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New England Patriots

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

35.46

#19

Def EXP

169.58

Net EXP

205.04

Record

12-4

Pythag 13.8 (-1.8)

Power Rating

102.2

SRS

+10.64

SoS Rank

#29

pts: −1.5 (#32)

#29

Pts / Game

26.3

Home 25.3 · Road 27.3

Net Pts / G

+12.2

Pts Allowed / G

14.1

Home 15.0 · Road 13.1

Yds / Play

5.20

#23

Yds/Play Allowed

4.70

3rd Down %

38.3%

#17

3rd Down % Allowed

24.1%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	420	365	+55	#7
Total Yards	5664	5,565.84	+98.16	#15
Yds / Play	5.20	5.48	-0.28	#23
1st Downs	338	324.03	+13.97	#13
Turnovers	15	22.22	-7.22	#3
Fumbles Lost	6	9.41	-3.41	#2
EXP Pts	35.46	47.34	-11.88	#19

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	225	365	-140	#1
Total Yards	4414	5,565.84	-1,151.84	#1
Yds / Play	4.70	5.48	-0.77	#3
1st Downs	261	324.03	-63.03	#1
Turnovers	36	22.22	+13.78	#2
Fumbles Lost	11	9.41	+1.59	#9
EXP Pts	169.58	-47.34	+216.92	#1

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 420 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	620	557.91	+62.09	#5
Pass Cmp	378	354.09	+23.91	#10
Cmp %	61	63.55	-2.55	#24
Pass Yds	3961	3,759.41	+201.59	#8
Yds / Att	6.40	6.76	-0.36	#19
Yds / Cmp	10.50	10.62	-0.12	#17
Adj Y/A	6.50	6.63	-0.13	#18
Adj NY/A	6.30	6.19	+0.11	#15
Pass TD	25	24.91	+0.09	#16
TD %	4	4.52	-0.52	#22
Pass Int	9	12.81	-3.81	#11
Int %	1.50	2.28	-0.78	#7
Sack %	4.30	6.71	-2.41	#5
Pass Rating	86.90	88.74	-1.84	#16
EXP Pts Pass	77.22	69.14	+8.08	#17

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	536	557.91	-21.91	#25
Pass Cmp	303	354.09	-51.09	#1
Cmp %	56.50	63.48	-6.98	#1
Pass Yds	2886	3,759.41	-873.41	#2
Yds / Att	6	7.23	-1.23	#2
Yds / Cmp	10.60	11.38	-0.78	#7
Adj Y/A	4.40	7.09	-2.69	#1
Adj NY/A	3.50	6.16	-2.66	#1
Pass TD	13	24.91	-11.91	#1
TD %	2.40	4.47	-2.07	#1
Pass Int	25	12.81	+12.19	#1
Int %	4.70	2.31	+2.39	#1
Sack %	8.10	6.67	+1.43	#6
Pass Rating	62.80	90.35	-27.55	#1
EXP Pts Pass	121.05	-69.14	+190.19	#1

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

79.0%

#19 of 32

PAT%

87.0%

#29 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#14 of 32

Return Yards

808

#20 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

51 yd

FG %

79.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	1	0	100.0%
20-29	12	0	100.0%
30-39	8	1	88.9%
40-49	5	4	55.6%
50-59	1	0	100.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

Under 2019(1)

20–29202022222323232525282929(12)

30–393435353637373939(8)

40–494041424446(5)

50–5951(1)

Missed FG distances

30–3934(1)

40–4940464848(4)

Blocked FG distances

20–2929(1)

40–4941(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

87.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

233

Punt avg

8.0

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

575

Kickoff avg

22.1

Total return yds

808

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3638

Gross avg

44.9

Net yards

3343

Net avg

41.3

Long

65 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

44.4%

Touchbacks

TB %

7.4%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

175

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2019.

QB Hits

102

#8 of 32

Pass Def.

#2 of 32

TFL

#28 of 32

Forced Fum.

#11 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+29.0

#17 of 32

Rush EPA

-29.9

#14 of 32

Recv EPA

+96.0

#17 of 32

CPOE

-2.03

#21 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,651

#17 of 32

Pass YAC

1,933

#9 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,651

#17 of 32

Recv YAC

1,933

#9 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#6 of 32

Penalty Yds

828

#7 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#25 of 32

Yds / Game

51.8

#7 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Punt Net Yds	2530	3343	813
Punt Yds	2886	3638	752
Pass Att	574	620	46

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

L vs MIA · 24–27

NE failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2019.

