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Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

Team

Off EXP

149.94

Def EXP

-59.63

Net EXP

90.31

Record

11-5

Pythag 10.7 (+0.3)

Power Rating

95.5

#29

SRS

+3.27

#10

SoS Rank

#31

pts: −2.3 (#32)

#31

Pts / Game

28.2

Home 27.5 · Road 28.9

Net Pts / G

+5.6

Pts Allowed / G

22.6

Home 22.4 · Road 22.9

#11

Yds / Play

5.90

Yds/Play Allowed

5.40

#10

3rd Down %

39.6%

#22

3rd Down % Allowed

42.4%

#19

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	451	396.63	+54.38	#9
Total Yards	6049	5,744.53	+304.47	#10
Yds / Play	5.90	5.58	+0.32	#9
1st Downs	364	347.06	+16.94	#10
Turnovers	15	20.78	-5.78	#3
Fumbles Lost	4	8.44	-4.44	#1
EXP Pts	149.94	98.89	+51.05	#9

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	362	396.63	-34.63	#11
Total Yards	5314	5,744.53	-430.53	#8
Yds / Play	5.40	5.57	-0.17	#10
1st Downs	329	347.06	-18.06	#8
Turnovers	25	20.78	+4.22	#5
Fumbles Lost	10	8.44	+1.56	#10
EXP Pts	-59.63	-98.89	+39.26	#9

Scoring Composition

Where Indianapolis Colts's points come from. Total = 451 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	552	563.06	-11.06	#20
Pass Cmp	371	367.38	+3.63	#19
Cmp %	67.20	65.23	+1.97	#9
Pass Yds	4053	3,842.41	+210.59	#11
Yds / Att	7.30	6.84	+0.46	#9
Yds / Cmp	10.90	10.47	+0.43	#12
Adj Y/A	7.30	6.81	+0.49	#12
Adj NY/A	7	6.42	+0.58	#11
Pass TD	24	27.22	-3.22	#22
TD %	4.30	4.85	-0.55	#19
Pass Int	11	12.34	-1.34	#11
Int %	2	2.20	-0.20	#14
Sack %	3.70	5.94	-2.24	#4
Pass Rating	94.90	91.90	+3	#13
EXP Pts Pass	149.75	95.98	+53.77	#9

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	562	563.06	-1.06	#14
Pass Cmp	369	367.38	+1.63	#17
Cmp %	65.70	65.19	+0.51	#18
Pass Yds	3866	3,842.41	+23.59	#20
Yds / Att	7.30	7.24	+0.06	#20
Yds / Cmp	11.20	11.11	+0.09	#17
Adj Y/A	7	7.23	-0.23	#13
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.41	-0.31	#12
Pass TD	24	27.22	-3.22	#12
TD %	4.30	4.84	-0.54	#10
Pass Int	15	12.34	+2.66	#8
Int %	2.70	2.21	+0.49	#8
Sack %	6.60	5.91	+0.69	#11
Pass Rating	90.50	93.56	-3.06	#12
EXP Pts Pass	-74.30	-95.98	+21.68	#13

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for IND 2020. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

86.0%

#14 of 32

PAT%

96.0%

#8 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#5 of 32

Return Yards

1,423

#1 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

53 yd

FG %

86.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	10	0	100.0%
30-39	12	1	92.3%
40-49	9	2	81.8%
50-59	1	2	33.3%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2920212224242525252828(10)

30–39303032323535373738383839(12)

40–49404142424343434444(9)

50–5953(1)

Missed FG distances

30–3930(1)

40–494149(2)

50–595056(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

96.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3939(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

312

Punt avg

10.1

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

1111

Kickoff avg

25.8

Total return yds

1423

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2216

Gross avg

45.2

Net yards

1939

Net avg

38.8

Long

60 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

40.8%

Touchbacks

TB %

10.2%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

177

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for IND 2020.

#20 of 32

#6 of 32

#9 of 32

#12 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for IND 2020. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+95.4

#7 of 32

Rush EPA

-18.4

#17 of 32

Recv EPA

+130.6

#15 of 32

CPOE

+0.11

#18 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for IND 2020 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

3,966

#26 of 32

Pass YAC

2,244

#6 of 32

Recv Air Yds

3,966

#26 of 32

Recv YAC

2,244

#6 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for IND 2020. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#19 of 32

Penalty Yds

899

#26 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#19 of 32

Yds / Game

56.2

#26 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2020 vs 2019.


All Purpose Yds	6735	7910	1175
Kickoff Yds	5101	6070	969
Pass Yds	3108	4053	945

5-Year Trajectory

IND Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2020. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2020

W vs JAX · 28–14

IND failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for IND 2020.

