97	#32
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.10	+0.30	#6
Yds / Drive	33.10	33.05	+0.05	#17
Points / Drive	1.92	2.21	-0.29	#24
Score %	36.90	39.95	-3.05	#23
Turnover %	12.10	11.38	+0.72	#20


Rush Att	502	431	+71	#3
Rush Yds	2346	1,902.13	+443.88	#4
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.38	+0.32	#9
Rush TD	20	16.63	+3.38	#9
EXP Pts Rush	57.63	11.61	+46.02	#3


3rd Down Att	186	202.47	-16.47	#29
3rd Down Made	76	84.31	-8.31	#27
4th Down Att	17	20.56	-3.56	#22
4th Down Made	9	11.31	-2.31	#22
Red Zone Att	48	54.69	-6.69	#26
Red Zone Scores	26	33.47	-7.47	#28


Drives	157	173.97	-16.97	#1
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.10	+0.30	#23
Yds / Drive	35.90	33.06	+2.84	#25
Points / Drive	2.16	2.21	-0.05	#16
Score %	38.90	39.94	-1.04	#14
Turnover %	14	11.44	+2.56	#4


Rush Att	464	431	+33	#26
Rush Yds	2103	1,902.13	+200.88	#26
Rush Y/A	4.50	4.39	+0.11	#17
Rush TD	17	16.63	+0.38	#18
EXP Pts Rush	-42.97	-11.61	-31.36	#30


2018	147.7	-17.3	+130.4
2019	35.5	169.6	+205.0
2020	55.9	-113.1	-57.2

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East