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Atlanta Falcons

NFC South

Team

Off EXP

95.51

Def EXP

-98.34

#22

Net EXP

-2.83

Record

7-9

Pythag 8.0 (-1.0)

Power Rating

101.4

#12

SRS

−0.32

#17

SoS Rank

pts: +0.8 (#8)

Pts / Game

23.8

Home 21.0 · Road 26.6

#13

Net Pts / G

−1.1

#20

Pts Allowed / G

24.9

Home 25.1 · Road 24.8

#23

Yds / Play

5.50

#16

Yds/Play Allowed

5.80

#24

3rd Down %

42.0%

#11

3rd Down % Allowed

39.9%

#22

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	381	365	+16	#13
Total Yards	6075	5,565.84	+509.16	#5
Yds / Play	5.50	5.48	+0.02	#16
1st Downs	383	324.03	+58.97	#2
Turnovers	25	22.22	+2.78	#24
Fumbles Lost	10	9.41	+0.59	#21
EXP Pts	95.51	47.34	+48.17	#9

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	399	365	+34	#23
Total Yards	5693	5,565.84	+127.16	#20
Yds / Play	5.80	5.48	+0.33	#24
1st Downs	330	324.03	+5.97	#18
Turnovers	20	22.22	-2.22	#19
Fumbles Lost	8	9.41	-1.41	#21
EXP Pts	-98.34	-47.34	-51.00	#22

Scoring Composition

Where Atlanta Falcons's points come from. Total = 381 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	684	557.91	+126.09	#1
Pass Cmp	459	354.09	+104.91	#1
Cmp %	67.10	63.55	+3.55	#5
Pass Yds	4714	3,759.41	+954.59	#3
Yds / Att	6.90	6.76	+0.14	#14
Yds / Cmp	10.30	10.62	-0.32	#18
Adj Y/A	6.80	6.63	+0.17	#12
Adj NY/A	6.30	6.19	+0.11	#12
Pass TD	29	24.91	+4.09	#8
TD %	4.20	4.52	-0.32	#16
Pass Int	15	12.81	+2.19	#22
Int %	2.20	2.28	-0.08	#16
Sack %	6.80	6.71	+0.09	#16
Pass Rating	91.70	88.74	+2.96	#12
EXP Pts Pass	129.42	69.14	+60.28	#6

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	536	557.91	-21.91	#24
Pass Cmp	351	354.09	-3.09	#17
Cmp %	65.50	63.48	+2.02	#26
Pass Yds	3918	3,759.41	+158.59	#22
Yds / Att	7.70	7.23	+0.48	#25
Yds / Cmp	11.80	11.38	+0.42	#23
Adj Y/A	7.80	7.09	+0.71	#24
Adj NY/A	7	6.16	+0.84	#25
Pass TD	28	24.91	+3.09	#23
TD %	5.20	4.47	+0.73	#25
Pass Int	12	12.81	-0.81	#17
Int %	2.20	2.31	-0.11	#18
Sack %	5	6.67	-1.67	#28
Pass Rating	96.90	90.35	+6.55	#24
EXP Pts Pass	-128.75	-69.14	-59.61	#25

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for ATL 2019. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

80.0%

#17 of 32

PAT%

94.0%

#18 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

0 / 0

#14 of 32

Return Yards

834

#16 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

52 yd

FG %

80.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	Missed	%
0-19	0	0	—
20-29	7	0	100.0%
30-39	12	2	85.7%
40-49	10	2	83.3%
50-59	3	4	42.9%
60+	0	0	—

Made FG distances

20–2923232527292929(7)

30–39303333343535363737373838(12)

40–4940424343434445454748(10)

50–59505052(3)

Missed FG distances

30–393238(2)

40–494242(2)

50–5950505153(4)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

94.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

No game-winning field goal attempts this season.

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

263

Punt avg

7.1

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

571

Kickoff avg

22.8

Total return yds

834

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

2210

Gross avg

41.7

Net yards

2017

Net avg

37.4

Long

60 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

41.5%

Touchbacks

TB %

5.7%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

133

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for ATL 2019.

