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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

81.20

#18

Def EXP

-125.54

#21

Net EXP

-44.34

Record

5-11

Pythag 7.1 (-2.1)

Power Rating

101.9

#11

SRS

−1.55

#19

SoS Rank

pts: +1.7 (#2)

Pts / Game

21.9

Home 21.4 · Road 22.4

#24

Net Pts / G

−3.3

#23

Pts Allowed / G

25.1

Home 26.8 · Road 23.5

#18

Yds / Play

5.60

#17

Yds/Play Allowed

5.60

#20

3rd Down %

39.0%

#25

3rd Down % Allowed

49.2%

#31

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	350	396.63	-46.63	#24
Total Yards	5592	5,744.53	-152.53	#21
Yds / Play	5.60	5.58	+0.02	#17
1st Downs	335	347.06	-12.06	#21
Turnovers	21	20.78	+0.22	#18
Fumbles Lost	5	8.44	-3.44	#7
EXP Pts	81.20	98.89	-17.69	#18

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	402	396.63	+5.38	#18
Total Yards	5761	5,744.53	+16.47	#18
Yds / Play	5.60	5.57	+0.03	#20
1st Downs	360	347.06	+12.94	#22
Turnovers	22	20.78	+1.22	#11
Fumbles Lost	15	8.44	+6.56	#1
EXP Pts	-125.54	-98.89	-26.65	#21

Scoring Composition

Where Carolina Panthers's points come from. Total = 350 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	550	563.06	-13.06	#22
Pass Cmp	373	367.38	+5.63	#16
Cmp %	67.80	65.23	+2.57	#6
Pass Yds	3888	3,842.41	+45.59	#18
Yds / Att	7.10	6.84	+0.26	#11
Yds / Cmp	10.40	10.47	-0.07	#17
Adj Y/A	6.30	6.81	-0.51	#23
Adj NY/A	6	6.42	-0.42	#22
Pass TD	16	27.22	-11.22	#28
TD %	2.90	4.85	-1.95	#29
Pass Int	16	12.34	+3.66	#29
Int %	2.90	2.20	+0.70	#28
Sack %	6.10	5.94	+0.16	#17
Pass Rating	85.60	91.90	-6.30	#23
EXP Pts Pass	60.94	95.98	-35.04	#21

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	585	563.06	+21.94	#7
Pass Cmp	398	367.38	+30.63	#27
Cmp %	68	65.19	+2.81	#25
Pass Yds	3825	3,842.41	-17.41	#18
Yds / Att	6.90	7.24	-0.34	#8
Yds / Cmp	10.10	11.11	-1.01	#4
Adj Y/A	7.30	7.23	+0.07	#19
Adj NY/A	6.60	6.41	+0.19	#21
Pass TD	28	27.22	+0.78	#19
TD %	4.80	4.84	-0.04	#17
Pass Int	7	12.34	-5.34	#30
Int %	1.20	2.21	-1.01	#31
Sack %	4.70	5.91	-1.21	#23
Pass Rating	98.40	93.56	+4.84	#25
EXP Pts Pass	-106.79	-95.98	-10.81	#21

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for CAR 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

81.0%

#19 of 32

PAT%

92.0%

#16 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 2

#14 of 32

Return Yards

851

#18 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

81.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	10	0	100.0%
40-49	7	1	87.5%
50-59	1	3	25.0%
60+	0	2	0.0%

Made FG distances

20–292021212222222324262729(11)

30–3930313133353637383939(10)

40–4940434646474748(7)

50–5956(1)

Missed FG distances

40–4942(1)

50–59515454(3)

60+6567(2)

Blocked FG distances

20–2928(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

92.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5954(1)

60+67(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

117

Punt avg

5.8

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

734

Kickoff avg

25.3

Total return yds

851

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2082

Gross avg

46.3

Net yards

1838

Net avg

40.8

Long

67 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

46.7%

Touchbacks

TB %

6.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

184

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for CAR 2020.

#16 of 32

#23 of 32

#22 of 32

#12 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for CAR 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+12.2

#23 of 32

Rush EPA

-8.1

#13 of 32

Recv EPA

+84.9

#23 of 32

CPOE

+3.01

#7 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for CAR 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

4,114

#22 of 32

Pass YAC

2,035

#11 of 32

Recv Air Yds

4,114

#22 of 32

Recv YAC

2,035

#11 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for CAR 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#20 of 32

Penalty Yds

752

#17 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#22 of 32

Yds / Game

47.0

#17 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


Kickoff Yds	4658	5095	437
Pass Sacked Yds	484	241	-243
Pass Yds	3650	3888	238

5-Year Trajectory

CAR Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

L vs NO · 7–33

CAR failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for CAR 2020.