Cmp %

67.2%

Pass Yds/G

253.3

#11

Pass Rating

94.9

#13

Pass TD

#22

Pass Int

#11

Sack Rate

3.7%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. IND has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	11-5	8-8	50.0%	9-7	56.3%	+5.6	+1.0	29	+16.5
Home	8	6-2	3-5	37.5%	3-5	37.5%	+5.1	-1.4	29	+16.5
Away	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	6-2	75.0%	+6.0	+3.4	20	+16.5
As favorite	15	11-4	8-7	53.3%	8-7	53.3%	+6.5	+1.6	29	+16.5
As underdog	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-9.0	-8.0	—	-8.0
Division games	6	4-2	2-4	33.3%	3-3	50.0%	+3.0	-3.2	17	+16.0
Non-division	10	7-3	6-4	60.0%	6-4	60.0%	+7.1	+3.5	29	+16.5
Pick-em (≤3)	7	3-4	3-4	42.9%	6-1	85.7%	-1.3	-2.6	17	+16.0
Small favorite (3-7)	4	4-0	4-0	—	1-3	—	+12.8	+9.2	20	+16.5
Large favorite (7+)	5	4-1	1-4	20.0%	2-3	40.0%	+9.4	-0.6	29	+16.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2020. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	1-1	0-2	1-1	+3.5	-7.8
TEN	Tennessee Titans	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	-1.0	-3.0
HOU	Houston Texans	2	2-0	1-1	0-2	+6.5	+1.0
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+17.0	+13.5
NYJ	New York Jets	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+29.0	+16.5
CHI	Chicago Bears	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+4.5
CLE	Cleveland Browns	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-9.0	-8.0
CIN	Cincinnati Bengals	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+4.0	-3.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+20.0	+16.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-15.0
GB	Green Bay Packers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+1.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+17.0	+14.5
PIT	Pittsburgh Steelers	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-4.0	-5.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
Oct	3	2-1	1-2	2-1	33%
Nov	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%
Dec	4	3-1	2-2	2-2	50%
Jan	1	1-0	0-1	0-1	0%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	15	10-5	7-8	8-7	47%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	5-3	4-4	4-4	50%
Second half (W10+)	8	6-2	4-4	5-3	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	7	4-3	4-3	5-2	57%
Turf	9	7-2	4-5	4-5	44%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	2-4	3-3	33%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	4-2	33%
Inter-conference	4	4-0	4-0	2-2	100%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cold (<40°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Mild (60-74°F)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Warm (75°F+)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	11	9-2	6-5	5-6	55%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Indoor	11	9-2	6-5	5-6	55%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	L	3
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	1
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	3
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	3

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	10	6-4	5-5	6-4	50%
After a loss	5	5-0	3-2	2-3	60%
On 2+ winning streak	6	2-4	1-5	3-3	17%
vs winning opp.	8	4-4	4-4	6-2	50%
vs losing opp.	6	6-0	3-3	1-5	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	5	2-3	2-3	4-1	40%
Dome	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%
Retractable (closed)	9	7-2	4-5	3-6	44%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	6-2	3-5	3-5	38%
Domestic road	8	5-3	5-3	6-2	62%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	6-2	3-5	3-5	38%
Short (<500)	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%
Medium (500-1500)	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	12	8-4	5-7	5-7	42%
Long week (8-10d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-13 G

OctATS 1-23 G

NovATS 3-25 G

DecATS 2-24 G

JanATS 0-11 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 7-815 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-48 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 4-48 G

By surface

GrassATS 4-37 G

TurfATS 4-59 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 4-04 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-35 G

DomeATS 2-02 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 4-59 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-58 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-58 G

Short (<500)ATS 3-25 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-12 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 5-712 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-01 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 1-23 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-13 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-13 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-47 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 9.7 ptsBias +1.0 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)	4-12	0.541 #6	24.0	29.0	140.22	-242.84
Indianapolis Colts (IND)	11-5	0.443 #31	28.2	22.6	149.94	-59.63
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)	1-15	0.549 #4	19.1	30.8	-6.12	-228.53
Tennessee Titans (TEN)	11-5	0.475 #23	30.7	27.4	247.52	-174.25

Insights

A look at how the 2020 Indianapolis Colts ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive rush success rate allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (2nd of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (2nd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive avg time to throw (30th of 32), offensive avg time to throw (30th of 32), and offensive avg time to pressure (26th of 32).


Drives	171	173.97	-2.97	#19
Plays / Drive	6.30	6.10	+0.20	#9
Yds / Drive	35.40	33.05	+2.35	#9
Points / Drive	2.36	2.21	+0.15	#12
Score %	44.40	39.95	+4.45	#10
Turnover %	8.80	11.38	-2.58	#5


Rush Att	459	431	+28	#10
Rush Yds	1996	1,902.13	+93.88	#11
Rush Y/A	4.30	4.38	-0.08	#16
Rush TD	20	16.63	+3.38	#6
EXP Pts Rush	8.16	11.61	-3.45	#18


3rd Down Att	197	202.47	-5.47	#19
3rd Down Made	78	84.31	-6.31	#22
4th Down Att	26	20.56	+5.44	#7
4th Down Made	16	11.31	+4.69	#5
Red Zone Att	60	54.69	+5.31	#7
Red Zone Scores	35	33.47	+1.53	#14


Drives	168	173.97	-5.97	#9
Plays / Drive	6	6.10	-0.10	#13
Yds / Drive	31.60	33.06	-1.46	#10
Points / Drive	2.01	2.21	-0.20	#9
Score %	35.10	39.94	-4.84	#8
Turnover %	14.30	11.44	+2.86	#3


Rush Att	390	431	-41	#6
Rush Yds	1448	1,902.13	-454.13	#2
Rush Y/A	3.70	4.39	-0.69	#2
Rush TD	16	16.63	-0.63	#15
EXP Pts Rush	14.06	-11.61	+25.67	#9


2018	131.1	-25.8	+105.2
2019	74.8	-56.4	+18.4
2020	149.9	-59.6	+90.3

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC South

Insights

Other teams in AFC South