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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

129.77

#14

Def EXP

-148.58

#25

Net EXP

-18.81

Record

4-12

Pythag 8.1 (-4.1)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

+0.15

#15

SoS Rank

pts: +1.3 (#6)

Pts / Game

24.8

Home 26.1 · Road 23.4

#16

Net Pts / G

−1.1

#18

Pts Allowed / G

25.9

Home 24.9 · Road 26.9

#19

Yds / Play

5.50

#18

Yds/Play Allowed

6.20

#30

3rd Down %

43.9%

#10

3rd Down % Allowed

41.0%

#18

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	396	396.63	-0.63	#16
Total Yards	5895	5,744.53	+150.47	#18
Yds / Play	5.50	5.58	-0.08	#18
1st Downs	366	347.06	+18.94	#9
Turnovers	18	20.78	-2.78	#13
Fumbles Lost	7	8.44	-1.44	#14
EXP Pts	129.77	98.89	+30.88	#14

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	414	396.63	+17.38	#19
Total Yards	6374	5,744.53	+629.47	#29
Yds / Play	6.20	5.57	+0.63	#30
1st Downs	367	347.06	+19.94	#25
Turnovers	21	20.78	+0.22	#19
Fumbles Lost	9	8.44	+0.56	#12
EXP Pts	-148.58	-98.89	-49.69	#25

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 396 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	628	563.06	+64.94	#4
Pass Cmp	408	367.38	+40.63	#7
Cmp %	65	65.23	-0.23	#20
Pass Yds	4363	3,842.41	+520.59	#5
Yds / Att	6.90	6.84	+0.06	#16
Yds / Cmp	10.70	10.47	+0.23	#14
Adj Y/A	7	6.81	+0.19	#14
Adj NY/A	6.60	6.42	+0.18	#14
Pass TD	27	27.22	-0.22	#14
TD %	4.30	4.85	-0.55	#18
Pass Int	11	12.34	-1.34	#15
Int %	1.80	2.20	-0.40	#11
Sack %	6.10	5.94	+0.16	#18
Pass Rating	92.20	91.90	+0.30	#17
EXP Pts Pass	155.83	95.98	+59.85	#8

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	625	563.06	+61.94	#3
Pass Cmp	425	367.38	+57.63	#30
Cmp %	68	65.19	+2.81	#26
Pass Yds	4697	3,842.41	+854.59	#32
Yds / Att	7.90	7.24	+0.66	#28
Yds / Cmp	11.60	11.11	+0.49	#26
Adj Y/A	8.10	7.23	+0.87	#29
Adj NY/A	7.40	6.41	+0.99	#29
Pass TD	34	27.22	+6.78	#30
TD %	5.40	4.84	+0.56	#24
Pass Int	12	12.34	-0.34	#14
Int %	1.90	2.21	-0.31	#20
Sack %	4.40	5.91	-1.51	#26
Pass Rating	101.70	93.56	+8.14	#27
EXP Pts Pass	-177.33	-95.98	-81.35	#26

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

95.0%

#5 of 32

PAT%

89.0%

#27 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#14 of 32

Return Yards

561

#32 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

54 yd

FG %

95.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	11	0	100.0%
30-39	11	1	91.7%
40-49	8	1	88.9%
50-59	8	0	100.0%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292021212223272828292929(11)

30–393030313232353636373839(11)

40–494142434546474949(8)

50–595051525252535454(8)

Missed FG distances

30–3939(1)

40–4948(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

89.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

152

Punt avg

8.9

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

409

Kickoff avg

20.4

Total return yds

561

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2381

Gross avg

42.5

Net yards

2199

Net avg

39.3

Long

57 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

30.4%

Touchbacks

TB %

3.6%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

142

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2020.

#14 of 32

#28 of 32

#19 of 32

#2 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+69.7

#13 of 32

Rush EPA

-42.0

#28 of 32

Recv EPA

+153.4

#10 of 32

CPOE

+1.27

#14 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,417

#2 of 32

Pass YAC

1,644

#24 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,417

#2 of 32

Recv YAC

1,644

#24 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#9 of 32

Penalty Yds

736

#16 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#17 of 32

Yds / Game

46.0

#16 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


Kickoff Yds	5114	5802	688
Penalties Yds	956	736	-220
Punt Net Yds	2017	2199	182

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

L at TB · 27–44

ATL failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2020.