Cmp %

67.8%

Pass Yds/G

243.0

#18

Pass Rating

85.6

#23

Pass TD

#28

Pass Int

#29

Sack Rate

6.1%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. CAR has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	5-11	9-7	56.3%	7-9	43.8%	-3.2	+0.4	20	+23.0
Home	8	2-6	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-5.4	-3.7	20	+23.0
Away	8	3-5	7-1	87.5%	4-4	50.0%	-1.1	+4.4	7	+11.0
As favorite	4	1-3	1-3	—	1-3	—	-3.2	-5.4	7	+6.0
As underdog	12	4-8	8-4	66.7%	6-6	50.0%	-3.2	+2.3	20	+23.0
Division games	6	1-5	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	-11.2	-6.6	7	+9.5
Non-division	10	4-6	7-3	70.0%	4-6	40.0%	+1.5	+4.5	20	+23.0
Pick-em (≤3)	8	4-4	5-3	62.5%	2-6	25.0%	+3.0	+4.2	20	+23.0
Small favorite (3-7)	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-5.0	-9.0	—	-9.0
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	1-2	—	1-2	—	-14.7	-8.7	5	+11.0
Large underdog (7+)	4	0-4	3-1	—	3-1	—	-6.8	+1.8	—	+8.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-18.5	-11.8
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	-0.5	+0.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	1-1	1-1	-14.5	-8.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-4.0	-1.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+5.0	+11.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+10.0	+13.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-7.0	-9.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-2.0	+8.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+20.0	+23.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+2.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-5.0	-9.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-8.0	+1.5
WAS	Washington Commanders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+7.0	+6.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	1-2	1-2	2-1	33%
Oct	5	2-3	3-2	1-4	60%
Nov	4	1-3	3-1	3-1	75%
Dec	3	1-2	2-1	1-2	67%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	14	5-9	8-6	7-7	57%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	3-6	5-4	4-5	56%
Second half (W10+)	7	2-5	4-3	3-4	57%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	11	3-8	4-7	4-7	36%
Turf	5	2-3	5-0	3-2	100%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	2-4	3-3	33%
Same conference	6	3-3	5-1	1-5	83%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	2-2	3-1	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
Warm (75°F+)	3	0-3	0-3	2-1	0%
Indoor	4	2-2	4-0	2-2	100%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	3-5	4-4	2-6	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	0-3	1-2	3-0	33%
Indoor	4	2-2	4-0	2-2	100%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	1
ATS	L	1
O/U	U	3

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	5	2-3	3-2	1-4	60%
After a loss	10	3-7	6-4	5-5	60%
On 2+ winning streak	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
On 2+ losing streak	7	3-4	5-2	2-5	71%
vs winning opp.	7	1-6	4-3	3-4	57%
vs losing opp.	7	3-4	4-3	3-4	57%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	3-9	5-7	5-7	42%
Dome	3	1-2	3-0	2-1	100%
Retractable (closed)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Domestic road	8	3-5	7-1	4-4	88%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	2-6	3-5	25%
Short (<500)	2	2-0	2-0	0-2	100%
Medium (500-1500)	5	0-5	4-1	4-1	80%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	11	4-7	7-4	4-7	64%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	2-0	1-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 3-25 G

NovATS 3-14 G

DecATS 2-13 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 8-614 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-37 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-711 G

TurfATS 5-05 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 5-16 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-24 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 5-712 G

DomeATS 3-03 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 2-68 G

Domestic roadATS 7-18 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 2-68 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-02 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-15 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-411 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-02 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 3-36 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-24 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-14 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-12 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.4 ptsBias +0.4 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	4-12	0.551 #3	24.8	25.9	129.77	-148.58
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-11	0.531 #9	21.9	25.1	81.20	-125.54
New Orleans Saints (NO)	12-4	0.459 #28	30.1	21.1	171.48	-41.73
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	11-5	0.488 #19	30.8	22.2	200.73	-23.90

Insights

A look at how the 2020 Carolina Panthers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (1st of 32), defensive avg time to pressure (2nd of 32), and defensive stuffed rate forced (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg wr separation allowed (32nd of 32), defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (31st of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (30th of 32).


Drives	159	173.97	-14.97	#31
Plays / Drive	6.50	6.10	+0.40	#3
Yds / Drive	35.10	33.05	+2.05	#10
Points / Drive	2.09	2.21	-0.12	#20
Score %	40.30	39.95	+0.35	#16
Turnover %	13.20	11.38	+1.83	#26


Rush Att	407	431	-24	#21
Rush Yds	1704	1,902.13	-198.13	#21
Rush Y/A	4.20	4.38	-0.18	#20
Rush TD	19	16.63	+2.38	#10
EXP Pts Rush	20.87	11.61	+9.26	#12


3rd Down Att	195	202.47	-7.47	#22
3rd Down Made	76	84.31	-8.31	#26
4th Down Att	27	20.56	+6.44	#4
4th Down Made	15	11.31	+3.69	#8
Red Zone Att	57	54.69	+2.31	#14
Red Zone Scores	29	33.47	-4.47	#22


Drives	161	173.97	-12.97	#3
Plays / Drive	6.50	6.10	+0.40	#29
Yds / Drive	35.60	33.06	+2.54	#24
Points / Drive	2.50	2.21	+0.29	#26
Score %	46	39.94	+6.06	#27
Turnover %	12.40	11.44	+0.96	#12


Rush Att	408	431	-23	#9
Rush Yds	1936	1,902.13	+33.88	#20
Rush Y/A	4.70	4.39	+0.31	#28
Rush TD	17	16.63	+0.38	#21
EXP Pts Rush	-27.66	-11.61	-16.05	#21


2018	117.1	-117.2	-0.1
2019	-28.1	-109.9	-138.0
2020	81.2	-125.5	-44.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South