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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

200.73

Def EXP

-23.90

Net EXP

176.83

Record

11-5

Pythag 11.6 (-0.6)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

+8.59

SoS Rank

#19

pts: +0.0 (#16)

#19

Pts / Game

30.8

Home 28.5 · Road 33.0

Net Pts / G

+8.6

Pts Allowed / G

22.2

Home 23.9 · Road 20.5

Yds / Play

6.00

Yds/Play Allowed

5.10

3rd Down %

43.5%

#11

3rd Down % Allowed

40.0%

#14

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	492	396.63	+95.38	#3
Total Yards	6145	5,744.53	+400.47	#7
Yds / Play	6	5.58	+0.42	#7
1st Downs	364	347.06	+16.94	#11
Turnovers	17	20.78	-3.78	#7
Fumbles Lost	5	8.44	-3.44	#3
EXP Pts	200.73	98.89	+101.84	#5

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	355	396.63	-41.63	#8
Total Yards	5234	5,744.53	-510.53	#6
Yds / Play	5.10	5.57	-0.47	#6
1st Downs	319	347.06	-28.06	#5
Turnovers	25	20.78	+4.22	#6
Fumbles Lost	10	8.44	+1.56	#11
EXP Pts	-23.90	-98.89	+74.99	#6

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 492 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	626	563.06	+62.94	#6
Pass Cmp	410	367.38	+42.63	#6
Cmp %	65.50	65.23	+0.27	#16
Pass Yds	4626	3,842.41	+783.59	#2
Yds / Att	7.40	6.84	+0.56	#8
Yds / Cmp	11.30	10.47	+0.83	#7
Adj Y/A	7.90	6.81	+1.09	#8
Adj NY/A	7.60	6.42	+1.18	#6
Pass TD	42	27.22	+14.78	#2
TD %	6.70	4.85	+1.85	#7
Pass Int	12	12.34	-0.34	#16
Int %	1.90	2.20	-0.30	#12
Sack %	3.40	5.94	-2.54	#2
Pass Rating	101.80	91.90	+9.90	#9
EXP Pts Pass	218.56	95.98	+122.58	#4

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	617	563.06	+53.94	#4
Pass Cmp	426	367.38	+58.63	#31
Cmp %	69	65.19	+3.81	#29
Pass Yds	3945	3,842.41	+102.59	#21
Yds / Att	7	7.24	-0.24	#11
Yds / Cmp	10.10	11.11	-1.01	#3
Adj Y/A	6.80	7.23	-0.43	#8
Adj NY/A	5.80	6.41	-0.61	#7
Pass TD	29	27.22	+1.78	#20
TD %	4.70	4.84	-0.14	#14
Pass Int	15	12.34	+2.66	#10
Int %	2.40	2.21	+0.19	#11
Sack %	7.20	5.91	+1.29	#7
Pass Rating	94.30	93.56	+0.74	#18
EXP Pts Pass	-55.34	-95.98	+40.64	#7

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

90.0%

#11 of 32

PAT%

91.0%

#21 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#14 of 32

Return Yards

722

#27 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

50 yd

FG %

90.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	1	0	100.0%
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	9	0	100.0%
40-49	7	2	77.8%
50-59	1	0	100.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

Under 2019(1)

20–2921232425252626272929(10)

30–39333535373838383839(9)

40–4940404343464848(7)

50–5950(1)

Missed FG distances

40–494244(2)

Blocked FG distances

50–5954(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

91.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

176

Punt avg

5.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

546

Kickoff avg

21.8

Total return yds

722

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2486

Gross avg

45.2

Net yards

2210

Net avg

40.2

Long

62 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

34.5%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.6%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

236

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2020.

QB Hits

116

#2 of 32

Pass Def.

#14 of 32

TFL

#2 of 32

Forced Fum.

#7 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+130.8

#4 of 32

Rush EPA

-22.7

#21 of 32

Recv EPA

+167.4

#8 of 32

CPOE

+3.09

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,640

#1 of 32

Pass YAC

1,890

#16 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,640

#1 of 32

Recv YAC

1,890

#16 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#11 of 32

Penalty Yds

715

#14 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#9 of 32

Yds / Game

44.7

#14 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


Penalties Yds	1111	715	-396
Kickoff Yds	6317	6493	176
EXP Pts Tot	37	200.73	163.73

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

W vs ATL · 44–27

TB covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2020.