Cmp %

65.0%

#20

Pass Yds/G

272.7

Pass Rating

92.2

#17

Pass TD

#14

Pass Int

#15

Sack Rate

6.1%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	4-12	7-9	43.8%	7-9	43.8%	-1.1	+1.2	37	+40.5
Home	8	2-6	3-5	37.5%	4-4	50.0%	+1.2	+1.3	37	+40.5
Away	8	2-6	4-4	50.0%	3-5	37.5%	-3.5	+1.0	17	+20.5
As favorite	5	1-4	1-4	20.0%	3-2	60.0%	-3.6	-5.9	7	+2.5
As underdog	11	3-8	6-5	54.5%	4-7	36.4%	+0.0	+4.4	37	+40.5
Division games	6	1-5	2-4	33.3%	2-4	33.3%	-6.7	-3.6	8	+9.5
Non-division	10	3-7	5-5	50.0%	5-5	50.0%	+2.2	+4.0	37	+40.5
Pick-em (≤3)	8	1-7	2-6	25.0%	3-5	37.5%	-3.2	-3.1	8	+9.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+7.0	+2.5	7	+2.5
Small underdog (3-7)	5	2-3	3-2	60.0%	2-3	40.0%	+4.2	+8.5	37	+40.5
Large underdog (7+)	2	0-2	1-1	—	1-1	—	-10.0	-0.8	—	+8.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+0.5	+0.0
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	-10.0	-7.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	0-2	1-1	2-0	-10.5	-3.8
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-13.0	-14.0
DAL	Dallas Cowboys	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-1.0	+2.0
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-4.0	-6.5
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-9.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+20.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-1.0	-2.0
DEN	Denver Broncos	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+2.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+37.0	+40.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-3.0	-2.0
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-3.0	+8.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	0-3	1-2	3-0	33%
Oct	5	2-3	2-3	1-4	40%
Nov	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Dec	4	0-4	2-2	1-3	50%
Jan	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sun	14	3-11	6-8	7-7	43%
Mon	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	3-6	4-5	5-4	44%
Second half (W10+)	7	1-6	3-4	2-5	43%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Turf	13	3-10	6-7	6-7	46%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	1-5	2-4	2-4	33%
Same conference	6	1-5	2-4	4-2	33%
Inter-conference	4	2-2	3-1	1-3	75%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	0-2	1-1	0-2	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Warm (75°F+)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	12	3-9	5-7	6-6	42%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	1-2	2-1	0-3	67%
Indoor	12	3-9	5-7	6-6	42%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	5
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	5
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
After a loss	11	3-8	6-5	5-6	55%
On 2+ winning streak	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
On 2+ losing streak	7	1-6	3-4	4-3	43%
vs winning opp.	8	1-7	3-5	3-5	38%
vs losing opp.	6	3-3	4-2	3-3	67%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	4	1-3	2-2	1-3	50%
Dome	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Retractable (closed)	9	2-7	4-5	5-4	44%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	2-6	3-5	4-4	38%
Domestic road	8	2-6	4-4	3-5	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	2-6	3-5	4-4	38%
Short (<500)	3	1-2	1-2	1-2	33%
Medium (500-1500)	4	1-3	3-1	2-2	75%
Long (1500+)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	2-9	5-6	5-6	45%
Long week (8-10d)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-23 G

OctATS 2-35 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 6-814 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-59 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-47 G

By surface

GrassATS 1-23 G

TurfATS 6-713 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-24 G

DomeATS 1-23 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 4-59 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 1-23 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 3-14 G

Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-611 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-46 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 0-22 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-25 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-13 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.5 ptsBias +1.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	4-12	0.551 #3	24.8	25.9	129.77	-148.58
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-11	0.531 #9	21.9	25.1	81.20	-125.54
New Orleans Saints (NO)	12-4	0.459 #28	30.1	21.1	171.48	-41.73
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	11-5	0.488 #19	30.8	22.2	200.73	-23.90

Insights

A look at how the 2020 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive rush yards allowed per carry (6th of 32), offensive avg time to throw (7th of 32), and offensive avg time to throw (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg yac allowed (32nd of 32), offensive ryoe per attempt (32nd of 32), and offensive rush yards per carry (31st of 32).


Drives	174	173.97	+0.03	#18
Plays / Drive	6.40	6.10	+0.30	#4
Yds / Drive	33.80	33.05	+0.75	#16
Points / Drive	2.26	2.21	+0.05	#15
Score %	44.80	39.95	+4.85	#9
Turnover %	10.30	11.38	-1.08	#12


Rush Att	409	431	-22	#20
Rush Yds	1532	1,902.13	-370.13	#27
Rush Y/A	3.70	4.38	-0.68	#31
Rush TD	13	16.63	-3.63	#22
EXP Pts Rush	-17.02	11.61	-28.63	#27


3rd Down Att	221	202.47	+18.53	#5
3rd Down Made	97	84.31	+12.69	#4
4th Down Att	26	20.56	+5.44	#6
4th Down Made	15	11.31	+3.69	#7
Red Zone Att	58	54.69	+3.31	#13
Red Zone Scores	31	33.47	-2.47	#20


Drives	174	173.97	+0.03	#17
Plays / Drive	6.10	6.10	0.00	#17
Yds / Drive	36.60	33.06	+3.54	#27
Points / Drive	2.39	2.21	+0.18	#22
Score %	42	39.94	+2.06	#19
Turnover %	12.10	11.44	+0.66	#16


Rush Att	380	431	-51	#2
Rush Yds	1677	1,902.13	-225.13	#6
Rush Y/A	4.40	4.39	+0.01	#15
Rush TD	15	16.63	-1.63	#13
EXP Pts Rush	20.45	-11.61	+32.06	#4


2018	154.2	-157.0	-2.8
2019	95.5	-98.3	-2.8
2020	129.8	-148.6	-18.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South