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Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

186.59

Def EXP

-40.12

#17

Net EXP

146.47

Record

12-4

Pythag 12.1 (-0.1)

Power Rating

106.3

SRS

+9.60

SoS Rank

#10

pts: +0.7 (#12)

#10

Pts / Game

28.2

Home 26.8 · Road 29.6

Net Pts / G

+8.9

Pts Allowed / G

19.3

Home 20.6 · Road 17.9

Yds / Play

6.20

Yds/Play Allowed

5.40

#15

3rd Down %

47.6%

3rd Down % Allowed

37.1%

#11

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	451	365	+86	#5
Total Yards	6067	5,565.84	+501.16	#6
Yds / Play	6.20	5.48	+0.72	#2
1st Downs	350	324.03	+25.97	#6
Turnovers	15	22.22	-7.22	#4
Fumbles Lost	10	9.41	+0.59	#20
EXP Pts	186.59	47.34	+139.25	#3

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	308	365	-57	#7
Total Yards	5594	5,565.84	+28.16	#17
Yds / Play	5.40	5.48	-0.07	#15
1st Downs	344	324.03	+19.97	#24
Turnovers	23	22.22	+0.78	#12
Fumbles Lost	7	9.41	-2.41	#26
EXP Pts	-40.12	-47.34	+7.22	#17

Scoring Composition

Where Kansas City Chiefs's points come from. Total = 449 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	576	557.91	+18.09	#15
Pass Cmp	378	354.09	+23.91	#9
Cmp %	65.60	63.55	+2.05	#11
Pass Yds	4498	3,759.41	+738.59	#5
Yds / Att	7.80	6.76	+1.04	#4
Yds / Cmp	11.90	10.62	+1.28	#4
Adj Y/A	8.50	6.63	+1.87	#1
Adj NY/A	8.10	6.19	+1.91	#1
Pass TD	30	24.91	+5.09	#6
TD %	5.20	4.52	+0.68	#7
Pass Int	5	12.81	-7.81	#2
Int %	0.90	2.28	-1.38	#2
Sack %	4.20	6.71	-2.51	#4
Pass Rating	103.10	88.74	+14.36	#4
EXP Pts Pass	188.85	69.14	+119.71	#1

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	582	557.91	+24.09	#10
Pass Cmp	352	354.09	-2.09	#18
Cmp %	60.50	63.48	-2.98	#4
Pass Yds	3543	3,759.41	-216.41	#8
Yds / Att	6.70	7.23	-0.53	#7
Yds / Cmp	11	11.38	-0.38	#12
Adj Y/A	6.20	7.09	-0.89	#6
Adj NY/A	5.20	6.16	-0.96	#5
Pass TD	21	24.91	-3.91	#9
TD %	3.60	4.47	-0.87	#8
Pass Int	16	12.81	+3.19	#5
Int %	2.70	2.31	+0.39	#7
Sack %	7.20	6.67	+0.53	#11
Pass Rating	80.80	90.35	-9.55	#5
EXP Pts Pass	-21.46	-69.14	+47.68	#7

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for KC 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

89.0%

#6 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#18 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#6 of 32

Return Yards

1,149

#4 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

89.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	9	0	100.0%
30-39	9	1	90.0%
40-49	13	0	100.0%
50-59	3	2	60.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29202323242425282829(9)

30–39303132333536363939(9)

40–4940414141414243444444454648(13)

50–59505456(3)

Missed FG distances

30–3936(1)

50–595050(2)

Blocked FG distances

50–5952(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4944(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

222

Punt avg

6.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

927

Kickoff avg

25.1

Total return yds

1149

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2126

Gross avg

43.4

Net yards

1977

Net avg

39.5

Long

68 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

42.9%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for KC 2019.

#12 of 32

#23 of 32

#20 of 32

#18 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for KC 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+142.5

#1 of 32

Rush EPA

-19.9

#9 of 32

Recv EPA

+187.5

#1 of 32

CPOE

+1.99

#10 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for KC 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,915

#11 of 32

Pass YAC

2,234

#3 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,915

#11 of 32

Recv YAC

2,234

#3 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for KC 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

107

#15 of 32

Penalty Yds

1,029

#26 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#25 of 32

Yds / Game

64.3

#26 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Punt Net Yds	1824	1977	153
Penalties Yds	1152	1029	-123
Punt Yds	2021	2126	105

5-Year Trajectory

KC Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

W vs LAC · 31–21

Push against the spread.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for KC 2019.