Cmp %

65.5%

#16

Pass Yds/G

289.1

Pass Rating

101.8

Pass TD

Pass Int

#16

Sack Rate

3.4%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	11-5	9-7	56.3%	9-7	56.3%	+8.6	+3.8	40	+31.0
Home	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	4-4	50.0%	+4.6	+0.9	28	+31.0
Away	8	6-2	4-4	50.0%	5-3	62.5%	+12.5	+6.8	40	+28.0
As favorite	13	10-3	7-6	53.8%	8-5	61.5%	+9.5	+2.8	40	+28.0
As underdog	3	1-2	2-1	—	1-2	—	+4.7	+8.2	28	+31.0
Division games	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	5-1	83.3%	+2.0	-2.3	23	+17.0
Non-division	10	7-3	6-4	60.0%	4-6	40.0%	+12.5	+7.5	40	+31.0
Pick-em (≤3)	2	1-1	1-1	—	0-2	—	-3.5	-3.5	28	+31.0
Small favorite (3-7)	6	4-2	3-3	50.0%	4-2	66.7%	+11.0	+6.2	25	+21.5
Large favorite (7+)	6	6-0	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+15.3	+6.2	40	+28.0
Small underdog (3-7)	2	0-2	1-1	—	1-1	—	-7.0	-3.2	—	+0.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	-23.0	-22.5
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	+18.5	+11.8
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	+10.5	+3.8
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+18.0	+12.0
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+7.0	-0.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-1.0	-4.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+28.0	+31.0
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+25.0	+21.5
NYG	New York Giants	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+2.0	-11.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-7.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-3.0	+0.5
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+12.0	+5.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+40.0	+28.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Oct	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Nov	5	2-3	2-3	3-2	40%
Dec	3	3-0	2-1	1-2	67%
Jan	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sat	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	12	9-3	8-4	7-5	67%
Mon	2	1-1	0-2	2-0	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	6-3	4-5	5-4	44%
Second half (W10+)	7	5-2	5-2	4-3	71%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	8-4	8-4	6-6	67%
Turf	4	3-1	1-3	3-1	25%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	3-3	5-1	50%
Same conference	6	4-2	3-3	2-4	50%
Inter-conference	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%
Warm (75°F+)	6	4-2	4-2	2-4	67%
Indoor	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	5-3	4-4	3-5	50%
Windy (≥15 mph)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Indoor	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	4
ATS	W	2
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	2
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	10	7-3	4-6	6-4	40%
After a loss	5	4-1	5-0	2-3	100%
On 2+ winning streak	6	4-2	2-4	3-3	33%
On 2+ losing streak	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
vs winning opp.	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
vs losing opp.	8	8-0	5-3	6-2	62%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	8-4	7-5	6-6	58%
Dome	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Retractable (closed)	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	0%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Domestic road	8	6-2	4-4	5-3	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Short (<500)	2	1-1	0-2	2-0	0%
Medium (500-1500)	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Long (1500+)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	9	7-2	6-3	5-4	67%
Long week (8-10d)	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 2-24 G

NovATS 2-35 G

DecATS 2-13 G

JanATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SatATS 1-01 G

SunATS 8-412 G

MonATS 0-22 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-59 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 5-27 G

By surface

GrassATS 8-412 G

TurfATS 1-34 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 3-36 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 7-512 G

DomeATS 2-13 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 0-11 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-38 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-38 G

Short (<500)ATS 0-22 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-24 G

Long (1500+)ATS 2-02 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-39 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-24 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-35 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-23 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 4-15 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-13 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 12.6 ptsBias +3.8 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	4-12	0.551 #3	24.8	25.9	129.77	-148.58
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-11	0.531 #9	21.9	25.1	81.20	-125.54
New Orleans Saints (NO)	12-4	0.459 #28	30.1	21.1	171.48	-41.73
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	11-5	0.488 #19	30.8	22.2	200.73	-23.90

Insights

A look at how the 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), and defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive stuffed rate forced (31st of 32), offensive yards before contact per carry (31st of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (29th of 32).


Drives	180	173.97	+6.03	#9
Plays / Drive	5.80	6.10	-0.30	#28
Yds / Drive	34.10	33.05	+1.05	#14
Points / Drive	2.72	2.21	+0.51	#5
Score %	47.80	39.95	+7.85	#6
Turnover %	8.90	11.38	-2.48	#6


Rush Att	369	431	-62	#29
Rush Yds	1519	1,902.13	-383.13	#29
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.38	-0.28	#27
Rush TD	16	16.63	-0.63	#18
EXP Pts Rush	-8.46	11.61	-20.07	#22


3rd Down Att	191	202.47	-11.47	#26
3rd Down Made	83	84.31	-1.31	#17
4th Down Att	14	20.56	-6.56	#30
4th Down Made	8	11.31	-3.31	#28
Red Zone Att	61	54.69	+6.31	#4
Red Zone Scores	42	33.47	+8.53	#6


Drives	178	173.97	+4.03	#21
Plays / Drive	5.90	6.10	-0.20	#8
Yds / Drive	29.40	33.06	-3.66	#6
Points / Drive	1.89	2.21	-0.32	#6
Score %	33.70	39.94	-6.24	#6
Turnover %	14	11.44	+2.56	#5


Rush Att	358	431	-73	#1
Rush Yds	1289	1,902.13	-613.13	#1
Rush Y/A	3.60	4.39	-0.79	#1
Rush TD	10	16.63	-6.63	#1
EXP Pts Rush	33.25	-11.61	+44.86	#2


2018	127.5	-154.6	-27.0
2019	37.0	20.2	+57.2
2020	200.7	-23.9	+176.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South