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Houston Texans

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

110.60

Def EXP

-128.18

#26

Net EXP

-17.58

Record

10-6

Pythag 8.3 (+1.7)

Power Rating

100.9

#15

SRS

+0.89

#13

SoS Rank

pts: +1.3 (#2)

Pts / Game

23.6

Home 23.6 · Road 23.6

#14

Net Pts / G

−0.4

#15

Pts Allowed / G

24.1

Home 24.5 · Road 23.6

#19

Yds / Play

5.70

#11

Yds/Play Allowed

6.10

#31

3rd Down %

43.5%

3rd Down % Allowed

48.5%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	378	365	+13	#14
Total Yards	5792	5,565.84	+226.16	#13
Yds / Play	5.70	5.48	+0.22	#11
1st Downs	346	324.03	+21.97	#9
Turnovers	22	22.22	-0.22	#18
Fumbles Lost	8	9.41	-1.41	#13
EXP Pts	110.60	47.34	+63.26	#7

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	385	365	+20	#19
Total Yards	6213	5,565.84	+647.16	#28
Yds / Play	6.10	5.48	+0.63	#31
1st Downs	346	324.03	+21.97	#27
Turnovers	22	22.22	-0.22	#15
Fumbles Lost	10	9.41	+0.59	#12
EXP Pts	-128.18	-47.34	-80.84	#26

Scoring Composition

Where Houston Texans's points come from. Total = 378 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	534	557.91	-23.91	#20
Pass Cmp	355	354.09	+0.91	#19
Cmp %	66.50	63.55	+2.95	#6
Pass Yds	3783	3,759.41	+23.59	#15
Yds / Att	7.10	6.76	+0.34	#12
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.62	+0.08	#14
Adj Y/A	6.90	6.63	+0.27	#11
Adj NY/A	6.30	6.19	+0.11	#13
Pass TD	27	24.91	+2.09	#12
TD %	5.10	4.52	+0.58	#9
Pass Int	14	12.81	+1.19	#20
Int %	2.60	2.28	+0.32	#19
Sack %	8.40	6.71	+1.69	#26
Pass Rating	92.90	88.74	+4.16	#11
EXP Pts Pass	107.03	69.14	+37.89	#10

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	586	557.91	+28.09	#8
Pass Cmp	375	354.09	+20.91	#25
Cmp %	64	63.48	+0.52	#21
Pass Yds	4276	3,759.41	+516.59	#29
Yds / Att	7.70	7.23	+0.48	#24
Yds / Cmp	12	11.38	+0.62	#25
Adj Y/A	7.90	7.09	+0.81	#26
Adj NY/A	7.10	6.16	+0.94	#26
Pass TD	33	24.91	+8.09	#28
TD %	5.60	4.47	+1.13	#28
Pass Int	12	12.81	-0.81	#18
Int %	2	2.31	-0.31	#22
Sack %	5	6.67	-1.67	#29
Pass Rating	97.60	90.35	+7.25	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-134.44	-69.14	-65.30	#26

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for HOU 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

80.0%

#17 of 32

PAT%

89.0%

#27 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#14 of 32

Return Yards

522

#31 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

80.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	5	0	100.0%
30-39	8	0	100.0%
40-49	4	2	66.7%
50-59	3	3	50.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292225262629(5)

30–393132333536373739(8)

40–4940424447(4)

50–59505254(3)

Missed FG distances

40–494346(2)

50–59525658(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

89.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

214

Punt avg

9.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

308

Kickoff avg

22.0

Total return yds

522

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2599

Gross avg

45.6

Net yards

2477

Net avg

43.5

Long

71 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

47.4%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.5%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for HOU 2019.

#18 of 32

#9 of 32

#29 of 32

#15 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for HOU 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+62.3

#10 of 32

Rush EPA

+3.7

#6 of 32

Recv EPA

+139.5

#12 of 32

CPOE

+1.47

#11 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for HOU 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,742

#15 of 32

Pass YAC

1,808

#20 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,742

#15 of 32

Recv YAC

1,808

#20 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for HOU 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

111

#20 of 32

Penalty Yds

892

#14 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#7 of 32

Yds / Game

55.8

#14 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Pass Sacked Yds	384	300	-84
EXP Pts Rush	-13.78	22.83	36.61
Pass Att	506	534	28

5-Year Trajectory

HOU Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

L vs TEN · 14–35

HOU failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for HOU 2019.

