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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Team

Off EXP

-14.61

#24

Def EXP

-31.98

#15

Net EXP

-46.59

Record

7-9

Pythag 7.4 (-0.4)

Power Rating

97.7

#22

SRS

−1.82

#20

SoS Rank

#11

pts: +0.3 (#15)

#11

Pts / Game

17.6

Home 18.8 · Road 16.5

#28

Net Pts / G

−2.1

#21

Pts Allowed / G

19.8

Home 17.9 · Road 21.6

#10

Yds / Play

5.00

#26

Yds/Play Allowed

5.40

#16

3rd Down %

31.7%

#30

3rd Down % Allowed

37.4%

#13

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	282	365	-83	#28
Total Yards	4777	5,565.84	-788.84	#28
Yds / Play	5	5.48	-0.48	#26
1st Downs	279	324.03	-45.03	#29
Turnovers	16	22.22	-6.22	#6
Fumbles Lost	6	9.41	-3.41	#3
EXP Pts	-14.61	47.34	-61.95	#24

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	316	365	-49	#10
Total Yards	5392	5,565.84	-173.84	#12
Yds / Play	5.40	5.48	-0.07	#16
1st Downs	305	324.03	-19.03	#9
Turnovers	17	22.22	-5.22	#27
Fumbles Lost	7	9.41	-2.41	#25
EXP Pts	-31.98	-47.34	+15.36	#15

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 282 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	504	557.91	-53.91	#27
Pass Cmp	312	354.09	-42.09	#27
Cmp %	61.90	63.55	-1.65	#20
Pass Yds	3115	3,759.41	-644.41	#28
Yds / Att	6.20	6.76	-0.56	#23
Yds / Cmp	10	10.62	-0.62	#24
Adj Y/A	5.90	6.63	-0.73	#23
Adj NY/A	5.50	6.19	-0.69	#23
Pass TD	16	24.91	-8.91	#32
TD %	3.20	4.52	-1.32	#30
Pass Int	10	12.81	-2.81	#13
Int %	2	2.28	-0.28	#14
Sack %	7.50	6.71	+0.79	#24
Pass Rating	81.70	88.74	-7.04	#24
EXP Pts Pass	12.57	69.14	-56.57	#25

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	537	557.91	-20.91	#23
Pass Cmp	348	354.09	-6.09	#15
Cmp %	64.80	63.48	+1.32	#24
Pass Yds	3609	3,759.41	-150.41	#11
Yds / Att	7.10	7.23	-0.13	#14
Yds / Cmp	11	11.38	-0.38	#13
Adj Y/A	7	7.09	-0.09	#14
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.16	-0.06	#14
Pass TD	19	24.91	-5.91	#7
TD %	3.50	4.47	-0.97	#7
Pass Int	10	12.81	-2.81	#26
Int %	1.90	2.31	-0.41	#23
Sack %	6.90	6.67	+0.23	#15
Pass Rating	89.80	90.35	-0.55	#16
EXP Pts Pass	-61.45	-69.14	+7.69	#12

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

85.0%

#11 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#12 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#6 of 32

Return Yards

742

#24 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

53 yd

FG %

85.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	9	0	100.0%
40-49	10	2	83.3%
50-59	4	2	66.7%
60+	0	1	0.0%

Made FG distances

20–29212626262929(6)

30–39303131323233343639(9)

40–4940414343434546474849(10)

50–5951525353(4)

Missed FG distances

40–494345(2)

50–595457(2)

60+64(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

50–5953(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

208

Punt avg

7.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

534

Kickoff avg

25.4

Total return yds

742

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

3464

Gross avg

44.4

Net yards

3070

Net avg

39.4

Long

64 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

37.2%

Touchbacks

TB %

5.1%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

314

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2019.

#25 of 32

#17 of 32

#13 of 32

#26 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

-28.3

#25 of 32

Rush EPA

-32.3

#18 of 32

Recv EPA

+60.5

#24 of 32

CPOE

-2.50

#23 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,522

#30 of 32

Pass YAC

1,701

#25 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,522

#30 of 32

Recv YAC

1,701

#25 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

110

#19 of 32

Penalty Yds

912

#18 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#19 of 32

Yds / Game

57.0

#18 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Kickoff Yds	4473	4634	161
Punt Ret Yds	132	208	76
Penalties Yds	985	912	-73

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

W vs LV · 16–15

DEN failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2019.

Cmp %

61.9%

#20

Pass Yds/G

194.7

#28

Pass Rating

81.7

#24

Pass TD

#32

Pass Int

#13

Sack Rate

7.5%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	9-7	56.3%	7-9	43.8%	-2.1	+0.5	16	+22.0
Home	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	4-4	50.0%	+0.9	+0.4	16	+15.0
Away	8	2-6	4-4	50.0%	3-5	37.5%	-5.1	+0.6	14	+22.0
As favorite	5	3-2	2-3	40.0%	2-3	40.0%	+3.4	-0.9	16	+15.0
As underdog	11	4-7	7-4	63.6%	5-6	45.5%	-4.6	+1.1	14	+22.0
Division games	6	3-3	2-4	33.3%	1-5	16.7%	-6.8	-4.7	7	+11.0
Non-division	10	4-6	7-3	70.0%	6-4	60.0%	+0.7	+3.5	16	+22.0
Pick-em (≤3)	5	1-4	2-3	40.0%	1-4	20.0%	-4.0	-4.1	16	+15.0
Small favorite (3-7)	1	1-0	0-1	—	0-1	—	+1.0	-4.5	1	-4.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+10.0	+0.5	10	+0.5
Small underdog (3-7)	5	3-2	4-1	80.0%	2-3	40.0%	-0.8	+3.6	7	+11.0
Large underdog (7+)	4	1-3	2-2	—	3-1	—	-5.2	+3.5	14	+22.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


