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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

#18

Def EXP

20.23

Net EXP

57.23

Record

7-9

Pythag 8.7 (-1.7)

Power Rating

98.8

#20

SRS

−0.12

#15

SoS Rank

#17

pts: −0.7 (#22)

#17

Pts / Game

28.6

Home 25.1 · Road 32.1

Net Pts / G

+0.6

#13

Pts Allowed / G

28.1

Home 30.9 · Road 25.3

#29

Yds / Play

5.90

Yds/Play Allowed

5.10

3rd Down %

41.5%

#13

3rd Down % Allowed

34.4%

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	458	365	+93	#4
Total Yards	6366	5,565.84	+800.16	#3
Yds / Play	5.90	5.48	+0.42	#9
1st Downs	353	324.03	+28.97	#5
Turnovers	41	22.22	+18.78	#32
Fumbles Lost	11	9.41	+1.59	#22
EXP Pts	37	47.34	-10.34	#18

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	449	365	+84	#29
Total Yards	5503	5,565.84	-62.84	#15
Yds / Play	5.10	5.48	-0.37	#6
1st Downs	331	324.03	+6.97	#19
Turnovers	28	22.22	+5.78	#5
Fumbles Lost	16	9.41	+6.59	#3
EXP Pts	20.23	-47.34	+67.57	#6

Scoring Composition

Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers's points come from. Total = 458 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	630	557.91	+72.09	#4
Pass Cmp	382	354.09	+27.91	#8
Cmp %	60.60	63.55	-2.95	#25
Pass Yds	4845	3,759.41	+1,085.59	#1
Yds / Att	7.70	6.76	+0.94	#5
Yds / Cmp	12.70	10.62	+2.08	#1
Adj Y/A	6.60	6.63	-0.03	#17
Adj NY/A	6.10	6.19	-0.09	#19
Pass TD	33	24.91	+8.09	#3
TD %	5.20	4.52	+0.68	#8
Pass Int	30	12.81	+17.19	#32
Int %	4.80	2.28	+2.52	#32
Sack %	6.90	6.71	+0.19	#17
Pass Rating	82.30	88.74	-6.44	#22
EXP Pts Pass	95.89	69.14	+26.75	#13

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	664	557.91	+106.09	#1
Pass Cmp	408	354.09	+53.91	#31
Cmp %	61.40	63.48	-2.08	#8
Pass Yds	4322	3,759.41	+562.59	#30
Yds / Att	7	7.23	-0.23	#11
Yds / Cmp	11.40	11.38	+0.02	#18
Adj Y/A	7.10	7.09	+0.01	#19
Adj NY/A	6.20	6.16	+0.04	#18
Pass TD	30	24.91	+5.09	#25
TD %	4.50	4.47	+0.03	#17
Pass Int	12	12.81	-0.81	#21
Int %	1.80	2.31	-0.51	#28
Sack %	6.60	6.67	-0.07	#18
Pass Rating	90	90.35	-0.35	#17
EXP Pts Pass	-38.17	-69.14	+30.97	#9

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for TB 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

77.0%

#22 of 32

PAT%

90.0%

#25 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 1

#14 of 32

Return Yards

666

#27 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

58 yd

FG %

77.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	6	0	100.0%
30-39	5	2	71.4%
40-49	11	3	78.6%
50-59	5	2	71.4%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29212223242527(6)

30–393031323237(5)

40–494041414142444545464748(11)

50–595052545558(5)

Missed FG distances

30–393434(2)

40–49424449(3)

50–595054(2)

Blocked FG distances

50–5954(1)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

90.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

30–3934(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

172

Punt avg

5.2

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

494

Kickoff avg

19.8

Total return yds

666

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2464

Gross avg

43.2

Net yards

2182

Net avg

38.3

Long

63 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

33.3%

Touchbacks

TB %

5.3%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

222

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for TB 2019.

QB Hits

117

#2 of 32

Pass Def.

#1 of 32

TFL

#3 of 32

Forced Fum.

#3 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for TB 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+43.4

#14 of 32

Rush EPA

-50.8

#26 of 32

Recv EPA

+139.2

#13 of 32

CPOE

+0.64

#14 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for TB 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

6,493

#1 of 32

Pass YAC

1,898

#11 of 32

Recv Air Yds

6,493

#1 of 32

Recv YAC

1,898

#11 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for TB 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

133

#32 of 32

Penalty Yds

1,111

#30 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#25 of 32

Yds / Game

69.4

#30 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Kickoff Yds	5349	6317	968
Points	396	458	62
Scoring	396	458	62

5-Year Trajectory

TB Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

L vs ATL · 22–28

TB failed to cover.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for TB 2019.