Cmp %

66.5%

Pass Yds/G

236.4

#15

Pass Rating

92.9

#11

Pass TD

#12

Pass Int

#20

Sack Rate

8.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. HOU has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	10-6	7-8-1	46.7%	7-9	43.8%	-0.4	-0.5	23	+24.0
Home	8	5-3	2-6	25.0%	4-4	50.0%	-0.9	-3.4	21	+17.0
Away	8	5-3	5-2-1	71.4%	3-5	37.5%	+0.0	+2.4	23	+24.0
As favorite	7	5-2	1-5-1	16.7%	2-5	28.6%	+1.6	-3.6	21	+17.0
As underdog	9	5-4	6-3	66.7%	5-4	55.6%	-2.0	+2.0	23	+24.0
Division games	6	4-2	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	+0.3	+1.1	23	+24.0
Non-division	10	6-4	5-4-1	55.6%	5-5	50.0%	-0.9	-1.4	21	+17.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	4-1	3-1-1	75.0%	1-4	20.0%	+5.8	+6.9	23	+24.0
Small favorite (3-7)	4	3-1	1-3	—	1-3	—	+5.2	+0.8	21	+17.0
Large favorite (7+)	2	1-1	0-2	—	1-1	—	-6.5	-14.2	1	-6.5
Small underdog (3-7)	4	2-2	3-1	—	3-1	—	-5.8	-1.4	7	+10.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-21.0	-11.0	—	-11.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	+12.0	+8.8
IND	Indianapolis Colts	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	-2.0	-3.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-9.0	-2.5
NO	New Orleans Saints	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-2.0	+4.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+10.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-11.5
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+21.0	+17.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+10.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	+3.0	-2.0
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-34.0	-30.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+6.0	+9.5
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-14.0	-22.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	+3.0	+0.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Oct	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%
Nov	3	2-1	1-2	0-3	33%
Dec	5	3-2	2-2-1	3-2	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	—
Sun	13	8-5	6-7	6-7	46%
Mon	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	6-3	5-4	4-5	56%
Second half (W10+)	7	4-3	2-4-1	3-4	33%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	13	9-4	5-7-1	4-9	42%
Turf	3	1-2	2-1	3-0	67%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	4-2	3-3	3-3	50%
Inter-conference	4	2-2	2-1-1	2-2	67%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	4	3-1	3-1	1-3	75%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	1-0	0-0-1	0-1	—
Warm (75°F+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	10	5-5	3-7	6-4	30%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	3-0	3-0	1-2	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	2-1	1-1-1	0-3	50%
Indoor	10	5-5	3-7	6-4	30%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	1
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	10	5-5	4-5-1	5-5	44%
After a loss	5	5-0	2-3	1-4	40%
On 2+ winning streak	5	0-5	0-5	3-2	0%
vs winning opp.	7	4-3	3-4	4-3	43%
vs losing opp.	4	2-2	1-3	2-2	25%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	6	5-1	4-1-1	1-5	80%
Dome	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Retractable (open)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Retractable (closed)	8	5-3	2-6	4-4	25%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	2-6	4-4	25%
Domestic road	7	4-3	4-2-1	3-4	67%
International	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	2-6	4-4	25%
Short (<500)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Medium (500-1500)	6	4-2	3-2-1	2-4	60%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	8-3	5-5-1	4-7	50%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 2-24 G

NovATS 1-23 G

DecATS 2-2-15 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 0-0-11 G

SunATS 6-713 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 2-4-17 G

By surface

GrassATS 5-7-113 G

TurfATS 2-13 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-1-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 4-1-16 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (open)ATS 0-11 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-68 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 2-68 G

Domestic roadATS 4-2-17 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 2-68 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-01 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-2-16 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-5-111 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-14 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-1-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-35 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-34 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 10.7 ptsBias -0.5 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	10-6	0.520 #8	23.6	24.1	110.60	-128.18
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	7-9	0.492 #19	22.6	23.3	74.80	-56.37
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	6-10	0.484 #23	18.8	24.8	-23.15	-118.09
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	9-7	0.488 #20	25.1	20.7	96.68	-24.63

Insights

A look at how the 2019 Houston Texans ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg time to pressure (3rd of 32), offensive rush success rate (3rd of 32), and offensive yards before contact per carry (4th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (31st of 32), and defensive yards allowed per play (31st of 32).


Drives	169	179	-10	#27
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.86	+0.34	#5
Yds / Drive	34.20	31.14	+3.06	#8
Points / Drive	2.18	1.95	+0.23	#7
Score %	37.90	35.87	+2.03	#10
Turnover %	12.40	11.72	+0.68	#22


Rush Att	434	418.34	+15.66	#12
Rush Yds	2009	1,806.44	+202.56	#9
Rush Y/A	4.60	4.28	+0.32	#8
Rush TD	17	13.97	+3.03	#10
EXP Pts Rush	22.83	-12.14	+34.97	#5


3rd Down Att	193	204.13	-11.13	#27
3rd Down Made	84	79.66	+4.34	#13
4th Down Att	25	18.59	+6.41	#4
4th Down Made	13	8.91	+4.09	#7
Red Zone Att	53	50.81	+2.19	#14
Red Zone Scores	34	28.78	+5.22	#7


Drives	170	179	-9	#7
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.87	+0.33	#27
Yds / Drive	36.50	31.11	+5.39	#31
Points / Drive	2.22	1.94	+0.28	#24
Score %	38.80	35.78	+3.02	#22
Turnover %	12.90	11.75	+1.15	#10


Rush Att	403	418.34	-15.34	#10
Rush Yds	1937	1,806.44	+130.56	#25
Rush Y/A	4.80	4.31	+0.49	#27
Rush TD	12	13.97	-1.97	#11
EXP Pts Rush	-2.87	12.14	-15.01	#23


2018	88.4	16.8	+105.2
2019	110.6	-128.2	-17.6

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South