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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

-21.82

#30

Def EXP

-92.82

#18

Net EXP

-114.64

Record

5-11

Pythag 5.4 (-0.4)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

−6.25

#28

SoS Rank

pts: +1.4 (#4)

Pts / Game

20.2

Home 18.0 · Road 22.4

#28

Net Pts / G

−7.7

#29

Pts Allowed / G

27.9

Home 30.1 · Road 25.6

#25

Yds / Play

5.20

#24

Yds/Play Allowed

5.60

#19

3rd Down %

38.7%

#26

3rd Down % Allowed

40.2%

#15

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	323	396.63	-73.63	#28
Total Yards	5369	5,744.53	-375.53	#23
Yds / Play	5.20	5.58	-0.38	#24
1st Downs	308	347.06	-39.06	#30
Turnovers	32	20.78	+11.22	#32
Fumbles Lost	9	8.44	+0.56	#22
EXP Pts	-21.82	98.89	-120.71	#30

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	446	396.63	+49.38	#25
Total Yards	5887	5,744.53	+142.47	#21
Yds / Play	5.60	5.57	+0.03	#19
1st Downs	333	347.06	-14.06	#11
Turnovers	16	20.78	-4.78	#29
Fumbles Lost	6	8.44	-2.44	#26
EXP Pts	-92.82	-98.89	+6.07	#18

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 323 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	556	563.06	-7.06	#19
Pass Cmp	317	367.38	-50.38	#27
Cmp %	57	65.23	-8.23	#31
Pass Yds	3451	3,842.41	-391.41	#26
Yds / Att	6.20	6.84	-0.64	#24
Yds / Cmp	10.90	10.47	+0.43	#11
Adj Y/A	5.10	6.81	-1.71	#29
Adj NY/A	4.80	6.42	-1.62	#29
Pass TD	21	27.22	-6.22	#25
TD %	3.80	4.85	-1.05	#24
Pass Int	23	12.34	+10.66	#32
Int %	4.10	2.20	+1.90	#32
Sack %	5.40	5.94	-0.54	#14
Pass Rating	70.80	91.90	-21.10	#31
EXP Pts Pass	3.23	95.98	-92.75	#28

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	567	563.06	+3.94	#13
Pass Cmp	374	367.38	+6.63	#22
Cmp %	66	65.19	+0.81	#19
Pass Yds	3807	3,842.41	-35.41	#17
Yds / Att	7.20	7.24	-0.04	#16
Yds / Cmp	10.90	11.11	-0.21	#13
Adj Y/A	7.20	7.23	-0.03	#17
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.41	-0.21	#17
Pass TD	21	27.22	-6.22	#4
TD %	3.70	4.84	-1.14	#3
Pass Int	10	12.34	-2.34	#26
Int %	1.80	2.21	-0.41	#25
Sack %	6.90	5.91	+0.99	#10
Pass Rating	92.10	93.56	-1.46	#16
EXP Pts Pass	-72.16	-95.98	+23.82	#12

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

80.0%

#20 of 32

PAT%

83.0%

#31 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 1

#14 of 32

Return Yards

824

#19 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

58 yd

FG %

80.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	4	1	80.0%
40-49	8	0	100.0%
50-59	10	4	71.4%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29202226272829(6)

30–3930333537(4)

40–494041434344454749(8)

50–5950505252535354545658(10)

Missed FG distances

30–3937(1)

50–5951565758(4)

Blocked FG distances

60+6370(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

83.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

60+63(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

267

Punt avg

13.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

557

Kickoff avg

20.6

Total return yds

824

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3040

Gross avg

46.1

Net yards

2734

Net avg

40.8

Long

69 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

28.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

226

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2020.

#13 of 32

#19 of 32

#13 of 32

#21 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-62.7

#29 of 32

Rush EPA

-37.6

#26 of 32

Recv EPA

+7.3

#32 of 32

CPOE

-5.09

#32 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,026

#6 of 32

Pass YAC

1,623

#25 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,026

#6 of 32

Recv YAC

1,623

#25 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#5 of 32

Penalty Yds

670

#8 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#9 of 32

Yds / Game

41.9

#8 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


Total Yards	4777	5369	592
All Purpose Yds	5968	6531	563
Pass Yds	3115	3451	336

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

L vs LV · 31–32

DEN covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2020.