#28 of 32

#28 of 32

#22 of 32

#7 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for ATL 2019. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+42.5

#15 of 32

Rush EPA

-39.8

#23 of 32

Recv EPA

+158.0

#7 of 32

CPOE

+2.38

#9 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for ATL 2019 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

5,535

#3 of 32

Pass YAC

1,899

#10 of 32

Recv Air Yds

5,535

#3 of 32

Recv YAC

1,899

#10 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for ATL 2019. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

119

#26 of 32

Penalty Yds

956

#23 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#10 of 32

Yds / Game

59.8

#23 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2019 vs 2018.


Punt Ret Yds	147	263	116
Play Count Tip	1038	1136	98
Plays Offense	1010	1096	86

5-Year Trajectory

ATL Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2018 through 2019. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 17, 2019

W at TB · 28–22

ATL covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for ATL 2019.

Cmp %

67.1%

Pass Yds/G

294.6

Pass Rating

91.7

#12

Pass TD

Pass Int

#22

Sack Rate

6.8%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. ATL has 16 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	16	7-9	8-8	50.0%	7-9	43.8%	-1.1	+1.1	26	+31.0
Home	8	3-5	4-4	50.0%	2-6	25.0%	-4.1	-4.1	20	+16.5
Away	8	4-4	4-4	50.0%	5-3	62.5%	+1.9	+6.2	26	+31.0
As favorite	5	2-3	2-3	40.0%	3-2	60.0%	+0.8	-3.4	20	+16.5
As underdog	11	5-6	6-5	54.5%	4-7	36.4%	-2.0	+3.1	26	+31.0
Division games	6	4-2	4-2	66.7%	3-3	50.0%	+8.0	+11.1	26	+31.0
Non-division	10	3-7	4-6	40.0%	4-6	40.0%	-6.6	-5.0	12	+17.5
Pick-em (≤3)	5	2-3	2-3	40.0%	3-2	60.0%	-4.2	-3.6	6	+7.0
Small favorite (3-7)	3	1-2	1-2	—	2-1	—	-2.3	-5.8	20	+16.5
Large favorite (7+)	1	1-0	1-0	—	0-1	—	+12.0	+4.5	12	+4.5
Small underdog (3-7)	3	1-2	1-2	—	1-2	—	-3.7	+0.0	26	+29.5
Large underdog (7+)	4	2-2	3-1	—	1-3	—	+2.2	+12.0	17	+31.0

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2019. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


NO	New Orleans Saints	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	+4.5	+15.0
CAR	Carolina Panthers	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	+23.0	+23.0
TB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	-3.5	-4.8
MIN	Minnesota Vikings	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-16.0	-12.5
PHI	Philadelphia Eagles	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+4.0	+5.0
IND	Indianapolis Colts	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-2.0
TEN	Tennessee Titans	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-14.0	-17.5
HOU	Houston Texans	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-21.0	-17.0
ARI	Arizona Cardinals	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-1.0	-4.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	-27.0	-24.0
SEA	Seattle Seahawks	1	0-1	1-0	0-1	-7.0	+0.5
SF	San Francisco 49ers	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+7.0	+17.5
JAX	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+12.0	+4.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	4	1-3	1-3	1-3	25%
Oct	4	0-4	1-3	2-2	25%
Nov	4	2-2	2-2	1-3	50%
Dec	4	4-0	4-0	3-1	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Sun	15	7-8	8-7	7-8	53%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	8	1-7	2-6	3-5	25%
Second half (W10+)	8	6-2	6-2	4-4	75%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	5	3-2	3-2	4-1	60%
Turf	11	4-7	5-6	3-8	45%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	6	4-2	4-2	3-3	67%
Same conference	6	2-4	3-3	2-4	50%
Inter-conference	4	1-3	1-3	2-2	25%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Cool (40-59°F)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Warm (75°F+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Indoor	13	4-9	5-8	5-8	38%

By wind

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Breezy (5-14 mph)	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Indoor	13	4-9	5-8	5-8	38%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	4
ATS	W	4
O/U	O	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	4
Longest SU loss streak	6
Longest ATS cover	4
Longest ATS no-cover	5
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	4

