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Buffalo Bills

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

78.88

Def EXP

-63.01

#30

Net EXP

15.87

Record

4-1

Pythag 10.0 (-6.0)

Power Rating

103.4

SRS

+3.96

SoS Rank

#28

pts: −0.6 (#19)

#28

Pts / Game

32.8

Home 30.3 · Road 36.5

Net Pts / G

+4.6

Pts Allowed / G

28.2

Home 25.3 · Road 32.5

#28

Yds / Play

6.70

Yds/Play Allowed

5.60

#25

3rd Down %

50.0%

3rd Down % Allowed

42.6%

#23

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	164	115.13	+48.88	#1
Total Yards	1981	1,639.66	+341.34	#2
Yds / Play	6.70	5.36	+1.34	#1
1st Downs	120	97.13	+22.88	#3
Turnovers	9	6.28	+2.72	#27
Fumbles Lost	5	2.88	+2.13	#30
EXP Pts	78.88	15.60	+63.28	#1

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	141	115.13	+25.88	#28
Total Yards	1943	1,639.66	+303.34	#30
Yds / Play	5.60	5.36	+0.24	#25
1st Downs	129	97.13	+31.88	#31
Turnovers	5	6.28	-1.28	#22
Fumbles Lost	3	2.88	+0.13	#15
EXP Pts	-63.01	-15.60	-47.41	#30

Scoring Composition

Where Buffalo Bills's points come from. Total = 164 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	138	163.47	-25.47	#28
Pass Cmp	91	105.16	-14.16	#27
Cmp %	65.90	64.28	+1.62	#11
Pass Yds	1191	1,085.75	+105.25	#11
Yds / Att	9.10	7.12	+1.98	#1
Yds / Cmp	13.70	11.07	+2.63	#1
Adj Y/A	8.80	7.11	+1.69	#4
Adj NY/A	7.80	6.24	+1.56	#5
Pass TD	7	7.69	-0.69	#20
TD %	5.10	4.71	+0.39	#14
Pass Int	4	3.76	+0.24	#20
Int %	2.90	2.34	+0.56	#23
Sack %	6.80	6.50	+0.30	#19
Pass Rating	99.60	92.21	+7.39	#10
EXP Pts Pass	52.74	22.83	+29.91	#5

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	201	163.47	+37.53	#3
Pass Cmp	134	105.16	+28.84	#31
Cmp %	66.70	64.35	+2.35	#26
Pass Yds	1402	1,085.75	+316.25	#31
Yds / Att	7.40	7.11	+0.29	#22
Yds / Cmp	11	11.05	-0.05	#18
Adj Y/A	8.20	7.09	+1.11	#27
Adj NY/A	7.40	6.24	+1.16	#27
Pass TD	13	7.69	+5.31	#29
TD %	6.50	4.72	+1.78	#26
Pass Int	2	3.52	-1.52	#25
Int %	1	2.19	-1.19	#27
Sack %	5.20	6.34	-1.14	#23
Pass Rating	105.70	92.15	+13.55	#27
EXP Pts Pass	-71.54	-22.83	-48.71	#29

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for BUF 2026. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

100.0%

#1 of 32

PAT%

88.0%

#25 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#1 of 32

Return Yards

741

#3 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

49 yd

FG %

100.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	%
0-19	0	—
20-29	3	100.0%
30-39	3	100.0%
40-49	3	100.0%
50-59	0	—
60+	0	—

Made FG distances

20–29232728(3)

30–39333438(3)

40–49454649(3)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

88.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4945(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

Punt avg

9.3

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

657

Kickoff avg

27.4

Total return yds

741

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

489

Gross avg

48.9

Net yards

457

Net avg

45.7

Long

63 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

50.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

0.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for BUF 2026.

#7 of 32

#8 of 32

#17 of 32

#17 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for BUF 2026. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+42.3

#4 of 32

Rush EPA

+20.6

#1 of 32

Recv EPA

+58.2

#5 of 32

CPOE

+5.00

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for BUF 2026 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

1,309

#16 of 32

Pass YAC

629

#5 of 32

Recv Air Yds

1,309

#16 of 32

Recv YAC

629

#5 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for BUF 2026. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#27 of 32

Penalty Yds

362

#25 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#31 of 32

Yds / Game

72.4

#25 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2026 vs 2025.


Penalties Yds	848	362	-486
Pass Sacked Yds	298	58	-240
Penalties	101	43	-58

5-Year Trajectory

BUF Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2022 through 2026. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Ranked in all 300 stats, 2026

Best:1st Downs by Penalty #1 · Alltd #1 · EXP #1 Worst:Rush Fumbles (gross) #32 · NET: Plays per drive (Off − Def) #32 · NET: Plays offense (Off − Def) #32

All 300 stats, ranked →

Last game — Week 5, 2026

W at LAR · 37–34

BUF covered.

9 of 11 favor LAR · 81.8%

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for BUF 2026.