Cmp %

61.0%

#24

Pass Yds/G

247.6

Pass Rating

86.9

#16

Pass TD

#16

Pass Int

#11

Sack Rate

4.3%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	12-4	8-7-1	53.3%	7-9	43.8%	+12.2	+2.4	43	+25.0
Home	8	6-2	3-4-1	42.9%	4-4	50.0%	+10.2	-0.4	30	+24.5
Away	8	6-2	5-3	62.5%	3-5	37.5%	+14.1	+5.2	43	+25.0
As favorite	16	12-4	8-7-1	53.3%	7-9	43.8%	+12.2	+2.4	43	+25.0
Division games	6	5-1	2-3-1	40.0%	3-3	50.0%	+17.0	+3.8	43	+25.0
Non-division	10	7-3	6-4	60.0%	4-6	40.0%	+9.3	+1.6	30	+24.5
Pick-em (≤3)	2	0-2	0-2	—	1-1	—	-12.0	-15.0	—	-10.0
Small favorite (3-7)	4	3-1	2-2	—	1-3	—	+8.8	+4.0	30	+24.5
Large favorite (7+)	10	9-1	6-3-1	66.7%	5-5	50.0%	+18.4	+5.2	43	+25.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


MIA	Miami Dolphins	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	+20.0	+2.2
NYJ	New York Jets	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	+24.5	+9.5
BUF	Buffalo Bills	2	2-0	0-1-1	1-1	+6.5	-0.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+30.0	+24.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+26.0	+10.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+21.0	+4.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+14.0	+4.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-17.0	-20.0
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+2.5
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+4.0	-1.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-9.5
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-10.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+21.0	+10.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	4-0	2-2	1-3	50%
Oct	4	4-0	4-0	1-3	100%
Nov	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Dec	5	2-3	1-3-1	4-1	25%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sat	1	1-0	0-0-1	1-0	—
Sun	13	9-4	6-7	5-8	46%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	8-1	6-3	3-6	67%
Second half (W10+)	7	4-3	2-4-1	4-3	33%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	14	10-4	7-6-1	7-7	54%
Turf	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	5-1	2-3-1	3-3	40%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	3-3	50%
Inter-conference	4	4-0	3-1	1-3	75%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	4	3-1	1-2-1	2-2	33%
Cool (40-59°F)	7	5-2	4-3	3-4	57%
Mild (60-74°F)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Warm (75°F+)	2	2-0	1-1	1-1	50%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	6	4-2	3-2-1	3-3	60%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	7-1	5-3	3-5	62%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Indoor	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	8
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	12	9-3	5-6-1	6-6	45%
After a loss	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
On 2+ winning streak	9	6-3	4-5	5-4	44%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
vs winning opp.	7	4-3	1-5-1	3-4	17%
vs losing opp.	8	7-1	6-2	4-4	75%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	15	12-3	8-6-1	6-9	57%
Retractable (closed)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	6-2	3-4-1	4-4	43%
Domestic road	8	6-2	5-3	3-5	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	6-2	3-4-1	4-4	43%
Short (<500)	5	4-1	3-2	1-4	60%
Medium (500-1500)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	8-3	4-6-1	5-6	40%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 4-04 G

NovATS 1-23 G

DecATS 1-3-15 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-0-11 G

SunATS 6-713 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-4-17 G

By surface

GrassATS 7-6-114 G

TurfATS 1-12 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-3-16 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 8-6-115 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-4-18 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-4-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 3-25 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-02 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-6-111 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-11 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 2-02 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-33 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-2-15 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-01 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 5-27 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.8 ptsBias +2.4 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	10-6	0.461 #30	19.6	16.2	7.70	51.46
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	5-11	0.484 #22	19.1	30.9	-28.85	-170.02
New England Patriots (NE)	12-4	0.469 #29	26.3	14.1	35.46	169.58
New York Jets (NYJ)	7-9	0.473 #27	17.3	22.4	-112.92	6.94

Insights

A look at how the 2019 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive yac over expected (32nd of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (27th of 32), and offensive rush yards per carry (26th of 32).


Drives	190	179	+11	#3
Plays / Drive	5.90	5.86	+0.04	#16
Yds / Drive	29.80	31.14	-1.34	#21
Points / Drive	1.97	1.95	+0.02	#17
Score %	36.30	35.87	+0.43	#15
Turnover %	7.40	11.72	-4.32	#3


Rush Att	447	418.34	+28.66	#9
Rush Yds	1703	1,806.44	-103.44	#18
Rush Y/A	3.80	4.28	-0.48	#26
Rush TD	17	13.97	+3.03	#12
EXP Pts Rush	-30.79	-12.14	-18.65	#25


3rd Down Att	227	204.13	+22.88	#2
3rd Down Made	87	79.66	+7.34	#10
4th Down Att	15	18.59	-3.59	#22
4th Down Made	6	8.91	-2.91	#26
Red Zone Att	60	50.81	+9.19	#4
Red Zone Scores	30	28.78	+1.22	#15


Drives	194	179	+15	#30
Plays / Drive	5	5.87	-0.87	#1
Yds / Drive	22.70	31.11	-8.41	#1
Points / Drive	0.98	1.94	-0.96	#1
Score %	19.10	35.78	-16.68	#1
Turnover %	17	11.75	+5.25	#3


Rush Att	365	418.34	-53.34	#5
Rush Yds	1528	1,806.44	-278.44	#6
Rush Y/A	4.20	4.31	-0.11	#14
Rush TD	7	13.97	-6.97	#2
EXP Pts Rush	35.11	12.14	+22.97	#8


2018	147.7	-17.3	+130.4
2019	35.5	169.6	+205.0

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East