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	6	4-2	4-2	4-2	67%
After a loss	9	3-6	4-5	3-6	44%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
On 2+ losing streak	6	2-4	3-3	3-3	50%
vs winning opp.	6	4-2	5-1	1-5	83%
vs losing opp.	6	3-3	3-3	4-2	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Dome	2	1-1	1-1	0-2	50%
Retractable (open)	3	1-2	2-1	0-3	67%
Retractable (closed)	8	2-6	2-6	5-3	25%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	8	3-5	4-4	2-6	50%
Domestic road	8	4-4	4-4	5-3	50%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	8	3-5	4-4	2-6	50%
Short (<500)	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Medium (500-1500)	2	0-2	0-2	1-1	0%
Long (1500+)	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	0-1	0-1	0-1	0%
Standard (5-7d)	12	5-7	6-6	6-6	50%
Long week (8-10d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 1-34 G

OctATS 1-34 G

NovATS 2-24 G

DecATS 4-04 G

By day of week

ThuATS 0-11 G

SunATS 8-715 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 2-68 G

Second half (W10+)ATS 6-28 G

By surface

GrassATS 3-25 G

TurfATS 5-611 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 4-26 G

Same conferenceATS 3-36 G

Inter-conferenceATS 1-34 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-03 G

DomeATS 1-12 G

Retractable (open)ATS 2-13 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 2-68 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 4-48 G

Domestic roadATS 4-48 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 4-48 G

Short (<500)ATS 3-14 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 0-22 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-11 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 6-612 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-01 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 2-24 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-47 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-22 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 3-03 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 12.9 ptsBias +1.1 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: NFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)	7-9	0.545 #3	23.8	24.9	95.51	-98.34
Carolina Panthers (CAR)	5-11	0.549 #2	21.3	29.4	-28.07	-109.88
New Orleans Saints (NO)	13-3	0.486 #21	28.6	21.3	161.32	-35.67
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)	7-9	0.500 #17	28.6	28.1	37	20.23

Insights

A look at how the 2019 Atlanta Falcons ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), defensive avg opp time to throw (1st of 32), and defensive avg time to pressure (3rd of 32). Weaknesses: offensive ryoe per attempt (31st of 32), defensive yac over expected allowed (31st of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (31st of 32).


Drives	174	179	-5	#23
Plays / Drive	6.50	5.86	+0.64	#2
Yds / Drive	34.90	31.14	+3.76	#6
Points / Drive	2.12	1.95	+0.17	#8
Score %	40.80	35.87	+4.93	#7
Turnover %	13.20	11.72	+1.48	#24


Rush Att	362	418.34	-56.34	#29
Rush Yds	1361	1,806.44	-445.44	#30
Rush Y/A	3.80	4.28	-0.48	#25
Rush TD	10	13.97	-3.97	#24
EXP Pts Rush	-23.14	-12.14	-11.00	#19


3rd Down Att	207	204.13	+2.88	#12
3rd Down Made	87	79.66	+7.34	#9
4th Down Att	21	18.59	+2.41	#10
4th Down Made	13	8.91	+4.09	#5
Red Zone Att	60	50.81	+9.19	#3
Red Zone Scores	31	28.78	+2.22	#13


Drives	167	179	-12	#5
Plays / Drive	6.10	5.87	+0.23	#26
Yds / Drive	34.10	31.11	+2.99	#25
Points / Drive	2.26	1.94	+0.32	#28
Score %	42.50	35.78	+6.72	#30
Turnover %	9	11.75	-2.75	#25


Rush Att	421	418.34	+2.66	#19
Rush Yds	1775	1,806.44	-31.44	#15
Rush Y/A	4.20	4.31	-0.11	#17
Rush TD	13	13.97	-0.97	#16
EXP Pts Rush	17.98	12.14	+5.84	#14


2018	154.2	-157.0	-2.8
2019	95.5	-98.3	-2.8

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Passing Profile

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

By temperature

By wind

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: NFC South

Insights

Other teams in NFC South