LV	Las Vegas Raiders	2	1-1	0-2	0-2	-3.5	-7.8
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+5.0	+9.2
KC	Kansas City Chiefs	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	-22.0	-15.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-2.0	+1.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-11.0	-4.0
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-2.0	-4.5
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+16.0	+15.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-2.0	+4.0
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+5.0	+9.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	-4.0	+6.0
BUF	Buffalo Bills	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-17.0	-13.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+14.0	+22.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+10.0	+0.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	0-4	1-3	2-2	25%
Oct	4	2-2	3-1	0-4	75%
Nov	3	1-2	2-1	2-1	67%
Dec	5	4-1	3-2	3-2	60%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	14	7-7	9-5	7-7	64%
Mon	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	9	3-6	5-4	3-6	56%
Second half (W10+)	7	4-3	4-3	4-3	57%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	7-5	7-5	6-6	58%
Turf	4	0-4	2-2	1-3	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	3-3	2-4	1-5	33%
Same conference	6	3-3	4-2	3-3	67%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	3-1	3-1	75%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	3	2-1	1-2	1-2	33%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Mild (60-74°F)	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Warm (75°F+)	4	1-3	2-2	1-3	50%
Indoor	3	1-2	3-0	2-1	100%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	3	2-1	3-0	2-1	100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	4-4	3-5	3-5	38%
Windy (≥15 mph)	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
Indoor	3	1-2	3-0	2-1	100%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	2
ATS	L	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	2
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	2
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	3-3	3-3	2-4	50%
After a loss	9	4-5	6-3	5-4	67%
On 2+ winning streak	2	0-2	0-2	0-2	0%
On 2+ losing streak	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%
vs winning opp.	7	1-6	3-4	3-4	43%
vs losing opp.	7	5-2	5-2	4-3	71%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	13	6-7	6-7	5-8	46%
Dome	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%
Retractable (open)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Retractable (closed)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Domestic road	8	2-6	4-4	3-5	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	5-3	5-3	4-4	62%
Medium (500-1500)	8	2-6	4-4	3-5	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	7-5	7-5	6-6	58%
Long week (8-10d)	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-34 G

OctATS 3-14 G

NovATS 2-13 G

DecATS 3-25 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 9-514 G

MonATS 0-11 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-49 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-37 G

By surface

GrassATS 7-512 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 4-26 G

Inter-conferenceATS 3-14 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 6-713 G

DomeATS 1-01 G

Retractable (open)ATS 1-01 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 5-38 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 5-38 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-48 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-512 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-01 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-34 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 6-06 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 0-33 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.0 ptsBias +0.5 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)	7-9	0.510 #11	17.6	19.8	-14.61	-31.98
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)	12-4	0.510 #10	28.2	19.3	186.59	-40.12
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)	5-11	0.514 #9	21.1	21.6	82.43	-84.11
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)	7-9	0.482 #24	19.6	26.2	79.57	-159.71

Insights

A look at how the 2019 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (3rd of 32), offensive stuffed rate (4th of 32), and defensive ryoe per attempt allowed (7th of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg time to pressure (32nd of 32), defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32).

Rivalries

Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.


Drives	173	179	-6	#24
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.86	-0.16	#21
Yds / Drive	27.60	31.14	-3.54	#27
Points / Drive	1.60	1.95	-0.35	#27
Score %	32.40	35.87	-3.47	#22
Turnover %	9.20	11.72	-2.52	#7


Rush Att	409	418.34	-9.34	#14
Rush Yds	1662	1,806.44	-144.44	#20
Rush Y/A	4.10	4.28	-0.18	#21
Rush TD	11	13.97	-2.97	#22
EXP Pts Rush	-17.20	-12.14	-5.06	#17


3rd Down Att	202	204.13	-2.13	#18
3rd Down Made	64	79.66	-15.66	#31
4th Down Att	16	18.59	-2.59	#20
4th Down Made	11	8.91	+2.09	#11
Red Zone Att	42	50.81	-8.81	#27
Red Zone Scores	20	28.78	-8.78	#28


Drives	171	179	-8	#8
Plays / Drive	6.10	5.87	+0.23	#24
Yds / Drive	31.50	31.11	+0.39	#16
Points / Drive	1.74	1.94	-0.20	#7
Score %	36.30	35.78	+0.52	#16
Turnover %	8.80	11.75	-2.95	#26


Rush Att	426	418.34	+7.66	#20
Rush Yds	1783	1,806.44	-23.44	#16
Rush Y/A	4.20	4.31	-0.11	#16
Rush TD	9	13.97	-4.97	#5
EXP Pts Rush	12.72	12.14	+0.58	#18


2018	37.9	-43.2	-5.3
2019	-14.6	-32.0	-46.6

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC West

Insights

Rivalries

Other teams in AFC West