Cmp %

65.9%

#11

Pass Yds/G

238.2

#11

Pass Rating

99.6

#10

Pass TD

#20

Pass Int

#20

Sack Rate

6.8%

Weekly Results

Per-week results, scores, and ATS outcome. See the Weekly Results candlestick below for visual season trajectory.


1	@ HOU	W	36-31	W	—	—	—
2	vs DET	W	41-31	W	—	—	—
3	vs LAC	W	24-16	W	—	—	—
4	vs NE	L	26-29	L	—	—	—
5	@ LAR	W	37-34	W	—	—	—
6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. BUF has 5 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	5	4-1	4-1	80.0%	4-1	80.0%	+4.6	+1.1	10	+6.5
Home	3	2-1	2-1	—	2-1	—	+5.0	-1.5	10	+4.5
Away	2	2-0	2-0	—	2-0	—	+4.0	+5.0	5	+6.5
As favorite	4	3-1	3-1	—	3-1	—	+5.0	-0.2	10	+4.5
As underdog	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+3.0	+6.5	3	+6.5
Division games	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-3.0	-10.0	—	-10.0
Non-division	4	4-0	4-0	—	3-1	—	+6.5	+3.9	10	+6.5
Pick-em (≤3)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+5.0	+3.5	5	+3.5
Small favorite (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+10.0	+4.5	10	+4.5
Large favorite (7+)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+2.5	-4.5	8	+1.0
Small underdog (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+3.0	+6.5	3	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2026. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+5.0	+3.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+10.0	+4.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+1.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-10.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Oct	2	1-1	1-1	2-0	50%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	5	4-1	4-1	4-1	80%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Turf	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Same conference	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Inter-conference	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

Weather

Weather data not yet available for this season.

Data coverage: 2015 onward.

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	1
ATS	W	1
O/U	O	2

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	1
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	1
Longest O streak	2
Longest U streak	1

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
After a loss	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
On 2+ winning streak	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%
vs winning opp.	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
vs losing opp.	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Retractable (closed)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Domestic road	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	3	2-1	2-1	2-1	67%
Medium (500-1500)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Long (1500+)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-03 G

OctATS 1-12 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 2-13 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 4-15 G

By surface

GrassATS 2-13 G

TurfATS 2-02 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 0-11 G

Same conferenceATS 2-02 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-02 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 2-13 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-01 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 2-13 G

Domestic roadATS 2-02 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 2-13 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-01 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-01 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 0-11 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-02 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-11 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-02 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-01 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 1-01 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 5.1 ptsBias +1.1 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	4-1	0.360 #28	32.8	28.2	78.88	-63.01
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	0-5	0.840 #1	14.0	26.4	-13.52	-45.19
New England Patriots (NE)	3-2	0.680 #3	22.0	18.8	21.01	-0.26
New York Jets (NYJ)	2-3	0.480 #19	18.6	19.2	-4.74	-2.10

Insights

As of week 5, how the 2026 Buffalo Bills rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per play (1st of 32), offensive epa per rush (1st of 32), and offensive epa per rush (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive avg yac allowed (31st of 32), defensive epa per play allowed (30th of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (28th of 32).


Drives	43	52.75	-9.75	#32
Plays / Drive	5.70	5.92	-0.22	#19
Yds / Drive	35.90	30.67	+5.23	#6
Points / Drive	3.02	2.11	+0.91	#3
Score %	51.20	39.28	+11.93	#3
Turnover %	16.30	11.00	+5.30	#25


Rush Att	147	131.84	+15.16	#7
Rush Yds	790	553.91	+236.09	#4
Rush Y/A	5.40	4.17	+1.23	#2
Rush TD	13	4.78	+8.22	#1
EXP Pts Rush	32.22	-2.80	+35.02	#1


3rd Down Att	52	63.09	-11.09	#29
3rd Down Made	26	24.84	+1.16	#11
4th Down Att	4	6.72	-2.72	#23
4th Down Made	3	3.63	-0.63	#12
Red Zone Att	21	16	+5	#2
Red Zone Scores	15	9.78	+5.22	#2


Drives	42	52.75	-10.75	#3
Plays / Drive	6.60	5.93	+0.67	#31
Yds / Drive	35.20	30.48	+4.72	#30
Points / Drive	2.52	2.09	+0.43	#26
Score %	42.90	39.07	+3.83	#24
Turnover %	11.90	10.99	+0.91	#13


Rush Att	138	131.84	+6.16	#21
Rush Yds	541	553.91	-12.91	#15
Rush Y/A	3.90	4.19	-0.29	#12
Rush TD	5	4.78	+0.22	#21
EXP Pts Rush	0.45	2.80	-2.35	#19


2022	156.4	10.9	+167.3
2023	167.0	15.2	+182.2
2024	221.4	-51.4	+170.0
2025	186.8	-33.7	+153.1
2026	78.9	-63.0	+15.9

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Ranked in all 300 stats, 2026

Passing Profile

Weekly Results

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East

Neighboring teams in Power Rankings