Cmp %

60.6%

#25

Pass Yds/G

302.8

Pass Rating

82.3

#22

Pass TD

Pass Int

#32

Sack Rate

6.9%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. TB has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	5-9-2	35.7%	12-4	75.0%	+0.6	+1.4	21	+24.0
Home	8	2-6	0-6-2	0.0%	6-2	75.0%	-5.8	-6.4	3	+0.0
Away	8	5-3	5-3	62.5%	6-2	75.0%	+6.9	+9.3	21	+24.0
As favorite	7	4-3	2-4-1	33.3%	5-2	71.4%	+3.3	-0.1	21	+15.5
As underdog	9	3-6	3-5-1	37.5%	7-2	77.8%	-1.6	+2.7	15	+24.0
Division games	6	2-4	2-4	33.3%	5-1	83.3%	-3.7	-0.5	13	+16.5
Non-division	10	5-5	3-5-2	37.5%	7-3	70.0%	+3.1	+2.6	21	+24.0
Pick-em (≤3)	8	2-6	1-5-2	16.7%	5-3	62.5%	-3.1	-2.9	17	+14.0
Small favorite (3-7)	3	2-1	1-2	—	3-0	—	+7.7	+2.3	21	+15.5
Small underdog (3-7)	4	2-2	2-2	—	3-1	—	-1.0	+3.8	13	+16.5
Large underdog (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+15.0	+24.0	15	+24.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	-2.5	+1.8
NO	New Orleans Saints	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	-12.0	-8.0
ATL	Atlanta Falcons	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	+3.5	+4.8
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-15.0
NYG	New York Giants	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-1.0	-6.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+15.0	+24.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-4.0	-2.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-6.0	-2.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+3.0	-2.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+17.0	+14.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	1-0	0-0-1	1-0	+3.0	+0.0
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+21.0	+15.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	-3.0	+0.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	2-2	2-2	2-2	50%
Oct	3	0-3	0-3	3-0	0%
Nov	4	2-2	1-3	4-0	25%
Dec	5	3-2	2-1-2	3-2	67%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Sat	1	0-1	0-0-1	0-1	—
Sun	14	6-8	4-9-1	12-2	31%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	2-6	2-6	6-2	25%
Second half (W10+)	8	5-3	3-3-2	6-2	50%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	12	5-7	3-7-2	8-4	30%
Turf	4	2-2	2-2	4-0	50%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	2-4	2-4	5-1	33%
Same conference	6	3-3	2-4	5-1	33%
Inter-conference	4	2-2	1-1-2	2-2	50%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	3	0-3	0-3	3-0	0%
Mild (60-74°F)	3	1-2	1-1-1	2-1	50%
Warm (75°F+)	7	4-3	2-4-1	4-3	33%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Calm (<5 mph)	4	2-2	2-2	3-1	50%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	8	2-6	0-6-2	6-2	0%
Windy (≥15 mph)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Indoor	3	2-1	2-1	3-0	67%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	L	2
ATS	L	1
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	4
Longest ATS cover	2
Longest ATS no-cover	6
Longest O streak	9
Longest U streak	2

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	7	3-4	2-3-2	5-2	40%
After a loss	8	4-4	3-5	7-1	38%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	1-0-2	2-1	100%
On 2+ losing streak	3	1-2	0-3	3-0	0%
vs winning opp.	6	1-5	1-4-1	5-1	20%
vs losing opp.	8	5-3	4-4	6-2	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	12	5-7	3-7-2	8-4	30%
Dome	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%
Retractable (closed)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	7	2-5	0-5-2	5-2	0%
Domestic road	8	5-3	5-3	6-2	62%
International	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	7	2-5	0-5-2	5-2	0%
Short (<500)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Medium (500-1500)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Long (1500+)	3	1-2	1-2	3-0	33%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%
Standard (5-7d)	11	6-5	4-5-2	9-2	44%
Long week (8-10d)	2	0-2	0-2	2-0	0%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 2-24 G

OctATS 0-33 G

NovATS 1-34 G

DecATS 2-1-25 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SatATS 0-0-11 G

SunATS 4-9-114 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-68 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 3-3-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-7-212 G

TurfATS 2-24 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 2-46 G

Same conferenceATS 2-46 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-1-24 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-7-212 G

DomeATS 1-12 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-12 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 0-5-27 G

Domestic roadATS 5-38 G

InternationalATS 0-11 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 0-5-27 G

Short (<500)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 2-13 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-23 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-5-211 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 0-22 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-33 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-2-14 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 2-2-15 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-24 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.9 ptsBias +1.4 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-9	0.545 #3	23.8	24.9	95.51	-98.34
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-11	0.549 #2	21.3	29.4	-28.07	-109.88
New Orleans Saints (NO)	13-3	0.486 #21	28.6	21.3	161.32	-35.67
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	7-9	0.500 #17	28.6	28.1	37	20.23

Insights

A look at how the 2019 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per rush allowed (1st of 32), and defensive rush yards allowed per carry (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive stuffed rate forced (32nd of 32), offensive rush yards per carry (30th of 32), and offensive rush yards per carry (30th of 32).


Drives	198	179	+19	#1
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.86	-0.16	#25
Yds / Drive	32.10	31.14	+0.96	#12
Points / Drive	2.11	1.95	+0.16	#10
Score %	37.90	35.87	+2.03	#11
Turnover %	20.20	11.72	+8.48	#32


Rush Att	409	418.34	-9.34	#15
Rush Yds	1521	1,806.44	-285.44	#24
Rush Y/A	3.70	4.28	-0.58	#30
Rush TD	15	13.97	+1.03	#17
EXP Pts Rush	-43.82	-12.14	-31.68	#28


3rd Down Att	217	204.13	+12.88	#6
3rd Down Made	90	79.66	+10.34	#5
4th Down Att	17	18.59	-1.59	#18
4th Down Made	9	8.91	+0.09	#14
Red Zone Att	54	50.81	+3.19	#12
Red Zone Scores	35	28.78	+6.22	#6


Drives	198	179	+19	#32
Plays / Drive	5.60	5.87	-0.27	#5
Yds / Drive	27.80	31.11	-3.31	#6
Points / Drive	2.01	1.94	+0.07	#18
Score %	39.40	35.78	+3.62	#24
Turnover %	13.60	11.75	+1.85	#8


Rush Att	362	418.34	-56.34	#4
Rush Yds	1181	1,806.44	-625.44	#1
Rush Y/A	3.30	4.31	-1.01	#1
Rush TD	11	13.97	-2.97	#7
EXP Pts Rush	56.23	12.14	+44.09	#3


2018	127.5	-154.6	-27.0
2019	37.0	20.2	+57.2

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South