Cmp %

57.0%

#31

Pass Yds/G

215.7

#26

Pass Rating

70.8

#31

Pass TD

#25

Pass Int

#32

Sack Rate

5.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	5-11	9-7	56.3%	8-8	50.0%	-7.7	-2.1	9	+13.0
Home	8	2-6	4-4	50.0%	4-4	50.0%	-12.1	-6.1	7	+11.0
Away	8	3-5	5-3	62.5%	4-4	50.0%	-3.2	+1.9	9	+13.0
As underdog	16	5-11	9-7	56.3%	8-8	50.0%	-7.7	-2.1	9	+13.0
Division games	6	1-5	3-3	50.0%	3-3	50.0%	-10.2	-4.9	1	+7.0
Non-division	10	4-6	6-4	60.0%	5-5	50.0%	-6.2	-0.4	9	+13.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	2-3	4-1	80.0%	3-2	60.0%	+0.8	+3.2	9	+10.0
Small underdog (3-7)	7	2-5	3-4	42.9%	4-3	57.1%	-10.3	-5.5	7	+11.0
Large underdog (7+)	4	1-3	2-2	—	1-3	—	-13.8	-2.8	6	+13.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	-16.5	-6.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-1.0	+1.8
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	-13.0	-10.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-2.0	+1.0
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-5.0	+1.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-18.0	-12.0
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+9.0	+10.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+6.0	+13.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-7.0	-2.5
MIA	Miami Dolphins	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+11.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-28.0	-11.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+5.0	+9.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-29.0	-23.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	2-1	1-2	67%
Oct	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Nov	5	2-3	2-3	2-3	40%
Dec	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%
Jan	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sat	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Sun	13	4-9	7-6	6-7	54%
Mon	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	3-5	5-3	5-3	62%
Second half (W10+)	8	2-6	4-4	3-5	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	4-8	7-5	6-6	58%
Turf	4	1-3	2-2	2-2	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	3-3	3-3	50%
Same conference	6	3-3	5-1	3-3	83%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	6	2-4	4-2	2-4	67%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	3-1	4-0	4-0	100%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	3	0-3	0-3	1-2	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	12	5-7	9-3	6-6	75%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	3	0-3	0-3	1-2	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	3
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	3
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	5	1-4	1-4	3-2	20%
After a loss	10	4-6	7-3	5-5	70%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
On 2+ losing streak	5	3-2	4-1	3-2	80%
vs winning opp.	7	1-6	3-4	3-4	43%
vs losing opp.	6	3-3	4-2	5-1	67%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	5-8	9-4	7-6	69%
Dome	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	4-4	4-4	50%
Domestic road	8	3-5	5-3	4-4	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	4-4	4-4	50%
Medium (500-1500)	6	1-5	3-3	3-3	50%
Long (1500+)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	3-9	6-6	7-5	50%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 2-13 G

NovATS 2-35 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-11 G

SunATS 7-613 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-38 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 7-512 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 5-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-34 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 9-413 G

DomeATS 0-22 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-48 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-36 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-02 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-612 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-46 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 4-26 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-01 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.3 ptsBias -2.1 pts (Vegas over-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	5-11	0.566 #2	20.2	27.9	-21.82	-92.82
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	14-2	0.465 #26	29.6	22.6	239.29	-109.01
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	7-9	0.482 #20	24.0	26.6	129.60	-89.82
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	8-8	0.539 #7	27.1	29.9	147.62	-211.22

Insights

A look at how the 2020 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: offensive stuffed rate (32nd of 32), offensive rush success rate (31st of 32), and offensive epa per pass play (30th of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	188	173.97	+14.03	#2
Plays / Drive	5.70	6.10	-0.40	#29
Yds / Drive	28.40	33.05	-4.65	#28
Points / Drive	1.71	2.21	-0.50	#27
Score %	33	39.95	-6.95	#29
Turnover %	17	11.38	+5.63	#32


Rush Att	442	431	+11	#13
Rush Yds	1918	1,902.13	+15.88	#13
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.38	-0.08	#14
Rush TD	13	16.63	-3.63	#24
EXP Pts Rush	-13.97	11.61	-25.58	#25


3rd Down Att	212	202.47	+9.53	#9
3rd Down Made	82	84.31	-2.31	#18
4th Down Att	15	20.56	-5.56	#27
4th Down Made	4	11.31	-7.31	#32
Red Zone Att	45	54.69	-9.69	#29
Red Zone Scores	24	33.47	-9.47	#30


Drives	184	173.97	+10.03	#29
Plays / Drive	5.90	6.10	-0.20	#9
Yds / Drive	31.90	33.06	-1.16	#11
Points / Drive	2.27	2.21	+0.06	#19
Score %	44.60	39.94	+4.66	#25
Turnover %	8.20	11.44	-3.24	#30


Rush Att	434	431	+3	#20
Rush Yds	2080	1,902.13	+177.88	#25
Rush Y/A	4.80	4.39	+0.41	#29
Rush TD	22	16.63	+5.38	#28
EXP Pts Rush	-28.92	-11.61	-17.31	#22


2018	37.9	-43.2	-5.3
2019	-14.6	-32.0	-46.6
2020	-21.8	-92.8	-114.6

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West