Cmp %

65.6%

#11

Pass Yds/G

281.1

Pass Rating

103.1

Pass TD

Pass Int

Sack Rate

4.2%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. KC has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	12-4	10-5-1	66.7%	8-8	50.0%	+8.9	+4.3	31	+21.0
Home	8	5-3	4-3-1	57.1%	5-3	62.5%	+6.1	+1.2	31	+19.5
Away	8	7-1	6-2	75.0%	3-5	37.5%	+11.8	+7.4	24	+21.0
As favorite	13	10-3	8-4-1	66.7%	6-7	46.2%	+10.8	+4.0	31	+21.0
As underdog	3	2-1	2-1	—	2-1	—	+1.0	+5.5	7	+10.0
Division games	6	6-0	5-0-1	100.0%	1-5	16.7%	+18.3	+10.5	31	+21.0
Non-division	10	6-4	5-5	50.0%	7-3	70.0%	+3.3	+0.6	23	+16.5
Pick-em (≤3)	2	2-0	2-0	—	0-2	—	+15.5	+15.5	24	+21.0
Small favorite (3-7)	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+6.5	+1.8	23	+16.5
Large favorite (7+)	6	5-1	3-2-1	60.0%	2-4	33.3%	+12.8	+3.4	31	+19.5
Small underdog (3-7)	2	1-1	1-1	—	2-0	—	-2.0	+3.2	3	+8.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+24.5	+15.2
DEN	Denver Broncos	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	+22.0	+15.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	2-0	1-0-1	1-1	+8.5	+0.8
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+14.0	+10.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+5.0	+0.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+4.0	-3.5
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-6.0	-16.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-7.0	-10.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-7.0	-2.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+8.5
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-8.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+10.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+23.0	+16.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	4-0	3-1	3-1	75%
Oct	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%
Nov	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Dec	5	5-0	4-0-1	1-4	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	14	10-4	8-5-1	8-6	62%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	6-3	5-4	6-3	56%
Second half (W10+)	7	6-1	5-1-1	2-5	83%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	7	6-1	6-1	2-5	86%
Turf	9	6-3	4-4-1	6-3	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	6-0	5-0-1	1-5	100%
Same conference	6	3-3	3-3	4-2	50%
Inter-conference	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	3-0	3-0	0-3	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	6	3-3	2-3-1	4-2	40%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Warm (75°F+)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Indoor	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	9	7-2	7-2	3-6	78%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	3-0	2-0-1	2-1	100%
Indoor	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	6
ATS	P	0
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	6
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	5
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	5

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	11	8-3	6-4-1	5-6	60%
After a loss	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
On 2+ winning streak	7	6-1	4-2-1	3-4	67%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
vs winning opp.	8	6-2	5-3	5-3	62%
vs losing opp.	5	4-1	3-1-1	2-3	75%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	15	11-4	10-4-1	7-8	71%
Dome	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	4-3-1	5-3	57%
Domestic road	7	6-1	5-2	3-4	71%
International	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	4-3-1	5-3	57%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Medium (500-1500)	6	6-0	5-1	2-4	83%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	8-3	6-4-1	6-5	60%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-14 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 4-0-15 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 8-5-114 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-1-17 G

By surface

GrassATS 6-17 G

TurfATS 4-4-19 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 5-0-16 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-24 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 10-4-115 G

DomeATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-3-18 G

Domestic roadATS 5-27 G

InternationalATS 1-01 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-3-18 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-12 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 5-16 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-4-111 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-14 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-22 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 4-2-17 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-03 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.3 ptsBias +4.3 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	7-9	0.510 #11	17.6	19.8	-14.61	-31.98
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	12-4	0.510 #10	28.2	19.3	186.59	-40.12
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	5-11	0.514 #9	21.1	21.6	82.43	-84.11
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	7-9	0.482 #24	19.6	26.2	79.57	-159.71

Insights

A look at how the 2019 Kansas City Chiefs ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive avg wr separation (1st of 32), offensive pass yards per play (2nd of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg yac allowed (29th of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (29th of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (29th of 32). Notably, offensive avg wr separation (1st) yet defensive avg yac allowed (29th).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	164	179	-15	#31
Plays / Drive	6.20	5.86	+0.34	#7
Yds / Drive	37	31.14	+5.86	#3
Points / Drive	2.59	1.95	+0.64	#2
Score %	48.80	35.87	+12.93	#2
Turnover %	7.90	11.72	-3.82	#4


Rush Att	375	418.34	-43.34	#27
Rush Yds	1569	1,806.44	-237.44	#23
Rush Y/A	4.20	4.28	-0.08	#20
Rush TD	16	13.97	+2.03	#13
EXP Pts Rush	-1.19	-12.14	+10.95	#9


3rd Down Att	187	204.13	-17.13	#30
3rd Down Made	89	79.66	+9.34	#6
4th Down Att	10	18.59	-8.59	#32
4th Down Made	6	8.91	-2.91	#25
Red Zone Att	50	50.81	-0.81	#20
Red Zone Scores	27	28.78	-1.78	#20


Drives	164	179	-15	#2
Plays / Drive	6.50	5.87	+0.63	#31
Yds / Drive	34	31.11	+2.89	#24
Points / Drive	1.88	1.94	-0.06	#15
Score %	34.10	35.78	-1.68	#11
Turnover %	13.40	11.75	+1.65	#9


Rush Att	416	418.34	-2.34	#17
Rush Yds	2051	1,806.44	+244.56	#26
Rush Y/A	4.90	4.31	+0.59	#29
Rush TD	14	13.97	+0.03	#19
EXP Pts Rush	-40.73	12.14	-52.87	#31


2018	279.1	-152.2	+126.9
2019	186.6	-40.1	+146.5

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West